River Flood Warning 77, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

448 
WGUS44 KHGX 091924
FLWHGX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
224 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane 
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday morning at 830 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-101330-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.210709T1924Z-210712T0050Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210710T1200Z.210711T1250Z.NO/
224 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* From this afternoon to Sunday evening.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 PM CDT Friday was 25.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.3 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.3 
  feet on 10/18/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-101330-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210711T2306Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T1200Z.210711T1106Z.NO/
224 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 PM CDT Friday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.6 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the 
  river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding 
  secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are 
  isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.6 
  feet on 04/13/1969.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC239-285-101330-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0078.210709T2255Z-210711T1424Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210709T2255Z.210710T1200Z.210711T0224Z.NO/
224 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until late Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Morales.
* From this afternoon to late Sunday morning.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 26.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this afternoon to a crest of 30.4 feet tomorrow morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water 
  inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should 
  be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.7 
  feet on 06/26/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675

$$

821 
WGUS84 KHGX 100051
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
751 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday afternoon at 200 PM CDT.

&&


TXC239-101900-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210711T2317Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T1200Z.210711T1117Z.NO/
751 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Friday was 23.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.4 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the 
  river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding 
  secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are 
  isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 
  feet on 05/20/1965.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

775 
WGUS84 KHGX 100104
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
804 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Lavaca River...including Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Saturday afternoon at 215 PM CDT.

&&


TXC239-101915-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210711T2317Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T1200Z.210711T1117Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Friday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Friday was 23.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.4 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 25.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins with the 
  river one third of a mile wide near the Highway 59 bridge flooding 
  secondary roads and bridges along the river. Livestock are 
  isolated and potentially drown.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.4 
  feet on 05/20/1965.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

388 
WGUS84 KHGX 101526
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and 
  Brazoria Counties.

  San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.

  Sandy Creek near Cordele affecting Wharton, Jackson and Colorado 
  Counties.

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  West Mustang Creek near Ganado affecting Wharton and Jackson 
  Counties.

  East Mustang Creek near Louise affecting Wharton and Jackson 
  Counties.

  Navidad River near Speaks affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

For the San Bernard River...including Sweeny, East Bernard, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Sandy Creek...including Cordele...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane 
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you 
can do so safely.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning at 1115 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-285-101630-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0082.000000T0000Z-210710T1526Z/
/SPAT2.1.ER.210709T2330Z.210710T1200Z.210711T0013Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Navidad River near Speaks has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Navidad River near Speaks.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 22.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 6.3 feet Thursday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 2937 9669 2932 9664 2920 9669 2920 9679
      2932 9677 2937 9681

$$

TXC239-481-101630-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0073.000000T0000Z-210710T1526Z/
/LMCT2.1.ER.210710T0244Z.210710T0600Z.210710T1715Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning for the East Mustang Creek near Louise has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the East Mustang Creek near Louise.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 5.5 feet Thursday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 2915 9632 2907 9635 2903 9642 2903 9652
      2907 9645 2915 9642

$$

TXC239-481-101630-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0080.210710T1600Z-210710T1526Z/
/GNDT2.1.ER.210710T1600Z.210710T1800Z.210711T0000Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning for the West Mustang Creek near Ganado has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the West Mustang Creek near Ganado.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 18.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 19.3 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.


&&

LAT...LON 2918 9636 2907 9642 2903 9642 2903 9652
      2907 9652 2918 9646

$$

TXC089-239-481-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0081.000000T0000Z-210711T2100Z/
/CODT2.1.ER.210710T1539Z.210711T0000Z.210711T0900Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sandy Creek near Cordele.
* Until tomorrow afternoon.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 17.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning to a crest of 18.3 feet this evening. It will then 
  fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 18.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins with the 
  creek close to 200 yards wide at FM 710 in the vicinity of the 
  gage. Secondary roads are cut off and bridges near the creek flood 
  and are dangerous. Livestock are cut off and potentially drowned.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.3 
  feet on 04/19/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 2925 9644 2916 9649 2906 9652 2906 9662
      2916 9659 2925 9654

