Alert archive / Georgia / Special Weather Statements in 2021
Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL
NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this special weather statement at Jul 2, 2021, 6:02 PM EDT for Ware County, Georgia. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.
The area
The outline as issued.
The facts
- Issued
- Jul 2, 2021, 6:02 PM EDT (22:02 UTC)
- Expired
- Jul 2, 2021, 6:45 PM EDT
- In force
- 43 min
- Issued by
- NWS Jacksonville, FL
County Ware County, GA
The radar
The Moody AFB radar (KVAX), 57 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:04 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Jacksonville, FL (KJAX), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 115 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 612 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -15 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 593 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 44 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 71 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
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</html>What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 2, 2:56 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Jul 2, 2:56 PM EDT, 3 hours 6 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Jacksonville FL 256 PM EDT Fri Jul 2 2021 .Near Term.../through Saturday/... Surface high pressure will move to the southeast Tonight, as a cold front moves into SE GA. With the front moving in, expect showers, with embedded thunderstorms to continue through the night. The high will move further to the southeast Saturday, allowing the cold front to settle across the area and stall. A moist airmass coupled with frontal convergence will yield above normal chances for convection. As storm cells move west to east across area, heavy rainfall is expected, with localized flooding possible. Near normal lows for Tonight, with below normal readings on Saturday. && .Short Term.../Saturday night through Monday night/... Frontal boundary will remain stalled across NE FL Saturday night, keeping the shower and storm chances going through the night. It will be drier north of the boundary across SE GA. The boundary is expected to dissipate Sunday, as high pressure builds toward the east. NE FL will have a higher chance for convection Sunday due to dissipating boundary. High pressure will build from the east Sunday night through Monday. Sunday night should be a mainly dry night. Ample moisture, diurnal heating and sea breeze convergence on Monday will lead to a round of showers and storms. Convective activity could extend through Monday night, as moisture increases from the south. Temperatures at night will trend near normal, while afternoon highs will trend below normal due to expected cloud and precipitation coverage. && .Long Term.../Tuesday through Friday/... The forecast for the first half of this period will be greatly influenced by Tropical Cyclone named Elsa. With the current track and timing, the system is expected to track across forecast area, with greatest impacts Tuesday night through Wednesday. There is still a good deal of uncertainty in the computer model forecasts, so updates to this track and timing are anticipated. For this cycle will continue to follow the current National Hurricane Center track guidance for Tuesday into Wednesday. High pressure is expected to build to the southeast then east Thursday into Friday. If tropical system goes on current forecast track, troughing will likely extend across the region from it at least through Thursday. So, still forecasting likely chances for convection Thursday, with lower chances into Friday. High temperatures are expected to trend below normal this period, with lows near normal. && .Marine... Surface high pressure will move off to the southeast Tonight, as a cold front moves southeast into area. This front will be stalled across the area this weekend, with it weakening Sunday. High pressure will build to the east of the region Sunday night into Monday. There is a great deal of uncertainty in the Tuesday to Wednesday timeframe due to Tropical Cyclone Elsa. Mariners should monitor the latest National Hurricane Center forecasts for Elsa. Rip Currents: Low through Saturday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... AMG 71 85 70 90 70 / 70 60 30 30 10 SSI 74 86 76 87 76 / 60 80 40 30 10 JAX 73 87 72 87 72 / 60 70 40 50 20 SGJ 74 86 73 86 73 / 50 60 40 50 20 GNV 73 84 71 86 71 / 50 80 50 70 30 OCF 73 84 73 87 73 / 60 80 50 60 30 && .JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GA...None. AM...None. &&
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jul 2, 2:16 PM EDT, 3 hours 46 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
216 PM EDT Fri Jul 2 2021
FLZ033-038-133-137-138-021900-
Coastal Flagler FL-Coastal St. Johns FL-Inland Flagler FL-
Eastern Putnam FL-Inland St. Johns FL-
216 PM EDT Fri Jul 2 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR FLAGLER...SOUTHEASTERN ST. JOHNS
AND SOUTHEASTERN PUTNAM COUNTIES UNTIL 300 PM EDT...
* At 215 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
tracking strong thunderstorms along a line extending from near
World Golf Village to Pierson. Movement was east at 25 mph.
* Winds in excess of 45 mph possible with these storms.
* Locations impacted include...
Palm Coast, Saint Augustine, Flagler Beach, Bunnell, Hastings,
Andalusia, Saint Augustine Beach, Marineland, Vilano Beach and
Crescent Beach.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.
&&
LAT...LON 2946 8110 2946 8112 2943 8110 2941 8115
2926 8115 2926 8141 2940 8142 2938 8145
2937 8150 2994 8154 2995 8124 2952 8110
TIME...MOT...LOC 1815Z 279DEG 20KT 2992 8147 2925 8144
BOOTHESpecial weather statement, Jul 2, 6:02 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
602 PM EDT Fri Jul 2 2021
GAZ163-250-022245-
Clinch GA-Northern Ware GA-
602 PM EDT Fri Jul 2 2021
...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN WARE AND NORTH
CENTRAL CLINCH COUNTIES UNTIL 645 PM EDT...
* At 602 PM EDT, National Weather Service meteorologists were
tracking a strong thunderstorm 7 miles northeast of Cogdell, or 10
miles north of Argyle, moving southeast at 25 mph.
* Winds in excess of 45 mph and minor flooding due to heavy rainfall
is possible with this storm.
* Locations impacted include...
Waycross, Homerville, Argyle, Boggy Bay, Pebble Hill, Manor,
Cogdell, Needham and Millwood.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
These winds can down small tree limbs and branches, and blow around
unsecured small objects. Seek shelter in a safe building until the
storm passes.
Torrential rainfall is occurring with this storm, and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.
&&
LAT...LON 3118 8273 3119 8267 3122 8269 3123 8270
3128 8270 3129 8266 3127 8263 3133 8263
3132 8239 3129 8239 3129 8237 3126 8235
3122 8231 3123 8229 3105 8235 3101 8280
TIME...MOT...LOC 2202Z 293DEG 23KT 3122 8262
BOOTHEThe office that day
Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.
| Issued | Product | Office | Counties | Lasted |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 2, 2:16 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JAX | Flagler, Saint Johns | 44 min |
| Jul 2, 2:19 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | JAX | 86 min | |
| Jul 2, 3:35 PM EDT | Special Marine Warning | JAX | 45 min | |
| Jul 2, 6:30 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JAX | Ware | 45 min |
| Jul 2, 6:54 PM EDT | Areal Flood Warning | JAX | Clinch, Ware | 3 hr |
| Jul 2, 7:09 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JAX | Clinch, Ware | 51 min |
| Jul 2, 7:26 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JAX | Charlton | 49 min |
| Jul 2, 7:56 PM EDT | Special Weather Statement | JAX | Charlton | 34 min |
Nearby
Special Weather Statements in Georgia, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.