Alert archive / Virginia / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 151, NWS Baltimore/Washington

September 16, 20214 counties in Virginia

NWS Baltimore/Washington issued this areal flood warning at Sep 16, 2021, 4:31 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Sep 16, 2021, 4:31 PM EDT (20:31 UTC)
Expired
Sep 16, 2021, 7:50 PM EDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Baltimore/Washington
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

Counties City of Manassas, VA, City of Manassas Park, VA, Fairfax County, VA, Prince William County, VA

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:31 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), launched 12:00Z, 8.5 hours before the alert went out and 20 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 153 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-09-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 43 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
153 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-184 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
830 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
114 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Baltimore/Washington wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at Sep 16, 3:50 PM EDT, 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 16, 3:50 PM EDT, 41 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Sep 16, 4:07 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
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In the hours before

Local storm report, Sep 16, 3:48 PM EDT, 43 minutes before
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      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:18 PM EDT, 13 minutes before
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      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:21 PM EDT, 10 minutes before
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      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
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      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
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        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:24 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
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      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
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        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
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Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:26 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
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<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
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Local storm report, Sep 16, 4:29 PM EDT, 2 minutes before
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<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
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</body>
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The office that day

Everything else NWS Baltimore/Washington issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 15, 9:40 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningLWX95 min
Sep 16, 2:44 PM EDTFlash Flood WatchLWXArlington, Fairfax, Loudoun, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church6 hr
Sep 16, 3:21 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXArlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Fairfax, City of Falls Church6 hr
Sep 16, 3:50 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXArlington, Fairfax, City of Alexandria, City of Falls Church3 hr
Sep 16, 5:31 PM EDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatLWXFairfax, City of Alexandria67 min
Sep 16, 7:47 PM EDTSmall Craft AdvisoryLWX21 hr
Sep 15, 8:24 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXFrederick, Washington2 hr
Sep 15, 9:38 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWXBaltimore, Cecil, Harford52 min
Sep 16, 5:36 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick, Howard, Montgomery6 hr
Sep 16, 6:00 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXBaltimore, City of Baltimore4 hr
Sep 16, 7:07 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningLWXCarroll, Frederick6 hr

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Virginia, 2021Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.