Special Weather Statement, NWS Jackson, MS

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1252 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...SIGNIFICANT SEVERE WEATHER EVENT LIKELY THURSDAY...

.UPDATE...
Updated for 06Z aviation discussion

&&

.AVIATION...
06Z TAF discussion:
VFR conditions are prevailing at most sites this evening despite
some increasing rain and storms across the area. Southern TAF
sites have seen the influx of stratus and rain this evening, which
has resulted in IFR conditions. Expect that as the warm front
continues to push north, as well as the rain and storms, that more
sites will fall to IFR flight categories(at minimum MVFR) through
daybreak. As rain moves north, some improvement may occur in the
morning but this will be short lived and it is expected that sites
will remain MVFR to IFR through the day. Significant severe
weather will affect the region today with hail, damaging winds and
tornadoes all anticipated. These would especially be of concern
for KGTR/KJAN/KHKS/KMEI. Outside of storms, winds will be out of
the south to southwest around 15-20kts gusting to 35kts. Storms
will move from west to east through the day with the bulk of the
activity exiting the region by 00-03Z. Winds will diminish to
around 10-15kts out of the west. Flight categories should also
improve. /28/

&&

.DISCUSSION...

All is generally on track in the near term with a strengthening
warm front and associated deep convection shifting north into
southern Mississippi. The 00z LIX raob came in with a very
impressive 2000+ j/kg most unstable CAPE when lifting from 834mb.
These lapse rates are most concerning as we move toward
Thursday's severe event, and the MRMS MESH of 2.13 inches with
the severe storm north of BTR earlier is not surprising. Expect a
continued hail threat as storms continue to develop northward and
will maintain the marginal/slight severe risk for tonight.
Otherwise, have just made minor adjustments to overnight weather
elements. /EC/

Prior discussion below:

Tonight through Thursday Evening...The primary story through the
short-term remains the significant severe weather potential on
Thursday. Before we get to that though, we have another potential
bump in the road, per say, on the way to Thursday's event.  This,
coming in the form of a potential for severe storms late this
afternoon into late tonight.

Southwest flow aloft across the region will persist. A compact but
stout mid/upper level trough digging southeast from the Four Corners
region into the southern plains states, will eject northeast across
the Ozarks into the Mid-Mississippi River Valley on Thursday.  As
this happens, a boundary currently residing to the south of the CWA,
will begin lifting northward as a warm front. As this happens,
surface moisture will rush in and begin overspreading the CWA from
the south, with dew points climbing into the 60s in most areas
tonight, with dew points in the 70s on Thursday.

Showers and storms will develop across the CWA along the warm front,
as well as in the front's wake through the evening. As both
instability and wind shear across the region during this time, in
addition to steepening mid-level lapse rates, isolated severe storms
will be possible now through into late tonight across much of the
CWA. However, the best chance for severe storms still looks best
across the northwest portion of the CWA. Currently, hail to the size
of quarters and damaging wind gusts will be the primary concerns
with storms, but a tornado cannot be ruled out. Otherwise for today,
look for mostly cloudy skies with highs in the mid and upper 70s.

As the warm front continues to lift northward into the the Mid-South
region through early Thursday morning, the threat of severe storms
will grow less across the CWA.  This is a result of warming aloft
across our region. However, some scattered showers and storms will
remain possible through the rest of the overnight hours into
Thursday morning. Otherwise, look for muggy breezy conditions by day
break Thursday, with lows into the low to middle 60s.

As day breaks on Thursday, a lull in convection is expected across
the CWA.  Gusty southerly winds across the CWA will continue to
increase instability levels across the forecast area through mid-
day.  Overall, conditions Thursday will be be very muggy as highs
climb up into the mid 70s to around 80 early in the afternoon.

As the aforementioned mid/upper trough pivots northeast from the
southern plains towards the Mid-Mississippi River valley late
Thursday morning, it'll send a pre-frontal trough into the CWA by
mid-day.  This pre-frontal trough, in addition to ample and still
increasing levels of both instability, wind shear, and very steep
mid-level lapse rates across the region, will be the spark needed to
begin igniting convection across the forecast area around noon
Thursday, and continuing into early Thursday evening afternoon in
the Golden Triangle area.