$$

TXC239-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-210713T0101Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210711T1200Z.210712T1301Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:15 AM CDT Saturday was 26.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 27.8 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Monday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins with the 
  river close to one third of a miles wide in the vicinity of the 
  gage. County Road 401 is inundated and closed and the lowest homes 
  in the flood plain are threatened. Livestock can be cut off in low 
  lying parts of the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.8 
  feet on 04/20/2009.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210712T0228Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210711T0000Z.210711T1428Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until late tomorrow evening.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:15 AM CDT Saturday was 23.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.6 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  hundreds of yards into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and 
  low areas. Minor roads and near the river flood and livestock are 
  isolated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.6 
  feet on 04/10/1942.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC039-157-481-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-210715T0600Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210709T1227Z.210710T1800Z.210714T1800Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until early Thursday morning.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 29.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 10:00 AM CDT Saturday was 29.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 29.8 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Wednesday afternoon.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 29.8 
  feet on 10/14/1997.


&&

LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
      2930 9595 2940 9605

$$

TXC039-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-210714T2000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210709T1105Z.210711T0000Z.210714T0800Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Wednesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 9:45 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:45 AM CDT Saturday was 15.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 15.4 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Water begins inundating the boat ramp off 
  of FM 521. Pan American Road and Riverglen Street become 
  threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 
  feet on 05/12/2019.


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
      2902 9565 2913 9577

$$

TXC321-481-110930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210712T0624Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210706T1311Z.210710T0500Z.210711T1824Z.NO/
1026 AM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 28.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM CDT Saturday was 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 8.6 feet Thursday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as both 
  approaches to the FM 456 bridge are cut off and water is over the 
  road on FM 1468 near Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 
  2853 southeast of Blessing with several homes in the El Dorado 
  Country subdivision upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks 
  downstream flooded.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.7 
  feet on 09/23/1997.

&&


  Fld   Observed            Forecasts (1 pm CDT)
Location           Stg   Stg    Day/Time      Sun   Mon   Tue

Tres Palacios River
Midfield           24.0  28.7   Sat 9 am CDT  24.1  17.9  12.8





&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

092 
WGUS84 KHGX 110151
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
851 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Moderate flooding 
is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Morales, Strane Park...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Sunday afternoon at 300 PM CDT.

&&


TXC239-112000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-210712T1848Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210711T1200Z.210712T0648Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until early Monday afternoon.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 26.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM CDT Saturday was 26.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 27.0 feet tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Monday morning to 9.3 feet 
  and begin rising again early Wednesday morning. It will rise to 
  9.4 feet Wednesday morning. It will then fall again and remain 
  below flood stage.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.0 
  feet on 05/30/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-285-112000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-210712T0800Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210709T2323Z.210710T2300Z.210711T2000Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM CDT Saturday was 31.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 9.8 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding occurs as water 
  inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should 
  be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.8 
  feet on 03/16/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-112000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210712T0841Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T0730Z.210711T2041Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM CDT Saturday was 23.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.4 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  hundreds of yards into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and 
  low areas. Minor roads and near the river flood and livestock are 
  isolated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.4 
  feet on 06/28/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC321-481-112000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210712T0651Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210706T1311Z.210710T0500Z.210711T1851Z.NO/
851 PM CDT Sat Jul 10 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:30 PM CDT Saturday was 29.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 7.9 feet Thursday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 28.0 feet, water is over the road on FM 1468 near 
  Clemville, FM 2431 east of Midfield, and FM 2853 southeast of 
  Blessing all in Matagorda County with homes in the subdivisions of 
  El Dorado Country upstream and Oak Grove and Tres Palacios Oaks 
  downstream threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.9 
  feet on 05/08/1972.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sun   Mon   Tue          

