River Flood Warning 20, NWS Houston/Galveston, TX

947 
WGUS84 KHGX 121849
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
149 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 200 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-130700-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.210513T2015Z-210514T2209Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
149 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* From Thursday afternoon to Friday afternoon.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 13.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 21.4 feet early Friday morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, minor lowland flooding begins as water 
  escapes the main channel in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.4 
  feet on 03/23/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-130700-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
149 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 133.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 1:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 133.6 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.5 feet 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.4 
  feet on 04/01/2008.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 133.6 Wed 1 pm CDT 134.3 134.5 134.5        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

889 
WGUS84 KHGX 130148
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
848 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning by 930 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-131615-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.210513T1017Z-210514T1236Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210513T1017Z.210513T1800Z.210514T0636Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* From late tonight to Friday morning.
* At 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 15.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 15.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to a crest of 21.8 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins as water 
  escapes the main channel in the vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 21.8 
  feet on 06/18/2015.


&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-131615-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 133.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 133.7 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.4 feet 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.4 
  feet on 04/13/2007.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 133.7 Wed 7 pm CDT 134.2 134.4 134.4        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

TXC071-291-131615-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.210514T1200Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
848 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* From Friday morning until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 11.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday was 11.8 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  morning and continue rising to 12.5 feet Saturday evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.5 
  feet on 10/31/2006.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Thu   Fri   Sat          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  11.8  Wed 7 pm CDT 12.0  12.3  12.5         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

730 
WGUS44 KHGX 130441
FLWHGX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1141 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Thursday morning by 930 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-131645-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0020.210513T1017Z-210514T1236Z/
/RYET2.2.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T1800Z.210514T0636Z.NO/
1141 PM CDT Wed May 12 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* From late tonight to Friday morning.
* At 11:15 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 21.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 11:15 PM CDT Wednesday was 21.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise above moderate flood stage late 
  tonight then crest Thursday morning at 23.5 feet. It will fall 
  below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  21.3  Wed 11 pm CD 23.2  12.2  10.4         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

776 
WGUS44 KHGX 130749
FLWHGX

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
249 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this afternoon at 300 PM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-132000-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.210513T0749Z-210514T0837Z/
/RYET2.2.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T1200Z.210514T0237Z.NO/
249 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* From early this morning to late tonight.
* At 2:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:15 AM CDT Thursday was 23.4 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 23.6 feet 
  this morning. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.7 
  feet on 04/06/1997.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  23.4  Thu 2 am CDT 19.1  12.6  10.3         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

368 
WGUS84 KHGX 131342
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
842 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Moderate flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this evening at 845 PM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-140145-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210514T1103Z/
/RYET2.2.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T0945Z.210514T0503Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 8:15 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 8:15 AM CDT Thursday was 24.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 10.1 feet Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.9 
  feet on 02/10/1966.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  23.9  Thu 8 am CDT 17.9  11.5  10.5         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC071-291-140145-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0021.210514T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to a crest of 12.6 feet 
  early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 
  feet on 04/01/1992.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  11.9  Thu 8 am CDT 12.1  12.3  12.5         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-140145-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
842 AM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 133.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 AM CDT Thursday was 133.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.4 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.4 
  feet on 04/13/2007.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 133.9 Thu 7 am CDT 134.3 134.4 134.3        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

528 
WGUS84 KHGX 132013
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
313 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued late tonight at 315 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-140815-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210514T1406Z/
/RYET2.2.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T0945Z.210514T0806Z.NO/
313 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until Friday morning.
* At 2:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 23.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:15 PM CDT Thursday was 24.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  tonight and continue falling to 9.8 feet early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 23.1 
  feet on 02/24/2018.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  23.1  Thu 2 pm CDT 16.8  11.2  10.3         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-140815-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
313 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 134.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 2:30 PM CDT Thursday was 134.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.3 feet 
  tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.3 
  feet on 05/14/2004.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 134.0 Thu 2 pm CDT 134.3 134.3 134.1        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

TXC071-291-140815-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.210514T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210514T1800Z.210518T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
313 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* From Friday afternoon until further notice.
* At 2:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 12.7 feet early Tuesday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.7 
  feet on 04/14/2002.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (1 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  11.9  Thu 2 pm CDT 12.2  12.3  12.5         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

559 
WGUS84 KHGX 140119
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
819 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Goodrich, 
Romayor, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.
For the Menard Creek...including Rye...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

&&


TXC199-291-373-141330-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T0945Z.210514T0720Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 22.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 20.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:15 PM CDT Thursday was 24.1 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 10.7 feet Tuesday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 23.0 feet, Moderate lowland flooding begins as low 
  lying areas along the creek are inundated.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 22.2 
  feet on 01/20/1995.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  22.1  Thu 7 pm CDT 15.9  12.0  11.3         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC071-291-141330-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0021.210515T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T0000Z.210517T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* From Friday evening until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow evening and continue rising to a crest of 12.6 feet early 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.6 
  feet on 04/01/1992.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  11.9  Thu 7 pm CDT 12.2  12.4  12.5         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-141330-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
819 PM CDT Thu May 13 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 134.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 7:30 PM CDT Thursday was 134.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 134.1 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 134.3 
  feet on 05/14/2004.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 pm CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Fri   Sat   Sun          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 134.0 Thu 7 pm CDT 134.1 134.0 133.9        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

158 
WGUS84 KHGX 141446
FLSHGX

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
946 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Menard Creek near Rye affecting Polk, Hardin and Liberty Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River at Riverside affecting Walker, San Jacinto, Polk 
  and Trinity Counties.

