Alert archive / Kentucky / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 5, NWS Wilmington, OH

August 30, 202112 counties in Kentucky; 12 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Indiana

NWS Wilmington, OH issued this flash flood watch at Aug 30, 2021, 3:38 AM EDT for 12 counties in Kentucky; 12 counties in Ohio; 5 counties in Indiana. It took effect at Aug 30, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT. It was in force for 40 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2021, 3:38 AM EDT (07:38 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 30, 2021, 12:00 PM EDT
Expired
Sep 1, 2021, 3:35 AM EDT
In force
40 hr
Issued by
NWS Wilmington, OH
Flood severity
None
All 29 counties

Dearborn County, IN, Franklin County, IN, Ohio County, IN, Ripley County, IN, Switzerland County, IN, Boone County, KY, Bracken County, KY, Campbell County, KY, Carroll County, KY, Gallatin County, KY, Grant County, KY, Kenton County, KY, Lewis County, KY, Mason County, KY, Owen County, KY, Pendleton County, KY, Robertson County, KY, Adams County, OH, Brown County, OH, Butler County, OH, Clermont County, OH, Clinton County, OH, Hamilton County, OH, Highland County, OH, Hocking County, OH, Pike County, OH, Ross County, OH, Scioto County, OH, Warren County, OH

The radar

The Cincinnati radar (KILN), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 07:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), launched 00:00Z, 7.6 hours before the alert went out and 62 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1343 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 72 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1343 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1296 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
72 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
109 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

934 
WGUS61 KILN 300738
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
338 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ070>073-077>080-301600-
/O.NEW.KILN.FF.A.0005.210830T1600Z-210831T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-
Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Butler-Warren-Clinton-
Ross-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Including the cities of Vevay, Oakbrook, Blanchester, Middletown, 
Fairfield, Williamstown, Crittenden, Rising Sun, Butler, Springboro, 
Chillicothe, Independence, Dry Ridge, Georgetown, Milford, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Aurora, Erlanger, Hillsboro, Carrollton, Versailles, 
Oxford, Hamilton, Batesville, Wilmington, Augusta, Newport, Mount 
Orab, Mason, Greenfield, Alexandria, Cincinnati, Lawrenceburg, 
Lebanon, Covington, Milan, Brookville, Burlington, Florence, 
Falmouth, and Warsaw
338 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH LATE 
TONIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern 
  Kentucky and Ohio, including the following counties, in Southeast 
  Indiana, Dearborn, Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland. In 
  Northern Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, 
  Grant, Kenton, Owen and Pendleton. In Ohio, Brown, Butler, 
  Clermont, Clinton, Hamilton, Highland, Ross and Warren.

* From Noon EDT today through late tonight.

* Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms with very heavy 
  rainfall expected today and tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 
  inches with locally higher amounts, especially where multiple 
  rounds of thunderstorms occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-301600-
/O.NEW.KILN.FF.A.0005.210830T1600Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
338 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM NOON EDT TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY 
MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, 
  including the following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and 
  Robertson. In South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* From Noon EDT today through Wednesday morning.

* Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms with very heavy 
  rainfall expected today and tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 
  inches with locally higher amounts, especially where multiple 
  rounds of thunderstorms occur. In addition, heavy rainfall amounts 
  of 1 to 3 inches are possible as the remnants of Ida move through 
  the Ohio Valley Tuesday and early Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

McGinnis
10 follow-up statements
800 
WGUS61 KILN 301430
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1030 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

INZ066-073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ070>073-077>080-302330-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.210830T1600Z-210831T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-
Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Butler-Warren-Clinton-
Ross-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Including the cities of Vevay, Oakbrook, Blanchester, Middletown, 
Fairfield, Williamstown, Crittenden, Rising Sun, Butler, Springboro, 
Chillicothe, Independence, Dry Ridge, Georgetown, Milford, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Aurora, Erlanger, Hillsboro, Carrollton, Versailles, 
Oxford, Hamilton, Batesville, Wilmington, Augusta, Newport, Mount 
Orab, Mason, Greenfield, Alexandria, Cincinnati, Lawrenceburg, 
Lebanon, Covington, Milan, Brookville, Burlington, Florence, 
Falmouth, and Warsaw
1030 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky and Ohio, 
  including the following counties, in Southeast Indiana, Dearborn, 
  Franklin IN, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland. In Northern Kentucky, 
  Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Owen 
  and Pendleton. In Ohio, Brown, Butler, Clermont, Clinton, 
  Hamilton, Highland, Ross and Warren.

