Alert archive / Louisiana / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 10, NWS New Orleans, LA

June 17, 202115 parishes in Louisiana; 5 counties in Mississippi

NWS New Orleans, LA issued this flash flood watch at Jun 17, 2021, 1:36 PM CDT for 15 parishes in Louisiana; 5 counties in Mississippi. It took effect at Jun 18, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 24 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 17, 2021, 1:36 PM CDT (18:36 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 18, 2021, 1:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 19, 2021, 12:37 PM CDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS New Orleans, LA
Flood severity
None

Counties Assumption Parish, LA, East Baton Rouge Parish, LA, East Feliciana Parish, LA, Iberville Parish, LA, Orleans Parish, LA, Pointe Coupee Parish, LA, Saint Bernard Parish, LA, Saint Helena Parish, LA, Saint James Parish, LA, Saint John the Baptist Parish, LA, Saint Tammany Parish, LA, Tangipahoa Parish, LA, Washington Parish, LA, West Baton Rouge Parish, LA, West Feliciana Parish, LA, Amite County, MS, Pearl River County, MS, Pike County, MS, Walthall County, MS, Wilkinson County, MS

The nearest sounding before it

Slidell Radar S, LA (KSIL), launched 12:00Z, 6.6 hours before the alert went out and 100 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Slidell Radar S, LA at 12:00Z on 2021-06-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 6 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1653 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
6 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
15 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

768 
WGUS64 KLIX 171836
FFALIX

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
136 PM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021

LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-180245-
/O.NEW.KLIX.FF.A.0010.210618T1800Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-
Iberville-West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-
Assumption-St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St.
Charles-Upper Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper
Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower
Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern
Tangipahoa-Northwest St. Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western
Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Convent, Gonzales, Dexter, Chalmette, 
Covington, Buras, Cut Off, Belle Chasse, White Castle, East New 
Orleans, Gramercy, Bayou Cane, Amite, Pascagoula, Raceland, 
Wakefield, Gloster, Waveland, Easleyville, McComb, McNeil, 
Montpelier, Livonia, Darlington, Gillsberg, Gulfport, Jackson, 
Spillman, Greensburg, Liberty, Port Allen, Diamondhead, Roseland, 
Hammond, Metairie, Salem, Boothville, Galliano, Chauvin, Kenner, St. 
Francisville, Enon, St. Martin, Clinton, Labadieville, Dulac, 
Thibodaux, Yscloskey, Myrtle Grove, Mandeville, Prairieville, 
Violet, Dolorosa, Donaldsonville, Lutcher, Ocean Springs, Robert, 
Bogalusa, Larose, Poplarville, Tylertown, Centreville, Destrehan, 
Baton Rouge, New Roads, Lettsworth, Picayune, Paincourtville, Pointe 
A La Hache, Bay St. Louis, Leeville, Franklinton, Gautier, Slidell, 
Walker, Felps, Laplace, Woodville, Denham Springs, New Orleans, 
Montegut, Wilmer, Golden Meadow, Cocodrie, Venice, Lacombe, 
Plaquemine, Fort Adams, Brusly, Bayou Sorrel, Kentwood, Pierre Part, 
Watson, Houma, Addis, Smithdale, Moss Point, Ponchatoula, 
Crossroads, Norco, Reserve, Port Sulphur, and Empire
136 PM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH SUNDAY 
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in New Orleans has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Louisiana and 
  Mississippi, including the following areas and parishes, in 
  southeast Louisiana, Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East 
  Feliciana, Eastern Orleans, Iberville, Livingston, Lower 
  Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, 
  Lower Terrebonne, Northern Tangipahoa, Northwest St. Tammany, 
  Pointe Coupee, Southeast St. Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, St. 
  Charles, St. Helena, St. James, St. John The Baptist, Upper 
  Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, 
  Upper Terrebonne, Washington, West Baton Rouge, West Feliciana and 
  Western Orleans. In Mississippi, Amite, Hancock, Harrison, 
  Jackson, Pearl River, Pike, Walthall and Wilkinson.

* From Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

* 6 To 10 inches of rain possible with locally higher amounts. 

* High rainfall rates could overwhelm drainage capacity leading to 
  ponding of water in low lying and poor drainage areas as well as 
  flash flooding where the heaviest rain falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Remember, never drive through 
flooded roadways as the water may be too deep for safe passage.

