River Flood Warning 54, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

023 
WGUS84 KHGX 251121
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Sandy Creek near Cordele affecting Wharton, Jackson and Colorado 
  Counties.

  Navidad River at Sublime affecting Lavaca County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

  Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

  East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney affecting Harris, Liberty 
  and Montgomery Counties.

  San Bernard River near Sweeny affecting Brazoria County.

  San Bernard River near Boling affecting Wharton, Fort Bend and 
  Brazoria Counties.

  San Bernard River Near East Bernard affecting Wharton, Fort Bend, 
  Austin and Colorado Counties.

  Navidad River at Strane Park affecting Jackson County.

  Lavaca River near Edna affecting Jackson County.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the East Fork San Jacinto River...including New Caney, 
Cleveland...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the San Bernard River...including East Bernard, Sweeny, Boling...
Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Navidad River...including Sublime, Speaks, Morales, Strane 
Park...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Lavaca River...including Komensky, Breslau, Hallettsville, 
Edna...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

A Flood Warning means that flooding is imminent or occurring. All 
interested parties should take necessary precautions immediately.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning by 930 AM CDT.

&&


TXC285-251230-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0053.000000T0000Z-210525T1121Z/
/SBMT2.1.ER.210524T2120Z.210525T0000Z.210525T0900Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Navidad River at Sublime has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Navidad River at Sublime.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is no longer expected to flood and is 
  expected to fall to 8.4 feet Saturday evening.


&&

LAT...LON 2957 9678 2946 9676 2937 9669 2937 9681
      2946 9686 2957 9688

$$

TXC089-239-481-251230-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0052.210525T1930Z-210525T1121Z/
/CODT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Sandy Creek near Cordele has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Sandy Creek near Cordele.
* At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 13.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is no longer expected to flood and is 
  expected to rise to a crest of 13.8 feet this morning.


&&

LAT...LON 2925 9644 2916 9649 2906 9652 2906 9662
      2916 9659 2925 9654

$$

TXC199-291-373-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-210528T0224Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210525T0006Z.210526T1200Z.210527T2024Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.8 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.8 
  feet on 06/18/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC201-291-339-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0044.000000T0000Z-210529T1200Z/
/NCET2.1.ER.210521T0147Z.210522T0700Z.210529T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Fork San Jacinto near New Caney.
* Until Saturday morning.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 60.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 58.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday was 61.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 60.7 feet this morning. It will 
  remain near this stage for the next couple of days. It will then 
  fall below flood stage late Friday evening.
* Impact...At 58.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage with minor roads such as Chinquapin and 
  Riverside Roads beginning to flood.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 60.7 
  feet on 02/28/2018.

&&


  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)
Location             Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri

East Fork San Jacinto
New Caney            58.0  60.5  Tue 6 am CDT 60.5  59.6  58.5





&&

LAT...LON 3024 9515 3024 9504 3007 9510 3007 9520
      3014 9517

$$

TXC239-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-210528T0712Z/
/EDNT2.1.ER.210519T0931Z.210526T0600Z.210527T1912Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Lavaca River near Edna.
* Until late Thursday night.
* At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 23.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.9 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Flooding along the Lavaca River reaches 
  hundreds of yards into the lower floodplain backing up sloughs and 
  low areas. Minor roads and near the river flood and livestock are 
  isolated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on 07/13/1939.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Lavaca River
Edna        21.0  23.5  Tue 5 am CDT 23.8  22.1  17.2         





&&

LAT...LON 2908 9675 2908 9664 2886 9654 2886 9674

$$

TXC239-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0033.000000T0000Z-210526T2120Z/
/LSNT2.1.ER.210519T0912Z.210522T2100Z.210526T0920Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Navidad River at Strane Park.
* Until Wednesday afternoon.
* At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 25.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 25.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.6 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late tonight.
* Impact...At 26.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins 
  threatening livestock and property in the river channel. The right 
  approach to the County Road 401 bridge is closed making travel 
  difficult.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 25.6 
  feet on 01/17/2010.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Navidad River
Strane Park  24.0  25.5  Tue 5 am CDT 23.6  18.6  13.8         