* Through late tonight.

* Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms with very heavy 
  rainfall expected today and tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 
  inches with locally higher amounts, especially where multiple 
  rounds of thunderstorms occur.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-302330-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.210830T1600Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
1030 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the 
  following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In 
  South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms with very heavy 
  rainfall expected today and tonight. Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 
  inches with locally higher amounts, especially where multiple 
  rounds of thunderstorms occur. In addition, heavy rainfall amounts 
  of 1 to 3 inches are possible as the remnants of Ida move through 
  the Ohio Valley Tuesday and early Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

Novak
014 
WGUS61 KILN 301954
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
354 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

INZ066-OHZ070>073-302100-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210831T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Franklin IN-Butler-Warren-Clinton-Ross-
Including the cities of Blanchester, Wilmington, Lebanon, 
Middletown, Mason, Hamilton, Brookville, Oxford, Springboro, 
Fairfield, and Chillicothe
354 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana and Ohio, 
including the following counties, in Southeast Indiana, Franklin IN. 
In Ohio, Butler, Clinton, Ross and Warren has been cancelled.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

$$

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ077>080-310400-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210831T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-
Including the cities of Vevay, Oakbrook, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Rising Sun, Butler, Hillsboro, Independence, Dry Ridge, Georgetown, 
Milford, Owenton, Brooksville, Aurora, Erlanger, Carrollton, 
Versailles, Batesville, Augusta, Newport, Mount Orab, Greenfield, 
Alexandria, Cincinnati, Lawrenceburg, Covington, Milan, Burlington, 
Florence, Falmouth, and Warsaw
354 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern Kentucky and Ohio, 
  including the following counties, in Southeast Indiana, Dearborn, 
  Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland. In Northern Kentucky, Boone, 
  Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, Kenton, Owen and 
  Pendleton. In Ohio, Brown, Clermont, Hamilton and Highland.

* Through late tonight.

* Multiple rounds of rainfall will bring the potential for flash 
  flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-310400-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
354 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the 
  following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In 
  South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Repeated rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected into 
  tonight. In addition, heavy rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with 
  locally higher amounts are possible as the remnants of Ida move 
  through the Ohio Valley Tuesday and early Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

Novak
146 
WGUS61 KILN 302213
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
613 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

INZ073>075-080-KYZ089>097-OHZ077>080-302315-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210831T0800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Ripley-Dearborn-Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-
Campbell-Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-
Highland-
Including the cities of Vevay, Oakbrook, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Rising Sun, Butler, Hillsboro, Independence, Dry Ridge, Georgetown, 
Milford, Owenton, Brooksville, Aurora, Erlanger, Carrollton, 
Versailles, Batesville, Augusta, Newport, Mount Orab, Greenfield, 
Alexandria, Cincinnati, Lawrenceburg, Covington, Milan, Burlington, 
Florence, Falmouth, and Warsaw
613 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Southeast Indiana, Northern 
Kentucky and Ohio, including the following counties, in Southeast 
Indiana, Dearborn, Ohio, Ripley and Switzerland. In Northern 
Kentucky, Boone, Bracken, Campbell, Carroll, Gallatin, Grant, 
Kenton, Owen and Pendleton. In Ohio, Brown, Clermont, Hamilton and 
Highland has been cancelled.

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected 
to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-310615-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
613 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the 
  following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In 
  South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Heavy rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with 
  locally higher amounts are possible as the remnants of Ida move 
  through the Ohio Valley Tuesday and early Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

Coniglio
410 
WGUS61 KILN 310142
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
942 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-310945-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
942 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the 
  following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In 
  South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Heavy rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher 
  amounts are possible as the remnants of Ida move through the Ohio 
  Valley Tuesday through early Wednesday.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

Coniglio
587 
WGUS61 KILN 310724
FFAILN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
324 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

KYZ094>097-OHZ073-074-079-080-311600-
/O.EXA.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Ross-Hocking-Brown-Highland-
Including the cities of Greenfield, Georgetown, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Hillsboro, Falmouth, Logan, Augusta, Williamstown, 
Crittenden, Mount Orab, Butler, Chillicothe, and Dry Ridge
324 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Wilmington has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of Northern Kentucky and 
  Ohio, including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, 
  Bracken, Grant, Owen and Pendleton. In Ohio, Brown, Highland, 
  Hocking and Ross.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Heavy rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher 
  amounts possible as the remnants of Ida move through the Ohio 
  Valley today  through Wednesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

