Alert archive / Maine / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 4, NWS Gray, ME

January 16, 2021

NWS Gray, ME issued this small craft advisory at Jan 16, 2021, 3:44 PM EST. It was in force for 57 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jan 16, 2021, 3:44 PM EST (20:44 UTC)
Expired
Jan 19, 2021, 12:19 AM EST
In force
57 hr
Issued by
NWS Gray, ME

The text

As transmitted.

300 
WHUS71 KGYX 162044
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
344 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

ANZ152-154-171045-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210117T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGYX.GL.W.0003.210117T0600Z-210118T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
344 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 7
  to 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to 
  Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ153-171045-
/O.CAN.KGYX.GL.W.0002.000000T0000Z-210117T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.210116T2044Z-210118T0600Z/
Casco Bay-
344 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 6 to 11 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ150-151-170000-
/O.CON.KGYX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210117T0000Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
344 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

* WHAT...Southeast winds 25 to 35 kt with gusts up to 50 kt and 
  seas 13 to 18 ft.

* WHERE...Penobscot Bay and Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME 
  to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until 7 PM EST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Very strong winds will cause hazardous seas which 
  could capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should remain in port, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$
8 follow-up statements
584 
WHUS71 KGYX 162332
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
632 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

ANZ150-151-171345-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SR.W.0001.000000T0000Z-210117T0000Z/
/O.EXA.KGYX.GL.W.0003.210117T0600Z-210118T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
632 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST MONDAY...
...STORM WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  6 to 11 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME 
  out 25 NM and Penobscot Bay.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ152-154-171345-
/O.CON.KGYX.GL.W.0003.210117T0600Z-210118T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
632 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM SUNDAY TO 1 AM EST
MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to 
  Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...From 1 AM Sunday to 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ153-171345-
/O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
Casco Bay-
632 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 7 to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
872 
WHUS71 KGYX 170805
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
305 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

ANZ150>152-154-172215-
/O.CON.KGYX.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
305 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 45 kt and seas 
  8 to 13 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Stonington, 
  ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ153-172215-
/O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
Casco Bay-
305 AM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts around 30 kt and seas 
  5 to 8 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
122 
WHUS71 KGYX 172119
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
419 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

ANZ150>152-154-180600-
/O.CON.KGYX.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
419 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...GALE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 20 to 30 kt with gusts up to 40 kt and seas 
  7 to 10 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Stonington, 
  ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ153-180600-
/O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
Casco Bay-
419 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 
  2 to 5 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
522 
WHUS71 KGYX 180257
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
957 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

ANZ150>152-154-181700-
/O.CAN.KGYX.GL.W.0003.000000T0000Z-210118T0600Z/
/O.EXB.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0500Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
957 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST MONDAY
NIGHT...
...GALE WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 
  6 to 9 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME 
  out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME 
  to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until midnight EST Monday night.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ153-181200-
/O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210118T1200Z/
Casco Bay-
957 PM EST Sun Jan 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST MONDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 
  1 to 4 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST Monday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
412 
WHUS71 KGYX 180742
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
242 AM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

ANZ153-181200-
/O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210118T1200Z/
Casco Bay-
242 AM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...West winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 
  1 to 3 ft.

* WHERE...Casco Bay.

* WHEN...Until 7 AM EST this morning.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ150>152-154-182145-
/O.CON.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0500Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
242 AM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST
TONIGHT...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 
  5 to 8 ft.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Stonington, 
  ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until midnight EST tonight.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
400 
WHUS71 KGYX 181413
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
913 AM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

ANZ150>152-154-190415-
/O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0900Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
913 AM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 4 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 5
  to 8 ft and subsiding.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Stonington, 
  ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until 4 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
613 
WHUS71 KGYX 181953
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
253 PM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

ANZ151-182100-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0900Z/
Penobscot Bay-
253 PM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...


$$

ANZ150-152-154-190600-
/O.EXT.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
253 PM EST Mon Jan 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt and seas 2
  to 5 ft and subsiding.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, 
  ME out 25 NM, Penobscot Bay, Coastal Waters from Stonington, 
  ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Cape 
  Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out 25 NM.