&&

LAT...LON 2909 9665 2901 9649 2901 9662 2909 9675

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210523T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 135.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 135.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 135.0 feet.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as 
  significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in 
  the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat 
  ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep 
  River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are 
  threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.1 
  feet on 10/30/2009.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 135.1 Tue 5 am CDT 135.0 135.0 134.9        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

TXC039-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0030.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/OCNT2.2.ER.210519T0439Z.210520T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Sweeny.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:45 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 12.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 7.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:45 AM CDT Tuesday was 12.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 13.9 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 13.0 feet, Water is within 5 feet of the top of the 
  dock at the Phillips Terminal near Sweeny. Tugs can not push 
  barges upstream and are unable to dock and there is widespread 
  inundation of the floodplain.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 15.8 
  feet on 05/12/2019.

&&


                 Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location         Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

San Bernard River
Sweeny           7.0   12.8  Tue 5 am CDT 13.1  10.8  8.6          





&&

LAT...LON 2913 9566 2902 9554 2888 9543 2888 9553
      2902 9565 2913 9577

$$

TXC039-157-481-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0028.000000T0000Z-210530T1030Z/
/BOLT2.2.ER.210518T1218Z.210525T1200Z.210529T2230Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River near Boling.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 6:01 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 24.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 18.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:01 AM CDT Tuesday was 24.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 24.9 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage Saturday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 22.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins upstream 
  from the gage with significant backwater flooding up Peach Creek 
  in Wharton County inundating low lying areas. Minor backwater 
  flooding up Snake Creek in Fort Bend County begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 24.5 
  feet on 12/09/2018.

&&


                 Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location         Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

San Bernard River
Boling           18.0  24.0  Tue 6 am CDT 23.6  21.4  19.7         





&&

LAT...LON 2940 9592 2930 9584 2913 9566 2913 9577
      2930 9595 2940 9605

$$

TXC291-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210527T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.6 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as homes in 
  several subdivisions above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive 
  flooding over much of Liberty County can be expected with each 
  incremental rise in the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.6 
  feet on 04/14/1968.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Liberty      26.0  28.3  Tue 5 am CDT 28.5  28.6  28.6         





&&

LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489

$$

TXC071-291-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210525T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 5:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 5:30 AM CDT Tuesday was 14.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 14.2 feet 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 15.2 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.2 
  feet on 10/22/1994.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  14.1  Tue 5 am CDT 14.2  14.1  14.2         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

TXC015-089-157-481-252330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0051.210525T1800Z-210529T1000Z/
/EBBT2.1.ER.210525T1800Z.210527T0600Z.210528T2200Z.UU/
621 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the San Bernard River Near East Bernard.
* From this afternoon to late Friday night.
* At 6:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 16.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 17.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon to a crest of 18.2 feet early Thursday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage with minor roads along the river inundated.  
  Backwater flooding up Britt Branch and Bratcher Slough begins.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 18.2 
  feet on 12/29/2018.

&&


                 Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location         Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

San Bernard River
East Bernard     17.0  16.4  Tue 6 am CDT 17.8  18.2  17.6         





&&

LAT...LON 2970 9625 2970 9605 2940 9592 2940 9605
      2952 9611

$$

841 
WGUS84 KHGX 251427 RRA
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
927 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 930 PM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-260230-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-210527T2000Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210525T0006Z.210526T1200Z.210527T1400Z.NO/
927 AM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 21.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Tuesday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 21.9 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.9 
  feet on 02/26/1992.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

861 
WGUS84 KHGX 260043
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

  Trinity River at Liberty affecting Liberty County.

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Liberty, Moss Bluff...Moderate flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Motorists should not attempt to drive around barricades or drive 
cars through flooded areas.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Wednesday morning at 745 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-261245-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-210528T0000Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210525T0006Z.210525T1100Z.210527T1800Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday was 21.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 20.8 feet 
  tomorrow evening. It will then fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins as water 
  escapes the main channel in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 20.8 
  feet on 02/06/1992.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-261245-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0031.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210519T0850Z.210529T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 6:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 135.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:30 PM CDT Tuesday was 135.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 135.4 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then rise to 135.5 feet 
  Friday evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 135.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues as 
  significant backwater up Thomas Lake floods the lowest areas in 
  the Green Rich Shore Subdivision in Walker County with the boat 
  ramp completely inundated. The lowest lying areas in the Deep 
  River Plantation Subdivision and FM 980 northwest of Riverside are 
  threatened.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 135.6 
  feet on 02/14/2010.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 135.3 Tue 6 pm CDT 135.2 135.3 135.5        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

