Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
314 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

.SHORT TERM [Through Thursday night]...

Daytime heating is allowing for some showers and a few
thunderstorms to develop this afternoon over east central and
southeast Louisiana, along with southwest Mississippi. With
northeast flow a loft around an upper level ridge this activity
will push southwest and across the forecast area for the remainder
of the afternoon, then dissipate quickly in the evening and after
sunset with the loss of daytime heating.

Before the convection started to develop, a few reliable
observation sites in east central and south central Louisiana made
it up to at-least 109F for a heat index. Will keep the heat
advisory going in that area for another couple of hours, then by
6 pm, enough convection, cloud cover, and rain cooled outflow
boundaries should have taken hold to keep apparent temperatures
below criteria.

The upper level ridge that has been the main weather player will
continue to gradually shift northward over the next couple of
days. This will allow for a better atmospheric moisture profile to
be found across the forecast area, along with disturbances
rotating westward around it. The result will be an increase in the
daily diurnal showers and thunderstorms. The main concern with the
storms that develop over the next couple of days will be brief
torrential downpours.

With more convection in store, the apparent temperatures in the
afternoon should be kept in check enough that a heat advisory is
not anticipate tomorrow or Thursday.

Rua

.LONG TERM [Friday through Tuesday]...

The upper low currently north of Hispaniola will have drifted into
the northern gulf coast by Friday while weakening. With this
weakness aloft and the typically high moisture values that will
already be in place scattered to numerous showers and storms can be
expected.

This weekend into early next week the forecast will be dependent on
what and where a potential tropical system becomes and migrates
towards. The national blend was left in the forecast which indicates
high chances for rain along with highs in the upper 80s to low 90s.

05

&&

.MARINE...

Weak high pressure will be found over the northwest Gulf through
the end of the week before dissipating. This will allow for mainly
light and variable winds and light seas.

A more profound southerly flow will develop by the end of the week
into the weekend as another area of high pressure centered off the
southeast US coast will ridge across the northern Gulf of Mexico.

Rua

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX  76  96  75  93 /  20  50  10  60
LCH  77  94  76  90 /  20  50  30  80
LFT  76  94  76  90 /  20  70  30  80
BPT  76  95  76  91 /  20  50  30  70

&&

.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...Heat Advisory until 6 PM CDT this evening for LAZ028-029-032-033-
     043>045-052>055.

TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
321 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

LAZ027-030-031-041-042-073-074-TXZ180-201-215-216-259>262-252100-
Vernon-Beauregard-Allen-Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-West Cameron-
East Cameron-Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson-Orange-Northern Jasper-
Northern Newton-Southern Jasper-Southern Newton-
321 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Louisiana, west
central Louisiana and southeast Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorm activity will become scattered to numerous
Wednesday through Sunday. No severe thunderstorms are expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LAZ028-029-032-033-043>045-052>055-252100-
Rapides-Avoyelles-Evangeline-St. Landry-Acadia-Lafayette-
Upper St. Martin-Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-
321 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CDT THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south
central Louisiana and southwest Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Remainder of the afternoon and Tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Heat Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorm activity will become scattered to numerous
Wednesday through Sunday. No severe thunderstorms are expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

GMZ430-432-435-450-452-455-470-472-475-252100-
Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay-
Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM-
Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA
out 20 NM-Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from
20 to 60 NM-
321 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico and the
coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Showers and thunderstorm activity will become scattered to numerous
Wednesday through Sunday. No severe thunderstorms are expected at
this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
409 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

LAZ032-033-242200-
St. Landry LA-Evangeline LA-
409 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of east central
Evangeline and central St. Landry Parishes through 500 PM CDT...

At 409 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Lebeau, or near Palmetto, moving southwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Opelousas, Ville Platte, Leonville, Palmetto, Port Barre, Washington,
Prairie Ronde, Grand Prairie and Lebeau.

This includes Interstate 49 between mile markers 13 and 39.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3078 9193 3055 9183 3041 9211 3076 9231
TIME...MOT...LOC 2109Z 066DEG 12KT 3066 9196

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Rua

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
445 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

LAZ045-053>055-242245-
Lower St. Martin LA-Iberia LA-Upper St. Martin LA-St. Mary LA-
445 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northern Iberia, St.
Mary and southeastern St. Martin Parishes through 545 PM CDT...