Severe storms will be possible across the entire forecast area
Thursday. However, current high-res model trends continue to suggest
the area of best threat for the most intense and destructive fast-
moving super cells, will reside over the area mainly along and
northeast of a Grenada to Jackson to Meridian line.  It'll be here
that the best conglomeration of peak severe parameters in afternoon
heating are expected. Regardless, in the most intense storms,
tornadoes will be likely, with some of those tornadoes potentially
being strong and long-tracked. Damaging winds up to 80 mph and hail
greater than golf ball size are also possible. Further south, again
severe storms are possible, but a capping inversion looks to make
convection a bit tougher to come by.  Hence, why a tighter gradient
exists in SPC's severe category threat across the southern portion
of the CWA.  In addition, an additional one to three inches of on
top of rain from previous days, could result in the some localized
flash flooding and continued river flooding, especially across the
Pine Belt this evening through Thursday.

Residents across the CWA, and well as the Deep South in general,
need to actively monitor NOAA Weather Radio, along with local radio
and television stations throughout the day Thursday, to keep abreast
of the latest weather and watch/warning information.  Please have a
plan of action in place ahead of time, so in the event a warning is
issued for your county or parish, you know where to go immediately.

Storms will exit the CWA in the early evening hours.  Winds will
remain breezy in the wake of the storms, with mostly sunny skies
expected over much of the forecast by late evening.  Drier air will
also begin moving into the area, as dew points fall into the 50s
from west to east through the evening. /19/

Thursday night through Saturday...The period begins with the
cold front and preceding severe threat exiting east and rain
chances moving out of the area and stalling near the northern Gulf
coast. Cooler, drier air filters in Thursday night and
temperatures are likely to fall into the 50s F across the
Arklamiss with a few upper 40s F for overnight lows possible in
some of the typically colder spots. The stalled front will begin
moving north as a warm front into southern Mississippi by Friday
midday. Temperatures rebound quickly Friday, into the 70s to near
80 F from north to south. A more significant difference apparent
temperature is likely with lower 50s F dewpoints in the north
compared to a much more muggy 60s south of the weakly northward
moving warm front.

By Friday evening and overnight, a few showers are possible in the
vicinity of the frontal boundary. However, with little in the way of
upper level support, only isolated rain showers or brief
thunderstorms are expected for most north of I-20. A stronger storm
is possible along and north of the hwy 82 corridor where the Storm
Prediction Center has outlooked a "Marginal" risk for severe storms.
Given the uncertainty following the impending midweek severe and how
it may affect the severe storms risk by late week, we are currently
not highlighting a defined risk area. As we move closer in time to
the possible risk, a risk area may need to be delineated. Chances of
precipitation increases some on Saturday mostly along and north of I-
20. Some heavy rain and thunderstorms are possible, particularly
along and north of the Hwy 82 corridor. Some in this zone of heavier
rainfall may see 1-2" where storms move across the same areas. Highs
Saturday will reach into the lower and middle 80s F for most, held
into the 70s F by rain and cloud cover in the north.

Saturday evening through Tuesday...Saturday evening into early
Sunday morning, a weak upper disturbance with attendant weak
surface low will likely be moving eastward across the Middle
Mississippi Valley region and will push the frontal boundary back
south. Scattered thunderstorms with some possibly strong to severe
are likely as the front moves south into an environment
characterized by some guidance of around 750-1000 J/KG SBCAPE,
50-55 kt 0-H5 bulk shear, dew points in the middle to upper 60s F,
and around 200 0-1 km SRH. By 09z early Sunday, GFS forecast
soundings indicate increasing CINH with an inversion developing
around 900 mb as well as increasingly veered boundary layer flow.
This will likely result in a weakening trend for storms during
this time. Even so, some remaining elevated instability and the
lift associated with the advancing cold frontal boundary will
likely contribute to continued showers and storms moving in a band
from north to south.

