Alert archive / Florida / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 56, NWS Jacksonville, FL

September 19, 2021Alachua County, Columbia County, Florida

NWS Jacksonville, FL issued this river flood warning at Sep 19, 2021, 9:55 AM EDT for Alachua County, Columbia County, Florida. It took effect at Sep 21, 2021, 6:30 AM EDT. It was in force for 39 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Sep 19, 2021, 9:55 AM EDT (13:55 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 21, 2021, 6:30 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 22, 2021, 9:00 PM EDT
In force
39 hr
Issued by
NWS Jacksonville, FL
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Alachua County, FL, Columbia County, FL

The radar

The Jacksonville radar (KJAX), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 13:57 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Santa Fe River near High Springs (in NAVD88) (HSPF1).

Action stage
34 ft
Minor stage
35 ft
Moderate stage
39 ft
Major stage
46 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

813 
WGUS42 KJAX 191355
FLWJAX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
955 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The National Weather Service in Jacksonville FL has issued a 
Flood Warning for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC001-023-201400-
/O.NEW.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210921T1030Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210921T1030Z.210922T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
955 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

The National Weather Service in Jacksonville has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Tuesday morning until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 32.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Tuesday 
  morning and continue rising to a crest of 36.1 feet Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

NELSON
7 follow-up statements
626 
WGUS82 KJAX 200112
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
912 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs affecting Alachua and 
  Union Counties.

  Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Gilchrist, 
  Columbia and Suwannee Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC001-023-210115-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210923T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210923T0000Z.210924T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 33.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday evening and continue rising to a crest of 35.4 feet 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

FLC001-023-210115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210923T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 43.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 46.3 feet 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-125-210115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WORF1.1.ER.210919T1300Z.210922T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 59.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 59.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 61.3 feet 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, A driveway near Southwest 102nd Court in 
  Union County begins to flood at this level. Flooding along the 
  river continues to impact boat ramps, docks and campgrounds in the 
  area.


&&

LAT...LON 2995 8253 2996 8251 2993 8242 2992 8242
      2992 8247 2993 8253

$$

FLC023-041-121-210115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.210902T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 PM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:00 PM EDT Sunday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.3 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then rise to 18.5 feet Friday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County.


&&

LAT...LON 2990 8278 2992 8280 2990 8283 2993 8283
      2996 8279 2993 8276

$$

NGUYEN
967 
WGUS82 KJAX 201501
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Santa Fe River At Fort White affecting Gilchrist and Columbia 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs affecting Alachua and 
  Union Counties.

  Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Gilchrist, 
  Columbia and Suwannee Counties.

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC023-041-211515-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0057.210920T2100Z-000000T0000Z/
/FWHF1.1.ER.210920T2100Z.210923T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Fort White.
* From this afternoon until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM EDT Monday the stage was 22.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue rising to 24.8 feet early Thursday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor damage to dwellings is possible due 
  to boat wash.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  centerline of the US 27 Bridge downstream to one-half mile 
  upstream from the State Road 47 Bridge.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Damage to homes at low elevation as well as 
  basement areas underneath homes on stilts is likely.


&&

LAT...LON 2993 8276 2985 8268 2984 8266 2982 8266
      2982 8271 2990 8279

$$

FLC001-023-211515-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210923T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EDT Monday the stage was 44.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 46.3 feet 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, Swimming becomes dangerous in the river in 
  the park area.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet, Boat ramp at the end of Bible Camp Road 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Access to river gage becomes limited as the 
  Bible Camp Road boat ramp becomes flooded and the last half mile 
  of Bible Camp Road begins to flood in Columbia County. Overland 
  flooding begins past the Santa Fe River sink in the park and will 
  cut-off access road to south end of the park.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-125-211515-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WORF1.1.ER.210919T1300Z.210923T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EDT Monday the stage was 59.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 59.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 61.2 feet 
  Wednesday evening.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, The boat ramp and floating dock at 
  Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Picnic Areas and campsites at Chastain-Seay 
  Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 59.0 feet, Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs 
  is generally closed to the public as access roads within the park 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, A driveway near Southwest 102nd Court in 
  Union County begins to flood at this level. Flooding along the 
  river continues to impact boat ramps, docks and campgrounds in the 
  area.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Union County, flooding expands across 
  farm land south of County Road 18 and approaches the road surface 
  about 1 mile east of Southwest County Road 241.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, Southwest 99th Avenue in Union County 
  begins to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 2995 8253 2996 8251 2993 8242 2992 8242
      2992 8247 2993 8253

