Alert archive / West Virginia / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 3, NWS Baltimore/Washington

February 28, 2021Hampshire County, Hardy County, West Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this river flood warning at Feb 28, 2021, 10:55 AM EST for Hampshire County, Hardy County, West Virginia. It took effect at Mar 1, 2021, 4:00 AM EST. It was in force for 21 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Feb 28, 2021, 10:55 AM EST (15:55 UTC)
In effect from
Mar 1, 2021, 4:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 2, 2021, 12:52 AM EST
In force
21 hr
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Hampshire County, WV, Hardy County, WV

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 119 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 15:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point South Branch Potomac River near Springfield (SPRW2). The gauge peaked at 15.33 ft at Mar 1, 2021, 2:00 PM EST.

actionminormoderate510152002/2803/0103/0203/03
Action stage
12 ft
Minor stage
15 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
25 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 01608500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

635 
WGUS41 KLWX 281555
FLWLWX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1055 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...The National Weather Service in Baltimore MD/Washington DC has 
issued a Flood Warning for the following rivers in West Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

  Opequon Creek near Martinsburg affecting Jefferson and Berkeley 
  Counties.

  Cacapon River near Great Cacapon affecting Morgan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


WVC065-010400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FL.W.0002.210301T0300Z-210302T1500Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.210301T1000Z.210301T1800Z.210302T0224Z.NO/
1055 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Cacapon River near Great Cacapon.
* From this evening to Tuesday morning.
* At 9:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 4.7 feet, or 4.3 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 9.4 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Rock Ford Road begins to flood in multiple 
  locations, including flowing completely over the low water bridge. 
  Constant Run Road and a small portion of Kilgore Road also begin 
  to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.4 
  feet on 10/19/1927.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Sun   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7PM   1AM   7AM   Stg Time Date 

Cacapon River
Great Cacapon  9.0   4.7  Sun 9 am  6.3   8.2   9.3   9.4 1pm Mon   


&&

LAT...LON 3949 7842 3952 7840 3956 7836 3962 7832
      3960 7825 3953 7830 3946 7834

$$

WVC003-037-010400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FL.W.0001.210301T0300Z-210302T0900Z/
/MBGW2.1.ER.210301T0700Z.210301T1200Z.210302T0215Z.NO/
1055 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Opequon Creek near Martinsburg.
* From this evening to late Monday night.
* At 10:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 4.0 feet, or 6.0 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 10.9 feet tomorrow morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Water begins to cover backyards of homes on 
  Bowers Road (County Road 1/1). Douglas Grove Road (County Road 
  9/16) is flooded and impassible. Water also approaches Golf Course 
  Road (County Road 36) and Grapevine Road (County Road 9/14).
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9 
  feet on 03/05/1965.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Sun   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7PM   1AM   7AM   Stg Time Date 

Opequon Creek
Martinsburg  10.0  MSG  unknown   7.1   9.5   10.9  10.9 7am Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3929 7807 3932 7804 3943 7799 3955 7792
      3951 7786 3938 7792 3924 7800

$$

WVC027-031-010400-
/O.NEW.KLWX.FL.W.0003.210301T0900Z-210302T1800Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1500Z.210302T0000Z.210302T0828Z.NO/
1055 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Sterling Virginia has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* From late tonight to Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM EST Sunday the stage was 5.5 feet, or 9.5 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 16.1 feet tomorrow evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Tuesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water approaches camphouses downstream from 
  the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.1 
  feet on 02/26/1936.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Sun   Sun   Mon     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  4PM   10PM   4AM  Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  5.5  Sun 9 am  MSG   MSG   MSG   16.1 7pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

CJL
6 follow-up statements
389 
WGUS81 KLWX 010237
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
937 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


WVC027-031-011445-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0003.210301T1040Z-210302T1040Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1040Z.210301T1800Z.210302T0440Z.NO/
937 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* From late tonight to late Monday night.
* At 8:30 PM EST Sunday the stage was 10.3 feet, or 4.7 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 16.3 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water approaches camphouses downstream from 
  the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.3 
  feet on 10/23/1929.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  10.3 Sun 8 pm  12.9  15.6  16.3  16.3 1pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

BJL
481 
WGUS81 KLWX 010822
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
322 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...Maryland...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

  Potomac River at Shepherdstown affecting Jefferson, Washington 
  and Berkeley Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...