Rain chances diminish by Sunday afternoon as the front moves south
of the area. Highs cool a bit from Saturday, rising into the 70s
across the area. A cooler night follows with middle 50s F for most
and upper 40s F likely for northern areas. Not unusual for this time
of year, the front once again stalls near the northern Gulf coast.
By Monday, the front begins to move north as a warm front. Forecast
soundings indicate defined veering with height along and near the
front and the associated warm air advection and southerly flow
moving atop the slowly advancing warm front will contribute to
showers and storms. This area of precipitation will be moving slowly
north during the day Monday. With only very weak southerlies on the
western flank of the subtropical high aiding in the frontal
progression, its progress nay become stalled across the area and
rain chances are likely to continue into Tuesday. /86/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Jackson       63  79  52  79 /  83  92  15  10
Meridian      62  77  54  79 /  89  92  41  14
Vicksburg     64  80  51  80 /  82  84   7   6
Hattiesburg   64  80  59  80 /  91  87  31  16
Natchez       64  78  52  80 /  73  81   7  10
Greenville    64  78  51  75 /  93  87   9   2
Greenwood     64  78  51  78 /  94  89  17   3

&&

.JAN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MS...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for MSZ018-019-025>059-061>066-072>074.

     Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MSZ063>066-072>074.

LA...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for LAZ009-016.

AR...Wind Advisory from 7 AM this morning to 7 PM CDT this evening
     for ARZ075.

&&

28

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Jackson MS
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

ARZ074-LAZ008-016-251100-
Ashley-West Carroll-Madison LA-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, and northeast Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Thursday

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely. Some thunderstorms
may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail up to golf ball
size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds of
20 to 25 mph, and wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday night.

ARZ075-LAZ009-MSZ018-034-040-041-047-053-054-251100-
Chicot-East Carroll-Bolivar-Washington-Issaquena-Sharkey-Warren-
Claiborne-Copiah-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Arkansas, northeast Louisiana, central Mississippi, northwest
Mississippi, southwest Mississippi, and west central Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely. Some thunderstorms
may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail up to golf ball
size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Friday
night and tonight through Thursday night.

MSZ019-025>027-035-036-042-048-251100-
Sunflower-Leflore-Grenada-Carroll-Humphreys-Holmes-Yazoo-Hinds-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, north central Mississippi, and northwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely, with
strong long tracked tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms could
also produce damaging winds up to 80 mph and hail greater than
golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Friday
night and tonight through Thursday night.

MSZ028>033-037>039-043>046-049>052-056-057-251100-
Montgomery-Webster-Clay-Lowndes-Choctaw-Oktibbeha-Attala-Winston-
Noxubee-Madison MS-Leake-Neshoba-Kemper-Rankin-Scott-Newton-
Lauderdale-Smith-Jasper-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, north central Mississippi,
and northeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Moderate
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

An additional one to three inches of rain across the area could
result in localized flash flooding, particularly in low lying,
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely, with
strong long tracked tornadoes possible. Some thunderstorms could
also produce damaging winds up to 80 mph and hail greater than
golf ball size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Friday
night and tonight through Thursday night.

LAZ007-015-023-025-026-MSZ059-060-251100-
Morehouse-Richland-Franklin LA-Tensas-Concordia-Jefferson-Adams-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana, and southwest Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Thursday

Severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could
produce quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging winds.
Tornadoes are possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds of
20 to 25 mph, and wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday night.

MSZ061-251100-
Franklin MS-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southwest
Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

Severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could
produce quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging winds.
Tornadoes are possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday night.

MSZ062-063-072>074-251100-
Lincoln-Lawrence-Marion-Lamar-Forrest-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of south central
Mississippi, and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

An additional one to three inches of rain across the area could
result in localized flash flooding, particularly in low lying,
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could
produce quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging winds.
Tornadoes are possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday night.