$$

FLC023-041-121-211515-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.210902T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:00 AM EDT Monday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 18.9 feet Saturday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins on SW Santa Fe 
  Drive south of Santa Fe Road in Columbia County.
* Impact...At 16.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream of the Wilson's Spring Boat 
  Ramp to the confluence with the Suwannee River and on the 
  Ichetucknee River upstream to the US 27 bridge.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences on Santa Fe Road in Columbia County and on River Run 
  Road in Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.8 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission 
  expands the no wake zone restriction further upstream on the Santa 
  Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream on the 
  Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to one-half mile upstream of the State 
  Road 47 bridge.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences along the Ichetucknee River.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet, Waters begins to affect homes in the 
  Hollingsworth Bluff area at State Route 47.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Access to homes on Santa Fe Road below SW 
  Riverside Avenue becomes restricted in Columbia. Flooding begins 
  on Santa Fe and Wilson Springs Road.


&&

LAT...LON 2990 8278 2992 8280 2990 8283 2993 8283
      2996 8279 2993 8276

$$

FLC001-023-211515-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210923T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210923T0000Z.210924T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1101 AM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 10:45 AM EDT Monday the stage was 33.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday evening and continue rising to a crest of 35.6 feet 
  early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

BOOTHE
571 
WGUS82 KJAX 210132
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
932 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC001-023-220145-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210924T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:15 PM EDT Monday the stage was 44.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 46.3 feet 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, Swimming becomes dangerous in the river in 
  the park area.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet, Boat ramp at the end of Bible Camp Road 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Access to river gage becomes limited as the 
  Bible Camp Road boat ramp becomes flooded and the last half mile 
  of Bible Camp Road begins to flood in Columbia County. Overland 
  flooding begins past the Santa Fe River sink in the park and will 
  cut-off access road to south end of the park.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-023-220145-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210923T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210925T0000Z.210925T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
932 PM EDT Mon Sep 20 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Wednesday evening until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM EDT Monday the stage was 33.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  evening and continue rising to 35.1 feet Saturday morning. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

KB
125 
WGUS82 KJAX 211338
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Florida 
and Georgia...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

  St Mary's River At Macclenny affecting Nassau, Baker and Charlton 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs affecting Alachua and 
  Union Counties.

  Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Gilchrist, 
  Columbia and Suwannee Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC003-089-GAC049-221345-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0058.210921T1611Z-210923T1600Z/
/MACF1.1.ER.210921T1611Z.210922T0600Z.210923T1000Z.NO/
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the St Mary's River At Macclenny.
* Until early Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon to a crest of 12.4 feet just after midnight tonight. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 12.0 feet, Minor flooding of low lying areas and 
  timber lands including some properties along St. Mary's River 
  Bluff Road and the Cypress Landing Resort on the Georgia side.
* Impact...At 14.0 feet, Flooding of bottomlands along the river and 
  some lower access roads including the lower half of St. Mary's 
  River Bluff Road which cuts off 15 to 20 homes on the Georgia side.


&&

LAT...LON 3041 8221 3038 8207 3062 8204 3062 8198
      3034 8203 3035 8220

$$

FLC001-023-221345-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210923T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210923T1800Z.210925T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Thursday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:45 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 33.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 36.4 feet 
  early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