TXC291-261245-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0027.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LBYT2.2.ER.210517T2322Z.210527T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Liberty.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 28.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Tuesday was 28.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 28.4 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 29.0 feet, Major lowland flooding begins as homes in 
  several subdivisions above Liberty begin flooding. Extensive 
  flooding over much of Liberty County can be expected with each 
  incremental rise in the river.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 28.4 
  feet on 02/11/1992.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Liberty      26.0  28.2  Tue 7 pm CDT 28.4  28.4  28.4         





&&

LAT...LON 3027 9475 2996 9470 2996 9487 3027 9489

$$

TXC071-291-261245-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T1400Z.210525T0915Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
743 PM CDT Tue May 25 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 14.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday was 14.2 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 14.1 feet.
* Impact...At 15.2 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 14.1 
  feet on 03/17/2015.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Wed   Thu   Fri          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  14.1  Tue 7 pm CDT 14.1  14.1  14.1         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

934 
WGUS84 KHGX 261521
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1021 AM CDT Wed May 26 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

TXC199-291-373-261630-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0054.000000T0000Z-210526T1521Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210525T0006Z.210525T1100Z.210527T1800Z.NO/
1021 AM CDT Wed May 26 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Menard Creek near Rye has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* At 10:15 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.9 feet 
  this afternoon.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
621 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

.AVIATION...

Still a few lingering shra/tsra over the area but these will wane
by 02z with a mix of VFR and MVFR ceilings developing between
05-08z. Another short wave will move across the southern plains on
Tuesday and as the trough axis crosses SE TX coupled with PW
values of around 1.90 inches, it seems reasonable to expect
another band of showers and thunderstorms to develop across area
TAF sites. Will carry a VCSH for the AM with a VCTS for the
afternoon. 43

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 345 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021/

DISCUSSION...

Today's heaviest rain bands set up further up the coast,
necessitating the shift of the flood watch up from Matagorda Bay
closer to the west side of Galveston Bay, including the Houston
metro. As rains started to pile up, flood advisories came out,
followed by a flash flood warning that focused on northeast Harris
County, where 5 to 7 inches, and localized totals up to 13 inches
have been seen today. Estimated return intervals for the rainfall
seen in the flash flood warning area range from 5 to 10 years.

Though today's rains are expected to wind down this evening as we
lose solar heating, the broader environment will remain
supportive of continued rain tomorrow, and perhaps again on
Wednesday before we transition to a weather pattern that has a
greater influence from high pressure. Keep an eye on the weekend,
however. If ridging holds strong, it should be nigh summer-like.
But there are indications that a weak front will try to slide
down. If it makes it far enough, we could start to see some
chances of rain slide on down from the north with it.

SHORT TERM [Through Tuesday]...

Flash flood watch in effect until 9 pm for a portion of the area.
This should be allowed to expire...but will probably need another
one for Tuesday before the drying trend really kicks in.

Rainfall today was generous to say the least...2 to 4 inch amounts
were very common in the corridor from Freeport to Houston to eastern
Montgomery county. A few larger areas in there got 4-7 inches of
rain. Areas around Mount Houston in NE Harris got hit the hardest
today and this is on top rains from last week.

Storms should be dissipating early this evening and the remainder of
the night should be quiet. Tuesday morning speed convergence should
lead to spotty showers near the coast and up into the southwestern
areas... that with heating become scattered across the region
transitioning to showers and thunderstorms mainly over the western
areas but small features could alter that plan...think this morning.
PW remains high and s/w moving in from the SJT area will be yet
another arrow in the quiver for storms. A flash flood watch will
likely be needed again Tuesday for a portion of the area.

LONG TERM [Tuesday Night Through Monday]...

The mid-week becomes the waiting game. For some time we've
anticipated a shift to a more ridge-dominated pattern, and for
various reasons, that shift keeps staying off in the long term.
But, eventually, that is precisely what's going to happen.
Guidance suggests a shortwave for Tuesday night and Wednesday that
would be capable of enhancing afternoon convection on and around a
seabreeze. So, while Wednesday looks like yet another day with
showers and thunderstorms popping up, I'm expecting it to feel
more like an amped-up "regular" day, rather than the firehouse of
tropical moisture we've seen of late. I'm also quite aware I've
said something like this on at least one occasion already this
string of shifts, so I've got this Wednesday written down in
metaphorical pencil.

