Alert archive / Kentucky / Flood Watches in 2021
Flood Watch 1, NWS Wilmington, OH
NWS Wilmington, OH issued this flood watch at Feb 26, 2021, 3:45 PM EST for 9 counties in Kentucky; Adams County, Scioto County, Ohio. It took effect at Feb 28, 2021, 1:00 AM EST. It was in force for 27 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 26, 2021, 3:45 PM EST (20:45 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 28, 2021, 1:00 AM EST
- Expired
- Mar 1, 2021, 4:00 AM EST
- In force
- 27 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Wilmington, OH
- Flood severity
- None
Counties Bracken County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Scioto County, OH
The radar
The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 89 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:48 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 12:00Z, 8.8 hours before the alert went out and 91 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1562 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 89 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 2 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 222 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
957 WGUS61 KILN 262045 FFAILN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 345 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 KYZ094>100-270445- /O.NEW.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 345 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a * Flood Watch for portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region Saturday night and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
12 follow-up statements
995 WGUS61 KILN 270249 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 949 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 KYZ094>100-271100- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 949 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late Saturday night through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region Saturday night and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KC
916 WGUS61 KILN 270742 FFAILN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-271545- /O.NEW.KILN.FF.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a * Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses. && $$ KYZ094>100-271545- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 242 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ AR
178 WGUS61 KILN 270753 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-270900- /O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED... The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto has been cancelled. This is being replaced by a flood watch. $$ KYZ094>100-271600- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 253 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ AR
948 WGUS61 KILN 270756 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-271600- /O.EXA.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The National Weather Service in Wilmington has expanded the * Flood Watch to include portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ094>100-271600- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 256 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ AR
991 WGUS61 KILN 271435 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ094>100-272245- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-272245- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 935 AM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LATE TONIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * From late tonight through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
743 WGUS61 KILN 272030 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ094>100-280430- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-280430- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 330 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region tonight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
384 WGUS61 KILN 280215 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 KYZ094>100-281100- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region overnight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-281100- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.210228T0600Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 915 PM EST Sat Feb 27 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM EST SUNDAY THROUGH SUNDAY EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * From 1 AM EST Sunday through Sunday evening. * Rain will develop across the region overnight and continue through much of Sunday. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
461 WGUS61 KILN 280800 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 KYZ094>100-282000- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * Through this evening. * Rain will become widespread this morning and continue through much of the day. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-282000- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 300 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * Through this evening. * Rain will become widespread this morning and continue through much of the day. This rain could be heavy at times. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ AR
961 WGUS61 KILN 281434 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 KYZ094>100-282245- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * Until 7 PM EST this evening. * Rain, heavy at times, will continue into the afternoon and then diminish. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-282245- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0000Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 934 AM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * Until 7 PM EST this evening. * Rain, heavy at times, will continue into the afternoon and then diminish. With the ground already saturated, there is the potential for this rain to result in flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
008 WGUS61 KILN 282025 FFAILN URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 KYZ094>100-010430- /O.EXT.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * Through late tonight. * While the heaviest rain has moved out of the area, many locations continue to have flooding. More rain will move across the area tonight. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or prolong ongoing flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-010430- /O.EXT.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 325 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... The Flood Watch is now in effect for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * Through late tonight. * While the heaviest rain has moved out of the area, many locations continue to have flooding. More rain will move across the area tonight. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or prolong ongoing flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
213 WGUS61 KILN 010258 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 KYZ094>100-010900- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Crittenden, Maysville, Butler, and Dry Ridge 958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Northern Kentucky, including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Northern Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. * Until 4 AM EST Monday. * Periods of rain will continue into the early morning hours. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or prolong ongoing flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$ KYZ089-090-OHZ081-088-010900- /O.CON.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Portsmouth, Peebles, Carrollton, West Union, Wheelersburg, and Warsaw 958 PM EST Sun Feb 28 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST MONDAY... The Flood Watch continues for * Portions of Northern Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Carroll and Gallatin. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto. * Until 4 AM EST Monday. * Periods of rain will continue into the early morning hours. Although additional amounts are forecast to be one half inch or less, this rainfall may be enough to cause renewed flooding or prolong ongoing flooding. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... People in the watch area, especially those living in areas prone to flooding, should be prepared to take action should flooding develop. Monitor the latest forecasts and be alert for possible flood warnings. && $$