MSZ055-058-064>066-251100-
Simpson-Clarke-Jefferson Davis-Covington-Jones-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of central
Mississippi, east central Mississippi, south central Mississippi,
and southeast Mississippi.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

FLOODING
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Tonight through Thursday

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Enhanced
TIMING...Mainly Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Elevated
TIMING...Thursday

An additional one to three inches of rain across the area could
result in localized flash flooding, particularly in low lying,
and urban areas. Minor river flooding is also possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/4.png)

Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are likely. Some thunderstorms
may produce damaging winds up to 70 mph and hail up to golf ball
size.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/1.png)

Some downed trees and power lines are possible, due to sustained
winds ranging from 20 to 30 mph, with the potential for wind
gusts of 35 to 45 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those in
high profile vehicles.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region tonight
through Thursday night.

LAZ024-251100-
Catahoula-
315 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northeast
Louisiana.

.DAY ONE...Tonight and Thursday...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
THREAT...Slight
TIMING...Thursday

NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS
THREAT...Limited
TIMING...Thursday

Severe thunderstorms are possible. Some thunderstorms could
produce quarter to golf ball size hail and damaging winds.
Tornadoes are possible.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/2.png)

Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to sustained winds of
20 to 25 mph, and wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph. High profile
vehicles could also be affected.

(https://www.weather.gov/images/jan/graphicast/3.png)

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday night through Tuesday...

The probability of hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...
The activation of storm spotters, HAM radio operators, and
emergency management personnel in support of severe weather
operations may be needed for portions of the region Thursday
through Thursday night.

19

&&

...HAZARD LEGEND...

*SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS*
High...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong or violent tornadoes possible.
Moderate...Significant severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are
 likely with strong tornadoes possible.
Enhanced...Severe thunderstorms are likely and tornadoes are
 possible.
Slight...Severe thunderstorms and tornadoes are possible.
Marginal...Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible.

*NON-THUNDERSTORM WINDS*
Significant...Scattered downed trees and power lines are likely
 due to sustained winds over 35 mph and potential wind gusts
 greater than 50 mph.
Elevated...A few downed trees and power lines are possible due
 to sustained winds ranging from 25 to 35 mph and potential for
 wind gusts over 40 mph. Travel will also be difficult for those
 in high profile vehicles.
Limited...Weak trees and limbs may break and fall due to
 sustained winds up to 25 mph and wind gusts around 35 mph.
 High profile vehicles could also be affected.

*FLOODING*
Extreme...Widespread and significant flooding is likely.
Significant...Widespread flash flooding is likely
 and significant flooding is possible.
Elevated...Areas of flash flooding likely.
Limited...Localized flash flooding is possible.

...USEFUL WEATHER WEB PAGES (URLS)...

NWS JAN Home page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan
Stay Aware, Stay Safe NWS JAN Briefing Page...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe
Latest Weather Briefing...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/weather_briefing

Find NWS JAN on Facebook...
   https://www.facebook.com/NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Twitter...
   @NWSJacksonMS
Follow NWS JAN on Youtube...
   https://www.youtube.com/user/NWSJacksonMiss

...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR SEVERE WEATHER ISSUES...

Storm Prediction Center (SPC)...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/
Meso Analysis...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/
Day 1 through 3 Outlooks...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/
Storm Reports...
   https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/online/
...ADDITIONAL URLS FOR FLOODING ISSUES...

Current Watches and Warnings...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/safe_HeavyRain

Observed Precipitation Images...
   https://www.weather.gov/jan/precipmaps

River Forecast Center...
   https://www.weather.gov/lmrfc/
Significant River Flood Outlook...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/nationalfloodoutlook/index.html
Day 1 through 3 Excessive Rainfall...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/excess_rain.shtml
Excessive Rainfall Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpferd.html
Day 1 through 7 QPF...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/qpf2.shtml
QPF Discussion...
   https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/qpfpfd.html

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
957 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

LAZ023>025-250330-
Tensas LA-Catahoula LA-Franklin LA-
957 PM CDT Wed Mar 24 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT WESTERN TENSAS...NORTHEASTERN
CATAHOULA AND SOUTHEASTERN FRANKLIN PARISHES UNTIL 1030 PM CDT...