KYZ098>100-OHZ081-082-088-311600-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, Waverly, 
Vanceburg, Piketon, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, and 
Wheelersburg
324 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and South Central Ohio, including the 
  following counties, in Kentucky, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In 
  South Central Ohio, Adams, Pike and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Heavy rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher 
  amounts possible as the remnants of Ida move through the Ohio 
  Valley today through Wednesday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

McGinnis
703 
WGUS61 KILN 311454
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1054 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

KYZ094>100-OHZ073-074-079>082-088-010100-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross-Hocking-
Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Mount Olivet, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Butler, Hillsboro, Dry Ridge, Waverly, Peebles, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Falmouth, Chillicothe, Tollesboro, Georgetown, Augusta, 
Mount Orab, Portsmouth, Greenfield, Vanceburg, Wheelersburg, Logan, 
Piketon, West Union, and Maysville
1054 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and Ohio, including the following counties, 
  in Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and 
  Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, Brown, Highland, Hocking, Pike, Ross 
  and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts 
  possible as the remnants of Ida move through the region. Heaviest 
  rainfall is expected from this evening through the overnight.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

ch
553 
WGUS61 KILN 312318
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
718 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

KYZ094>100-OHZ073-074-079>082-088-010730-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross-Hocking-
Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Mount Olivet, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Butler, Hillsboro, Dry Ridge, Waverly, Peebles, Owenton, 
Brooksville, Falmouth, Chillicothe, Tollesboro, Georgetown, Augusta, 
Mount Orab, Portsmouth, Greenfield, Vanceburg, Wheelersburg, Logan, 
Piketon, West Union, and Maysville
718 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and Ohio, including the following counties, 
  in Kentucky, Bracken, Grant, Lewis, Mason, Owen, Pendleton and 
  Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, Brown, Highland, Hocking, Pike, Ross 
  and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher amounts 
  possible as the remnants of Ida move through the region. Heaviest 
  rainfall is expected from this evening through the overnight hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

AR
723 
WGUS61 KILN 010217
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1017 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

KYZ094>096-010330-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Owen-Grant-Pendleton-
Including the cities of Owenton, Falmouth, Williamstown, Crittenden, 
Butler, and Dry Ridge
1017 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of Northern Kentucky, including 
the following counties, Grant, Owen and Pendleton has been cancelled.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a widespread threat. Please 
continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

KYZ097>100-OHZ073-074-079>082-088-011030-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Ross-Hocking-Brown-Highland-Adams-Pike-
Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Mount Olivet, Peebles, 
Greenfield, Brooksville, Vanceburg, Waverly, Augusta, Georgetown, 
Logan, Piketon, Mount Orab, West Union, Maysville, Portsmouth, 
Chillicothe, Wheelersburg, and Hillsboro
1017 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Kentucky and Ohio, including the following counties, 
  in Kentucky, Bracken, Lewis, Mason and Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, 
  Brown, Highland, Hocking, Pike, Ross and Scioto.

* Through Wednesday morning.

* Total rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches with locally higher 
  amounts possible as the remnants of Ida move through the region. 
  Heaviest rainfall is expected through the overnight hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

AR
371 
WGUS61 KILN 010456
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
1256 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

KYZ097>099-OHZ079>081-010600-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Brown-Highland-Adams-
Including the cities of Georgetown, Mount Olivet, Peebles, 
Greenfield, Brooksville, Augusta, Mount Orab, West Union, Maysville, 
and Hillsboro
1256 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northern Kentucky and Ohio, 
including the following counties, in Northern Kentucky, Bracken, 
Mason and Robertson. In Ohio, Adams, Brown and Highland has been 
cancelled.

Flooding is no longer expected to pose a threat. Additional light 
rain is expected through the overnight. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures.

$$

KYZ100-OHZ073-074-082-088-011600-
/O.CON.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lewis-Ross-Hocking-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Portsmouth, Waverly, Vanceburg, 
Wheelersburg, Logan, Piketon, and Chillicothe
1256 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EDT TODAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Northeast Kentucky and Ohio, including the following 
  counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In Ohio, Hocking, Pike, 
  Ross and Scioto.

* Until Noon EDT today.

* Total rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches with locally higher 
  amounts possible as the remnants of Ida move through the region 
  into the early morning hours.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People in the watch area should keep an eye on the weather and be 
prepared for immediate action should heavy rains and flooding occur 
or a Flash Flood Warning be issued. Avoid low-lying areas and be 
careful when approaching highway dips and underpasses.