FLC001-023-221345-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210924T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 44.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 47.7 feet 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, Swimming becomes dangerous in the river in 
  the park area.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet, Boat ramp at the end of Bible Camp Road 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Access to river gage becomes limited as the 
  Bible Camp Road boat ramp becomes flooded and the last half mile 
  of Bible Camp Road begins to flood in Columbia County. Overland 
  flooding begins past the Santa Fe River sink in the park and will 
  cut-off access road to south end of the park.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.
* Impact...At 52.0 feet, A barn floods upstream of O'leno State park 
  in Alachua County at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-125-221345-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WORF1.1.ER.210919T1300Z.210924T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 59.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 59.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 61.5 feet 
  Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, The boat ramp and floating dock at 
  Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Picnic Areas and campsites at Chastain-Seay 
  Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 59.0 feet, Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs 
  is generally closed to the public as access roads within the park 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, A driveway near Southwest 102nd Court in 
  Union County begins to flood at this level. Flooding along the 
  river continues to impact boat ramps, docks and campgrounds in the 
  area.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Union County, flooding expands across 
  farm land south of County Road 18 and approaches the road surface 
  about 1 mile east of Southwest County Road 241.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, Southwest 99th Avenue in Union County 
  begins to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 2995 8253 2996 8251 2993 8242 2992 8242
      2992 8247 2993 8253

$$

FLC023-041-121-221345-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.210902T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 AM EDT Tuesday the stage was 18.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.2 feet Sunday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins on SW Santa Fe 
  Drive south of Santa Fe Road in Columbia County.
* Impact...At 16.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream of the Wilson's Spring Boat 
  Ramp to the confluence with the Suwannee River and on the 
  Ichetucknee River upstream to the US 27 bridge.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences on Santa Fe Road in Columbia County and on River Run 
  Road in Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.8 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission 
  expands the no wake zone restriction further upstream on the Santa 
  Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream on the 
  Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to one-half mile upstream of the State 
  Road 47 bridge.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences along the Ichetucknee River.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet, Waters begins to affect homes in the 
  Hollingsworth Bluff area at State Route 47.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Access to homes on Santa Fe Road below SW 
  Riverside Avenue becomes restricted in Columbia. Flooding begins 
  on Santa Fe and Wilson Springs Road.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Homes are surrounded on River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County. Structures flood along Santa Fe Road west of 
  Idaho Parkway in Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2990 8278 2992 8280 2990 8283 2993 8283
      2996 8279 2993 8276

$$

BOOTHE
134 
WGUS82 KJAX 220106
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
906 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs affecting Alachua and 
  Union Counties.

  Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Gilchrist, 
  Columbia and Suwannee Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC001-023-230115-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210924T0300Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210924T0300Z.210926T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From Thursday evening until further notice.
* At 8:45 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 34.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  Thursday evening and continue rising to 35.6 feet Saturday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

FLC001-023-230115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210925T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 45.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 47.2 feet 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, Swimming becomes dangerous in the river in 
  the park area.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet, Boat ramp at the end of Bible Camp Road 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Access to river gage becomes limited as the 
  Bible Camp Road boat ramp becomes flooded and the last half mile 
  of Bible Camp Road begins to flood in Columbia County. Overland 
  flooding begins past the Santa Fe River sink in the park and will 
  cut-off access road to south end of the park.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-125-230115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WORF1.1.ER.210919T1300Z.210925T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:15 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 59.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 59.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 61.7 feet 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, The boat ramp and floating dock at 
  Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Picnic Areas and campsites at Chastain-Seay 
  Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 59.0 feet, Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs 
  is generally closed to the public as access roads within the park 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, A driveway near Southwest 102nd Court in 
  Union County begins to flood at this level. Flooding along the 
  river continues to impact boat ramps, docks and campgrounds in the 
  area.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Union County, flooding expands across 
  farm land south of County Road 18 and approaches the road surface 
  about 1 mile east of Southwest County Road 241.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, Southwest 99th Avenue in Union County 
  begins to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 2995 8253 2996 8251 2993 8242 2992 8242
      2992 8247 2993 8253

$$

FLC023-041-121-230115-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.210902T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
906 PM EDT Tue Sep 21 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:00 PM EDT Tuesday the stage was 18.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 19.7 feet early Sunday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins on SW Santa Fe 
  Drive south of Santa Fe Road in Columbia County.
* Impact...At 16.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream of the Wilson's Spring Boat 
  Ramp to the confluence with the Suwannee River and on the 
  Ichetucknee River upstream to the US 27 bridge.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences on Santa Fe Road in Columbia County and on River Run 
  Road in Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.8 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission 
  expands the no wake zone restriction further upstream on the Santa 
  Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream on the 
  Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to one-half mile upstream of the State 
  Road 47 bridge.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences along the Ichetucknee River.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet, Waters begins to affect homes in the 
  Hollingsworth Bluff area at State Route 47.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Access to homes on Santa Fe Road below SW 
  Riverside Avenue becomes restricted in Columbia. Flooding begins 
  on Santa Fe and Wilson Springs Road.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Homes are surrounded on River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County. Structures flood along Santa Fe Road west of 
  Idaho Parkway in Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2990 8278 2992 8280 2990 8283 2993 8283
      2996 8279 2993 8276

$$

DD
362 
WGUS82 KJAX 221457
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Florida...