* WHEN...Until 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
037 
WHUS71 KGYX 190519
MWWGYX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Gray ME
1219 AM EST Tue Jan 19 2021

ANZ150-152-154-190630-
/O.CAN.KGYX.SC.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-210119T0600Z/
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out
25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
1219 AM EST Tue Jan 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds have dropped below small craft advisory conditions.

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Gray, ME wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Jan 16, 1:05 PM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jan 16, 1:05 PM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Gray ME
105 PM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Rain and snow will overspread the area early this morning.
Precipitation will be rain near the coast with a transition
from snow to rain near the foothills and mostly snow in the
mountains. Significant snow is likely in the mountains while
strong winds are expected near the coast. Heavy precipitation
ends for most tonight with snow showers continuing in the
mountains into Sunday. Weak systems will bring chances for snow
showers at times through the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /TODAY/...
100 PM Update...Another round of minor edits to the forecast to
account for latest observational and model trends. Overall the
going forecast remains on track. At this hour the band of
moderate to at times heavy precipitation is enveloping most of
coastal Maine with its back edge pulling out of New Hampshire
right now. A few lines of showers remain present in this
relative dry slot wind winds gusting around 25 kts as the LLJ
moves off.

1045 AM Update...Performed a general refresh of the forecast
according to latest hires guidance continuing to stream in as
well as upstream observations over Mass. Overall little change
to the forecast; some wind gusts up around 25-30 kts are being
seen inland with coastal gusts steadily increasing through the
30s to near 40 kts. This is well on pace with the going forecast
so no changes to headlines... there is some concern that warm
temperatures working into interior portions of southern Maine
will allow for better mixing conditions to bring stronger winds
to the surface. At this point, cooler temperatures are winning
out... which is affirmed by hires guidance thanks to efficient
precipitation processes. Speaking of which... did subtly
increase snow in the foothills over Maine owing to these
slightly cooler temperatures. Headlines remain unchanged.

7 AM Update...Forecast going as planned early this morning with
heavy wet snow ongoing in the Monadnocks (generally above 1000
feet) and rain elsewhere at lower elevations. As one can see via
local radar mosaics, the heavy stuff is on it's way as heavy
precipitation continues to push northward through southern New
England. This will be our meat and potatoes today (snow at
higher elevations, heavy rain lower). Kept wind headlines as is,
but we'll have to watch trends closely, as it's possible we'll
need wind headlines farther inland.

Previously...

Low pressure continues to rapidly deepen just south of Long
Island NY as of 08z. One hour pressure falls on Long Island have
been on the order of 3 to 5 millibars per hour which is very
impressive. This system will be a quick mover but will be quite
the ball of energy. Won't rehash meteorological details at this
point, as we've done that the last few days and the overall
picture hasn't changed much. We'll take a look at
forecast/headline changes and impacts below.

Overall, the forecast remains on track. Heavy snowfall is
expected in the northern mountains, with heavy rain on the
coastal plain and other valley floor locations. Forecast snow
amounts have not been changed all that much. However, based on
new information, we have added northern Carroll County NH to the
winter storm warning. In addition, we have added southern Oxford
County and southern Franklin County in ME to the winter weather
advisory after running our snow amount tools with several different
ratio-temperature inputs. A good portion of whatever snow that
falls will be heavy and wet, so power outages will be possible.

As far as the QPF goes, we did raise it a bit across the board
based on a blend of the latest deterministic and ensemble
information. 1.5 to 2" of rainfall is expected at lower
elevations and this may allow for localized flooding of streets
and other low lying areas. Small streams may experience rapid
rises. However, widespread significant flooding is not expected
at this time due to the speed of the system. Therefore, a flood
watch has not been issued at this time. Would not be surprised
if there were a few rumbles of thunder today in the heaviest
snow and rain.

Winds will be a factor on the coastline today as the low really
cranks up this morning and afternoon. Have upgraded the Midcoast
of Maine to a high wind warning for wind gusts up to 60 mph.
Kept the advisory in place elsewhere for gusts around 50 mph.
However, it's not completely out of the question that a couple
of 55-60 mph gusts occur for a short period of time this
afternoon. So far, it looks like winds will be kept aloft a bit
further inland. However, there is a chance that we'll need to
upgrade another tier of zones inland to a wind advisory for this
afternoon.