At 956 PM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Cooter Point, or 18 miles north of Ferriday, moving north at 60
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Wisner around 1000 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Gilbert and Sicily
Island.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3222 9172 3222 9154 3220 9154 3220 9146
      3181 9148 3182 9169
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 182DEG 51KT 3190 9159

27

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
1247 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

MSZ055-056-065-250630-
Smith MS-Covington MS-Simpson MS-
1247 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT SOUTHEASTERN SIMPSON...CENTRAL
SMITH AND NORTHWESTERN COVINGTON COUNTIES UNTIL 130 AM CDT...

At 1247 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Magee, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Raleigh and Center Ridge around 1255 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Sylvarena and Mize.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3169 8976 3177 8976 3177 8981 3213 8957
      3207 8934 3164 8955
TIME...MOT...LOC 0547Z 239DEG 49KT 3189 8959

DB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
143 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

MSZ057-058-250715-
Jasper MS-Clarke MS-
143 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHEASTERN JASPER AND
NORTHWESTERN CLARKE COUNTIES UNTIL 215 AM CDT...

At 143 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Paulding, or 16 miles west of Quitman, moving northeast at 45
mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Orange around 150 AM CDT.
  Stonewall around 200 AM CDT.
  Sable around 210 AM CDT.
  Middleton around 215 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Pachuta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3219 8851 3194 8902 3209 8914 3223 8895
      3223 8854
TIME...MOT...LOC 0643Z 235DEG 39KT 3206 8901

DB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
206 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

MSZ052-058-250730-
Lauderdale MS-Clarke MS-
206 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTH CENTRAL CLARKE AND
SOUTHEASTERN LAUDERDALE COUNTIES UNTIL 230 AM CDT...

At 205 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
over Sable, or 11 miles north of Quitman, moving northeast at 55 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Middleton around 210 AM CDT.
  Increase and Zero around 215 AM CDT.
  Alamucha and Toomsuba around 225 AM CDT.
  Kewanee around 230 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3223 8843 3209 8875 3224 8885 3253 8840
TIME...MOT...LOC 0705Z 239DEG 49KT 3221 8873

DB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
239 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

MSZ032-033-037-038-250815-
Oktibbeha MS-Attala MS-Winston MS-Choctaw MS-
239 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT EASTERN CHOCTAW...SOUTHWESTERN
OKTIBBEHA...NORTHEASTERN ATTALA AND NORTHWESTERN WINSTON COUNTIES
UNTIL 315 AM CDT...

At 238 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles southwest of Ackerman, or 13 miles northwest of Louisville,
moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Ackerman and Chester around 250 AM CDT.
  Reform around 255 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Mccool, Sturgis and
Weir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3305 8924 3320 8941 3349 8913 3337 8894
TIME...MOT...LOC 0738Z 216DEG 42KT 3322 8926

7

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Jackson MS
302 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

MSZ030-033-250845-
Oktibbeha MS-Clay MS-
302 AM CDT Thu Mar 25 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN OKTIBBEHA AND
CENTRAL CLAY COUNTIES UNTIL 345 AM CDT...

At 302 AM CDT, Meteorologists were tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Sherwood, or 11 miles west of Starkville, moving northeast at
35 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Pheba around 315 AM CDT.
  Griffith around 320 AM CDT.
  Pala Alto around 330 AM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Sturgis.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

High winds can bring down trees and large limbs resulting in serious
injury or property damage. Exercise extreme caution when outdoors
during such strong winds...and be especially aware of older trees.

&&

LAT...LON 3331 8909 3351 8909 3356 8905 3356 8902
      3359 8902 3381 8883 3381 8876 3378 8872
      3368 8872 3368 8859
TIME...MOT...LOC 0802Z 216DEG 42KT 3347 8902

7