  Santa Fe River At Fort White affecting Gilchrist and Columbia 
  Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park affecting Alachua and 
  Columbia Counties.

  Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs affecting Alachua and 
  Union Counties.

  Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates affecting Gilchrist, 
  Columbia and Suwannee Counties.

Additional information is available at 
https://water.weather.gov/ahps2/forecasts.php?wfo=jax.

&&


FLC001-023-231500-
/O.EXT.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210924T0600Z-000000T0000Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210924T0600Z.210926T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* From late Thursday night until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Friday morning and continue rising to a crest of 37.3 feet early 
  Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, High water will begin to impact docks and 
  boat ramps in the area.
* Impact...At 34.2 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the River 
  Rise in O'Leno State Park downstream to the center line of the US 
  27 Bridge.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Wooded areas along the river begin to 
  flood. The boat ramp south of US-441 in Alachua County is 
  inaccessible above this level.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Water begins to approach two residences 
  along the river at the end of Southeast Resort Circle in Columbia 
  County. The boat ramp near the US-27 bridge in Columbia County 
  begins to flood at this level.
* Impact...At 39.0 feet, In Columbia County, Southeast Resort Circle 
  floods near the entrance of the subdivision, restricting access to 
  all homes in the area.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

FLC023-041-231500-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0057.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/FWHF1.2.ER.210920T2315Z.210926T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Fort White.
* Until further notice.
* At 9:45 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 23.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 25.0 feet early Sunday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Minor damage to dwellings is possible due 
  to boat wash.
* Impact...At 23.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  centerline of the US 27 Bridge downstream to one-half mile 
  upstream from the State Road 47 Bridge.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Damage to homes at low elevation as well as 
  basement areas underneath homes on stilts is likely.


&&

LAT...LON 2993 8276 2985 8268 2984 8266 2982 8266
      2982 8271 2990 8279

$$

FLC001-023-231500-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0055.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OLPF1.1.ER.210920T0055Z.210925T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near O'Leno State Park.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 45.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 43.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 48.8 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 41.0 feet, Swimming becomes dangerous in the river in 
  the park area.
* Impact...At 42.0 feet, Boat ramp at the end of Bible Camp Road 
  begins to flood.
* Impact...At 43.0 feet, Access to river gage becomes limited as the 
  Bible Camp Road boat ramp becomes flooded and the last half mile 
  of Bible Camp Road begins to flood in Columbia County. Overland 
  flooding begins past the Santa Fe River sink in the park and will 
  cut-off access road to south end of the park.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Numerous walking trails in O'leno State 
  Park are flooded on the Alachua County side of the river. Flooding 
  begins to affect local roads north of Buzzard Roost Prairie in 
  Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2988 8261 2994 8259 2995 8253 2993 8253
      2991 8256 2987 8257

$$

FLC001-125-231500-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/WORF1.1.ER.210919T1300Z.210925T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River Near Worthington Springs.
* Until further notice.
* At 10:15 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 59.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 59.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 62.4 feet 
  Friday evening.
* Impact...At 56.0 feet, The boat ramp and floating dock at 
  Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Picnic Areas and campsites at Chastain-Seay 
  Park in Worthington Springs begin to flood.
* Impact...At 59.0 feet, Chastain-Seay Park in Worthington Springs 
  is generally closed to the public as access roads within the park 
  become flooded.
* Impact...At 60.0 feet, A driveway near Southwest 102nd Court in 
  Union County begins to flood at this level. Flooding along the 
  river continues to impact boat ramps, docks and campgrounds in the 
  area.
* Impact...At 62.0 feet, In Union County, flooding expands across 
  farm land south of County Road 18 and approaches the road surface 
  about 1 mile east of Southwest County Road 241.
* Impact...At 63.0 feet, Southwest 99th Avenue in Union County 
  begins to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 2995 8253 2996 8251 2993 8242 2992 8242
      2992 8247 2993 8253

