Alert archive / Texas / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Lake Charles, LA
NWS Lake Charles, LA issued this special weather statement at Jan 6, 2021, 5:59 PM CST for Hardin County, Jasper County, Tyler County, Texas. It was in force for 61 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jan 6, 2021, 5:59 PM CST (23:59 UTC)
- Expired
- Jan 6, 2021, 7:00 PM CST
- In force
- 61 min
- Issued by
- NWS Lake Charles, LA
Counties Hardin County, TX, Jasper County, TX, Tyler County, TX
The radar
The Houston radar (KHGX), 111 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:01 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Lake Charles Mun, LA (KLCH), launched 12:00Z, 12.0 hours before the alert went out and 114 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 2326 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 39 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 119 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 157 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Lake Charles, LA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jan 6, 5:55 PM CST, 4 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 6, 5:55 PM CST, 4 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
555 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021
.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAFS
&&
.AVIATION...
A line of showers and isolated thunderstorms associated with a
passing cold front will push across the region from west to east
this evening. Visibility restrictions will occur during the
passage of this line.
CIGs will remain VFR ahead of the front becoming MVFR within the
precipitation and following its passage. Winds behind the front
will turn northwesterly and remain elevated through the taf
period.
Jones
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 341 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021/
DISCUSSION...
SHORT TERM (Tonight through Thursday)...
Showers and a few thunderstorms will move across the area from west
to east through tonight ending quickly after the front passes. This
activity is expected to be east of the forecast area by sunrise
tomorrow. Skies will remain mostly cloudy through the day
tomorrow with cool breezes but dry.
27
LONG TERM (Thursday night through Wednesday)...
From Thursday night through Saturday, high pres building in
behind tonight's front will bring drier and cooler weather to the
area. Cloud cover from wrap around moisture will likely persist
Thursday night, with gradual clearing through the day Friday.
Mostly clear to partly cloudy skies can then be expected through
Saturday. Temperatures through the period will be on the cool side
with lows generally in the 30s and highs into the 50s. A light
freeze will be possible acrs parts of cntl LA Saturday morning.
Dry weather will continue Saturday night, with clouds increasing
by Sunday morning as the next storm system makes its way into the
region. A mid/upper shortwave will dig southeastward acrs the
Rockies and into the southern plains. Divergence aloft will
induce sfc cyclogenesis near the south TX coast, with the
resultant sfc low pres lifting E to NE as the upper system
approaches the area. Moisture and lift in advance of the system
will promote rain development acrs TX late Saturday night, with
rain chance increasing acrs the area from west to east during the
day Sunday. The best precip chcs will be Sunday night as the sfc
low passes south of the area.
Regarding winter precip potential, all guidance continues to
suggest that at least a portion of the area will see some snow or
a snow/rain mix. However, there are still some differences with
respect to timing and evolution of the system that will bear
watching over the next few days in order to better refine the when
and where. One notable aspect of today's 12Z runs is that guidance
has trended a little less suppressed with the sfc low, and this
lends to a wetter fcst and slightly better confidence of winter
precip occurring, especially given the cold airmass over the area.
One change from yesterday is that some isolated spots near the
Lakes Region of SE TX could see a brief snow flurry or a few
flakes mixed with rain early Sunday morning should precip develop
before temps warm sufficiently. But the main event is still
expected to occur Sunday night. While overall accumulations should
be minimal as ground temps are still relatively warm, the prospect
of some minor accumulations acrs w or cntl LA is beginning to be
seen in some of the model guidance. Individuals are urged to
continue monitoring the latest information on this evolving
situation.
Moisture and precip will quickly shift east by Monday morning with
skies gradually clearing through the day. High pres building into
the area will bring dry and cool conditions through the early part
of the week.
24
MARINE...
A cold front will move through the area tonight, accompanied by
showers and thunderstorms. Strong northwesterly winds will develop
in the wake of the front and continue into Thursday, and a Small
Craft Advisory is in effect. Winds will become more northerly for
Friday, then gradually veer more easterly in advance of another
area of low pressure developing over the western Gulf of Mexico by
Sunday.
24
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
AEX 44 51 35 49 / 90 0 0 0
LCH 45 56 38 54 / 100 0 0 0
LFT 47 54 39 51 / 90 0 0 0
BPT 44 56 39 54 / 90 0 0 0
&&
.LCH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...None.
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM CST Thursday for GMZ450-452-455-
470-472-475.