  Opequon Creek near Martinsburg affecting Jefferson and Berkeley 
  Counties.

  Cacapon River near Great Cacapon affecting Morgan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


WVC003-037-012030-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0001.210301T0822Z-210301T2300Z/
/MBGW2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210301T1200Z.210301T1700Z.NO/
322 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Opequon Creek near Martinsburg.
* From early this morning to this evening.
* There is no current observed data.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  afternoon and continue falling to 3.8 feet early Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Floodwaters begin to cover Douglas Grove 
  Road (County Road 9/16) east of Martinsburg. A portion of Bowers 
  Road is also flooded. Low lying areas near the creek begin to 
  flood. Water also begins to cover the stream access point at the 
  Van Metre Ford Pedestrian Bridge.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.5 
  feet on 02/23/2003.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7AM   1PM   7PM   Stg Time Date 

Opequon Creek
Martinsburg  10.0  MSG  unknown   10.5  9.9   9.1    MSG  unknown 


&&

LAT...LON 3929 7807 3932 7804 3943 7799 3955 7792
      3951 7786 3938 7792 3924 7800

$$

WVC027-031-012030-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0003.210301T1029Z-210302T1124Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1029Z.210301T1800Z.210302T0524Z.NO/
322 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 2:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 13.2 feet, or 1.8 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning to a crest of 16.5 feet this afternoon. It will then 
  fall below flood stage just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water approaches camphouses downstream from 
  the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.6 
  feet on 03/21/1982.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7AM   1PM   7PM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  13.2 Mon 2 am  15.9  16.5  15.9  16.5 1pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

WVC065-012030-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0002.210301T1200Z-210302T0224Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.210301T1200Z.210301T1800Z.210301T2024Z.NO/
322 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cacapon River near Great Cacapon.
* From this morning to this evening.
* At 2:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 8.0 feet, or 1.0 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  morning to a crest of 9.2 feet this afternoon. It will then fall 
  below flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Rock Ford Road begins to flood in multiple 
  locations, including flowing completely over the low water bridge. 
  Constant Run Road and a small portion of Kilgore Road also begin 
  to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.2 
  feet on 08/17/1942.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7AM   1PM   7PM   Stg Time Date 

Cacapon River
Great Cacapon  9.0   8.0  Mon 2 am  9.0   9.2   8.7   9.2 1pm Mon   


&&

LAT...LON 3949 7842 3952 7840 3956 7836 3962 7832
      3960 7825 3953 7830 3946 7834

$$

MDC043-WVC003-037-012030-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0006.210301T2232Z-210303T1137Z/
/SHEW2.1.ER.210301T2232Z.210302T1200Z.210303T0537Z.NO/
322 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Shepherdstown.
* From this afternoon to Wednesday morning.
* At 2:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 8.5 feet, or 6.5 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 18.9 feet tomorrow morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water covers the pedestrian bridge adjacent 
  to the Shepherdstown boat ramp. Significant portions of the C&O 
  Canal towpath are flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 19.0 
  feet on 04/02/1993.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Mon     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7AM   1PM   7PM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Shepherdstown  15.0  8.5  Mon 2 am  9.8   12.5  15.8  18.9 7am Tue  


&&

LAT...LON 3941 7779 3944 7782 3947 7782 3952 7788
      3952 7786 3954 7784 3953 7780 3950 7775
      3945 7775 3942 7771

$$

BJL
507 
WGUS81 KLWX 011115
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
615 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


WVC027-031-012315-
/O.CON.KLWX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210302T1124Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1112Z.210301T1800Z.210302T0524Z.NO/
615 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 5:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 14.2 feet, or 0.8 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.5 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water approaches camphouses downstream from 
  the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 16.6 
  feet on 03/21/1982.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Tue     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1PM   7PM   1AM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  14.2 Mon 5 am  16.5  15.9  14.9  16.5 1pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

JMG
751 
WGUS81 KLWX 011515
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1015 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...Maryland...Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

  Potomac River at Shepherdstown affecting Jefferson, Washington 
  and Berkeley Counties.