&&

$$

GP
8 follow-up statements
822 
WGUS64 KLIX 180249
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
949 PM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021

LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-181300-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.210618T1800Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-
Iberville-West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-
Assumption-St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St.
Charles-Upper Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper
Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower
Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern
Tangipahoa-Northwest St. Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western
Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Convent, Gonzales, Dexter, Chalmette, 
Covington, Buras, Cut Off, Belle Chasse, White Castle, East New 
Orleans, Gramercy, Bayou Cane, Amite, Pascagoula, Raceland, 
Wakefield, Gloster, Waveland, Easleyville, McComb, McNeil, 
Montpelier, Livonia, Darlington, Gillsberg, Gulfport, Jackson, 
Spillman, Greensburg, Liberty, Port Allen, Diamondhead, Roseland, 
Hammond, Metairie, Salem, Boothville, Galliano, Chauvin, Kenner, St. 
Francisville, Enon, St. Martin, Clinton, Labadieville, Dulac, 
Thibodaux, Yscloskey, Myrtle Grove, Mandeville, Prairieville, 
Violet, Dolorosa, Donaldsonville, Lutcher, Ocean Springs, Robert, 
Bogalusa, Larose, Poplarville, Tylertown, Centreville, Destrehan, 
Baton Rouge, New Roads, Lettsworth, Picayune, Paincourtville, Pointe 
A La Hache, Bay St. Louis, Leeville, Franklinton, Gautier, Slidell, 
Walker, Felps, Laplace, Woodville, Denham Springs, New Orleans, 
Montegut, Wilmer, Golden Meadow, Cocodrie, Venice, Lacombe, 
Plaquemine, Fort Adams, Brusly, Bayou Sorrel, Kentwood, Pierre Part, 
Watson, Houma, Addis, Smithdale, Moss Point, Ponchatoula, 
Crossroads, Norco, Reserve, Port Sulphur, and Empire
949 PM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM FRIDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH 
SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Ascension, 
  Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Eastern Orleans, 
  Iberville, Livingston, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower 
  Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern 
  Tangipahoa, Northwest St. Tammany, Pointe Coupee, Southeast St. 
  Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. Helena, St. James, 
  St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper 
  Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, Washington, West 
  Baton Rouge, West Feliciana and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, 
  Amite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike, Walthall and 
  Wilkinson.

* From Friday afternoon through Sunday morning.

* 6 To 10 inches of rain possible with locally higher amounts. 

* High rainfall rates could overwhelm drainage capacity leading to 
  ponding of water in low lying and poor drainage areas as well as 
  flash flooding where the heaviest rain falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
541 
WGUS64 KLIX 180914
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
414 AM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-182100-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.210618T1800Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-
Iberville-West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-
Assumption-St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St.
Charles-Upper Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper
Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower
Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern
Tangipahoa-Northwest St. Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western
Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Convent, Gonzales, Dexter, Chalmette, 
Covington, Buras, Cut Off, Belle Chasse, White Castle, East New 
Orleans, Gramercy, Bayou Cane, Amite, Pascagoula, Raceland, 
Wakefield, Gloster, Waveland, Easleyville, McComb, McNeil, 
Montpelier, Livonia, Darlington, Gillsberg, Gulfport, Jackson, 
Spillman, Greensburg, Liberty, Port Allen, Diamondhead, Roseland, 
Hammond, Metairie, Salem, Boothville, Galliano, Chauvin, Kenner, St. 
Francisville, Enon, St. Martin, Clinton, Labadieville, Dulac, 
Thibodaux, Yscloskey, Myrtle Grove, Mandeville, Prairieville, 
Violet, Dolorosa, Donaldsonville, Lutcher, Ocean Springs, Robert, 
Bogalusa, Larose, Poplarville, Tylertown, Centreville, Destrehan, 
Baton Rouge, New Roads, Lettsworth, Picayune, Paincourtville, Pointe 
A La Hache, Bay St. Louis, Leeville, Franklinton, Gautier, Slidell, 
Walker, Felps, Laplace, Woodville, Denham Springs, New Orleans, 
Montegut, Wilmer, Golden Meadow, Cocodrie, Venice, Lacombe, 
Plaquemine, Fort Adams, Brusly, Bayou Sorrel, Kentwood, Pierre Part, 
Watson, Houma, Addis, Smithdale, Moss Point, Ponchatoula, 
Crossroads, Norco, Reserve, Port Sulphur, and Empire
414 AM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM CDT THIS AFTERNOON 
THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Ascension, 
  Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Eastern Orleans, 
  Iberville, Livingston, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower 
  Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern 
  Tangipahoa, Northwest St. Tammany, Pointe Coupee, Southeast St. 
  Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. Helena, St. James, 
  St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper 
  Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, Washington, West 
  Baton Rouge, West Feliciana and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, 
  Amite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike, Walthall and 
  Wilkinson.