Tres Palacios River
Midfield           24.0  27.8  Sat 8 pm CDT 22.8  16.6  11.6         





&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

692 
WGUS84 KHGX 111415
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
915 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane 
Park...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 315 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-120815-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-210712T2013Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210711T1300Z.210712T0813Z.NO/
915 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until tomorrow afternoon.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 27.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Sunday was 27.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 8.6 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.1 
  feet on 09/01/2001.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-285-120815-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-210712T0936Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210709T2323Z.210710T2300Z.210711T2136Z.NO/
915 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until late tonight.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:00 AM CDT Sunday was 31.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this afternoon and continue falling to 9.4 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding occurs as water 
  inundates County Road 283. Livestock could be cut off and should 
  be removed from the flood plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 30.7 
  feet on 06/26/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-120815-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210712T1215Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T0730Z.210712T0015Z.NO/
915 AM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until tomorrow morning.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Sunday was 23.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage this 
  evening and continue falling to 7.0 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  hundreds of yards into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and 
  low areas. Minor roads and near the river flood and livestock are 
  isolated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on 03/11/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

177 
WGUS84 KHGX 120117
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
817 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

For the Tres Palacios River...including Midfield...Minor flooding is 
forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Morales, Strane Park...Moderate 
flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 800 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-121930-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-210712T2152Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210711T1300Z.210712T0952Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until tomorrow afternoon.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Sunday was 27.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 8.5 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 27.0 
  feet on 05/30/2007.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-285-121300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-210712T1300Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210709T2323Z.210710T2300Z.210712T0100Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Morales.
* Until tomorrow morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 29.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:00 PM CDT Sunday was 30.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.7 feet Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins as water 
  reaches the right approach to the bridge at County Road 283. 
  Livestock should be removed from vulnerable areas of the flood 
  plain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.7 
  feet on 12/10/2018.


&&

LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-121615-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210712T1613Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T0730Z.210712T0413Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until late tomorrow morning.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 21.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Sunday was 23.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this evening and continue falling to 7.8 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  well into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and low areas.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 07/02/2004.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC321-481-121900-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210712T1851Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210706T1311Z.210710T0500Z.210712T0651Z.NO/
817 PM CDT Sun Jul 11 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Sunday was 27.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 7.0 feet Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins with water 
  well into the flood plain on the right upstream bank and within 
  inches of spilling over the east approach to the bridge at FM 
  456.  The river will be almost one quarter mile wide in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.4 
  feet on 11/01/2018.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

Tres Palacios River
Midfield           24.0  25.4  Sun 7 pm CDT 19.4  13.1  9.4          





&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

457 
WGUS84 KHGX 120636
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend, 
  Austin and Colorado Counties.

  Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Wharton and Matagorda 
  Counties.

  Navidad River at Morales affecting Lavaca and Jackson Counties.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and 
  Brazoria Counties.

  San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.

For the San Bernard River...including Sweeny, East Bernard, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Please report flooding to your local law enforcement agency when you 
can do so safely.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued later this morning by 930 AM CDT.

&&


TXC239-285-120745-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0078.000000T0000Z-210712T0636Z/
/MRAT2.2.ER.210709T2323Z.210710T2300Z.210712T0100Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Navidad River at Morales has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Navidad River at Morales.
* At 1:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 27.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.7 feet Friday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 2920 9679 2920 9669 2909 9665 2909 9675

$$

TXC239-120745-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0077.000000T0000Z-210712T0636Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210709T1623Z.210710T0730Z.210712T0413Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Lavaca River near Edna has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* At 1:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 20.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.8 feet Friday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC015-089-157-481-120745-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0076.000000T0000Z-210712T0636Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210710T0230Z.210711T1100Z.210712T0420Z.UU/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning for the San Bernard River Near East Bernard has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* At 1:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 17.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.4 feet Friday 
  evening.


&&

LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
      2952 9611

$$

TXC321-481-120745-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210712T0636Z/
/MTPT2.2.ER.210706T1311Z.210710T0500Z.210712T0651Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Tres Palacios River near Midfield has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Tres Palacios River near Midfield.
* At 12:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 7.0 feet Friday 
  evening.

&&


                   Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location           Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

Tres Palacios River
Midfield           24.0  23.4  Mon 12 am CD 17.8  11.7  8.9          





&&

LAT...LON 2905 9609 2892 9612 2884 9610 2884 9620
      2892 9622 2905 9620

$$

TXC239-122215-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0079.000000T0000Z-210712T2211Z/
/LSNT2.2.ER.210709T1657Z.210711T1300Z.210712T1011Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until late this afternoon.
* At 1:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 26.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 AM CDT Monday was 27.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  this morning and continue falling to 8.5 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 26.2 
  feet on 04/19/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC039-157-481-130045-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0075.000000T0000Z-210714T1330Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210709T1227Z.210710T1301Z.210714T0130Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 1:15 AM CDT Monday the stage was 23.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:15 AM CDT Monday was 27.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow evening and continue falling to 8.2 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins upstream 
  from the gage with significant backwater flooding up Peach Creek 
  in Wharton County inundating low lying areas. Minor backwater 
  flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.3 
  feet on 03/20/1999.


