Alert archive / Kentucky / Flood Watches in 2021

Flood Watch 1, NWS Wilmington, OH

February 26, 20219 counties in Kentucky; Adams County, Scioto County, Ohio

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this flood watch at Feb 26, 2021, 3:45 PM EST for 9 counties in Kentucky; Adams County, Scioto County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 28, 2021, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 26, 2021, 3:45 PM EST (20:45 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 28, 2021, 1:00 AM EST
Expired
Mar 1, 2021, 4:00 AM EST
In force
27 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, OH
Flood severity
None

Counties Bracken County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Scioto County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2021-02-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2021-02-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 2 square meters per square second.1939587897117136156175Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1562 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
89 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
2 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
222 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

957 
WGUS61 KILN 262045
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
345 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

KYZ094>100-270445-
/O.NEW.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
345 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flood Watch for portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern 
  Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, 
  Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, 
  Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late Saturday night through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region Saturday night and continue 
  through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With 
  the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain 
  to result in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
12 follow-up statements
995 
WGUS61 KILN 270249
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
949 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

KYZ094>100-271100-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
949 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH 
SUNDAY EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late Saturday night through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region Saturday night and continue 
  through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With 
  the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain 
  to result in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KC
916 
WGUS61 KILN 270742
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-271545-
/O.NEW.KILN.FF.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northern Kentucky and South 
  Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern 
  Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and 
  Scioto.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

KYZ094>100-271545-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

AR
178 
WGUS61 KILN 270753
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-270900-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northern Kentucky and South 
Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern 
Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and 
Scioto has been cancelled.

This is being replaced by a flood watch. 

$$

KYZ094>100-271600-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

AR
948 
WGUS61 KILN 270756
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-271600-
/O.EXA.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has expanded the

* Flood Watch to include portions of Northern Kentucky and South 
  Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern 
  Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and 
  Scioto.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ094>100-271600-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

AR
991 
WGUS61 KILN 271435
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ094>100-272245-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-272245-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* From late tonight through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
743 
WGUS61 KILN 272030
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ094>100-280430-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-280430-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
384 
WGUS61 KILN 280215
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

KYZ094>100-281100-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region overnight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-281100-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY 
EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening.

* Rain will develop across the region overnight and continue through 
  much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
461 
WGUS61 KILN 280800
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ094>100-282000-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* Through this evening.

* Rain will become widespread this morning and continue through much 
  of the day. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-282000-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* Through this evening.

* Rain will become widespread this morning and continue through much 
  of the day. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground 
  already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result 
  in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

AR
961 
WGUS61 KILN 281434
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ094>100-282245-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* Rain, heavy at times, will continue into the afternoon and then 
  diminish. With the ground already saturated, there is the 
  potential for this rain to result in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-282245-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* Rain, heavy at times, will continue into the afternoon and then 
  diminish. With the ground already saturated, there is the 
  potential for this rain to result in flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
008 
WGUS61 KILN 282025
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ094>100-010430-
/O.EXT.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* Through late tonight.

* While the heaviest rain has moved out of the area, many locations 
  continue to have flooding. More rain will move across the area 
  tonight. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half 
  inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed 
  flooding or prolong ongoing flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-010430-
/O.EXT.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* Through late tonight.

* While the heaviest rain has moved out of the area, many locations 
  continue to have flooding. More rain will move across the area 
  tonight. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half 
  inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed 
  flooding or prolong ongoing flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
213 
WGUS61 KILN 010258
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

KYZ094>100-010900-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge
958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including 
  the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern 
  Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson.

* Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* Periods of rain will continue into the early morning hours. 
  Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or 
  less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or 
  prolong ongoing flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$

KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-010900-
/O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, 
Wheelersburg, and Warsaw
958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021

...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY...

The Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including 
  the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and 
  Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto.

* Until 4 AM EST Monday.

* Periods of rain will continue into the early morning hours. 
  Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or 
  less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or 
  prolong ongoing flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to 
flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. 
Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood 
warnings.

&&

$$
909 
WGUS61 KILN 010848
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
348 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

KYZ089-090-094>100-OHZ081-088-011000-
/O.EXP.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Carroll-Gallatin-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-
Adams-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Portsmouth, 
Crittenden, West Union, Maysville, Butler, Carrollton, Warsaw, 
Wheelersburg, and Dry Ridge
348 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021

...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING...

The Flood Watch for portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, 
including the following counties, in Kentucky, Bracken, Carroll, 
Gallatin, Grant, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. In 
South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto will expire AT 4 AM EST early 
this morning.

With no additional heavy rainfall expected, the Flood Watch will be 
allowed to expire.