* From 1 PM CDT this afternoon through Sunday morning.

* 4 To 8 inches of rain possible with locally higher amounts. 

* High rainfall rates could overwhelm drainage capacity leading to 
  ponding of water in low lying and poor drainage areas as well as 
  flash flooding where the heaviest rain falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Remember, never drive through 
flooded roadways as the water may be too deep for safe passage.

&&

$$
740 
WGUS64 KLIX 181505
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1005 AM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

LAZ034>037-039-046>050-056>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ068>071-077-
080>082-182315-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.210618T1800Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Washington-
Iberville-West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-
Assumption-St. James-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St.
Charles-Upper Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper
Terrebonne-Lower Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower
Plaquemines-Lower St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern
Tangipahoa-Northwest St. Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western
Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Wilkinson-Amite-Pike-Walthall-Pearl River-
Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Convent, Gonzales, Dexter, Chalmette, 
Covington, Buras, Cut Off, Belle Chasse, White Castle, East New 
Orleans, Gramercy, Bayou Cane, Amite, Pascagoula, Raceland, 
Wakefield, Gloster, Waveland, Easleyville, McComb, McNeil, 
Montpelier, Livonia, Darlington, Gillsberg, Gulfport, Jackson, 
Spillman, Greensburg, Liberty, Port Allen, Diamondhead, Roseland, 
Hammond, Metairie, Salem, Boothville, Galliano, Chauvin, Kenner, St. 
Francisville, Enon, St. Martin, Clinton, Labadieville, Dulac, 
Thibodaux, Yscloskey, Myrtle Grove, Mandeville, Prairieville, 
Violet, Dolorosa, Donaldsonville, Lutcher, Ocean Springs, Robert, 
Bogalusa, Larose, Poplarville, Tylertown, Centreville, Destrehan, 
Baton Rouge, New Roads, Lettsworth, Picayune, Paincourtville, Pointe 
A La Hache, Bay St. Louis, Leeville, Franklinton, Gautier, Slidell, 
Walker, Felps, Laplace, Woodville, Denham Springs, New Orleans, 
Montegut, Wilmer, Golden Meadow, Cocodrie, Venice, Lacombe, 
Plaquemine, Fort Adams, Brusly, Bayou Sorrel, Kentwood, Pierre Part, 
Watson, Houma, Addis, Smithdale, Moss Point, Ponchatoula, 
Crossroads, Norco, Reserve, Port Sulphur, and Empire
1005 AM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Ascension, 
  Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East Feliciana, Eastern Orleans, 
  Iberville, Livingston, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower 
  Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern 
  Tangipahoa, Northwest St. Tammany, Pointe Coupee, Southeast St. 
  Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. Helena, St. James, 
  St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper 
  Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, Washington, West 
  Baton Rouge, West Feliciana and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, 
  Amite, Hancock, Harrison, Jackson, Pearl River, Pike, Walthall and 
  Wilkinson.

* Through Sunday morning.

* Potential Tropical Cyclone continues to slowly organize in the 
  north-central Gulf and is expected to become a Depression or 
  Tropical Storm later today.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

CAB
512 
WGUS64 KLIX 182008
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
308 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

