Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Warnings in 2021

Areal Flood Warning 1, NWS Lubbock, TX

May 14, 2021Bailey County, Lamb County, Texas

NWS Lubbock, TX issued this areal flood warning at May 14, 2021, 9:47 PM CDT for Bailey County, Lamb County, Texas. It was in force for 2 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued: May 14, 2021, 9:47 PM CDT (02:47 UTC)
Expired: May 15, 2021, 12:00 AM CDT
In force: 2 hr
Issued by: NWS Lubbock, TX
Area: Storm-based polygon
Flood severity: None

Counties Bailey County, TX, Lamb County, TX

The radar

The Lubbock radar (KLBB), 85 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), launched 00:00Z, 2.8 hours before the alert went out and 153 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-p

Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.

Hodograph

The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.

Mixed-layer CAPE: 981 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN: -97 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL: 1886 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear: 46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity: 97 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity: 400 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter: 0.1
Supercell composite: 5.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Lubbock, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood warning went out at May 14, 6:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 14, 6:54 PM CDT, 2 hours 53 minutes before

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Hazardous weather outlook, May 14, 2:29 PM CDT, 7 hours 18 minutes before

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
229 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021

TXZ021>044-151930-
Parmer-Castro-Swisher-Briscoe-Hall-Childress-Bailey-Lamb-Hale-Floyd-
Motley-Cottle-Cochran-Hockley-Lubbock-Crosby-Dickens-King-Yoakum-
Terry-Lynn-Garza-Kent-Stonewall-
229 PM CDT Fri May 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the South Plains, Rolling
Plains and the far Southern Texas Panhandle.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are expected to develop this
afternoon in eastern New Mexico, then spread across the Texas
Panhandle and northern parts of the Texas South Plains and Rolling
Plains this evening. Locally strong wind gusts up to 65 mph will be
possible from the strongest thunderstorms along with a risk for hail
near the size of quarters. Storms will also be capable of brief heavy
rainfall.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms are expected Saturday afternoon
and evening. Some of these storms will be severe and produce heavy
rainfall. Additional rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms will
be possible from Sunday into much of next week, with significant
severe weather possible Monday afternoon in the northeastern Rolling
Plains. Tuesday currently appears as a particularly active day for
severe thunderstorm and flash flooding chances. Heavy rainfall and a
risk of flooding will also accompany the more intense thunderstorm
activity over the coming week.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
severe weather to the NWS while following local, state, and CDC
guidelines.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 14, 8:27 PM CDT, 1 hour 20 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 14, 8:57 PM CDT, 50 minutes before

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Local storm report, May 14, 9:04 PM CDT, 43 minutes before

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Special weather statement, May 14, 9:27 PM CDT, 20 minutes before

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The office that day

Everything else NWS Lubbock, TX issued on the same UTC day.

Issued	Product	Office	Counties	Lasted
May 14, 7:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Lamb	65 min
May 14, 8:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Lamb	33 min
May 14, 8:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Lamb	33 min
May 14, 9:27 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Lamb	33 min
May 14, 9:34 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LUB	Bailey, Lamb	13 min
May 14, 9:57 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Lamb	33 min
May 14, 11:05 PM CDT	Special Weather Statement	LUB	Bailey	25 min
May 15, 4:30 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Cochran, Hockley, Lamb	60 min
May 15, 4:59 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LUB	Cochran, Hockley	115 min
May 15, 5:18 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Lamb	39 min
May 15, 5:22 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Cochran, Hockley	53 min
May 15, 6:25 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Bailey, Cochran, Hockley	65 min
May 15, 6:49 PM CDT	Severe Thunderstorm Warning	LUB	Terry, Yoakum	56 min
May 15, 6:51 PM CDT	Areal Flood Advisory	LUB	Cochran	50 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021 Every areal flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.