  Potomac River at Point of Rocks affecting Loudoun and Frederick 
  Counties.

  Cacapon River near Great Cacapon affecting Morgan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


WVC027-031-020315-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210302T1220Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1112Z.210302T0000Z.210302T0620Z.NO/
1015 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 9:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 15.0 feet, or 0.0 feet above 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Monday was 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.7 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage just after 
  midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Milleson Mill Road (County Route 28/5) and 
  Clarence Taylor Road (Route 3/7) begin to flood. Water covers a 
  significant portion of meadowlands near the river. The boat launch 
  ramp on the upstream right abutment of the bridge also floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.7 
  feet on 03/27/1978.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Mon   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7PM   1AM   7AM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  15.0 Mon 9 am  15.5  15.1  13.3  15.7 7pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

WVC065-020315-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210302T2000Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.210301T0916Z.210302T0000Z.210302T1400Z.NO/
1015 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cacapon River near Great Cacapon.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 9:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 10.5 feet, or 1.5 feet above 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM EST Monday was 10.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 10.9 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 11.0 feet, Kilgore Road is flooded in multiple spots.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 10.9 
  feet on 04/28/1973.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Mon   Mon   Tue     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  3PM   9PM   3AM   Stg Time Date 

Cacapon River
Great Cacapon  9.0   10.5 Mon 9 am  MSG   MSG   MSG   10.9 7pm Mon  


&&

LAT...LON 3949 7842 3952 7840 3956 7836 3962 7832
      3960 7825 3953 7830 3946 7834

$$

MDC043-WVC003-037-020315-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0006.210301T2300Z-210303T1200Z/
/SHEW2.1.ER.210301T2300Z.210302T1200Z.210303T0600Z.NO/
1015 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Shepherdstown.
* From this evening to Wednesday morning.
* At 9:30 AM EST Monday the stage was 11.6 feet, or 3.4 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening to a crest of 17.8 feet tomorrow morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water goes over the banks of the Potomac 
  near the mouth of the Opequon River.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8 
  feet on 03/12/1952.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Mon   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7PM   1AM   7AM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Shepherdstown  15.0  11.6 Mon 9 am  15.5  17.2  17.8  17.8 7am Tue  


&&

LAT...LON 3941 7779 3944 7782 3947 7782 3952 7788
      3952 7786 3954 7784 3953 7780 3950 7775
      3945 7775 3942 7771

$$

MDC021-VAC107-020315-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.210302T0900Z-210303T1115Z/
/PORM2.1.ER.210302T0900Z.210302T1800Z.210303T0515Z.NO/
1015 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Point of Rocks.
* From late tonight to Wednesday morning.
* At 9:45 AM EST Monday the stage was 9.0 feet, or 7.0 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 17.3 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water enters the comfort station at the 
  Brunswick boat ramp parking area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3 
  feet on 01/25/1979.

&&

River Name      Fld      Observed    Mon   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location        Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7PM   1AM   7AM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Point of Rocks  16.0  9.0  Mon 9 am  12.4  15.1  16.8  17.3 1pm Tue  


&&

LAT...LON 3936 7766 3934 7757 3926 7747 3923 7744
      3920 7754 3927 7760 3930 7770

$$

JMG
069 
WGUS81 KLWX 020146
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Maryland...Virginia...

  Potomac River at Edwards Ferry affecting Loudoun and Montgomery 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...Maryland...Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

  Potomac River at Shepherdstown affecting Jefferson, Washington 
  and Berkeley Counties.

  Potomac River at Point of Rocks affecting Loudoun and Frederick 
  Counties.

  Cacapon River near Great Cacapon affecting Morgan County.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Stay tuned to further developments by listening to your local radio, 
television, or NOAA Weather Radio for further information.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/washington or 
www.weather.gov/baltimore.