&&

$$

McGinnis
165 
WGUS61 KILN 010735
FFAILN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
335 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

KYZ100-OHZ073-074-082-088-010845-
/O.CAN.KILN.FF.A.0005.000000T0000Z-210901T1600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Lewis-Ross-Hocking-Pike-Scioto-
Including the cities of Tollesboro, Portsmouth, Waverly, Vanceburg, 
Wheelersburg, Logan, Piketon, and Chillicothe
335 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Northeast Kentucky and Ohio, 
including the following counties, in Northeast Kentucky, Lewis. In 
Ohio, Hocking, Pike, Ross and Scioto has been cancelled.

The Flash Flood Watch is cancelled. Light to moderate rain will 
continue to fall over the next few hours, however, rainfall rates 
are low enough that flash flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

McGinnis

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wilmington, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 30, 1:56 AM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 1:56 AM EDT, 1 hour 42 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
156 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A frontal boundary will push south into the Ohio Valley through
the day on Monday, bringing widespread showers and
thunderstorms to the region, with an initial period of heavy
rain possible Monday night. The weakening remnants of Ida will
approach the area Tuesday into Tuesday night, resulting in yet
another increased threat of moderate to heavy rainfall across
parts of the Ohio Valley.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/...
Evening update...
A line of storms associated with a prefrontal pressure trough is
currently moving through eastern Indiana and west-central Ohio.
Wind gusts between 25 and 40 mph have been observed over the
last hour and this threat will continue for an additional hour
or two. Latest mesoanalysis indicates modest instability of
1000-1500 J/kg but effective bulk shear of around 20 knots or
less. As storms build and collapse, cooled pool driven outflows
should race ahead of the storms resulting in gradually weakening
over the next couple of hours.

Through the rest of the overnight, scattered showers and a few
thunderstorms will develop along the eastward moving outflow
boundary with the favored locations across the greater Columbus
area and I-71 corridor toward Wilmington. The lack of strong
low level flow and weakening diurnal instability will prevent
widespread activity overnight. Additional scattered activity is
possible elsewhere given elevated instability, enhanced
tropospheric moisture, and approaching front. The cold front is
expected to be stretched along or north of the I-70 by
tomorrow morning and will be the focus for new thunderstorm
development Monday.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM TUESDAY/...
With still some uncertainty on the positioning of the cold front
over the forecast area through the day on Monday, expecting
scattered showers with isolated storms through especially the
northern and central forecast area to start the day, with
coverage increasing with diurnal heating through the day, and
slow southerly push of the front and associated convection.

Main focus of precipitation will continue to be along and south
of the I-70 corridor. With PW values increasing to above 1.8
area-wide and then over 2" through a corridor within 50 miles
either side of the Ohio River, a pre-Ida heavy rain threat
materializes by late afternoon into the evening/early overnight.
Mean flow does become parallel to the frontal boundary, which
could allow for a prolonged period of potential training of
storms. Then as Ida approaches, several CAMs project the
placement of a Predecessor Rainfall Event across the southern
forecast area. Uncertainty of location of both of these features
is pretty high, but flood watch will likely need to be issued by
next forecast period to accommodate these focused rain features
in combination with the rainfall more specifically from Ida
early Tuesday.

With plenty of clouds Monday afternoon through Monday night,
highs in the mid 80s and upper 60s for lows.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
On Tuesday morning, Ida will be centered somewhere near the MS/AL/TN
tri-point, as its motion begins to shift to a northeasterly
direction. Ida will be enveloped in an eastward-moving mid-level
trough, with upstream ridging building west-to-east behind it. At
the surface, a stalled-out frontal boundary over the Ohio Valley
will remain in place ahead of Ida, before northerly flow brings it
south through the region later on Wednesday into Thursday.

