Alert archive / West Virginia / Wind Chill Advisories in 2021
Wind Chill Advisory 2, NWS Baltimore/Washington
NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this wind chill advisory at Feb 16, 2021, 2:50 PM EST for Grant County, Pendleton County, West Virginia; Highland County, Virginia. It took effect at Feb 16, 2021, 7:00 PM EST. It was in force for 10 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 16, 2021, 2:50 PM EST (19:50 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 16, 2021, 7:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 17, 2021, 5:17 AM EST
- In force
- 10 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Baltimore/Washington
Counties Highland County, VA, Grant County, WV, Pendleton County, WV
The radar
The Sterling radar (KLWX), 166 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Roanoke, VA (KRNK), launched 12:00Z, 7.8 hours before the alert went out and 169 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 567 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 113 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -52 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 114 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
927 WWUS41 KLWX 161950 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 WVZ501-505-170400- /O.NEW.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.210217T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Western Grant-Western Pendleton- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, wind chills around -10 to -15, especially at elevations above 3000 feet. For the Winter Storm Watch, total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Western Grant and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation from freezing rain is possible late Thursday and Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ503-170400- /O.NEW.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.210217T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.EXT.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Western Highland- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, wind chills around -10 to -15, especially at elevations above 3000 feet. For the Winter Storm Watch, total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Western Highland County. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation from freezing rain is possible late Thursday and Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ001-501-502-VAZ027-028-WVZ050-055-502>504-506-170400- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation from freezing rain is possible late Thursday and Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ026-029>031-038>040-050-051-055>057-501-502-507-170400- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George-Northern Fauquier- Southern Fauquier-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and western Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ017-018-170400- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ St. Marys-Calvert- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total ice accumulations of a quarter of an inch or greater possible. * WHERE...St. Marys and Calvert Counties. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Accumulating snow is possible late Wednesday Night into Thursday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ052>054-506- 170400- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...The Washington, Baltimore, and Fredericksburg Metropolitan areas. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ003-004-VAZ505-WVZ051>053-170400- /O.EXB.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Western Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern Virginia and the panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Ice accumulation from freezing rain is possible late Thursday and Thursday night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ025-036-037-504-508-170400- /O.EXT.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Eastern Highland- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Central Virginia Blue Ridge, and Nelson, Augusta, Albemarle and Eastern Highland Counties. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
3 follow-up statements
799 WWUS41 KLWX 170345 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 WVZ501-505-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Western Grant-Western Pendleton- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, wind chills around 10 -to -15, especially at elevations above 3000 feet. For the Winter Storm Watch, total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Western Grant and Western Pendleton Counties. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ503-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Western Highland- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST WEDNESDAY... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, wind chills around 10 -to -15, especially at elevations above 3000 feet. For the Winter Storm Watch, total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Western Highland County. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST Wednesday. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ055>057-171200- /O.EXT.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Stafford-Spotsylvania-King George- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and western Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ001-501-502-VAZ027-028-WVZ050-055-502>504-506-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Eastern Pendleton- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ026-029>031-038>040-050-051-501-502-507-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Warren-Clarke-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange- Culpeper-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and western Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ025-036-037-504-508-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Eastern Highland- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Central Virginia Blue Ridge, and Nelson, Augusta, Albemarle and Eastern Highland Counties. * WHEN...From Wednesday evening through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ017-018-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ St. Marys-Calvert- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total ice accumulations of a quarter of an inch or greater possible. * WHERE...St. Marys and Calvert Counties. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ052>054-506- 171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Eastern Loudoun- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...The Washington, Baltimore, and Fredericksburg Metropolitan areas. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ003-004-VAZ505-WVZ051>053-171200- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Western Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 1045 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern Virginia and the panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From late Wednesday night through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
383 WWUS41 KLWX 170824 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 WVZ505-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ Western Pendleton- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 6 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 15 below zero. * WHERE...Western Pendleton County. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ503-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ Western Highland- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...For the Winter Storm Warning, heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 10 below zero. * WHERE...Western Highland County. * WHEN...For the Winter Storm Warning, from 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Friday. For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ WVZ506-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Eastern Pendleton- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Eastern Pendleton County. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ026-029-038>040-050-051-507-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central, northern, northwest and western Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ025-036-037-504-508-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Eastern Highland- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 3 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of two tenths to four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Augusta, Nelson, Albemarle and Eastern Highland Counties, and Central Virginia Blue Ridge. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ056-171630- /O.UPG.