MDC043-WVC003-037-021400-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0006.000000T0000Z-210303T1000Z/
/SHEW2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.210302T0500Z.210303T0400Z.NO/
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Shepherdstown.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 16.2 feet, or 1.1 feet above 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Monday was 16.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 17.8 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  late tomorrow evening.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.8 
  feet on 03/12/1952.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Shepherdstown  15.0  16.2 Mon 7 pm  17.8  17.6  16.7  17.8 12am Tue 


&&

LAT...LON 3941 7779 3944 7782 3947 7782 3952 7788
      3952 7786 3954 7784 3953 7780 3950 7775
      3945 7775 3942 7771

$$

WVC027-031-020715-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210302T0704Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.210301T1112Z.210301T2145Z.210302T0104Z.NO/
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until just after midnight 
tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* Until late tonight.
* At 7:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 15.1 feet, or 0.1 feet above 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Monday was 15.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.6 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Milleson Mill Road (County Route 28/5) and 
  Clarence Taylor Road (Route 3/7) begin to flood. Water covers a 
  significant portion of meadowlands near the river. The boat launch 
  ramp on the upstream right abutment of the bridge also floods.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.1 
  feet on 02/24/2003.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  15.1 Mon 7 pm  14.4  12.9  11.3  15.3 1pm Mon 


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

WVC065-021400-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210302T1400Z/
/GCPW2.1.ER.210301T0916Z.210301T1615Z.210302T0800Z.NO/
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Cacapon River near Great Cacapon.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 7:30 PM EST Monday the stage was 9.7 feet, or 0.7 feet above 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 9.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM EST Monday was 10.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 3.6 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 9.0 feet, Rock Ford Road begins to flood in multiple 
  locations, including flowing completely over the low water bridge. 
  Constant Run Road and a small portion of Kilgore Road also begin 
  to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 9.7 
  feet on 02/02/1951.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

Cacapon River
Great Cacapon  9.0   9.7  Mon 7 pm  9.2   8.3   7.2   10.6 12pm Mon 


&&

LAT...LON 3949 7842 3952 7840 3956 7836 3962 7832
      3960 7825 3953 7830 3946 7834

$$

MDC031-VAC107-021400-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0009.210302T0742Z-210303T1900Z/
/EDFM2.1.ER.210302T0742Z.210302T2300Z.210303T1300Z.UU/
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Edwards Ferry.
* From late tonight to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 7:45 PM EST Monday the stage was 14.1 feet, or 0.9 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 16.6 feet tomorrow evening. 
  It will then fall below flood stage Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Floodwaters begin to enter the store at 
  Whites Ferry.
* Flood History...No available flood history.

&&

River Name     Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location       Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Edwards Ferry  15.0  14.1 Mon 7 pm  14.8  15.5  16.2  16.6 6pm Tue  


&&

LAT...LON 3923 7744 3913 7745 3908 7730 3903 7736
      3905 7745 3911 7755 3920 7754

$$

MDC021-VAC107-021400-
/O.EXT.KLWX.FL.W.0007.210302T0800Z-210303T0843Z/
/PORM2.1.ER.210302T0800Z.210302T1800Z.210303T0243Z.NO/
846 PM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Potomac River at Point of Rocks.
* From late tonight to late Tuesday night.
* At 6:45 PM EST Monday the stage was 12.9 feet, or 3.1 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 17.3 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water enters the comfort station at the 
  Brunswick boat ramp parking area.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 17.3 
  feet on 01/25/1979.

&&

River Name      Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location        Stg   Stg  Day/Time  1AM   7AM   1PM   Stg Time Date 

Potomac River
Point of Rocks  16.0  12.9 Mon 6 pm  15.1  16.5  17.3  17.3 1pm Tue  


&&

LAT...LON 3936 7766 3934 7757 3926 7747 3923 7744
      3920 7754 3927 7760 3930 7770

$$

BKF
421 
WGUS81 KLWX 020552
FLSLWX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1252 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in West 
Virginia...

  South Branch Potomac River near Springfield affecting Hardy and 
  Hampshire Counties.

WVC027-031-020700-
/O.CAN.KLWX.FL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210302T0552Z/
/SPRW2.1.ER.700119T1629Z.700119T1630Z.700119T1630Z.NO/
1252 AM EST Tue Mar 2 2021

...The Flood Warning for the South Branch Potomac River near 
Springfield has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the South Branch Potomac River near Springfield.
* At 12:30 AM EST Tuesday the stage was 14.9 feet, or 0.1 feet below 
  flood stage.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river has crested and water levels will continue to 
  fall. The river level is expected to fall to 5.6 feet by Thursday 
  evening.