  Trinity River near Moss Bluff affecting Chambers and Liberty 
  Counties.

For the Trinity River...including Crockett, Riverside, Romayor, 
Goodrich, Moss Bluff, Liberty...Minor flooding is forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Persons with interests along these streams should keep alert to 
rising water and take all precautions to protect their property. Do 
not drive or walk into flooded areas the depth and water velocity 
could be too great for you to cross safely. Motorists should avoid 
any water covered roads and find an alternate route. Livestock and 
equipment should be removed from the flood plain immediately. Stay 
tuned to NOAA Weather radio or other news sources for further 
updates.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued this morning at 1045 AM CDT.

&&


TXC199-291-373-141600-
/O.CAN.KHGX.FL.W.0020.000000T0000Z-210514T1446Z/
/RYET2.1.ER.210513T0331Z.210513T0945Z.210514T0720Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Menard Creek near Rye has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Menard Creek near Rye.
* At 9:15 AM CDT Friday the stage was 19.9 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 10.5 feet Wednesday 
  morning.

&&


            Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location    Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Menard Creek
Rye         20.0  19.9  Fri 9 am CDT 9.0   11.3  12.0         





&&

LAT...LON 3056 9464 3049 9475 3042 9472 3044 9483
      3053 9486 3056 9475

$$

TXC373-407-455-471-150300-
/O.EXT.KHGX.FL.W.0019.000000T0000Z-210517T0000Z/
/RVRT2.1.ER.210512T1330Z.210514T0245Z.210516T1200Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River at Riverside.
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 134.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 133.5 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:30 AM CDT Friday was 134.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning and continue falling to 132.9 feet Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 134.0 feet, minor lowland flooding continues with the 
  boat ramp in the Deep River Plantation Subdivision in Walker 
  County inundated. Backwater flooding up Thomas Lake in Walker 
  County floods the boat ramp in the Green Rich Shores Subdivision 
  in Walker County.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 133.7 
  feet on 03/10/2018.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Trinity River
Riverside    133.5 134.0 Fri 9 am CDT 133.7 133.5 133.2        





&&

LAT...LON 3097 9584 3096 9562 3093 9528 3082 9528
      3087 9562 3088 9584

$$

TXC071-291-150300-
/O.CON.KHGX.FL.W.0021.210515T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/MBFT2.1.ER.210515T0000Z.210516T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
946 AM CDT Fri May 14 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River near Moss Bluff.
* From this evening until further notice.
* At 9:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 12.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 12.2 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  evening and continue rising to 12.3 feet tomorrow evening. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 12.2 feet, Minor lowland flooding begins in the 
  vicinity of the gage.
* Flood History...This crest compares to a previous crest of 12.3 
  feet on 06/09/1992.

&&


             Fld   Observed           Forecasts (7 am CDT)     
Location     Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Sat   Sun   Mon          

Trinity River
Moss Bluff   12.2  12.0  Fri 9 am CDT 12.2  12.3  12.3         





&&

LAT...LON 2996 9470 2979 9466 2979 9479 2996 9487

$$

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
629 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021

.AVIATION [12Z TAF Issuance]...

Storms have pushed off the coast, but still a tricky forecast this
cycle. Some showers may crop up yet this morning into the
afternoon, but primary impact will be CIGs. High IFR/Low MVFR now,
should see slow, gradual rise in stratus bases to high MVFR/low
VFR along with gusty NNE winds. This evening, winds veer just a
bit to more northeasterly and decrease in speed. Unclear how deep
incoming dry air will be, so play it safe for now and bring back
MVFR stratus overnight.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 357 AM CDT Wed May 12 2021/...

.DISCUSSION...

Rain showers have not yet come to an end across Southeast Texas,
but their intensity has waned some early this morning, with
rainfall rates so far staying at or below half an inch per hour.
Because of this, we have canceled the flash flood watch for
Houston, Trinity, and Polk counties.

As lift along the frontal surface aloft will still be able to
manage some elevated convection, we can expect showers and storms
to continue into today, but gradually wind down - coming to an end
from northwest to southeast this afternoon into the early evening.
We can expect fairer weather to prevail until the end of the week,
when another front makes its way into the region. This will
provide us with another opportunity for showers and thunderstorms.
Like this past front, there is a strong potential for this front
to stall and only slowly make its way through the area, dragging
out potential rain chances deep into next week.

.SHORT TERM [Through Thursday Night]...