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ /O.NEW.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Spotsylvania- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of three tenths to four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Spotsylvania County. * WHEN...From 3 AM Thursday to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ WVZ501-171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Western Grant- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS MORNING... ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...For the Wind Chill Advisory, very cold wind chills. Wind chills as low as 10 below zero. For the Winter Storm Watch, heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 6 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Western Grant County. * WHEN...For the Wind Chill Advisory, until 7 AM EST this morning. For the Winter Storm Watch, from late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. The cold wind chills could result in hypothermia if precautions are not taken. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Use caution while traveling outside. Wear appropriate clothing, a hat, and gloves. Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ001-501-502-VAZ027-028-WVZ050-055-502>504-171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ030-031-501-502-171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Warren-Clarke-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to one quarter of an inch possible. * WHERE...Northern Fauquier, Clarke, Southern Fauquier and Warren Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ017-018-171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ St. Marys-Calvert- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of up to two inches and ice accumulations of around three tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...St. Marys and Calvert Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ052>055-057-506- 171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Eastern Loudoun- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 2 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch possible. * WHERE...The District of Columbia, portions of central, north central, northeast, northern and southern Maryland and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are possible due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ003-004-VAZ505-WVZ051>053-171630- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Western Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 324 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning and evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
340 WWUS41 KLWX 171017 WSWLWX URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 WVZ505-171830- /O.CAN.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Western Pendleton- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 6 to 9 inches and ice accumulations of up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Western Pendleton County. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ503-171830- /O.CAN.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Western Highland- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Western Highland County. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ WVZ501-171830- /O.CAN.KLWX.WC.Y.0002.000000T0000Z-210217T1200Z/ /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Western Grant- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... ...WIND CHILL ADVISORY IS CANCELLED... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 6 or more inches possible. * WHERE...Western Grant County. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ WVZ506-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Eastern Pendleton- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 5 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Eastern Pendleton County. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ026-029-038>040-050-051-507-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Rockingham-Page-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 4 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of one tenth to three tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of central and northern Virginia. * WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ025-036-037-504-508-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0200Z-210219T0600Z/ Augusta-Nelson-Albemarle-Eastern Highland- Central Virginia Blue Ridge- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 9 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 3 to 8 inches and ice accumulations of two tenths to four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Central Virginia Blue Ridge, and Nelson, Augusta, Albemarle and Eastern Highland Counties. * WHEN...From 9 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ VAZ056-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.W.0007.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Spotsylvania- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM THURSDAY TO 6 AM EST FRIDAY... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 1 to 3 inches and ice accumulations of three tenths to four tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Spotsylvania County. * WHEN...From 3 AM Thursday to 6 AM EST Friday. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. When venturing outside, watch your first few steps taken on steps, sidewalks, and driveways, which could be icy and slippery, increasing your risk of a fall and injury. && $$ MDZ001-501-502-VAZ027-028-WVZ050-055-502>504-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Hampshire-Hardy-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches possible. * WHERE...Portions of western Maryland, northwest Virginia and eastern West Virginia. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ VAZ030-031-501-502-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0500Z-210219T1100Z/ Warren-Clarke-Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...Northern Fauquier, Clarke, Southern Fauquier and Warren Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ017-018-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ St. Marys-Calvert- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total ice accumulations of a quarter of an inch or greater possible. * WHERE...St. Marys and Calvert Counties. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ DCZ001-MDZ005-006-008-011-013-014-016-503>508-VAZ052>055-057-506- 171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ District of Columbia-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-Cecil- Southern Baltimore-Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles- Northwest Montgomery-Central and Southeast Montgomery- Northwest Howard-Central and Southeast Howard-Northwest Harford- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-King George- Eastern Loudoun- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches and total ice accumulations of a quarter inch or more are possible. * WHERE...The Washington, Baltimore, and Fredericksburg Metropolitan areas. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Power outages and tree damage are likely due to the ice. Travel could be nearly impossible. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MDZ003-004-VAZ505-WVZ051>053-171830- /O.CON.KLWX.WS.A.0008.210218T0800Z-210219T1100Z/ Washington-Frederick MD-Western Loudoun-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- 517 AM EST Wed Feb 17 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT... * WHAT...Total snow accumulations of 5 or more inches are possible. * WHERE...Portions of north central Maryland, northern Virginia and panhandle West Virginia. * WHEN...From late tonight through late Thursday night. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this wind chill advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this wind chill advisory went out at Feb 16, 2:50 PM EST, 0 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 16, 2:50 PM EST, 0 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
250 PM EST Tue Feb 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move off to our east late this afternoon and
cold high pressure will build overhead for Wednesday. Low
pressure will afternoon before moving offshore tonight. Low
pressure will approach the area from the southwest Wednesday
night and Thursday before moving off to our northeast Thursday
night into Friday. High pressure will return for the weekend.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
A cold front is located west of Interstate 95 in northern MD and
it extends southwest toward the central VA Blue Ridge Mountains.