&&

LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
      2930 9595 2940 9605

$$

TXC039-130045-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0074.000000T0000Z-210714T0824Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210709T1105Z.210711T0045Z.210713T2024Z.NO/
136 AM CDT Mon Jul 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until early Wednesday morning.
* At 12:45 AM CDT Monday the stage was 13.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 12:45 AM CDT Monday was 15.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 2.0 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Water is within 5 feet of the top of the 
  dock at the Phillips Terminal near Sweeny. Tugs can not push 
  barges upstream and are unable to dock and there is widespread 
  inundation of the floodplain.
* Flood History...No available flood history.


&&

LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
      2902 9565 2913 9577

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
623 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021

.AVIATION [12Z TAF Issuance]...

Another day of widespread showers is expected today with scattered
thunderstorms developing in the late morning and afternoon. MVFR
CIGs of 2000-3000ft will prevail, but expect lower CIGs and
visibility during times of rain. Southeasterly flow will persist
through the package. Coverage of precipitation will end from south
to north late this afternoon into the evening with all the
terminals seeing an end to the precipitation by 00 to 03z. The
MVFR cigs of 1500-2500ft will continue through the night. Drier
conditions are expected on Saturday with much less precipitation
coverage.

Fowler

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 500 AM CDT Fri Jul 9 2021/...

.SHORT TERM [Through Saturday Night]...

A very welcome reprieve from the heavy rain occurred during the late
evening through 2am. Though, radar is filling in across the Gulf and
this will be moving inland within the next few hours. Guidance
didn't pick up this break in the rainfall, so did cut back some of
the QPF expected through the morning. The break allowed for some
decrease in the swollen rivers along the Lavaca/Navidad in
preparation for the return of the heavy rain - which will occur by
sunrise. A strengthening LLJ will be oriented south/north extending
from the waters off of Corpus and up through the western half of the
area. This axis is where the heaviest rains will fall this morning
and into the early afternoon. The showers and thunderstorms should
be able to push a bit further inland today with precipitation
reaching up through around the Lake Livingston area. PWATs today
will be around 2.1 to 2.2 inches, so locally heavy rainfall will be
possible within any of these storms. However, these northern areas
have not received as much rain as the coastal areas over the past
few days, so will be able to take the excess rainfall better.
Through this evening, expecting an additions 3 to 6 inches of rain
south of I-10 and west of the Brazos River with areas to the north
and east expecting up to 1 to 3 inches. Locally higher amounts are
possible. There is hope for drier conditions starting tonight. The
upper level low begins to move southwestward into northern Mexico
tonight and high pressure to the north builds southwards pushing the
weak boundary thats been over the region out into the Gulf. This
will decrease precipitation chances on Saturday (cannot out rule
some afternoon showers and thunderstorms near the coast) with
minimal chances after sunset Saturday.

The Flash Flood Watch continues through this evening for areas
across the southwest and up along the coast. The Watch was expanded
northwards last evening to include Waller, Colorado, and Austin.
Paying close attention to Jackson, Matagorda, and Wharton counties
as these areas have one hour FFG between 1 and 2 inches with some
portions of Jackson and Matagorda even below 1 inch. So it won't
take much to cause issues. Elsewhere, the one hour FFG is between 2
and 4 inches, so while not as low, low enough to have to monitor for
any training or intense storms.

Mostly cloudy skies will continue the cooler than normal afternoon
temperatures today with highs in the low to mid 80s. However,
temperatures begin to climb on Saturday due to breaks in the cloud
cover with afternoon highs climbing to near 90. Overnight lows
tonight and Saturday night will be in the mid to upper 70s.

