Alert archive / Tennessee / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Huntsville, AL

July 11, 2021Lincoln County, Tennessee

NWS Huntsville, AL issued this special weather statement at Jul 11, 2021, 3:42 PM CDT for Lincoln County, Tennessee. It was in force for 48 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 11, 2021, 3:42 PM CDT (20:42 UTC)
Expired
Jul 11, 2021, 4:30 PM CDT
In force
48 min
Issued by
NWS Huntsville, AL

County Lincoln County, TN

The radar

The Northeast Alabama radar (KHTX), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:43 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Nashville Metro, TN (KBNA), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 135 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 343 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Nashville Metro, TN at 12:00Z on 2021-07-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 158 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
343 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-53 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
642 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
158 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
176 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.2
Supercell composite
1.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Huntsville, AL wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 11, 3:15 PM CDT, 27 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 11, 3:15 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
315 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

.NEAR TERM...(Tonight)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

Convection earlier today that impacted much of the Tennessee Valley
has pretty much dissipated, as its remnants head northward across
eastern Kentucky. A couple of few hours later with daytime heating
and destabilization of a very moist environment, new convection has
formed. More numerous showers/t-storms were heading to the NE from
north of Hamilton, to across the NW AL Quad City, and southern middle
Tennessee. Other more scattered (at this time) activity was forming
east of the aformentioned one from the Bankhead Natl Forest to
Madison and Lincoln Counties. More isolated activity was forming
more to the east.

General model and blend output suggests that this activity should
become numerous to may be widespread in the late afternoon and
tonight. Precipitable water amounts in the 1.9 to 2 inch range of
course means a locally heavy rainfall potential. Gusty winds and
frequent lightning is also expected. Given that model trends have for
the most part continued with PoPs over the area during the course of
the evening and overnight, continued likely rain chances tonight.
Lows should range a touch cooler, in the upper 60s to around 70.

.SHORT TERM...(Monday through Wednesday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

Unsettled weather will continue for the start of a new work.
An unseasonably deep low setup west of the Mid Mississippi Valley
will remain in place into Tuesday, before it weakens and heads across
the Great Lakes. A trough feature with this low will help draw deep
moisture across the southeast states, continuing more clouds than sun
and good chances of showers. A cold front trailing southward from a
surface low will near the Mid South during Mon, before it weakens
somewhat and retreats more to west on Tue. Thus will maintain likely
rain chances into Tue. Rainfall amounts should range in the 1-2 inch
range into Tue with locally higher amounts. Given the rainfall will
be spread over a couple of days, am not inclined for a Flash Flood
Watch at this time. That said, some ponding of water issues and/or
rises in area rivers and streams cannot be ruled out.

High temperatures on Mon/Tue should only warm into the lower 80s,
thanks to high rain chances and clouds. These readings may actually
be a bit cooler if more clouds and/or showers are realized. A
recovery of highs into the mid/upper 80s should occur on Wednesday.
Normal highs on Wed are around 92 for reference.

.LONG TERM...(Wednesday night through Saturday)
Issued at 315 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

The subtropical ridge pattern, both at the sfc/aloft, will continue
to become reinforced across much of the srn Atlantic Basin into the
SE region going past mid week. This will translate into a continued
gradual warming trend thru the remainder of the work week, while
showers/tstms become more diurnally driven/sct in nature. Gulf
moisture though will continue to spread well into the mid TN Valley
into the weekend period, as south winds remain in place along the ern
fringe of the sfc ridge over the cntrl Gulf states. All of this
looks to result in near seasonal highs in the mid/upper 80s, while
overnight lows trend in the upper 60s/lower 70s.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Monday afternoon)
Issued at 1247 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

Another developing line of convection that extended from far NW AL
to SSW of Tupelo, should affect KMSL in the next hour or so. Other
isolated showers were also forming east of that boundary, all moving
NE around 20kt. Output from the various models to a degree all
forecast the reformation of new convection during the course of the
afternoon and evening. Despite limited instability, somewhat stronger
winds from the surface to 5kft AGL could result in gusty outflow
winds in the stronger storms, along with torrential rainfall and
frequent lightning. Have kept VCTS, along with a PROB30 group in
going for the overnight, continuing Mon AM.

&&

.HUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
TN...NONE.
&&

NEAR TERM...RSB
SHORT TERM...RSB
LONG TERM...09
AVIATION...RSB

For more information please visit our website
at weather.gov/huntsville.
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 11, 1:20 PM CDT, 2 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
120 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

ALZ001>010-016-TNZ076-096-097-121100-
Lauderdale-Colbert-Franklin AL-Lawrence-Limestone-Madison-Morgan-
Marshall-Jackson-DeKalb-Cullman-Moore-Lincoln-Franklin TN-
120 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north Alabama and portions of
southern middle Tennessee.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight...

Chances for thunderstorms will continue this afternoon and tonight,
as a series of upper level systems move across the area. Some of the
thunderstorms will be capable of producing strong wind gusts to 40
MPH and frequent cloud to ground lightning. However, locally heavy
rainfall and a flooding potential will be the primary concern.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday...

Widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast on Monday and
Tuesday, as a frontal boundary nears the Tennessee Valley from the
west. A few of these storms could be strong to marginally severe.
Heavy rainfall on an already wet ground could lead to flooding issues
and rises in area rivers through Tuesday.

Daily thunderstorm chances should gradually lower during the course
of the week as they become more scattered in nature. Heavy downpours
and gusty winds will be possible in the stronger storms.

.SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

Activation of storm spotters and emergency management personnel is
not anticipated at this time.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 11, 1:54 PM CDT, 1 hour 48 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
154 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

ALZ002-003-111945-
Franklin AL-Colbert AL-
154 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTH CENTRAL COLBERT AND CENTRAL
FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 245 PM CDT...

At 153 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Red Bay, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Russellville, Red Bay, Littleville, Belgreen, Vina, Cedar Creek
Reservoir, Srygley Church, New Bethel, Tharptown and Rockwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Strong gusty winds will be capable of knocking down small tree limbs
along with other small unsecured items. Seek safe shelter until this
storm has passed.

&&

LAT...LON 3432 8817 3444 8816 3471 8777 3447 8758
TIME...MOT...LOC 1853Z 240DEG 22KT 3444 8803

09
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 3:23 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
323 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

ALZ005-006-112100-
Madison AL-Limestone AL-
323 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MADISON AND EAST
CENTRAL LIMESTONE COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM CDT...

At 322 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Tanner, moving northeast at 35 mph.

Winds of 40 to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Northern Huntsville, Madison, Athens, Meridianville, Moores Mill,
Tanner, Harvest, French Mill, Toney and Elkwood.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Very heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike several miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a
safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3485 8653 3466 8693 3475 8702 3499 8677
      3499 8673
TIME...MOT...LOC 2022Z 232DEG 30KT 3476 8689

KTW
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 3:26 PM CDT, 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
326 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

ALZ005>007-112100-
Madison AL-Morgan AL-Limestone AL-
326 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN MADISON...
SOUTHEASTERN LIMESTONE AND CENTRAL MORGAN COUNTIES UNTIL 400 PM
CDT...

At 325 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Decatur, moving northeast at 40 mph.

Winds between 40 and 45 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Huntsville, Decatur, Madison, Hartselle, Redstone Arsenal,
Priceville, Triana, Marshall Space Flight Center, University Of
Alabama In Huntsville and Huntsville International Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Very heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 3441 8694 3460 8706 3486 8665 3464 8647
TIME...MOT...LOC 2025Z 232DEG 36KT 3459 8693

KTW
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 3:37 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
337 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

TNZ076-096-097-112130-
Franklin TN-Moore TN-Lincoln TN-
337 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MOORE...CENTRAL LINCOLN AND
NORTHWESTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES UNTIL 430 PM CDT...

At 337 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fayetteville, moving northeast at 30 mph.

Wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Fayetteville, Lynchburg, Estill Springs, Tims Ford Lake, Mulberry,
Chestnut Ridge, Howell, Belleville, Lois and Mimosa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Very heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike several miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a
safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3541 8625 3539 8628 3538 8625 3537 8627
      3534 8624 3535 8622 3533 8620 3536 8616
      3536 8613 3535 8608 3531 8603 3509 8655
      3521 8668 3536 8651 3532 8645 3532 8642
      3535 8641 3536 8633 3541 8628
TIME...MOT...LOC 2037Z 229DEG 28KT 3519 8654

KTW
Special weather statement, Jul 11, 3:42 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Huntsville AL
342 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

ALZ005-006-TNZ096-112130-
Madison AL-Limestone AL-Lincoln TN-
342 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN MADISON...
NORTHEASTERN LIMESTONE AND SOUTH CENTRAL LINCOLN COUNTIES UNTIL 430
PM CDT...

At 341 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Harvest, moving northeast at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Meridianville, Moores Mill, Hazel Green, Ardmore, Harvest, New
Market, Elkwood, Belleview, Skinem and Toney.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Very heavy rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike several miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a
safe shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 3480 8683 3493 8693 3513 8662 3492 8643
TIME...MOT...LOC 2041Z 234DEG 23KT 3492 8677

KTW

The office that day

Everything else NWS Huntsville, AL issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 11, 1:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNFranklin51 min
Jul 11, 3:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNLimestone37 min
Jul 11, 3:26 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNMorgan34 min
Jul 11, 3:45 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNMadison30 min
Jul 11, 3:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson, Madison25 min
Jul 11, 3:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNMorgan32 min
Jul 11, 4:12 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNJackson, Madison33 min
Jul 11, 4:36 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNMadison39 min
Jul 11, 5:00 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNCullman, Marshall45 min
Jul 11, 5:40 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNMarshall50 min
Jul 11, 5:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNDeKalb36 min
Jul 11, 6:02 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNJackson43 min
Jul 11, 6:08 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningHUNDeKalb26 min
Jul 11, 6:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNJackson33 min
Jul 11, 3:37 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNLincoln, Moore53 min
Jul 11, 4:38 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNFranklin52 min
Jul 11, 4:54 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementHUNFranklin51 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Tennessee, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.