$$

FLC023-041-121-231500-
/O.CON.KJAX.FL.W.0036.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TREF1.2.ER.000000T0000Z.210902T1400Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1057 AM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Santa Fe River At Three Rivers Estates.
* Until further notice.
* At 8:00 AM EDT Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 20.1 feet Monday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Lowland flooding begins on SW Santa Fe 
  Drive south of Santa Fe Road in Columbia County.
* Impact...At 16.3 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission begins 
  enforcement of a no wake zone on the Santa Fe River from the 
  unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream of the Wilson's Spring Boat 
  Ramp to the confluence with the Suwannee River and on the 
  Ichetucknee River upstream to the US 27 bridge.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences on Santa Fe Road in Columbia County and on River Run 
  Road in Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Water begins to flood River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County.
* Impact...At 18.8 feet, Florida Fish and Wildlife Commission 
  expands the no wake zone restriction further upstream on the Santa 
  Fe River from the unnamed island 1.5 miles downstream on the 
  Wilson's Spring Boat Ramp to one-half mile upstream of the State 
  Road 47 bridge.
* Impact...At 19.0 feet, Water begins to enter backyards of 
  residences along the Ichetucknee River.
* Impact...At 19.8 feet, Waters begins to affect homes in the 
  Hollingsworth Bluff area at State Route 47.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Access to homes on Santa Fe Road below SW 
  Riverside Avenue becomes restricted in Columbia. Flooding begins 
  on Santa Fe and Wilson Springs Road.
* Impact...At 21.0 feet, Homes are surrounded on River Run Road in 
  Suwannee County. Structures flood along Santa Fe Road west of 
  Idaho Parkway in Columbia County.


&&

LAT...LON 2990 8278 2992 8280 2990 8283 2993 8283
      2996 8279 2993 8276

$$

AK
570 
WGUS82 KJAX 230100
FLSJAX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
900 PM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Florida...

  Santa Fe River near High Springs affecting Alachua and Columbia 
  Counties.

FLC001-023-230200-
/O.CAN.KJAX.FL.W.0056.210924T0600Z-210923T0100Z/
/HSPF1.1.ER.210924T0600Z.210926T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
900 PM EDT Wed Sep 22 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Santa Fe River near High Springs has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Santa Fe River near High Springs.
* At 7:45 PM EDT Wednesday the stage was 34.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Monday afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 34.7 feet early 
  tomorrow afternoon. It will then rise to 35.1 feet Monday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 2984 8266 2987 8261 2987 8257 2982 8262
      2982 8266

$$

DD

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Jacksonville, FL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at Sep 19, 9:25 AM EDT, 30 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Sep 19, 9:25 AM EDT, 30 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
925 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...LOCALIZED HEAVY RAIN AND FLOODING POSSIBLE TODAY MAINLY OVER
PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST FL...

.UPDATE...
Forecast remains on track, no major updates made at this time.
Showers have been moving onshore in SE GA and north of St.
Augustine in NE FL. The Lightning threat this morning is low but
a few cells have produced a few lightning strikes near the coast
and over the coastal waters. Showers will continue to move inland
throughout the morning, then numerous showers and thunderstorms
will be possible area-wide this afternoon and evening. The 12Z
Jacksonville upper air sounding measured PWAT values well above
average, which will result in another day of heavy rainfall and
potential flooding. The heaviest rainfall is expected to be
generally between I-95 and I-75 in Northeast Florida. Locations
along the I-75 corridor will be especially susceptible to flooding
due to rain falling on saturated soils from heavy rainfall
received in this area over the past few days. Runoff could also
exacerbate ongoing river flooding along the Santa Fe River.
Expected precipitation and cloud cover will keep high temperatures
in the middle 80s today.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [742 AM EDT]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Tonight]...