Fowler

.LONG TERM [Sunday Through Friday]...
Sunday morning the pesky rain producing upper low will be shunted
well south in western/southwestern Mexico with a sliver of ridging
over TX as an upper low drops out of the High Plains and into
Missouri leaving SETX in the gap with light northerly flow aloft
and still somewhat moist lower level flow off the Gulf. Rain
chances will continue Sunday with coastal showers in the morning
then some widely scattered showers and thunderstorms inland during
the afternoon. Warmer as well with highs reaching the upper 80s
near the coast and around 90 to lower 90s inland. The cold front
associated with the upper low in MO drops south and slows/probably
stalling just north of the CWA but will need to watch for the
possibility that outflow sags off the boundary and storms creep
southward Sunday night and Monday so will continue to the forecast
for higher rain chances across the northeastern counties Sunday
night and into Monday. Tuesday the upper low lifts out and the strong
Atlantic ridging pushes into the SE US and eventually into the
Gulf Wednesday. This is going to bring a wave of deeper tropical
moisture out of the Gulf and into TX with an increase in rain
chances Tuesday and Wednesday following the typical summer
diurnal pattern with the seabreeze inland. Warmer temperatures
also possible if doesn't get too cloudy from the showers and
thunderstorms. For now have stuck with highs in the lower 90s but
these may need a nudge up especially in the west and northwest.

The upper ridge over the Gulf/SE US weakens Thursday and Friday
with enough moisture lingering over SETX for scattered showers and
thunderstorms mainly driven by the seabreeze. Looking at next
Friday into the weekend upper ridging rebuilds over the 4 corners
and SETX hangs out on the edge so more of the typical diurnal
seabreeze showers/thunderstorms in the offing.
45

.MARINE...
Moderate to strong onshore flow will continue today gradually
relaxing this afternoon and tonight. SCA will be gradually coming
down to SCEC this afternoon and tonight with the stronger winds
and higher seas over the western waters. Scattered to
numerous/frequent showers this morning then tapering down in
coverage. As the low moves west winds should be very gradually
relaxing and returning to the more typical summer 10-15kt flow.
Elevated tide levels will continue today and Saturday then slowly
diminish as well while rip currents remain strong probably through
Saturday. Surge of deep tropical moisture moves into the coastal
waters area Monday or Tuesday and could see an uptick in
showers/thunderstorms with this arrival.

.HYDROLOGY...
Swelling rivers/streams and bayous over the southern CWA
especially focusing on the Lavaca Navidad/Tres Palacios/Mustang
Colorado/San Bernard. Moderate flooding ongoing near Midfield on
the Tres Palacios with more rainfall coming and further rises
likely may reach into major if all the rain materializes.

.TROPICAL...
Elsa near Long Island NY moving back out into the Atlantic.
Elsewhere the tropics look quiet - also of note quite the dust
storm brewing over Africa this morning.
45

.CLIMATE...
Intercontinental tied the 1906 record low maximum temperature
yesterday of 81 degrees.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  84  75  90  75  90 /  70  20  20   0  20
Houston (IAH)          82  76  90  76  91 /  80  30  30   0  20
Galveston (GLS)        87  81  89  80  87 /  70  50  30  10  20

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...High Rip Current Risk through late tonight for the following
     zones: Bolivar Peninsula...Brazoria Islands...Galveston
     Island...Matagorda Islands.

     Flash Flood Watch through this evening for the following zones:
     Austin...Bolivar Peninsula...Brazoria Islands...Coastal
     Brazoria...Coastal Galveston...Coastal Jackson...Coastal
     Matagorda...Colorado...Fort Bend...Galveston
     Island...Inland Brazoria...Inland Galveston...Inland
     Jackson...Inland Matagorda...Matagorda
     Islands...Waller...Wharton.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT this afternoon for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from High Island to
     Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Matagorda
     Bay...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60
     NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from 1 PM CDT this afternoon
     through this evening for the following zones: Matagorda Bay.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from 1 PM to 5 PM CDT this
     afternoon for the following zones: Coastal waters from High
     Island to Freeport TX out 20 NM...Galveston Bay...Waters
     from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

     Small Craft Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda
     Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Waters from Freeport to
     Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&