Frost Advisory 5, NWS Little Rock, AR

137 
WWUS74 KLZK 041935
NPWLZK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
235 PM CDT Thu Nov 4 2021

ARZ066>068-051000-
/O.UPG.KLZK.FR.Y.0005.211105T0600Z-211105T1400Z/
/O.EXA.KLZK.FZ.W.0006.211105T0600Z-211105T1400Z/
Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-
Including the cities of Camden, Hampton, Thornton, and Warren
235 PM CDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...FREEZE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing temperatures are likely late tonight through
  early Friday morning.

* WHERE...Southern Arkansas.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions could kill crops and other
  sensitive vegetation, and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>064-051000-
/O.CON.KLZK.FZ.W.0006.211105T0600Z-211105T1400Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, and Gould
235 PM CDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Sub-freezing temperatures are likely late tonight through 
  early Friday morning.

* WHERE...Portions of central, eastern, north central, 
  southeast, southwest and western Arkansas.

* WHEN...From late tonight through Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

ARZ065-069-051000-
/O.CON.KLZK.FR.Y.0005.211105T0600Z-211105T1400Z/
Desha-Drew-
Including the cities of Dumas, McGehee, and Monticello
235 PM CDT Thu Nov 4 2021

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO 9 AM CDT
FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Frost formation is possible late tonight and into Friday
  morning.

* WHERE... Southeast Arkansas.

* WHEN...From 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Friday.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill crops and other sensitive outdoor
  vegetation if left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

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860 
WWUS74 KLZK 050824
NPWLZK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
324 AM CDT Fri Nov 5 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>064-
066>068-051400-
/O.CON.KLZK.FZ.W.0006.000000T0000Z-211105T1400Z/
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin, 
Yellville, Summit, Mountain Home, Cherokee Village, 
Mammoth Spring, Cave City, Ash Flat, Hardy, Attica, Pocahontas, 
Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie, Mountain View, 
Horseshoe Bend, Melbourne, Calico Rock, Oxford, Batesville, 
Walnut Ridge, Hoxie, Clarksville, Russellville, Fairfield Bay, 
Clinton, Heber Springs, Newport, Booneville, Paris, Morrilton, 
Conway, Searcy, Beebe, Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Waldron, 
Dardanelle, Danville, Ola, Perryville, Mena, Mount Ida, Norman, 
Hot Springs, Benton, Bryant, Little Rock, North Little Rock, 
Cabot, Lonoke, Des Arc, Hazen, De Valls Bluff, Brinkley, 
Clarendon, Murfreesboro, Glenwood, Arkadelphia, Malvern, 
Sheridan, Pine Bluff, Stuttgart, De Witt, Fordyce, Rison, 
Kingsland, Star City, Gould, Camden, Hampton, Thornton, 
and Warren
324 AM CDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...FREEZE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Low temperatures in the upper 20s and lower 30s are
  likely through early this morning, especially in sheltered
  locations.

* WHERE...Portions of central, eastern, north central, southeast,
  southwest and western Arkansas.

* WHEN...Through 9 AM CDT Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost and freeze conditions will kill crops, other 
  sensitive vegetation and possibly damage unprotected outdoor 
  plumbing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps now to protect tender plants from the cold. To prevent
freezing and possible bursting of outdoor water pipes they should
be wrapped, drained, or allowed to drip slowly. Those that have
in-ground sprinkler systems should drain them and cover above-
ground pipes to protect them from freezing.

&&

$$

ARZ065-069-051400-
/O.CON.KLZK.FR.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-211105T1400Z/
Desha-Drew-
Including the cities of Dumas, McGehee, and Monticello
324 AM CDT Fri Nov 5 2021

...FROST ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 AM CDT THIS MORNING...

* WHAT...Frost formation remains possible early this morning.

* WHERE... Southeast Arkansas.

* WHEN...Through 9 AM CDT Friday morning.

* IMPACTS...Frost could kill sensitive outdoor vegetation if 
  left uncovered.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Take steps to protect tender plants from the cold.

&&

$$

44

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
111 AM CDT Thu Nov 4 2021

.AVIATION...04/06Z TAF CYCLE

Will cont to see VFR CIGS over parts of NW and SE AR thru the
early mrng hrs, with cloud cover sloly decreasing as the mrng
progresses. Cannot rule out some ptchy fog but opted not to
include attm due to low confidence. Light and variable winds wl
prevail at most sites. /44/
&&

PREV DISCUSSION...(ISSUED 155 PM CDT Wed Nov 3 2021)

SHORT TERM...Today Through Friday

Early afternoon radar imagery showed the backside of light
precip/drizzle pushing through Cntrl AR towards the MS River. Over
Nrn portions of the state, clearing in the stratus deck has
resulted in some sunshine which is expected to continue expanding
Swrd through the late afternoon.

Skies will clear overnight as high pressure settles into the
region. Winds will relax, becoming light/variable. With highs
today only expected to climb into the mid 40s, it will not take
much cooling overnight to get lows well into the 30s.