This boundary will pass through the rest of the area by late
this afternoon, and a gusty west to northwest wind is expected
behind the boundary. There should be enough drying for some
breaks of sunshine late this afternoon over the DC and Baltimore
Metro areas where low clouds have hung around. Elsewhere, some
sunshine will continue with the exception being along/west of
the Allegheny Front where a overcast stratocu deck will continue
along with the likelihood for a few snow showers.
Milder conditions this afternoon will quickly give way to
blustery and cold conditions this evening. Blustery and cold
conditions will continue tonight ahead of building high
pressure. A Wind Chill Advisory is in effect for the Allegheny
Front along western Grant, western Pendleton, and western
Highland Counties for wind chills around ten degrees below zero.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
Canadian high pressure will bring dry and cold conditions
Wednesday. Low pressure will develop over the southeastern CONUS
Wednesday night as a jetmax and potent upper-level trough
interact with a baroclinic zone. The low will track up the
Appalachians Thursday, but it will also transfer its energy to a
coastal low along the Mid-Atlantic coast during this time. The
coastal low will continue to move up the Mid-Atlantic Coast
Thursday night while the upper-level trough builds toward our
area.
Southern stream moisture will get drawn into this system, and
with Canadian high pressure to the north, that provides a good
setup for wintry precipitation. There is an anomalous upper-
level ridge over the southeastern CONUS, so that does favor a
setup for a wintry mix for most areas vs. all snow.
Precipitation is most likely to overspread the area from
southwest to northeast late Wednesday night into early Thursday
morning. A potent jetmax along with southern stream moisture
suggests that moderate to heavy precipitation is possible
shortly after the onset. This can be seen in most guidance in
the form of a strong jetmax at the mid-levels that has origin
from the Gulf of Mexico. There is still some uncertainty as to
exactly where this band of heavier precipitation sets up.
Temperature profiles do appear cold enough for snow at the
onset for most areas, therefore, significant snowfall is
possible before changing over the a wintry mix. The best chance
for the heavier snow appears to be across the northwestern half
of the CWA (where colder temps aloft will hold on longer, and
where most of the guidance has the original band of heavier snow
setting up). A dry slot may cause precipitation rates to
decrease some Thursday afternoon, but more overrunning Thursday
night will cause more wintry precipitation to develop. With
warmer air aloft, sleet and freezing rain will become more
likely during this time (although snow will hold for a while in
the Allegheny Mountains and Potomac Highlands). Significant ice
accumulation from freezing rain is possible, especially near and
east of Interstate 95 into central Virginia. A Winter Storm
Watch is in effect for the entire CWA for these reasons.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Precipitation associated with the winter storm should be departing
during the first half of Friday. The rest of the day should dry out
for much of the area. The one exception will be along/west of the
Allegheny Front, where upslope snow showers will likely continue
through Saturday. Elsewhere though, dry weather will persists
Saturday and Sunday, with any upslope activity ending by
Saturday evening as strong high pressure moves directly
overhead. Temperatures on Friday will be in the low 40s (mid to
upper 20s in the higher elevations). Much cooler Saturday and
Sunday, with highs int the low to mid 30s, with Saturday being
the colder of the 2 days. Also on Saturday, gusty winds are
expected as well, making it feel even colder.
By Sunday night into Monday, strong low pressure slides through the
Great Lakes, dragging a cold front through the area on Monday.
Marginally cold temperatures may lead to some wintry precipitation
mixing with rain for portions of the region.
&&
.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Cigs will continue to improve late this afternoon as drier air
works in. Gusty northwest winds are expected during this time,
and the gusty winds will continue through this evening with
gusts around 25 to 30 knots most likely. A few gusts around 35
knots cannot be ruled out.
High pressure will bring VFR conditions tonight through
Wednesday. Low pressure will bring wintry precipitation
overnight Wednesday through Thursday night. Significant snow
and/or ice accumulation is possible.
SubVFR conditions may linger early Friday in the wake of the winter
storm. However, that should clear out rather quickly Friday, with
VFR returning through Saturday. Gusty NW winds of 20 to 25 knots
expected Saturday.