However, with ongoing flooding continuing, Flood Warnings remain in 
effect. Please continue to heed all road closures.

$$

HATZOS

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 26, 12:45 PM EST, 3 hours earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 12:45 PM EST, 3 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1245 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure retreats eastward today and is replaced by a
stationary front to our south. This front will provide a chance
for rain showers beginning late Friday afternoon and continuing
through Friday night. Additional breaks in the rainfall are
expected on Saturday before another wave of heavier rain moves
in Saturday night through Sunday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
Retreating surface high pressure will keep dry conditions on tap
this morning into the early afternoon as winds shift from the
east to the southeast. Meanwhile, aloft, flow will become more
moist and southerly. Guidance continues to depict light rain
increasing from south to north late this afternoon into the
evening due to weak isentropic lift and moisture convergence ahead
of a low amplitude shortwave trough. Highs today will reach the
mid to upper 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/...
Scattered rain showers continue to track northward Friday night -
becoming less organized as they move well north of the
stationary front. The greatest PoPs are still aligned with
locations southeast of I-71 Friday night closer to the boundary.
Thermal profiles in bufkit continue to suggest that rain is the
dominant hydrometeor type as saturation remains well below the
DGZ, so left in rain (with no snow mixing in) even for our far
northern counties overnight - but still have lower PoPs in
these northern counties based on model trends. While subtle
instability does exist, did not include any mention of thunder
in the grids as the overall environment does not seem favorable
for convection to occur in our area.

The rain will linger across our east-southeastern counties
Saturday morning before a weak surface high builds in from the
southwest and forces it to taper off. Total QPF from this round
of rainfall looks to be capped around 0.1 - 0.2" for most
counties, but would not be surprised to see values closer to
0.3" in our N KY counties. All counties appear to remain dry
Saturday afternoon with a few breaks in the clouds possible -
especially west of I-71. As WAA becomes more amplified, trended
slightly higher with daytime highs on Saturday, with several
locations in our south likely observing temps in the lower 60s
once again.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/...
On Saturday evening, high pressure over the east coast will slowly
be moving eastward, as a deep-layer southwesterly flow pattern sets
up over the southeastern states and Ohio Valley. Upstream of the
region, a sharp mid-level trough over the northern plains will
sharpen further on Saturday night, with a surface low developing and
moving across the Great Lakes on Sunday. Far on the southeastern
periphery of this system, northward moisture transport from the Gulf
will be occurring, with strong theta-e advection through at least
700mb. The nose of a strengthening 850mb low level jet will point
into the Ohio Valley by 06Z early Sunday, acting as a focus for
efficient precipitation development. This entire setup is just south
of the potent upper jet, and there may also be some right entrance
region dynamics occurring. This is a pattern that continues to
support a swath of heavy rainfall somewhere in the area. While there
have been continued oscillations from run to run and model to model,
and still a bit of spread noted across the 00Z GEFS members,
confidence is starting to increase that some of this heavy rainfall
may impact the southern sections of the ILN forecast area.
Probabilities for up to 2 inches of rain appear to be greater than
50 percent along the southern ILN border. Of course, there are some
models (such as the operational 00Z NAM) painting the swath a little
further north, and some GEFS members focusing further south.
However, there is enough evidence to support at least some lower-end
flood threat for part of the area, and the HWO mention will be
expanded slightly from the previous issuance. The majority of the
rainfall will occur between 00Z and 18Z, with the heaviest rain
generally expected between 06Z and 15Z. As this system is still a
couple days away, some shifts in timing are possible. Instability
looks very limited, but with perhaps just enough for a slight chance
of thunder in the far southern ILN counties.

Temperatures were increased slightly from the model blend for
Saturday night into Sunday, and Sunday appears likely to be the
warmest day of the extended forecast, with highs in the mid 50s to
lower 60s. The aforementioned Great Lakes surface low will have a
cold front trailing it to the south, and this front is expected to
cross the ILN CWA at some point on Sunday afternoon into Sunday
evening. The front will likely help spark some additional showers
(possibly convective) and maybe some gusty winds as well. Somewhat
gusty winds are possible again on Monday with a strong temperature
gradient across the Great Lakes.

Behind the Sunday-Monday system, model agreement on the rest of the
extended forecast period is rather poor. For example, several
operational ECMWF runs suggest a weak system moving through the Ohio
Valley on Tuesday night, while several operational GFS runs suggest
the system will remain well to the south. However, some GEFS members
bring low-end precipitation chances through the area on Wednesday
night into Thursday. PoPs will be kept no higher than 20-30 percent
through this period, with little in the way of confidence in any
particular timing or placement. Depending on temperatures, some snow
may mix in, but for the most part (with max temps in the 40s to
around 50) rain will be favored. Overall, slightly warmer
temperatures  (upper 40s to mid 50s) appear likely on Wednesday and
Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
VFR conditions will prevail to start the period. A disturbance
shifting east through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys will bring
lowering ceilings and rain this evening through the night. Main
impact will occur late this evening, as increasing moisture in
the low levels likely drops cloud bases quickly through MVFR
into IFR range. Still have uncertainty on whether these
ceilings will stick around through Saturday morning as the
models illustrate. For now, went with consensus in the
guidance, showing only slow improvements to low MVFR range
around midday.

OUTLOOK... MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs possible late Saturday night into
Sunday morning.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...Clark
NEAR TERM...Hogue
SHORT TERM...Clark
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...Hogue
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 26, 4:02 AM EST, 11 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

INZ050-058-059-066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065-
070>074-077-080-270915-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer-
Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH-
Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-
Highland-
402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio
and West Central Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ078-079-081-082-088-270915-
Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike-
Scioto-
402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, South Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.

A period of rain, which may be heavy at times, is expected on
Saturday night into Sunday. Although specific rainfall amounts are
not yet certain, some flooding is possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

HATZOS

Nearby

Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2021Flood Watches in Ohio, 2021Every flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.