A freeze warning was already in effect for Nrn sections of the state
and has been expanded SW into the Ouachitas and SE into the N-Cntrl
AR with this forecast update. Additionally, freeze warnings and
freeze watches are up for Friday morning as well. The freeze
warnings will cover the same areas both mornings. This double up
approach is to account for isolated locations not reaching the
freezing point on Thursday morning. The freeze watch portion will
be expanded Swrd to capture possible colder temperatures on
Friday morning. Even outside of the freeze watch/warning areas,
frost will be possible. This could potentially damage or kill
sensitive vegetation. Plants that are susceptible to the cold
should be brought indoors or covered up. Over the valley locations
of Nrn AR, temps in the upper 20s are possible.

Skies will remain clear through the period as high pressure slowly
working to the E, afternoon highs slowly moderate into the 50s on
Thursday and the 50s to near 60 on Friday. Winds will be out of
the E/NE at around 5 to 10 mph during the afternoons. Quiet
weather will continue into the long term period.

LONG TERM...Friday Night Through Wednesday

The long term PD looks to begin w/ split H500 flow over the CONUS,
w/ a perturbed Polar Jet extending across the Nrn US. A detached
shortwave trof is progged over the S/ERn US on Friday, underneath
modest Great Lakes upper ridging. At the sfc, the S/Wrn nose of
remaining high pressure wl be seen over N/Ern AR, and Sat morning,
wl provide the last shot of sub-40F air through at least the
remainder of the long term fcst. Additionally, Sat morning may be
the last occurrence (for the time being) of frost for portions of
the FA, however freezes and frosts are lkly to have already occurred
at most locations the previous few mornings leading up to Sat.

Over the course of the weekend, a pattern change is anticipated as
sfc high pressure shifts E/wrd over the Appalachians, allowing for
Srly sfc winds to return to the region. Aloft, the aforementioned
detached shortwave wl make its departure as ridging over the
Cntrl/Srn US amplifies. Under significant subsidence, have left out
any mention of PoPs through the weekend and into early next week, w/
daily temp trends steadily increasing to near normal/slightly above
normal values.

Mon through Tues, H500 ridging is progged to weaken over the region
as a very perturbed flow pattern unfolds across the CONUS. Current
guidance suggests multiple waves progressing across the region, and
Chc PoPs entering the FA again by Wed morning. Of most interest, is
a deepening shortwave progged to move across the Srn Plains late Wed
night, and eject over the Natural State overnight Wed/early Thurs
morning. Given the strong tropospheric dynamics associated w/ this
system, and modest seasonal moisture content (fcst Td's in the mid-
50s), widespread rain and possibly some thunderstorms are
anticipated along a strong cold frnt, progged to move across the
state during the aforementioned time PD. Long range guidance is in
decent agreement as far as trends and evolution of features, however
this system is on the far end of the long term PD, and some fcst
changes (timing/intensity) should be expected as it progresses
towards the short term timeframe.
&&

.LZK Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
Freeze Warning until 9 AM CDT this morning FOR Baxter-Boone-
Cleburne-Fulton-Independence-Izard-Jackson-Johnson-Lawrence-
Logan-Marion-Montgomery-Newton-Polk-Pope-Randolph-Scott-Searcy-
Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

Freeze Warning from 1 AM to 9 AM CDT Friday FOR Baxter-Boone-
Cleburne-Fulton-Independence-Izard-Jackson-Johnson-Lawrence-
Logan-Marion-Montgomery-Newton-Polk-Pope-Randolph-Scott-Searcy-
Sharp-Stone-Van Buren-White-Woodruff-Yell.

Frost Advisory until 9 AM CDT this morning FOR Arkansas-Conway-
Faulkner-Garland-Grant-Hot Spring-Jefferson-Lonoke-Monroe-Perry-
Prairie-Pulaski-Saline.

Freeze Watch from late tonight through Friday morning FOR
Arkansas-Clark-Cleveland-Conway-Dallas-Faulkner-Garland-Grant-
Hot Spring-Jefferson-Lincoln-Lonoke-Monroe-Perry-Pike-Prairie-
Pulaski-Saline.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
205 PM CDT Wed Nov 3 2021

ARZ003>008-012>017-021>025-030>034-037>047-052>057-062>069-041000-
Boone-Marion-Baxter-Fulton-Sharp-Randolph-Newton-Searcy-Stone-
Izard-Independence-Lawrence-Johnson-Pope-Van Buren-Cleburne-
Jackson-Logan-Conway-Faulkner-White-Woodruff-Scott-Yell-Perry-
Polk-Montgomery-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Pike-
Clark-Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-
Lincoln-Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
205 PM CDT Wed Nov 3 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for a Large Part of Arkansas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight

Clearing skies tonight will lead to the first freeze of the
season over the north and west portions of Arkansas. Patchy frost
will be possible over portions of central Arkansas. Plants that are
susceptible to frost/freeze damage should be brought indoors or
covered up.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Early morning lows at, near, or below the freezing mark will
continue through at least Friday morning for portions of northern
and central Arkansas, as well as in the higher terrain. Freezes are
likely and should be anticipated through the end of the week, and
precautions to protect temperature sensitive/outdoor interests
should be taken accordingly.

Over the weekend, temperatures will begin to moderate, and above
freezing morning low temperatures are expected to resume, with dry
weather ensuing, and no hazardous weather anticipated.
.Spotter Information Statement...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

&&

Visit NWS Little Rock on the web. Go to http://weather.gov/lzk.

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