&&
.MARINE...
A cold front will pass through the waters late this afternoon.
Northwest winds behind the boundary will gust around 25 to 30
knots, so an SCA is in effect. A few gusts around 35 knots are
possible late this afternoon and evening. Winds will gradually
diminish overnight into Wednesday, but an SCA remains in effect
into Wednesday morning. High pressure will build overhead for
later Wednesday. Low pressure will approach Wednesday night and
Thursday before passing through Thursday night. An SCA may be
needed for portions of the waters Thursday and Thursday night.
High pressure building in behind departing low pressure Friday and
Saturday will likely result in widespread Small Craft Advisory
conditions, with northwesterly gusts of 20-30 knots.
Winds relax Sunday as high pressure moves overhead.
&&
.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Water levels may approach minor flood thresholds with the high
tide cycle this evening at Straits Point, but confidence is too
low for a headline since a strong offshore flow will be
developing during this time.
&&
.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
Thursday night for DCZ001.
MD...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
Thursday night for MDZ001-003>006-008-011-013-014-016>018-
501>508.
VA...Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
Thursday night for VAZ025-036-037-503-504-508.
Wind Chill Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
Wednesday for VAZ503.
Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
Thursday night for VAZ026>031-038>040-050>057-501-502-
505>507.
WV...Wind Chill Advisory from 7 PM this evening to 7 AM EST
Wednesday for WVZ501-505.
Winter Storm Watch from late Wednesday night through late
Thursday night for WVZ050>053-055-501>506.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 11 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ530>543.
&&
SYNOPSIS...BJL
NEAR TERM...BJL/BKF
SHORT TERM...BJL
LONG TERM...CJL
AVIATION...BJL/CJL
MARINE...BJL/CJL
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...BJLHazardous weather outlook, Feb 16, 6:23 AM EST, 8 hours 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC 623 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508- VAZ052>057-171130- Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD- Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD- Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD- Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA- Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD- Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD- Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA- Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor- Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay- Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River- Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD- Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore- Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert- Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard- Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax- Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania- King George- 623 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday There is an enhanced winter storm threat late Wednesday night into Thursday. There is increased potential of more significant travel impacts and closures. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to report winter weather via standard operating procedures. MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508- WVZ050>053-055-171130- Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore- Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta- Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson- Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper- Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun- Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge- Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson- Hardy- 623 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western Maryland. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for central and Virginia starting late Wednesday night through Thursday night. Further north, there is an enhanced winter storm threat Thursday into Friday morning. There is increased potential of more significant travel impacts and closures. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to report winter weather via standard operating procedures. MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-171130- Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany- Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Grant-Eastern Grant- Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton- Eastern Pendleton- 623 AM EST Tue Feb 16 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland County Virginia. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday A Winter Storm Watch is in effect for western Virginia starting late Wednesday night through Thursday night. Further north, there is an enhanced winter storm threat Thursday into Friday morning. There is increased potential of more significant travel impacts and closures. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotters are asked to report winter weather via standard operating procedures.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Feb 16, 10:41 AM EST, 4 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1041 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1038 AM FREEZING RAIN 3 NW BARTON 39.56N 79.06W
02/16/2021 M0.25 INCH GARRETT MD TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX2102633
CPBLocal storm report, Feb 16, 10:45 AM EST, 4 hours 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
1045 AM EST TUE FEB 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
1044 AM FREEZING RAIN 2 NW FROSTBURG 39.67N 78.96W
02/16/2021 M0.25 INCH ALLEGANY MD TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX2102634
CPBLocal storm report, Feb 16, 2:38 PM EST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
238 PM EST TUE FEB 16 2021
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0700 AM FREEZING RAIN 3 N THURMONT 39.67N 77.40W
02/16/2021 M0.15 INCH FREDERICK MD NWS EMPLOYEE
0800 AM FREEZING RAIN 2 SSE SABILLASVILLE 39.68N 77.44W
02/16/2021 M0.20 INCH FREDERICK MD TRAINED SPOTTER
&&
EVENT NUMBER LWX2102635
EVENT NUMBER LWX2102636
LFRThe office that day
Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 16, 4:56 AM EST | Winter Storm Watch | LWX | Berkeley, Grant, Hampshire, Hardy, Jefferson, Mineral and 2 more | 29 hr |
| Feb 16, 12:42 AM EST | Areal Flood Warning | LWX | Fairfax, City of Fairfax | 2 hr |
Nearby
Wind Chill Advisories in West Virginia, 2021Wind Chill Advisories in Virginia, 2021Every wind chill advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.