&&

River Name   Fld      Observed    Tue   Tue   Tue     Crest       
Location     Stg   Stg  Day/Time  7AM   1PM   7PM   Stg Time Date 

South Branch Potomac River
Springfield  15.0  14.9 Tue 12 am 12.9  11.3  10.1   MSG  unknown 


&&

LAT...LON 3907 7900 3915 7897 3942 7877 3953 7863
      3951 7854 3936 7870 3905 7894

$$

BJL

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Feb 28, 10:41 AM EST, 14 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 28, 10:41 AM EST, 14 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
1041 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Two waves of low pressure will cross the region through Monday.
High pressure will build from the Great Lakes toward the Middle
Atlantic by Tuesday. Low pressure will likely pass to the south
Wednesday, then another area of low pressure may pass to the
south at the end of the week as high pressure builds in from the
north and west.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
Morning update - going forecast generally looks good. No
significant changes, other than adding in patchy fog this
afternoon and tonight given diminished rain, no air mass change,
light winds and warm advection aloft. Could in fact turn out to
be widespread and rather dense, but for now worded as patchy.
Did insert chance of dense fog into the HWO for tonight.

4 AM Discussion...
The GOES-16 mid-level water vapor channel depicts a well
established moisture plume emanating from the subtropical
Pacific. This atmospheric river of sorts is transporting
anomalous moisture northeastward across the Southern Plains,
through the Tennessee Valley and into the Mid- Atlantic. 00Z
upper air profiles from upstream locations show precipitable
values averaging around 1.25 inches. This air mass continues to
be transported by a quasi-unidirectional west- southwesterly
steering profile. Regional radar imagery shows a brunt of this
activity tracking through sections of Kentucky and Ohio. 3-hour
amounts have generally maximized in the quarter to half inch
range. Ultimately, the expectation is for this to be the norm
along the Allegheny Front, locally augmented by upslope
component to the flow. High-resolution models keep a fairly
steady axis of precipitation affecting the area throughout much
of Sunday and into early Monday. The current forecast paints
anywhere from 1.75 to 2.25 inches along the Allegheny Front with
1.00 to 1.25 inches being commonplace north of I-66 and Highway
50.

With the inherent snowpack containing quite a bit of snow-
liquid equivalent (generally up to 2 to 3 inches), an areal
flood risk exists as rain assists in the melting process.
Typically a 50 degree dew point is optimal for rapid melting
which is currently about 5 to 10 degrees short at this point.
However, ample rainfall in conjunction with the melting snow may
lead to instances of flooding, particularly west of I-81. A
Flood Watch is currently in effect until 4 AM Monday across far
western Maryland, east-central West Virginia, and Highland
County in Virginia. Farther east, cannot rule out nuisance
flooding in the typical more vulnerable locations. While
yesterday only brought a tenth to quarter of an inch of
rainfall, the remnant saturated soils could support any such
instance of flooding. Overall, the chances for rainfall across
the region will wind down by early Monday afternoon as the last
bit of precipitation moves toward the Eastern Shore.