The precipitation will taper off from south to north this
afternoon, and end across southern zones.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/...
Most of the precipitation will have ended for the forecast area
tonight except in the mountains where plenty of upslope snows
continue to be expected. Several more inches of snow are
expected tonight, especially w-nw facing slopes of the Whites
and western ME mountains. These amounts are included in our
latest snow graphic (which includes what falls today).

Windy and fair on Sunday except in the mountains where snow
showers and clouds will prevail.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A series of shortwaves will traverse the area Monday through Friday
with the mean jet position near or to our south. These short
waves will bring chances for light snow and alternating periods
of above normal and below normal temperatures.

Westerly flow from our departing weekend system will keep chances
for snow showers going in the mountains Sunday night. As that system
pulls away a weak wave will reinvigorate snow shower activity Monday
afternoon. Snow showers will primarily be confined to the mountains
with areas downstream of the mountains seeing an increase in cloud
cover and a slight chance of a rain or snow shower. Highs will range
from the 20s north to near 40 along the coast. As this wave departs
cooler air will move into the region Monday night into Tuesday with
partly to mostly sunny skies Tuesday.

The next short wave is progged to pass the area Wednesday bringing
another shot of cold air and scattered snow showers. Wednesday night
will be the coldest night of the week with lows near zero north to
the teens south. Another more robust short wave will approach
towards the end of the work week although there are some timing
differences and have gone with chance to slight chance PoPs in the
Thursday through Friday timeframe. This wave has the potential to
bring more widespread snow although accumulations look to be
light.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Short Term...Low conditions (IFR and LIFR) are expected today in
heavy rain and heavy snow (mountains). Also LLWS will be present
as southeasterly winds of up to 60 kt occur around 2,000 FT AGL.
SFC wind gusts will be strongest on the coast, with gusts of 45
to 60 MPH likely this afternoon. Improving conditions outside of
the mountains is expected later this afternoon through Sunday
with gusty west winds taking over.

Long Term...Mainly VFR outside the mountains with SHSN bringing
restrictions to KHIE Monday.

&&

.MARINE...
Short Term...We have upgraded to storms for a portion of our
outer waters for today as we expect frequent gusts around 50
kt...possibly higher for a short period of time. Seas will build
to a dangerous 15 to 20 feet offshore. Westerly gales look to
ensue behind this low pressure system on Sunday.

Long Term...SCA conditions likely through Monday night. Winds
and seas come down Monday night although gusts to 25 kts are
possible during the afternoons through midweek.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
Have upgraded coastal York and Cumberland Counties (and the NH
Seacoast as of 12z) to a coastal flood warning for the midday
high tide today. Looks like Portland may get close to 13 feet as
strong gales pound the coast and offshore seas build to 15 to
20 feet. Have held onto coastal flood advisories elsewhere for
the time being. Looking at minor coastal flooding and a good
amount of splashover, with a few pockets of moderate flooding
expected, mainly in the warning area. Beach erosion is expected.

&&

.GYX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...High Wind Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for MEZ026>028.
     Coastal Flood Advisory until 4 PM EST this afternoon for
     MEZ025>028.
     Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Sunday for MEZ007>009.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for MEZ023-
     024.
     Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for MEZ023>025.
     Winter Weather Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for MEZ012-
     013.
NH...Winter Storm Warning until 7 AM EST Sunday for NHZ001-002-004.
     Coastal Flood Warning until 4 PM EST this afternoon for NHZ014.
     Wind Advisory until 7 PM EST this evening for NHZ014.
MARINE...Gale Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ153.
     Storm Warning until 7 PM EST this evening for ANZ150>152-154.