LAZ034>037-046>050-056-057-MSZ068-069-182115-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pointe Coupee-West Feliciana-East Feliciana-St. Helena-Iberville-
West Baton Rouge-East Baton Rouge-Ascension-Livingston-Assumption-
St. James-Wilkinson-Amite-
Including the cities of Gillsberg, Dolorosa, Donaldsonville, 
Jackson, Spillman, Gonzales, Greensburg, Liberty, Denham Springs, 
Port Allen, Lutcher, Plaquemine, Centreville, Watson, Fort Adams, 
Brusly, Bayou Sorrel, Gramercy, Baton Rouge, Lettsworth, Pierre 
Part, New Roads, Felps, Addis, Paincourtville, Smithdale, St. 
Francisville, Wakefield, Gloster, Easleyville, Walker, Woodville, 
Labadieville, White Castle, Clinton, Convent, Prairieville, 
Montpelier, Livonia, and Darlington
308 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Louisiana and 
southern Mississippi, including the following areas and parishes, in 
southeast Louisiana, Ascension, Assumption, East Baton Rouge, East 
Feliciana, Iberville, Livingston, Pointe Coupee, St. Helena, St. 
James, West Baton Rouge and West Feliciana. In southern Mississippi, 
Amite and Wilkinson has been cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled.

$$

LAZ039-058>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ070-071-077-080>082-190515-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-Upper
Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper Terrebonne-Lower
Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower Plaquemines-Lower
St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern Tangipahoa-Northwest St.
Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Pike-
Walthall-Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Cocodrie, Venice, Gulfport, Ocean Springs, 
Robert, Bogalusa, Dexter, Chalmette, Empire, Larose, Galliano, 
Poplarville, Buras, Tylertown, Golden Meadow, Wilmer, Ponchatoula, 
Cut Off, Belle Chasse, Destrehan, Roseland, East New Orleans, Bayou 
Cane, Hammond, Metairie, Kentwood, Lacombe, Houma, Salem, 
Franklinton, Picayune, Thibodaux, Boothville, Bay St. Louis, 
Leeville, Kenner, Pascagoula, Chauvin, Moss Point, Diamondhead, 
Amite, Raceland, Enon, Crossroads, Slidell, Waveland, St. Martin, 
Gautier, Norco, Laplace, Reserve, Port Sulphur, Yscloskey, Myrtle 
Grove, McComb, Pointe A La Hache, Mandeville, McNeil, Covington, New 
Orleans, Montegut, Violet, and Dulac
308 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Eastern 
  Orleans, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, 
  Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern Tangipahoa, 
  Northwest St. Tammany, Southeast St. Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, 
  St. Charles, St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper 
  Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, 
  Washington and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, Hancock, Harrison, 
  Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and Walthall.

* Through Sunday morning.

* Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 continues to approach the coast but 
  rain bands have already been coming onshore with the bulk of the 
  heavy rain expected this evening and through Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

CAB
578 
WGUS64 KLIX 182034
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
334 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

LAZ039-058>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ070-071-077-080>082-190500-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-Upper
Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper Terrebonne-Lower
Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower Plaquemines-Lower
St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern Tangipahoa-Northwest St.
Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Pike-
Walthall-Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Cocodrie, Venice, Gulfport, Ocean Springs, 
Robert, Bogalusa, Dexter, Chalmette, Empire, Larose, Galliano, 
Poplarville, Buras, Tylertown, Golden Meadow, Wilmer, Ponchatoula, 
Cut Off, Belle Chasse, Destrehan, Roseland, East New Orleans, Bayou 
Cane, Hammond, Metairie, Kentwood, Lacombe, Houma, Salem, 
Franklinton, Picayune, Thibodaux, Boothville, Bay St. Louis, 
Leeville, Kenner, Pascagoula, Chauvin, Moss Point, Diamondhead, 
Amite, Raceland, Enon, Crossroads, Slidell, Waveland, St. Martin, 
Gautier, Norco, Laplace, Reserve, Port Sulphur, Yscloskey, Myrtle 
Grove, McComb, Pointe A La Hache, Mandeville, McNeil, Covington, New 
Orleans, Montegut, Violet, and Dulac
334 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Eastern 
  Orleans, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, 
  Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern Tangipahoa, 
  Northwest St. Tammany, Southeast St. Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, 
  St. Charles, St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper 
  Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, 
  Washington and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, Hancock, Harrison, 
  Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and Walthall.

* Through Sunday morning.

* Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 continues to approach the coast but 
  rain bands have already been coming onshore with the bulk of the 
  heavy rain expected this evening and through Saturday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

CAB
347 
WGUS64 KLIX 190259
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
959 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

LAZ039-058>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ070-071-077-080>082-191300-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-Upper
Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper Terrebonne-Lower
Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower Plaquemines-Lower
St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern Tangipahoa-Northwest St.
Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Pike-
Walthall-Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Cocodrie, Venice, Gulfport, Ocean Springs, 
Robert, Bogalusa, Dexter, Chalmette, Empire, Larose, Galliano, 
Poplarville, Buras, Tylertown, Golden Meadow, Wilmer, Ponchatoula, 
Cut Off, Belle Chasse, Destrehan, Roseland, East New Orleans, Bayou 
Cane, Hammond, Metairie, Kentwood, Lacombe, Houma, Salem, 
Franklinton, Picayune, Thibodaux, Boothville, Bay St. Louis, 
Leeville, Kenner, Pascagoula, Chauvin, Moss Point, Diamondhead, 
Amite, Raceland, Enon, Crossroads, Slidell, Waveland, St. Martin, 
Gautier, Norco, Laplace, Reserve, Port Sulphur, Yscloskey, Myrtle 
Grove, McComb, Pointe A La Hache, Mandeville, McNeil, Covington, New 
Orleans, Montegut, Violet, and Dulac
959 PM CDT Fri Jun 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Louisiana and Mississippi, including the 
  following areas and parishes, in southeast Louisiana, Eastern 
  Orleans, Lower Jefferson, Lower Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, 
  Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, Northern Tangipahoa, 
  Northwest St. Tammany, Southeast St. Tammany, Southern Tangipahoa, 
  St. Charles, St. John The Baptist, Upper Jefferson, Upper 
  Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, Upper Terrebonne, 
  Washington and Western Orleans. In Mississippi, Hancock, Harrison, 
  Jackson, Pearl River, Pike and Walthall.

* Through Sunday morning.

* Potential Tropical Cyclone 3 continues to approach the coast but 
  rain bands have been coming onshore with heavy rain expected to 
  continue through Saturday morning.

* High rainfall rates could overwhelm drainage capacity leading to 
  ponding of water in low lying and poor drainage areas as well as 
  flash flooding where the heaviest rain falls.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued. Remember, never drive through 
flooded roadways as the water may be too deep for safe passage.

&&

$$
262 
WGUS64 KLIX 190859
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
359 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

LAZ039-058>061-063>072-075>078-MSZ070-071-191000-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Washington-St. John The Baptist-Upper Lafourche-St. Charles-Upper
Jefferson-Upper Plaquemines-Upper St. Bernard-Upper Terrebonne-Lower
Terrebonne-Lower Lafourche-Lower Jefferson-Lower Plaquemines-Lower
St. Bernard-Northern Tangipahoa-Southern Tangipahoa-Northwest St.
Tammany-Southeast St. Tammany-Western Orleans-Eastern Orleans-Pike-
Walthall-
Including the cities of Cocodrie, Venice, Robert, Bogalusa, Dexter, 
Chalmette, Empire, Larose, Galliano, Buras, Tylertown, Golden 
Meadow, Wilmer, Ponchatoula, Cut Off, Belle Chasse, Destrehan, 
Roseland, East New Orleans, Bayou Cane, Hammond, Metairie, Kentwood, 
Lacombe, Houma, Salem, Franklinton, Thibodaux, Boothville, Leeville, 
Kenner, Chauvin, Amite, Raceland, Enon, Slidell, Norco, Laplace, 
Reserve, Port Sulphur, Yscloskey, Myrtle Grove, McComb, Pointe A La 
Hache, Mandeville, Covington, New Orleans, Montegut, Violet, and 
Dulac
359 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Louisiana and 
southern Mississippi, including the following areas and parishes, in 
southeast Louisiana, Eastern Orleans, Lower Jefferson, Lower 
Lafourche, Lower Plaquemines, Lower St. Bernard, Lower Terrebonne, 
Northern Tangipahoa, Northwest St. Tammany, Southeast St. Tammany, 
Southern Tangipahoa, St. Charles, St. John The Baptist, Upper 
Jefferson, Upper Lafourche, Upper Plaquemines, Upper St. Bernard, 
Upper Terrebonne, Washington and Western Orleans. In southern 
Mississippi, Pike and Walthall has been cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled. The threat of organized heavy rainfall 
has moved east of the area.

$$

MSZ077-080>082-191700-
/O.CON.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Bay St. Louis, Diamondhead, Gulfport, 
Pascagoula, Moss Point, Ocean Springs, McNeil, Gautier, Crossroads, 
Waveland, St. Martin, Poplarville, and Picayune
359 AM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of southeast Mississippi and southern Mississippi, 
  including the following areas, in southeast Mississippi, Harrison. 
  In southern Mississippi, Hancock, Jackson and Pearl River.