As discussed earlier, the ILN forecast area will already have been
through some chances of heavy rainfall before Ida even arrives into
the region. With this part of the forecast discussion, beginning
Tuesday, the attention will focus on Ida and its impacts to the
area. First, there are some signs that additional convective
activation could occur along the frontal boundary by early Tuesday
afternoon, even before the main rain swath associated with Ida
arrives. Regarding the main swath of precipitation, there remains a
somewhat-reasonable degree of forecast confidence in the general
scenario, but there is still spread across models and ensemble
members regarding the exact timing and track of the low center. The
low (Ida) will likely track WSW-to-ENE through Tennessee and
Kentucky, but with the swath of heavy rain ahead of it likely
displaced somewhat to the north, where low and upper level forcing
will be most aligned. Looking through the ensembles, there remains
high confidence in a swath of heavy rainfall (over three inches)
somewhere through the region. The 12Z GFS ensemble mean has shown
little change in placement or magnitude compared to the 06Z
ensemble, again suggesting the heaviest swath of rain will be near
or just south of the southeastern ILN border region. Confidence in
this forecast is still not particularly high regarding exactly where
and exactly how much rain will fall. Based on all of this, the
previous forecast is not being changed considerably, and the current
HWO thinking (with the greatest threat for 2+ inches across
northeast Kentucky and south-central Ohio) warrants no changes as of
now.

Once Ida has passed, late Wednesday into Thursday, there is good
model agreement in drier and cooler conditions for most of the rest
of the extended forecast period. Ida will end up embedded in a
trough, with generally unfavorable conditions for precipitation on
the back side of the trough, and ridging (with surface high
pressure) likely to build into the Ohio Valley in the following
days. This will also provide for a gradual warming trend following
the Ida rainfall, with values getting back into the lower to mid 80s
by the weekend. There are some model indications (00Z ECMWF
primarily) of precipitation chances on Saturday and Sunday, but
confidence is very low, so PoPs will be kept to 20 percent.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Complex TAF scenario over the next 24-30 hours leading to below
normal confidence in thunderstorm occurrence at local TAF
sites... Ongoing convection around KDAY, KILN, KCMH, KLCK will
slowly drift southward over the next couple of hours leaving
behind periods of light rain. All of this activity is occurring
ahead of an approaching cold front, which is currently located
in the southern Great Lakes with a slow movement southward. The
front will provide additional showers and thunderstorms through
the day tomorrow with the greatest thunderstorm coverage
expected from late morning into the afternoon. Later in the
period, the cold front will combine with the remnants from Ida,
continuing the chance for rain late in the TAF period.
Confidence is increasing on the potential for MVFR CIGs as early
as Tuesday morning.

Outside of thunderstorm activity, winds are expected to be below
10 knots.

OUTLOOK... MVFR to IFR ceiling and visibilities possible
Tuesday night into Wednesday.

&&

.ILN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
KY...None.
IN...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...JDR/JGL
NEAR TERM...McGinnis
SHORT TERM...JDR
LONG TERM...Hatzos
AVIATION...McGinnis
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 29, 7:17 PM EDT, 8 hours 21 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wilmington OH
717 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

INZ050-058-059-066-073-074-OHZ026-034-035-042>046-051>056-060>062-
070-071-301000-
Wayne-Fayette IN-Union IN-Franklin IN-Ripley-Dearborn-Hardin-Mercer-
Auglaize-Darke-Shelby-Logan-Union OH-Delaware-Miami-Champaign-Clark-
Madison-Franklin OH-Licking-Preble-Montgomery-Greene-Butler-Warren-
717 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for East Central Indiana,
Southeast Indiana, Central Ohio, Southwest Ohio and West Central
Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Showers and thunderstorms Monday into Monday evening will be capable
of producing heavy downpours and localized flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

INZ075-080-KYZ089>100-OHZ063>065-072>074-077>082-088-301000-
Ohio-Switzerland-Carroll-Gallatin-Boone-Kenton-Campbell-Owen-Grant-
Pendleton-Bracken-Robertson-Mason-Lewis-Fayette OH-Pickaway-
Fairfield-Clinton-Ross-Hocking-Hamilton-Clermont-Brown-Highland-
Adams-Pike-Scioto-
717 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Southeast Indiana, Northeast
Kentucky, Northern Kentucky, Central Ohio, South Central Ohio and
Southwest Ohio.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

There is a low probability for widespread hazardous weather.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

Showers and thunderstorms Monday into Monday evening will be capable
of producing heavy downpours and localized flooding. The potential
for heavy rainfall and flooding will increase Tuesday and Wednesday
as the remnants of Ida move into the Ohio Valley.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wilmington, OH issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 10:13 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNCarroll, Gallatin, Owen3 hr
Aug 30, 11:33 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNOwen27 min
Aug 30, 12:00 PM EDTFlash Flood WarningILNOwen3 hr
Aug 30, 8:28 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryILNFranklin, Ripley3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Kentucky, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Ohio, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Indiana, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.