Special Weather Statement, NWS Jacksonville, FL

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
332 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

.Short Term.../through Wednesday/...

Dissipating frontal boundary stretched east to west across area near
the GA/FL line this afternoon. Areas along and south of this
boundary will experience the greatest chance for showers and storms
Today, due to better moisture. Storms will be possible across SE GA
this afternoon north of the boundary, but the best chance for
activity will be near the coast in SE GA due to convergence along
the east coast sea breeze. The storms are expected to be slow
movers, so in addition to the potential for a few strong storms,
heavy rainfall is also expected with localized flooding possible.
The activity will decrease in coverage toward midnight.

Another trough will move into the southeastern US Tonight into
Tuesday morning, and enter SE GA in the afternoon. With a prevailing
flow from the southwest the east coast sea breeze will be pinned
pretty close to the coast. Best chance for convection across NE FL
as west coast sea breeze moves inland, acting as a source of
convergence in the diurnally unstable airmass. Organized convection
could stretch up the east coast of SE GA as well. The convective
activity will dissipate Tuesday evening.

For Wednesday, trough will sink a little further to the south.
Closer to the FL/GA line. Drier air will move into SE GA behind the
boundary, helping to limit best chance for convection over NE FL and
coastal SE GA.

Lows will be near to a little above normal this period. Highs will
trend above normal across SE GA Tuesday and Wednesday, but near to a
little lower closer to central FL, due to cooling from cloud and
shower coverage.

&&

.Long Term.../Wednesday night through Monday/...

Boundary will linger over the area into Thursday as it dissipates.
High pressure will build to the east Friday into Saturday, with
troughing to the north. An area of low pressure will track to the
west then northwest of the area Sunday into Monday. Precipitation
chances will be more limited into Saturday, with chances increasing
late in the weekend into next week.

Lows will trend near normal this period. Highs will be above normal
over SE GA Thursday and Friday, and near to a little below over NE
FL. Over the weekend into early next week, highs will be near to a
little below normal.

&&

.Marine...

A dissipating frontal boundary will linger over the area into
Tonight. Another trough will move into region from the north
Tuesday, then stall over area Wednesday into Thursday. A weak ridge
will build to the east Friday into Saturday. Low pressure will track
to the west then northwest of the region Sunday into Monday.

Rip Currents: SE GA: Low through Tuesday
              NE FL: Low through Tuesday

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  72  95  70  92  68 /  10  20  20  20  10
SSI  74  92  75  89  74 /  20  30  30  20  20
JAX  72  94  73  91  71 /  30  60  30  40  20
SGJ  72  93  73  89  72 /  40  70  20  40  20
GNV  72  90  73  88  71 /  30  60  40  50  20
OCF  72  89  74  88  72 /  40  30  30  40  30

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
341 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0337 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 S BUNNELL             29.43N 81.26W
06/14/2021                   Flagler            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED MULTIPLE TREES DOWN ON 1800
            BLOCK OF OLD HAW CREEK ROAD NEAR BUNNELL.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
346 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0334 PM     HEAVY RAIN       2 N BUNNELL             29.50N 81.26W
06/14/2021  M3.20 INCH       Flagler            FL   TRAINED SPOTTER

            SPOTTER MEASURED 3.2 INCHES OF RAIN IN THE PAST HOUR IN
            THE LEHIGH WOODS SECTION OF WEST PALM COAST.

&&

AK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
347 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

FLZ132-232-142030-
Eastern Clay FL-Western Clay FL-
347 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN CLAY COUNTY UNTIL
430 PM EDT...

* At 347 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
  near Middleburg, moving east at 10 mph.

* Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Middleburg, Doctors Inlet, Lakeside and Asbury Lake.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 3007 8199 3015 8196 3012 8175 3000 8176
TIME...MOT...LOC 1947Z 289DEG 10KT 3008 8196

KB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
348 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0342 PM     TSTM WND DMG     4 SSW FLAGLER BEACH     29.42N 81.17W
06/14/2021                   Flagler            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED TREES DOWN BLOCKING ROAD IN
            SEXTON PLACE IN PALM COAST.

&&

AK

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
401 PM EDT MON JUN 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0353 PM     FLOOD            4 N BUNNELL             29.53N 81.26W
06/14/2021                   Flagler            FL   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED 3 INCHES OR MORE OF WATER
            COMPLETELY ACROSS WOODBURY DR IN PALM COAST.

&&

AK

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
402 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

FLZ340-142045-
Western Marion FL-
402 PM EDT Mon Jun 14 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MARION COUNTY UNTIL
445 PM EDT...

* At 402 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
  near Williston, moving east at 10 mph.

* Small hail, winds in excess of 45 mph, and minor flooding due to
  heavy rainfall is possible with this storm.

* Locations impacted include...
  Flemington.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. You can also share your report with NWS Jacksonville on
Facebook and Twitter.

&&

LAT...LON 2934 8241 2948 8240 2948 8228 2947 8227
      2943 8226 2929 8226
TIME...MOT...LOC 2002Z 290DEG 8KT 2940 8239

KB