Looking at the temperatures and wind forecast ahead, the
guidance has finally caught on by favoring a more southward
displaced warm front. Continued rain-cooled air coupled by
general easterly flow off the cool marine waters will keep
temperatures in the 40s across much of the region. Some 50s are
possible south of I-66 and perhaps into the Potomac Highlands
given enough breaks in the clouds. Mild conditions continue
overnight and into the first half of Monday. Thereafter, in
response to height falls attached to a sub-504 dm upper low
crossing New England will drive a powerful cold front through on
Monday. The true cold advection and blustery nature of the wind
fields do not come in until the second half of the day. A deep,
well-mixed boundary layer could drive some of the 35 to 45 mph
winds down to the surface at times. This should especially be
the case at higher elevations being located at the level of
these winds. While the air mass is quite dry, some snow shower
streamers coming off the Great Lakes could reach Garrett County
late Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Temperatures will plummet overnight with lows at, or below
freezing in all locations. The Allegheny Highlands could see
lows well into the teens with ample wind gusts still blowing at
night. The current wind chill forecast suggests near 0 readings
overnight with teens to low/mid 20s elsewhere. While
Meteorological Spring commences on Monday, it will hardly feel
that way that night and into Tuesday. Northwesterly flow
persists into Tuesday, albeit in a more weakened state as the
barreling upper low exits New England. Residual cyclonic flow on
the back side will make for a chilly Tuesday but with continued
sunshine. Highs should top out in the low to mid 40s with 30s
in the mountains. A transient surface ridge tracks through
Tuesday night which should further decrease the winds with lows
coming up by around 5 degrees.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Model guidance appears to be reaching a broad consensus for a
wave of low pressure forecast to pass to the south Wednesday,
with a track west to east across the Deep South then offshore of
the Carolinas/Georgia. Although most 00z deterministic guidance
is dry across much of the area Wednesday, any slight deviation
northward would bring some precipitation to the region due to
the closer proximity of the upper wave. There are also still
several ensemble members with measurable precipitation as far
north as Pennsylvania, so we have maintained low PoPs for this
forecast cycle. The timing of precipitation (if it occurs) looks
several hours slower than it did 24 hours ago, minimizing any
wintry precipitation risk.

Guidance has also come into somewhat better agreement with the
evolution of broad troughing over the eastern CONUS late in the
week. Though differences remain, it appears a northern stream
trough/upper low will retrograde out of eastern Newfoundland
toward northern New England. The orientation of the trough in
most guidance keeps a southern stream wave suppressed to our
south with subsequent phasing occurring well offshore. A much
farther westward retrograde of the upper low over northern New
England (or no retrograde at all/an eastward drift instead)
would be required to draw the southern stream wave/associated
precip northward. In other words, the current projected position
of the northern stream upper low appears to be in just the
right spot to suppress the incoming southern stream wave to the
south. This pattern would, however, result in lowering heights
and persistent troughing (and the potential for below normal
temperatures) through much of the upcoming weekend. Spokes of
energy spiraling around the low may offer periods of clouds or
even a few rain or snow showers from time to time, but pinning
down exact timing is exceedingly difficult this far in advance.

&&

.AVIATION /16Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Cigs and vsby have been a bit slower to drop, but expet IFR to
LIFR ceilings and visibility to become widespread shortly and
continue thru tonight. Periods of light to moderate rain
continues throughout the day with light easterly winds.
Generally speaking, LIFR ceilings are more like to persist
during this window than the visibility. Winds shift to west-
northwesterly by daybreak on Monday as a cold front moves
through. Some light rain could linger into Monday morning before
VFR conditions return for the afternoon. This will be
accompanied by blustery winds with gusts possibly up to 35 knots
or so. Winds diminish a bit into the overnight but should
retain some strength. VFR conditions continue into Tuesday with
brisk winds the first half of the day.

Sub-VFR seems to be a low possibility Wed as low pressure
passes to the south. Otherwise, VFR should prevail through Thu.
A broad consensus forecast suggests SW flow around 10 kt Wed
flipping to NW with a few gusts to around 20 kt possible Thu,
though the specifics will depend on the evolution of low
pressure passing to the south and high pressure building in its
wake, with details TBD.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued Small Craft Advisories for waters late tonight and Monday
given southerly channeling late tonight becoming northwesterly
cold advection on Monday. Think winds Monday stay just shy of
gales given warmer air over colder waters, but this will have to
be watched closely as gusts likely get very close to gales in
the afternoon. Gale force winds are likely by late Monday
evening, continuing into the overnight hours. This may continue
into Tuesday morning with residual gusts over 30 knots possible.
Winds should weaken to below 20 knots for the second half of
Tuesday.

A few gusts to around 20 kt are possible out of the SW Wed as
low pressure passes well to the south. Similar gusts are
possible Thu, though confidence is low given model spread.

