Special Weather Statement, NWS Northern Indiana

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
240 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

Chances for widely scattered showers and thunderstorms are expected
through Saturday, with the best chances during the afternoon and
early evening hours. Severe weather is not expected but isolated
heavy rain is possible.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(This Afternoon through Thursday)
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

Chances for widely scattered convection, mainly diurnally driven,
will continue to be the main wx story on the northern periphery of
an increasingly diffuse low-mid level circulation. Subtle low level
boundaries, the potential for loosely organized shortwave energy to
rotate through, and ample boundary layer moisture (PM MLCAPE to 1000-
1500 j/kg) will be the primary drivers for this activity. Slightly
deeper moisture and low level convergence will remain focused over
our far southern zones where slightly higher coverage/chances were
retained. As mentioned in the previous discussion, greatest coverage
is anticipated mid afternoon through early evening both today and
tomorrow, with some potential for drier air and warmer aloft aloft
(capping) to limit PM shower/storm coverage tomorrow across
northern/western zones. The main threat with any convection will be
localized heavy rainfall rates due to slow storm motion and high
precipitable water values. There could also be some gusty wet
microburst winds to 40 mph from stronger water loaded cores.

&&

.LONG TERM...(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 240 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

The remnant trough axis over the Ohio Valley will finally release
southeast allowing shortwave ridging to fold into the area Friday
into Saturday. This should yield a couple of days with highs in
the upper 80s to near 90 degrees. Good surface based heating and
back edge of cooler temps aloft could produce late day isolated
convection (10-30% PoPs) across ne IN/nw OH on Friday. A weak sfc
cold front will attempt to drop through on the northeast fringe of
a building Plains ridge late Saturday afternoon-night with a low
chance for showers/storms during this time. Mainly dry otherwise
through the weekend.

An upper ridge will amplify over the Rockies and Plains early next
week with a trend toward cooler temperatures and drier air in
northerly downstream flow.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Thursday Afternoon)
Issued at 122 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

Primarily VFR through the period. Brief MVFR restriction possible
this aftn in association with sct showers/storms. Otherwise stratus
and perhaps some MVFR based fog possible invof KFWA late tonight per
moist/predominant erly flow.

&&

.IWX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IN...NONE.
MI...NONE.
OH...NONE.
LM...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Steinwedel
SHORT TERM...Steinwedel
LONG TERM...Steinwedel
AVIATION...T

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Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
415 AM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

INZ003>009-012>018-020-022>027-032>034-MIZ077>081-OHZ001-002-004-005-
015-016-024-025-101000-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Elkhart-Lagrange-Steuben-Noble-De Kalb-Starke-
Pulaski-Marshall-Fulton IN-Kosciusko-Whitley-Allen IN-White-Cass IN-
Miami-Wabash-Huntington-Wells-Adams-Grant-Blackford-Jay-Berrien-
Cass MI-St. Joseph MI-Branch-Hillsdale-Williams-Fulton OH-Defiance-
Henry-Paulding-Putnam-Van Wert-Allen OH-
415 AM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021 /315 AM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern Indiana, southwest
Michigan and northwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Thunderstorms are possible again today, mainly during the afternoon
and evening. Severe weather is not expected, but heavy rain is
possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms are possible through the end of the week, with the
best potential during the afternoon on Thursday. Severe weather is
not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LMZ043-046-101000-
New Buffalo MI to St Joseph MI-Michigan City IN to New Buffalo MI-
415 AM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the nearshore waters of
southeastern Lake Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

There is a chance for thunderstorms this afternoon and evening. Boaters
may encounter locally higher winds and waves near any thunderstorms.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

Thunderstorms are possible again on Thursday and Saturday.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
359 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

INZ003-004-MIZ077-078-092200-
La Porte-St. Joseph IN-Berrien-Cass MI-
Including the cities of Michigan City, La Porte, South Bend,
Mishawaka, New Carlisle, Walkerton, Niles, Benton Harbor,
St. Joseph, Fair Plain, Benton Heights, Buchanan, Paw Paw Lake,
Dowagiac, Cassopolis, Edwardsburg, and Marcellus
359 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021 /259 PM CDT Wed Jun 9 2021/

...Funnel Clouds this Afternoon...

We have received reports of funnel clouds forming along a lake
breeze that is pushing inland. These funnels are usually
harmless, but on rare occasions can briefly touch down and cause
wind gusts over 50 mph. If a funnel approaches your location, move
indoors.

Photos can be shared with us on our Social Media pages. Please
notify local authorities and our office if there is a touch down.

We will continue to monitor the situation.

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Northern Indiana
618 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

OHZ001-004-092245-
Defiance-Williams-
618 PM EDT Wed Jun 9 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN DEFIANCE AND
SOUTHWESTERN WILLIAMS COUNTIES...

At 618 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Edgerton, or 7
miles west of Bryan, moving southwest at 10 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with this
storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bryan, Edgerton, Edon, Edgerton In Williams County, Blakeslee,
Williams Center and Melbern.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 4135 8471 4140 8481 4155 8481 4159 8476
      4147 8454
TIME...MOT...LOC 2218Z 050DEG 10KT 4147 8470

HAIL...0.25IN
WIND...40MPH

Brown