Current guidance suite continues to show weak west-east low level
troughing from the eastern Gulf coast, through north central FL
and then into the our southern marine waters off of Flagler and St
Johns county. This weak boundary will remain quasi-stationary today
and then begin to lift slowly northward later tonight. Moisture
remains high over most zones with widespread PWATs of 2+ inches
through tonight, and a weak east-northeast low level flow persists
as high pressure ridge remains from GA northeastward to New England.
This setup will favor initial convection again along the coastal
areas through the morning hours, with convection oriented in cells
or northwest-southeast bands due to uniform east- southeast flow
through about 12 kft. With a mid level trough from the central FL
panhandle southeast into northeast FL, slow storm motion and positive
vorticity advection will again support numerous to widespread showers
and storms to mainly inland northeast FL. Areas of heavy rainfall
and localized flooding may develop again and have included heavy
rainfall wording in the grids. Abundant clouds and precip area will
keep highs a bit lower than the past couple of days with highs mainly
in the mid 80s.

Tonight...deep layered moisture and leftover boundaries will
support scattered to numerous showers and storms this evening,
eventually weakening overnight with loss of heating. Focus after
1-2 AM will be more toward the coastal areas again, especially
from St Augustine to Brunswick but with more inland progress over
inland southeast GA. Patchy late night fog will be possible and
lows around 71-75 deg are expected.

.SHORT TERM [Monday Through Tuesday]...

A developing coastal trough may produce bands of heavy rainfall
especially along the se Ga coast where onshore flow and convergence
will increase as strong high pressure builds over the ne U.S.
Heavy rainfall may also occur over inland ne Fl during the
afternoon/evening hours as onshore winds push the east coast
seabreeze well inland. Deep moisture and weak steering winds will
continue the chance for localized flooding.

.LONG TERM [Wednesday Through Saturday]...

An approaching upper trough and cold front to the nw will produce a
sw-w flow over the area on Wednesday maintaining the very moist
and unstable airmass over the area. Showers and thunderstorms will
be likely with the continued threat of heavy rainfall and
localized flooding due to PWATs near 2 inches and a slow storm
motion. The cold front will push se across se Ga Wednesday night
and ne Fl early Thursday morning bringing drier air and lower rain
chances. Surface high pressure will build to the north of the area
which will result in a northeast flow into the weekend. Coastal
convergence and low level moisture behind the front will produce
a chance for mainly coastal showers near the ne Fl coast Thu-
Sat...with dry conditions expected across se Ga. Cooler and less
humid conditions behind the front will result in low temperatures
falling into the low/mid 60s well inland.

.AVIATION...
[Through 12Z Monday]

Showers are moving onshore near SSI/CRG/JAX/SGJ that could bring
lower visibility and ceilings as they pass. Lightning has been
observed this morning in showers near SSI and JAX, included VCTS
early. Ceilings will lift to VFR at most sites today, with MVFR
and IFR conditions possible in showers and thunderstorms this
afternoon and evening. Rain should taper off at all sites around
06Z Monday or shortly after, and patchy fog and low stratus will
be possible late in the TAF period at inland locations. Left out
fog and lower ceilings for now, but will likely be added to the
18Z TAFs.

.MARINE...

Variable to light east winds early today will increase to near
10-15 kt by the aftn hours. Seas are a bit lower than NWPS so
slight adjustments were made to the 1st period. Otherwise, winds
tonight will transition to east-southeast tonight and then
southeast on Monday as coastal troughing, oriented more north to
south, develops, and more or less persists into Wednesday. The
abundant moisture, and convergence flow in the low levels will
support daily showers and storms over the area waters. A cold
front moves in late Wed night, with a northerly flow anticipated
by Thursday as the front slides just south of the area waters.

Rip Currents: Moderate risk of rip currents will continue today
through Monday due to onshore flow and easterly swells. Some
longer period swell is noted around 13 seconds today.

.HYDROLOGY...

Minor flooding continues along lower portions of the Santa Fe River
near the Three Rivers Estates gauge. Runoff from numerous to
widespread convection will likely result in river rises across
portions of northeast FL. It is possible additional river flood
warnings may be needed, especially along the Santa Fe River where
heavy rains fell late Saturday.