Water vapor and upper air analysis suggest a couple very subtle
shortwave troughs will be passing overhead. On top of that, we can
see additional support for upward motion thanks to divergence
aloft in the right entrance region of the exiting upper jet.
Despite the surface front itself, these lingering supporting
features are likely helping to drive a handful of showers across
the area very early this morning - and until these disturbances
move off, the jet streak exits stage right, and the frontal
surface just aloft follows its surface accompaniment offshore, we
shouldn't expect rain to be totally over - just mostly over.

That said, new HRRR data is coming in pretty dry, with barely
anything to speak of for rainfall after 12Z. I've chosen to be a
little bit conservative and drag slight chance to chance PoPs out
through the afternoon for most to give everything a chance to
clear out and have deeper offshore flow set up to scour out the
last remnants of this event. Besides - in a situation in which
convection allowing models have not performed terribly well, I'm
not too excited to put a lot of stock in a deterministic model
run. The 00Z HREF still suggests a parting shot of rain, locally
heavy, late this morning along the coast before rain totally
comes to an end. I can't say I necessarily buy this fully either,
but it does highlight the breadth of possibilities and amount of
disagreement in the models for just the next several hours.

Given that current activity isn't super intimidating, I tend to
favor a continuation of that through much of the day. By mid-day
up north around B/CS and Madisonville, and by evening at the
coast, things should be pretty much done. Modestly drier and
cooler air looks to filter in tonight, letting at least the inland
portion of the area get pleasantly cool. Things will be iffier as
you get coastward, and down here in Galveston County, I am
resigned to missing out on most of the nice dry air.

Thursday will see the return of high pressure and a clearing sky
from north to south, allowing the return of fair weather. Of
course, given the lack of cold advection and a clear sky in mid-
May...expect temperatures to bounce right back into the 70s across
Southeast Texas, and threatening 80 degree highs in the coastal
plain. Sorry, y'all.

.LONG TERM [Friday Through Wednesday]...

The surface high pressure will begin to slide to the east on Friday
and onshore flow will return by the evening. This will help to
increase temperatures and moisture through the weekend. Daytime
highs will remain in the 80s, but overnight lows will creep back
into the 70s by Sunday night.

By Saturday and Sunday, an upper-level low over the Pacific
Northwest will push south and is expected to become a cutoff low
over California as the jet stream splits. Meanwhile, Central CONUS
will be in a broad ridge and wedged between another upper-level
trough over the Mid-Atlantic. Global models show a weak
trough/shortwave developing in the broad ridge over the Central US
with a low pressure trying to develop over the Central Plains and a
messy cold front stretching as far south as the Gulf Coast.
Therefore, rain chances will begin to increase on Sunday as this
front approaches from the west. As the front loses upper-level
support from the jet stream and the upper-level flow becomes more
zonal, models disagree on how to treat this front Monday onwards.
However, most global models and blends still show rain chances
continuing through midweek next week. Therefore, generic PoPs (20-
30%) are predicted for Monday onwards until models come to more of a
consensus.

.MARINE...

Rain chances will continue through tonight as a stationary front is
expected to push into our coastal waters and exit the region.
Today, post-frontal winds will become NE and increase to at least
SCEC criteria and hover near SCA criteria. NE-E winds will
persist through Friday afternoon until the surface high pressure
overhead pushes east. By Friday evening, onshore winds resume and
are expected to increase to SCEC or SCA criteria by Saturday
evening as another front approaches our region. This onshore wind
will persist through midweek next week. Rain chances also increase
again on Saturday through midweek next week due to this front.

.HYDROLOGY...

Most area rivers are handling the area's recent rainfall very
easily as widespread amounts have not been exceptionally high.
However, the Trinity River watershed has been an exception, which
has seen the brunt of each successive day's rainiest storms. River
levels are rising in response, and forecasts now take the Trinity
River at Riverside above flood stage late this afternoon or early
this evening. A flood warning has been issued.

At this time, Riverside is the only location expected to reach
flood stage and rain will be winding down today. Locations further
down the Trinity River, such as Liberty and Moss Bluff, may have
to be watched closer to the weekend - but river levels there will
be partially influenced by releases from Lake Livingston in the
coming days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

College Station (CLL)  69  58  76  57  80 /  20   0   0   0   0
Houston (IAH)          74  61  79  60  81 /  40  10   0   0   0
Galveston (GLS)        79  66  77  68  78 /  40  10   0   0   0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

TX...None.
GM...SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 10 AM CDT this morning
     for the following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION through this evening for the
     following zones: Coastal waters from Freeport to Matagorda
     Ship Channel TX out 20 NM...Coastal waters from High Island
     to Freeport TX out 20 NM.

     SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION from 1 PM CDT this afternoon
     through this evening for the following zones: Waters from
     Freeport to Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60
     NM...Waters from High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60
     NM.

&&

DISCUSSION...Luchs
SHORT TERM...Luchs
LONG TERM...KBL
AVIATION...Luchs
MARINE...KBL
HYDROLOGY...Luchs