&&
AVIATION...66Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 6, 3:46 PM CST, 2 hours 13 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Lake Charles LA 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 LAZ027>033-041>045-052>055-073-074-TXZ216-259>262-072200- Vernon-Rapides-Avoyelles-Beauregard-Allen-Evangeline-St. Landry- Calcasieu-Jefferson Davis-Acadia-Lafayette-Upper St. Martin- Vermilion-Iberia-St. Mary-Lower St. Martin-West Cameron-East Cameron- Orange-Northern Jasper-Northern Newton-Southern Jasper- Southern Newton- 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Louisiana, south central Louisiana, southwest Louisiana, west central Louisiana and southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. A band of showers and thunderstorms associated with a cold front will move through the area this evening. While a few strong storms capable of producing gusty winds will be possible, the overall threat for severe weather is low, and a gradual weakening trend is expected as the band moves east this evening. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Dry and cool conditions are expected Thursday through Saturday. Another storm system on Sunday will bring a chance of showers to the area into Monday. Most of the area will see cold rainy conditions with this system, but a few locations across western and central Louisiana could see a wintry mix of precipitation late Sunday night into early Monday morning. A flake or two also cannot be ruled out across interior southeast Texas when the precipitation begins Sunday morning. No accumulation of winter precip is expected, except possibly on elevated roadways. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. TXZ180-201-215-072200- Tyler-Hardin-Jefferson- 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Texas. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Severe Thunderstorm Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Dry and cool conditions are expected Thursday through Saturday. Another storm system on Sunday will bring a chance of showers to the area into Monday. Most of the area will see cold rainy conditions with this system, but a few locations across western and central Louisiana could see a wintry mix of precipitation late Sunday night into early Monday morning. A flake or two also cannot be ruled out across interior southeast Texas when the precipitation begins Sunday morning. No accumulation of winter precip is expected, except possibly on elevated roadways. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ452-455-470-472-475-072200- Coastal waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA out 20 NM- Coastal waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA out 20 NM-Waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Intracoastal City to Cameron LA from 20 to 60 NM- Waters from Lower Atchafalaya River to Intracoastal City LA from 20 to 60 NM- 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will be possible late today into early Thursday with a passing cold front. A moderate to strong offshore flow will occur behind the front early Thursday, and Small Craft Advisories may be needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Rain is expected to increase again late in the weekend, with strong offshore flow developing as surface low pressure develops and moves east. Small Craft Advisories may again be required from late Sunday into Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ430-432-435-072200- Sabine Lake-Calcasieu Lake-Vermilion Bay- 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the coastal lakes and bays of the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will be possible late today into early Thursday with a passing cold front. A moderate to strong offshore flow will occur with marginal exercise caution conditions possible. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Rain is expected to increase again late in the weekend, with strong offshore flow developing as surface low pressure develops and moves east. Small Craft Advisories may again be required from late Sunday into Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. GMZ450-072200- Coastal waters from Cameron LA to High Island TX out 20 NM- 346 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 2 IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM CST THIS EVENING... ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THURSDAY... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Gulf of Mexico. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Severe Thunderstorm Watch. Small Craft Advisory. Scattered showers and perhaps a thunderstorm will be possible late today into early Thursday with a passing cold front. A moderate to strong offshore flow will occur behind the front early Thursday, and Small Craft Advisories may be needed. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Small Craft Advisory. Rain is expected to increase again late in the weekend, with strong offshore flow developing as surface low pressure develops and moves east. Small Craft Advisories may again be required from late Sunday into Monday. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jan 6, 5:59 PM CST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Lake Charles LA
559 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021
TXZ180-201-215-216-259-261-070100-
Orange TX-Jefferson TX-Hardin TX-Northern Jasper TX-
Southern Jasper TX-Tyler TX-
559 PM CST Wed Jan 6 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN JEFFERSON...EASTERN
TYLER...HARDIN...NORTHWESTERN ORANGE AND EASTERN JASPER COUNTIES
UNTIL 700 PM CST...
At 559 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Colmesneil to Honey Island to near
Anahuac. Movement was east at 35 mph.
Pea size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.
Locations impacted include...
Beaumont, Lumberton, Jasper, Silsbee, Woodville, Kountze, Sour Lake,
Colmesneil, Nome, Evadale, Warren, Town Bluff, Saratoga, Hamshire,
Fred, Wildwood, Bevil Oaks, China, Lakeview and Weiss Bluff.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM CST for
southeastern Texas.
LAT...LON 3037 9451 3092 9444 3103 9390 3031 9400
2969 9435 2989 9436 2989 9444 3011 9445
3011 9460 3016 9461
TIME...MOT...LOC 2359Z 268DEG 31KT 3085 9438 3038 9444 2983 9472
RuaThe office that day
Everything else NWS Lake Charles, LA issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 6, 9:13 AM CST | Small Craft Advisory | LCH | 45 hr | |
| Jan 6, 5:20 PM CST | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | LCH | Tyler | 40 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Texas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.