At 445 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from 9 miles east of Lake Fausse Pointe to near
Belle River to 6 miles southwest of Amelia. Movement was south at 15
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Morgan City, Franklin, Patterson, Jeanerette, Berwick, Bayou Vista,
Cypremort Point, Stephensville, Burns Point, Belle River, Baldwin,
Ellerslie, Patterson Memorial Airport, Glencoe, Sorrel, Cote Blanche
Island, Amelia, Bayou Geneve, Lake Fausse Pointe and Charenton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 2939 9147 2948 9144 2939 9149 2940 9149
      2955 9141 2956 9142 2952 9154 2941 9149
      2963 9166 2976 9160 2971 9188 3024 9150
      3010 9147 3004 9123 2981 9109 2963 9108
      2955 9129 2933 9137
TIME...MOT...LOC 2145Z 015DEG 12KT 3003 9150 2986 9119 2960 9118

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Landreneau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
453 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

LAZ031>033-043>045-052-053-242230-
Acadia LA-Iberia LA-Lafayette LA-Vermilion LA-St. Landry LA-
Evangeline LA-Allen LA-Upper St. Martin LA-
453 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northwestern Iberia,
Lafayette, Evangeline, northeastern Acadia, northeastern Vermilion,
northwestern St. Martin, southern St. Landry and northeastern Allen
Parishes through 530 PM CDT...

At 453 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Beaver to Mamou to near Swords to Cankton to
Breaux Bridge. Movement was southwest at 15 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, New Iberia, Opelousas, Crowley, Eunice, Scott, Breaux
Bridge, Rayne, Oakdale, Carencro, Ville Platte, St. Martinville,
Church Point, Mamou, Basile, Oberlin, Krotz Springs, Leonville,
Arnaudville and Broussard.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 in Louisiana between mile markers 81 and 127.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 24.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2999 9187 3014 9229 3048 9263 3073 9285
      3088 9258 3072 9231 3061 9208 3053 9174
      3051 9173 3050 9176 3050 9170 3047 9168
      3044 9164 3039 9162
TIME...MOT...LOC 2153Z 044DEG 14KT 3078 9258 3062 9242 3050 9223 3035
9210 3026 9189

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Landreneau

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
533 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

LAZ027-028-030>033-041>045-052>055-074-242330-
Lower St. Martin LA-Lafayette LA-St. Landry LA-Evangeline LA-
Allen LA-Vernon LA-Rapides LA-Calcasieu LA-Acadia LA-Iberia LA-
Jefferson Davis LA-Vermilion LA-Upper St. Martin LA-St. Mary LA-
Beauregard LA-East Cameron LA-
533 PM CDT Tue Aug 24 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of northeastern Cameron,
Lafayette, St. Mary, southwestern Rapides, eastern Beauregard,
Acadia, northeastern Calcasieu, Vermilion, Vernon, Allen, Iberia,
Jefferson Davis, southwestern Evangeline, southern St. Martin and
southwestern St. Landry Parishes through 630 PM CDT...

At 533 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Hornbeck to near Pine Island to Lyons
Point to near Lydia to 9 miles east of Burns Point. Movement was
southwest at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Lafayette, New Iberia, Crowley, Morgan City, Abbeville, De Ridder,
Eunice, Jennings, Scott, Rayne, Oakdale, Franklin, Carencro,
Leesville, St. Martinville, Patterson, Jeanerette, Berwick, Kaplan
and Church Point.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 10 in Louisiana between mile markers 38 and 105.
 Interstate 49 between mile markers 1 and 2.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2948 9144 2939 9149 2955 9141 2956 9142
      2941 9149 2964 9156 2951 9190 2941 9185
      3020 9307 3101 9357 3101 9356 3128 9353
      3137 9312 3035 9213 2983 9111 2963 9108
      2955 9129 2933 9135
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 041DEG 25KT 3131 9335 3035 9273 3010 9239 2995
9182 2954 9137

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

Landreneau