&&

NEAR TERM...Casey/Ekster
SHORT TERM...Ekster
LONG TERM...Schroeter
Hazardous weather outlook, Jan 16, 4:54 AM EST, 10 hours 50 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Gray ME
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

MEZ007>009-NHZ001-002-004-171000-
Northern Oxford-Northern Franklin-Central Somerset-Northern Coos-
Southern Coos-Northern Carroll-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST SUNDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for west central Maine, western
Maine and northern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Storm Warning.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NHZ003-005-007-011-171000-
Northern Grafton-Southern Grafton-Sullivan-Cheshire-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New Hampshire,
northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MEZ012-013-171000-
Southern Oxford-Southern Franklin-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Winter Weather Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

NHZ014-171000-
Coastal Rockingham-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ023-024-171000-
Coastal York-Coastal Cumberland-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southwest Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ026>028-171000-
Lincoln-Knox-Coastal Waldo-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST
THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.
   High Wind Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ025-171000-
Sagadahoc-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 9 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...
...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 4 PM
EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.
   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

MEZ014-018>022-033-NHZ006-008>010-012-013-015-171000-
Southern Somerset-Interior York-Central Interior Cumberland-
Androscoggin-Kennebec-Interior Waldo-Interior Cumberland Highlands-
Southern Carroll-Merrimack-Belknap-Strafford-Eastern Hillsborough-
Interior Rockingham-Western And Central Hillsborough-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Maine, south central Maine,
southwest Maine, western Maine, New Hampshire, central New
Hampshire, northern New Hampshire and southern New Hampshire.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Frozen ground and the potential for up to 1.5" of rain could cause
minor flooding on Saturday. Tributary rivers could reach bankfull by
Saturday night but major rivers are expected to stay well below flood
stage at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

No hazardous weather is expected.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ150>152-171000-
Coastal Waters from Stonington, ME to Port Clyde, ME out 25 NM-
Penobscot Bay-
Coastal Waters from Port Clyde, ME to Cape Elizabeth, ME out 25 NM-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Storm Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Winds shift to out of the west with gusts 30 to 40 kts Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

ANZ153-154-171000-
Casco Bay-
Coastal Waters from Cape Elizabeth, ME to Merrimack River, MA out
25 NM-
454 AM EST Sat Jan 16 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EST THIS EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Gale Warning.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

Winds shift to out of the west with gusts 30 to 40 kts Sunday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jan 16, 1:44 PM EST, 2 hours before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
144 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1200 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 NW NORTH HAMPTON      42.98N 70.84W
01/16/2021                   ROCKINGHAM         NH   UTILITY COMPANY

            LARGE TREE DOWN ON WIRES. REPORTED AT HOBBS
            ROAD, NORTH HAMPTON.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 16, 1:45 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
145 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 WNW NEWFIELDS         43.06N 71.00W
01/16/2021                   ROCKINGHAM         NH   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREE AND WIRES DOWN. REPORTED AT BALD HILL
            ROAD, NEWMARKET.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 16, 1:47 PM EST, 1 hour 57 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
147 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1230 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 4 N BRISTOL             43.65N 71.74W
01/16/2021                   GRAFTON            NH   PUBLIC

            SEVERAL TREES DOWN ON WIRES. REPORTED AT
            WHITTLEMORE POINT RD, BRIDGEWATER, NH.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 16, 1:48 PM EST, 1 hour 56 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
148 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1210 PM     NON-TSTM WND DMG 1 SW LISBON             44.20N 71.92W
01/16/2021                   GRAFTON            NH   UTILITY COMPANY

            TREES AND WIRES DOWN. REPORTED AT BATH RD,
            LISBON, NH.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 16, 1:52 PM EST, 1 hour 52 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
152 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0100 PM     SNOW             2 E RANDOLPH            44.38N 71.24W
01/16/2021  M6.2 INCH        COOS               NH   TRAINED SPOTTER

            AT 1400FT.

&&
Local storm report, Jan 16, 3:07 PM EST, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAY ME
307 PM EST SAT JAN 16 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0306 PM     SNOW             BETHEL                  44.41N 70.79W
01/16/2021  M5.6 INCH        OXFORD             ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Gray, ME issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 16, 3:07 AM ESTStorm WarningGYX15 hr
Jan 16, 3:15 AM ESTHigh Wind WarningGYXKnox, Lincoln, Waldo15 hr
Jan 16, 3:22 AM ESTCoastal Flood WarningGYXCumberland, York13 hr
Jan 16, 3:22 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryGYXKnox, Lincoln, Sagadahoc, Waldo13 hr
Jan 16, 3:44 PM ESTGale WarningGYX30 hr

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Maine, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.