Deeper into the week, there is greater confidence in high pressure
taking hold of the situation. Increased subsidence should finally
overwhelm the persistent onshore flow, and give us at least a
couple nice, dry days with a warming trend from highs around 80 to
highs in the mid to upper 80s. There's a decent chance that the
weekend is a little more of the same, but the Euro has introduced
a fairly unpleasant idea that is showing up in some more of the
guidance. It droops a weak front down into Southeast Texas, and
with it, some increased rain chances. Now, taking a broader look
at the entire envelope, and rain is still more of an outside
possibility. There's rainfall in the median NBM solution only as
far south as Crockett on Saturday. Buuuut...the 90th percentile
NBM values have at least light rain all the way to the coast, and
widespread half an inch to one inch rainfall from I-10 northward.
So...while another solid round of rain is probably still an
outlier at this point, we'll have to watch how this potential
scenario evolves before we can say with much confidence how (not)
pleasant the coming weekend will be.

MARINE...

Moderate southeast winds and elevated seas will continue into the
mid-week, which will continue to keep tides noticeably above
astronomical tidal values. Of late, the winds have brought tides
near, but not quite to advisory levels, and this is expected to
carry on. Additionally, the persistent onshore winds are expected
to keep rip currents as a dangerous threat to those choosing to
take a swim in the Gulf. Periods of showers and thunderstorms are
expected to persist tomorrow, and potentially even Wednesday
before high pressure brings in some drier days. A drier weather
pattern with weakening winds and gradually subsiding seas will
settle into the area for late in the week and stretch into the
weekend. A weak front may try to approach Southeast Texas on
Saturday, but is unlikely to reach the waters. The main impact, if
any, would be a slight backing of winds to have a little more of
an easterly component.

HYDROLOGY...

Numerous flood warnings continue again today. But, despite the
heavy rain in Harris County today, rivers and bayous have been
able to come down enough to generally withstand the rain. That
said, even on rivers that are not over or expected to reach flood
stage, river levels are likely to be elevated and running quickly.
Continued rainfall will - at best - slow improvement, and at worst
exacerbate conditions. We can look for more sustained improvement
in weather conditions once this rainy pattern comes to an end and
drier conditions begin to prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL)      70  83  71  86  71 /  50  70  20  30   0
Houston (IAH)              71  83  72  85  72 /  30  60  10  40   0
Galveston (GLS)            75  81  76  82  76 /  30  40  10  10   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...High Rip Current Risk through Tuesday evening for the following
     zones: Bolivar Peninsula...Brazoria Islands...Galveston
     Island...Matagorda Islands.

     Flash Flood Watch until 9 PM CDT this evening for the following
     zones: Austin...Coastal Brazoria...Colorado...Fort Bend...
     Grimes...Inland Brazoria...Inland Harris...Montgomery...
     Waller...Washington.

GM...NONE.
&&

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
618 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

TXZ197-210-211-250000-
Washington TX-Colorado TX-Austin TX-
618 PM CDT Mon May 24 2021

...STRONG WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE ACROSS FLASH FLOOD WARNED AREA IN
AUSTIN COUNTY...

At 617 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles east of Industry, or 8 miles northwest of Bellville, moving
north at 5 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Bellville, Shelby, Industry, New Ulm, Frelsburg and Cat Spring.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2996 9657 3004 9662 3007 9662 3008 9663
      3009 9663 3014 9621 2984 9619 2978 9673
TIME...MOT...LOC 2317Z 178DEG 4KT 2999 9639

Cady

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
704 PM CDT MON MAY 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0652 PM     FLASH FLOOD      8 SSW BRENHAM           30.06N 96.46W
05/24/2021                   AUSTIN             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            FM 109 AT WILLIAMS CREEK WAS UNDER WATER AND
            CLOSED TO TRAFFIC. 6 TO 8 INCHES OF RAIN HAS
            FALLEN IN THIS AREA.

&&

CAR