909 WGUS61 KILN 010848 FFAILN Flood Watch National Weather Service Wilmington OH 348 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021 KYZ089-090-094>100-OHZ081-088-011000- /O.EXP.KILN.FA.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210301T0900Z/ /00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/ Carroll-Gallatin-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis- Adams-Scioto- Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Owenton, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Falmouth, Augusta, Williamstown, Portsmouth, Crittenden, West Union, Maysville, Butler, Carrollton, Warsaw, Wheelersburg, and Dry Ridge 348 AM EST Mon Mar 1 2021 ...FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 4 AM EST EARLY THIS MORNING... The Flood Watch for portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the following counties, in Kentucky, Bracken, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and Robertson. In South Central Ohio, Adams and Scioto will expire AT 4 AM EST early this morning. With no additional heavy rainfall expected, the Flood Watch will be allowed to expire. However, with ongoing flooding continuing, Flood Warnings remain in effect. Please continue to heed all road closures. $$ HATZOS
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flood watch went out at Feb 26, 12:45 PM EST, 3 hours earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 26, 12:45 PM EST, 3 hours before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Wilmington OH 1245 PM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure retreats eastward today and is replaced by a stationary front to our south. This front will provide a chance for rain showers beginning late Friday afternoon and continuing through Friday night. Additional breaks in the rainfall are expected on Saturday before another wave of heavier rain moves in Saturday night through Sunday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... Retreating surface high pressure will keep dry conditions on tap this morning into the early afternoon as winds shift from the east to the southeast. Meanwhile, aloft, flow will become more moist and southerly. Guidance continues to depict light rain increasing from south to north late this afternoon into the evening due to weak isentropic lift and moisture convergence ahead of a low amplitude shortwave trough. Highs today will reach the mid to upper 40s. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SATURDAY/... Scattered rain showers continue to track northward Friday night - becoming less organized as they move well north of the stationary front. The greatest PoPs are still aligned with locations southeast of I-71 Friday night closer to the boundary. Thermal profiles in bufkit continue to suggest that rain is the dominant hydrometeor type as saturation remains well below the DGZ, so left in rain (with no snow mixing in) even for our far northern counties overnight - but still have lower PoPs in these northern counties based on model trends. While subtle instability does exist, did not include any mention of thunder in the grids as the overall environment does not seem favorable for convection to occur in our area. The rain will linger across our east-southeastern counties Saturday morning before a weak surface high builds in from the southwest and forces it to taper off. Total QPF from this round of rainfall looks to be capped around 0.1 - 0.2" for most counties, but would not be surprised to see values closer to 0.3" in our N KY counties. All counties appear to remain dry Saturday afternoon with a few breaks in the clouds possible - especially west of I-71. As WAA becomes more amplified, trended slightly higher with daytime highs on Saturday, with several locations in our south likely observing temps in the lower 60s once again. && .LONG TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY/... On Saturday evening, high pressure over the east coast will slowly be moving eastward, as a deep-layer southwesterly flow pattern sets up over the southeastern states and Ohio Valley. Upstream of the region, a sharp mid-level trough over the northern plains will sharpen further on Saturday night, with a surface low developing and moving across the Great Lakes on Sunday. Far on the southeastern periphery of this system, northward moisture transport from the Gulf will be occurring, with strong theta-e advection through at least 700mb. The nose of a strengthening 850mb low level jet will point into the Ohio Valley by 06Z early Sunday, acting as a focus for efficient precipitation development. This entire setup is just south of the potent upper jet, and there may also be some right entrance region dynamics occurring. This is a pattern that continues to support a swath of heavy rainfall somewhere in the area. While there have been continued oscillations from run to run and model to model, and still a bit of spread noted across the 00Z GEFS members, confidence is starting to increase that some of this heavy rainfall may impact the southern sections of the ILN forecast area. Probabilities for up to 2 inches of rain appear to be greater than 50 percent along the southern ILN border. Of course, there are some models (such as the operational 00Z NAM) painting the swath a little further north, and some GEFS members focusing further south. However, there is enough evidence to support at least some lower-end flood threat for part of the area, and the HWO mention will be expanded slightly from the previous issuance. The majority of the rainfall will occur between 00Z and 18Z, with the heaviest rain generally expected between 06Z and 15Z. As this system is still a couple days away, some shifts in timing are possible. Instability looks very limited, but with perhaps just enough for a slight chance of thunder in the far southern ILN counties. Temperatures were increased slightly from the model blend for Saturday night into Sunday, and Sunday appears likely to be the warmest day of the extended forecast, with highs in the mid 50s to lower 60s. The aforementioned Great Lakes surface low will have a cold front trailing it to the south, and this front is expected to cross the ILN CWA at some point on Sunday afternoon into Sunday evening. The front will likely help spark some additional showers (possibly convective) and maybe some gusty winds as well. Somewhat gusty winds are possible again on Monday with a strong temperature gradient across the Great Lakes. Behind the Sunday-Monday system, model agreement on the rest of the extended forecast period is rather poor. For example, several operational ECMWF runs suggest a weak system moving through the Ohio Valley on Tuesday night, while several operational GFS runs suggest the system will remain well to the south. However, some GEFS members bring low-end precipitation chances through the area on Wednesday night into Thursday. PoPs will be kept no higher than 20-30 percent through this period, with little in the way of confidence in any particular timing or placement. Depending on temperatures, some snow may mix in, but for the most part (with max temps in the 40s to around 50) rain will be favored. Overall, slightly warmer temperatures (upper 40s to mid 50s) appear likely on Wednesday and Thursday. && .AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR conditions will prevail to start the period. A disturbance shifting east through the Ohio and Tennessee Valleys will bring lowering ceilings and rain this evening through the night. Main impact will occur late this evening, as increasing moisture in the low levels likely drops cloud bases quickly through MVFR into IFR range. Still have uncertainty on whether these ceilings will stick around through Saturday morning as the models illustrate. For now, went with consensus in the guidance, showing only slow improvements to low MVFR range around midday. OUTLOOK... MVFR/IFR CIGs and VSBYs possible late Saturday night into Sunday morning. && .ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. KY...None. IN...None. && SYNOPSIS...Clark NEAR TERM...Hogue SHORT TERM...Clark LONG TERM...Hatzos AVIATION...Hogue
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 26, 4:02 AM EST, 11 hours 43 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Wilmington OH 402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 INZ050-058-059-066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>065- 070>074-077-080-270915- Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer- Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark- Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Fayette OH- Pickaway-Fairfield-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton- Highland- 402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana, Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ078-079-081-082-088-270915- Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant- Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Clermont-Brown-Adams-Pike- Scioto- 402 AM EST Fri Feb 26 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, South Central Ohio and Southwest Ohio. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. A period of rain, which may be heavy at times, is expected on Saturday night into Sunday. Although specific rainfall amounts are not yet certain, some flooding is possible. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. HATZOS
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Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.