&&

.LWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
DC...None.
MD...Flood Watch through late tonight for MDZ001-501-502.
VA...Flood Watch through late tonight for VAZ503-504.
WV...Flood Watch through late tonight for WVZ050-055-501>506.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 10 AM to 6 PM EST Monday for
     ANZ530>533-535-536-538>542.
     Small Craft Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 6 PM EST
     Monday for ANZ534-537-543.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DHOF
NEAR TERM...BRO/RCM
SHORT TERM...BRO
LONG TERM...DHOF
AVIATION...BRO/DHOF/RCM
MARINE...BRO/DHOF/RCM
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 28, 9:13 AM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC
913 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

ANZ530>543-DCZ001-MDZ008-011-013-014-016>018-504-506-508-
VAZ052>057-011415-
Chesapeake Bay north of Pooles Island MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Pooles Island to Sandy Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Sandy Point to North Beach MD-
Chesapeake Bay from North Beach to Drum Point MD-
Chesapeake Bay from Drum Point MD to Smith Point VA-
Tidal Potomac from Key Bridge to Indian Head MD-
Tidal Potomac from Indian Head to Cobb Island MD-
Tidal Potomac from Cobb Island MD to Smith Point VA-
Patapsco River including Baltimore Harbor-
Chester River to Queenstown MD-Eastern Bay-
Choptank River to Cambridge MD and the Little Choptank River-
Patuxent River to Broomes Island MD-
Tangier Sound and the inland waters surrounding Bloodsworth
Island-District of Columbia-Cecil-Southern Baltimore-
Prince Georges-Anne Arundel-Charles-St. Marys-Calvert-
Central and Southeast Montgomery-Central and Southeast Howard-
Southeast Harford-Prince William/Manassas/Manassas Park-Fairfax-
Arlington/Falls Church/Alexandria-Stafford-Spotsylvania-
King George-
913 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Maryland portion of the
Chesapeake Bay, Tidal Potomac River, and I-95 corridor through
central Maryland, northern Virginia, and District of Columbia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Areas of dense fog are possible tonight. Dense Fog Advisories may
be required.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

There is the potential for gale-force winds across the area waters
late Monday into early Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ003>006-503-505-507-VAZ025>031-036>040-050-051-501-502-505>508-
WVZ050>053-055-011415-
Washington-Frederick MD-Carroll-Northern Baltimore-
Northwest Montgomery-Northwest Howard-Northwest Harford-Augusta-
Rockingham-Shenandoah-Frederick VA-Page-Warren-Clarke-Nelson-
Albemarle-Greene-Madison-Rappahannock-Orange-Culpeper-
Northern Fauquier-Southern Fauquier-Western Loudoun-
Eastern Loudoun-Northern Virginia Blue Ridge-
Central Virginia Blue Ridge-Hampshire-Morgan-Berkeley-Jefferson-
Hardy-
913 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of eastern West
Virginia, northern and central Virginia, and central and western
Maryland.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

There is an isolated threat for flooding of small streams and
creeks as well as urban areas through tonight. A Flood Watch is
in effect for Hampshire and Hardy Counties in eastern West
Virginia where the threat is highest.

Areas of dense fog are possible tonight. Dense Fog Advisories may
be required.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A few instances of mainstem river flooding are also possible into
early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ001-501-502-VAZ503-504-WVZ501>506-011415-
Garrett-Extreme Western Allegany-Central and Eastern Allegany-
Western Highland-Eastern Highland-Western Grant-Eastern Grant-
Western Mineral-Eastern Mineral-Western Pendleton-
Eastern Pendleton-
913 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Allegheny Front
counties in western Maryland, eastern West Virginia, and Highland
County Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

A Flood Watch is effect for the entire outlook area. Rapid snow
melt resulting from moderate to locally heavy rainfall may lead to
the flooding of small streams and creeks as well as urban areas.

Areas of dense fog are possible tonight. Dense Fog Advisories may
be required.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

A few instances of mainstem river flooding are also possible into
early next week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WatchLWXHampshire, Morgan17 hr
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WatchLWXBerkeley56 hr
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WatchLWXBerkeley, Jefferson21 days
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WatchLWXJefferson21 days
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLWXBerkeley, Jefferson21 hr
Feb 28, 10:55 AM ESTRiver Flood WarningLWXMorgan42 hr
Feb 28, 2:46 PM ESTAreal Flood WarningLWXGrant, Hampshire, Hardy, Mineral29 hr
Feb 28, 3:48 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningLWXMineral5 hr
Feb 28, 5:37 PM ESTRiver Flood WarningLWXBerkeley, Jefferson54 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in West Virginia, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.