* Through Sunday morning.

* Tropical Storm Claudette continues to move across southeast 
  Louisiana with heavy rain bands moving across portions of south 
  Mississippi east of the Pearl River. Rain amounts of 5 to 10 
  inches with locally higher amounts are possible this morning in 
  portions of the watch area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
060 
WGUS64 KLIX 191737
FFALIX

Flood Watch
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
1237 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

MSZ077-080>082-191845-
/O.CAN.KLIX.FF.A.0010.000000T0000Z-210620T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Pearl River-Hancock-Harrison-Jackson-
Including the cities of Bay St. Louis, Diamondhead, Gulfport, 
Pascagoula, Moss Point, Ocean Springs, McNeil, Gautier, Crossroads, 
Waveland, St. Martin, Poplarville, and Picayune
1237 PM CDT Sat Jun 19 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of southeast Mississippi and 
southern Mississippi, including the following areas, in southeast 
Mississippi, Harrison. In southern Mississippi, Hancock, Jackson and 
Pearl River has been cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected to pose 
a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

CAB

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS New Orleans, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jun 17, 4:23 AM CDT, 9 hours 13 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 17, 4:23 AM CDT, 9 hours 13 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans LA
423 AM CDT Thu Jun 17 2021

.SYNOPSIS...

Surface boundary separating dew points in the 60s from much more
humid air is currently over our coastal waters and is reasonably
depicted on radar by a narrow band of showers and a few
thunderstorms. Upper ridging still over the southern Rockies, with
an upper trough over New England. Skies mostly clear across the
area, with comfortable temperatures in the mid and upper 60s
across most of the northern half of the area, and in the 70s for
most of the southern areas. New Orleans metro remains a little
warmer, as northeast winds are coming off Lake Pontchartrain water
temperatures that are in the upper 80s.

&&

.SHORT TERM (through Saturday night)...

Eyes will be on the Bay of Campeche today, monitoring the area of
disturbed weather in that area. Should start to see some northward
movement by late in the day, and if something is going to
organize, that should start happening overnight. Today will be
rather quiet regarding precipitation, with any showers and storms
remaining offshore. Dew points will remain in the 60s in most
areas, making conditions fairly comfortable, considering it's
mid-June. While NBM high temperature values today are a couple of
degrees above operational guidance, somewhat concerned that those
values may not even be warm enough, considering most of our CWA
was in the mid 90s yesterday. We're in line with our neighbors
right now, so will brief the day shift to keep an eye on it.

As the Bay of Campeche disturbance begins moving northward
tonight, so will the surface boundary, and moisture will rush back
to the north. BUFR soundings for New Orleans show precipitable
water values less than an inch this afternoon already back to 1.6
by Friday morning, and over 2 inches by midday Friday.
Precipitation chances will increase during the day on Friday from
south to north with likely to categorical PoPs by Friday evening.
Main threat of heavy rain will occur overnight Friday night
through Saturday. The area of most significant threat for heavy
rain and severe weather will be displaced to the right of any
circulation center. Still quite a bit of uncertainty on a track,
but there are enough indications that some portions of our area
will see very heavy rainfall over about a 36 hour period,
potentially 5-10 inches with locally higher amounts. Precipitable
water values expected to end up somewhere around 2.5 inches, which
is at the upper end of climatology for late June, so those amounts
are certainly achievable, even with a system like this. Right
now, best estimates would be from about Interstate 55 eastward,
but that definitely could shift one way or the other. As a track
becomes better defined, Flash Flood Watches will likely be issued
later today for portions of the area late Friday into Saturday.

Isolated tornadoes could definitely be an issue with rainbands to
the east of the low. NAM BUFR soundings showing 0-3KM helicities
well over 400 east of the track.

Onshore winds will push tide levels up as well. Fortunately, we're
near neap tide ranges. Current indications are surge levels should
be in the 1-2 foot range, but again, that'll be dependent on
strength and track of the system.