Locally heavy rainfall and localized flooding will be possible
over the next few days with WPC showing marginal risk of excessive
rainfall. Estimated rainfall amounts into Monday are around 1-2
inches, with locally higher totals possible. Heaviest amounts in
the today- Monday time period look to be over northeast FL and
possibly coastal southeast GA.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

AMG  85  72  83  71  85 /  60  50  80  40  80
SSI  85  75  84  75  85 /  60  70  80  70  90
JAX  86  74  85  74  87 /  70  50  80  50  90
SGJ  85  74  85  74  86 /  60  50  80  50  90
GNV  85  71  85  71  87 /  80  50  80  30  90
OCF  86  73  87  73  88 /  80  40  80  30  80

&&

.JAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AM...None.
&&

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Sep 19, 7:39 AM EDT, 2 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
739 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

FLZ124-125-133-325-191230-
Coastal St. Johns FL-South Central Duval FL-Coastal Nassau FL-
Coastal Duval FL-
739 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...Heavy showers will impact portions of east central Nassau,
northeastern St. Johns and eastern Duval Counties through 830 AM
EDT...

At 738 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a gusty shower near Little
Talbot Island, or 10 miles northeast of Unf, moving northwest at 5
mph.

HAZARD...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall and upcoming high
         tide, which may prevent drainage at coastal locations.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Unf, Ponte Vedra Beach, Neptune Beach, Sawgrass, Baymeadows, Nocatee,
Durbin, Craig Field, San Pablo and Little Talbot Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall are occurring with these downpours, which may
lead to localized flooding, particularly at coastal locations. Do
not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3013 8155 3055 8163 3055 8139 3025 8135
      2998 8125
TIME...MOT...LOC 1138Z 131DEG 5KT 3041 8144

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

NELSON
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 8:32 AM EDT, 1 hour 23 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
832 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

FLZ024-124-125-225-425-191345-
Western Duval FL-Inland Nassau FL-Trout River FL-Coastal Nassau FL-
Coastal Duval FL-
832 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...Torrential downpours will impact portions of central Nassau and
northeastern Duval Counties through 945 AM EDT...

At 832 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking heavy downpours near Fort
Caroline, or 10 miles northeast of Arlington, moving northwest at 10
mph.

HAZARD...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Jacksonville International Arpt, Neptune Beach, Oceanway, Little
Talbot Island and Fort Caroline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these showers and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3044 8139 3026 8137 3053 8181 3069 8175
TIME...MOT...LOC 1232Z 127DEG 11KT 3047 8153

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

NELSON
Special weather statement, Sep 19, 8:44 AM EDT, 1 hour 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jacksonville FL
844 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

GAZ165-166-191345-
Inland Camden GA-Coastal Camden GA-
844 AM EDT Sun Sep 19 2021

...Heavy downpours will impact portions of Camden County through 945
AM EDT...

At 843 AM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a gusty shower over
Woodbine, moving northwest at 10 mph.

HAZARD...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Minor flooding due to heavy rainfall is possible.

Locations impacted include...
Woodbine, Waverly, Tarboro, Harrietts Bluff, Dover Bluff and
Colesburg.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is occurring with these showers, which may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3080 8150 3095 8189 3116 8177 3099 8145
TIME...MOT...LOC 1243Z 127DEG 9KT 3095 8167

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH

NELSON

The office that day

Everything else NWS Jacksonville, FL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Sep 18, 8:58 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua3 hr
Sep 18, 10:06 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua54 min
Sep 18, 10:17 PM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXAlachua3 hr
Sep 19, 6:29 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Union8 days
Sep 19, 6:29 AM EDTRiver Flood WarningJAXAlachua, Columbia10 days
Sep 19, 7:39 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXDuval51 min
Sep 19, 8:32 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXNassau73 min
Sep 19, 9:07 AM EDTAreal Flood WarningJAXDuval85 min
Sep 19, 11:08 AM EDTFlood WatchJAXAlachua, Baker, Bradford, Clay, Duval, Gilchrist and 5 more33 hr
Sep 19, 3:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXBaker35 min
Sep 19, 3:37 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXPutnam23 min
Sep 19, 3:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXAlachua35 min
Sep 19, 4:35 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementJAXMarion25 min

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Florida, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.