System should track northeast away from the area Saturday night
with the heavy rain threat diminishing.

Temperature guidance for Friday/Saturday looks reasonable
considering precipitation trends. 35

&&

.LONG TERM (Sunday and beyond)...

The primary concern for the first half of next week will be the
passage of a northern stream longwave trough and associated
frontal boundary next Tuesday into Wednesday. In advance of this
feature, a largely zonal flow regime in the upper levels will
combine with weak low to mid-level ridging to produce warmer and
more diurnally induced convection for Sunday and Monday.
Additionally, a lingering theta e axis and region of higher
precipitable water values could keep rain chances a bit more
elevated than expected for the overlying upper level pattern on
Sunday.

Starting with Sunday, the low pressure system impacting the area
late this week will be quickly departing to the east and northeast
with the primary forcing and rain impacts advecting into the Mid-
Atlantic states.  However, an axis of higher precipitable water
values is expected to trail behind this low pressure system and
stretch in a southwest oriented fashion back into the Gulf of Mexico
on Sunday.  Precipitable water values will be lower than observed on
Saturday, but should still remain fairly elevated in the 1.75 to 2
inch range through Sunday evening.  Although upper level support
will be trending downward, there should be enough residual omega in
place to support scattered to numerous showers and thunderstorms
through the day, and the threat of some locally heavy downpours and
street flooding issues will persist.  Temperatures will be near to
slightly below normal given the expected amount of shower and
thunderstorm in place through the day.  By Sunday night, conditions
will begin to improve as instability decreases and some weak
negative vorticity advection develops aloft.

By Monday, a more typical Summer pattern of diurnally induced
convection is expected to take hold.  The flow pattern aloft will be
zonal in nature, and a deep layer southwest flow pattern will be in
place in the low to mid-levels.  The one caveat is that precipitable
water values will remain elevated as an axis of deeper moisture
remains over the region with readings of around 2 inches expected.
This moisture will tap into a fairly unstable airmass to produce
scattered showers and thunderstorms throughout much of the day, and
once again some locally heavy downpours and isolated street flooding
events will be the primary concern.

The threat of stronger storms will increase on Tuesday and Wednesday
as a northern stream trough axis and an associated surface front
push through the area.  A band of convection could accompany the
front on Tuesday, and have higher POP in the likely range of around
60 percent to reflect this risk.  Temperatures are also forecast to
be a few degrees cooler than average due to the expected increase in
cloud cover and thunderstorm activity.  After reviewing model
soundings, the profile looks favorable for a few wind events to
potentially occur, and this is supported by DCAPE values in excess
of 1000 J/KG both Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons.  This pattern
and the potential for a few strong to possibly severe thunderstorms
will need to monitored over the weekend.  PG

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will persist at all of the terminals this morning.
Winds will generally be from the east and northeast through the
morning hours, and a shift to the southeast is expected during the
afternoon hours. Overall, no significant impacts to aviation are
expected through 12z Friday, but will expect deteriorating
conditions 12z-18z Friday for at least the southern terminals.

&&

.MARINE...

Seeing borderline Small Craft Exercise Caution conditions early
this morning in some of the waters, but those winds are on a
downward trend and won't carry the headlines. Conditions are
expected to deteriorate late tonight, with Small Craft Advisories
likely to be necessary Friday through Sunday if we don't end up
with tropical headlines.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB  91  68  87  72 /   0   0  50  50
BTR  91  71  87  74 /   0   0  70  60
ASD  92  73  86  75 /   0  10  80  70
MSY  93  78  87  77 /   0  20  80  80
GPT  91  75  85  76 /   0  20  80  70
PQL  91  73  85  74 /   0  20  70  70

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
GM...None.
MS...None.
GM...None.
&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS New Orleans, LA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 17, 9:45 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningLIXSaint Tammany58 hr
Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDTCoastal Flood WarningLIXOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint Tammany47 hr
Jun 17, 1:30 PM CDTCoastal Flood AdvisoryLIXOrleans, Saint Bernard, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany54 hr
Jun 17, 4:02 PM CDTTropical Storm WarningLIXAssumption, Orleans, Saint Bernard, Saint James, Saint John the Baptist, Saint Tammany48 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Louisiana, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Mississippi, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive.