Alert archive / North Carolina / River Flood Advisories in 2021

River Flood Advisory 12, NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC

March 28, 2021Henderson County, Transylvania County, North Carolina

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC issued this river flood advisory at Mar 28, 2021, 10:34 PM EDT for Henderson County, Transylvania County, North Carolina. It was in force for 9 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Mar 28, 2021, 10:34 PM EDT (02:34 UTC)
Expired
Mar 29, 2021, 7:16 AM EDT
In force
9 hr
Issued by
NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC
Area
Storm-based polygon

Counties Henderson County, NC, Transylvania County, NC

The radar

The Greer radar (KGSP), 59 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:35 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point French Broad River at Grove Bridge Rd, in Blantyre (BLAN7).

Action stage
15 ft
Minor stage
16 ft
Moderate stage
19 ft
Major stage
23 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 03443000, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

483 
WGUS82 KGSP 290234 RRA
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
1034 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued 
a Flood Advisory for the following rivers in North Carolina...

  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Transylvania and 
  Henderson Counties.

For the FRENCH BROAD RIVER ...including Blantyre, Fletcher, 
Asheville, Marshall, Hot Springs...elevated river levels are 
forecast.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.

The next statement will be issued Monday morning at 1030 AM EDT.

&&


NCC089-175-291445-
/O.NEW.KGSP.FL.Y.0012.210329T0234Z-210329T1841Z/
/BLAN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
1034 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

The National Weather Service in Greenville-Spartanburg has issued a

* Flood Advisory for
  the French Broad River At Blantyre.
* From this evening to Monday afternoon.
* At 9:16 AM EDT Sunday the stage was 17.3 feet.
* Action stage is 15.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 9:16 AM EDT Sunday was 19.3 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight and continue falling to 9.6 feet Friday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 17.0 feet, Minor Flooding continues.  Floodwaters 
  continue to inundate farmland between the French Broad River and 
  the railroad tracks. Floodwaters may start to inundate the 
  shoulders of River Road near the Big Willow Road intersection. 
  Floodwaters continue to impact boat access areas at Grove Bridge 
  Rd. and Crab Creek Rd.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 pm EDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Mon   Tue   Wed          

French Broad River
Blantyre          16.0  17.3  Sun 9 am EDT 12.0  10.4  9.8          





&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261

$$

RMM
1 follow-up statement
390 
WGUS82 KGSP 291116
FLSGSP

Flood Advisory
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
716 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory is cancelled for the following rivers in North 
Carolina...

  French Broad River At Blantyre affecting Transylvania and 
  Henderson Counties.

NCC089-175-291230-
/O.CAN.KGSP.FL.Y.0012.000000T0000Z-210329T1116Z/
/BLAN7.N.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
716 AM EDT Mon Mar 29 2021

...The Flood Advisory for the French Broad River At Blantyre has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Advisory is cancelled for
  the French Broad River At Blantyre.
* At 6:30 AM EDT Monday the stage was 14.7 feet. The river fell 
  below action stage of 15 feet in the predawn hours.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Recent Activity...The maximum river stage in the 24 hours ending 
  at 6:30 AM EDT Monday was 17.5 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 9.0 feet Friday 
  evening.

&&


                  Fld   Observed           Forecasts (8 am EDT)     
Location          Stg   Stg   Day/Time     Tue   Wed   Thu          

French Broad River
Blantyre          16.0  14.7  Mon 6 am EDT 10.9  10.1  9.5          





&&

LAT...LON 3538 8257 3537 8250 3529 8254 3521 8267
      3526 8274 3534 8261

$$

DEO

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Greenville-Spartanburg, SC wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood advisory went out at Mar 28, 7:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Mar 28, 7:59 PM EDT, 2 hours 35 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREENVILLE-SPARTANBURG SC
759 PM EDT SUN MAR 28 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
DRY AND COOL HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN FROM THE WEST TONIGHT AND
SHOULD BE MOVING OFF THE MID ATLANTIC COAST MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY.  TEMPERATURES WILL RETURN TO NORMAL.  MORE UNSETTLED
WEATHER LOOKS TO BE IN STORE FOR THE REGION BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK AS ANOTHER STRONG COLD FRONT REACHES OUR REGION FROM THE
NORTHWEST. AFTER THAT COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT,
EXPECT SOME UNSEASONABLY COOL WEATHER FOR THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH MONDAY/...
AS OF 750 PM: COLD FRONT CURRENTLY EXTENDS ROUGHLY ALONG THE I-85
CORRIDOR. A NARROW BAND OF SHOWERS DEVELOPED ALONG THE BOUNDARY OVER
THE PAST 1-2 HOURS, AND WILL SAG ACROSS THE SOUTHERN NC AND EASTERN
SC PIEDMONT OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO, WARRANTING SOLID CHANCE TO
EVEN LIKELY POPS THERE DURING THAT TIME. SHOWERS APPEAR TO BE MIXING
DOWN SOME HEALTHY MOMENTUM FROM ALOFT, WITH BRIEF 35 TO 45 MPH GUSTS
POSSIBLE FROM THE W/NW BEFORE LESS GUSTY GRADIENT WINDS SETTLE IN.

OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL REMAIN GUSTY IN MOST AREAS AS HIPRES BUILDS IN
TONIGHT AND THE MEAN H85 FLOW ON THE LATEST HREF INDICATES 50+ KTS
ACROSS THE NRN MTNS THRU 06Z. SO THE WIND ADVISORY STILL LOOKS GOOD
THERE. THE PRESSURE GRADIENT BEGINS TO LOOSEN OVERNIGHT, BUT WINDS
WILL REMAIN ELEVATED ENUF TO OFFSET ANY FOG THREAT THRU DAYBREAK.
WINDS WILL ALSO KEEP THE SFC-LAYER MIXED AND HOLD MIN TEMPS UP A FEW
DEGREES FROM NORMAL EVEN WITH MODEST LLVL CAA KICKING IN. MAX TEMPS
ON MON WILL BE TRICKY, BUT GENERALLY EXPECT HIGHS A COUPLE DEGREES
BELOW NORMAL WITH A CP AIRMASS CONTINUING TO BUILD IN, YET VERY GOOD
INSOL THRU THE DAY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
AS OF 1215 PM EDT SUNDAY: SOME DEGREE OF LLVL MOISTURE RETURN IS
STILL EXPECTED THROUGHOUT TUESDAY AS THE WAA FLOW INCREASES ABOVE
THE LINGERING SFC RIDGING, WHICH REMAINS NOSED SWWD INTO THE REGION.
AT THIS POINT, MORNING SUNSHINE SHOULD BECOME MIXED WITH AN
EXPANDING CU FIELD FROM SOUTH TO NORTH ACRS THE CFWA IN THE
AFTERNOON.  PROGGED MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES ARE SLATED TO BE VERY CLOSE
TO THE LATE MARCH CLIMO.  SHOWERS, MAINLY DRIVEN BY THE INCREASINGLY
MOISTURE UPGLIDE FLOW, SHOULD STEADILY EXPAND IN COVERAGE TUESDAY
NIGHT. BROAD FORCING AND DEEP MOISTURE IS FCST TO INCREASE ON
WEDNESDAY AHEAD OF ENCROACHING AND DEEPENING MID CONUS TROUGH. THE
SENSIBLE WX FOR WEDNESDAY ESSENTIALLY REMAINS UNCHANGED FROM THE
GOING FCST, FEATURING THE COVERAGE OF DEEP CONVECTION BECOMING
NUMEROUS, IF NOT WIDESPREAD. THE DEVIL REMAINS IN THE DETAILS WITH
RESPECT TO QPF AND SVR POTENTIAL. THE SHORT RANGE MODEL CONSENSUS
WITH RESPECT TO SFC FRONTAL PASSAGE, TIMES IT TO SWEEP THROUGH THE
PIEDMONT NEAR PEAK HEATING, AND WITH AT LEAST WEAK INSTABILITY
BUBBLING UP, THERE CONTINUES TO BE A NON-ZERO CHANCE FOR A STORMS TO
BECOME SVR WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
AS OF 130 PM EDT SUNDAY: THE PASSAGE OF A RATHER DEEP UPPER TROUGH
AXIS IS STILL TIMED FOR THURSDAY WITH THE SENSIBLE WX MORE LIKE
FEBRUARY THAN APRIL 1ST. COLD CANADIAN HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
TOWARD THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THURSDAY NIGHT, LOOSENING THE
PRESSURE GRADIENT BUT USHERING IN AN UNSEASONABLY CHILLY
AIRMASS, PROBABLY LEADING TO A LIGHT ADVECTIVE FREEZE FRIDAY
MORNING. SFC RIDGING CONTINUES TO BUILD IN ON FRIDAY AND DESPITE
SUNSHINE, IT WILL BE CHILLY FOR EARLY APRIL, MAXIMUM
TEMPERATURES 10 OR 12 DEG F BELOW NORMAL. THE UPPER PATTERN ATOP
THE SE CONUS WILL DEAMPLIFY FOR NEXT WEEKEND AND A WARMING
TREND IS EXPECTED.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
AT KCLT: COLD FRONT AND SMALL BAND OF SHOWERS IS MOVING ACROSS THE
TERMINAL NOW. BRIEF GUSTS AS HIGH AS 35 KTS WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH
AROUND 01Z, WITH WINDS SETTLING AT NW AT 10-15 KTS, W/ GUSTS TO
AROUND 20 KTS BY 01Z, CONTINUING THROUGH AT LEAST THE EVENING HOURS.
LINGERING CLOUDS SHOULD OTHERWISE CLEAR AS MUCH DRIER AIR PUSHES
BEGINS FILTERING INTO THE AREA, WITH VFR EXPECTED FROM MID-EVENING
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. WINDS WILL STEADILY DIMINISH WHILE
TURNING TOWARD THE N OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW, DECREASING TO AROUND 5
KTS OR LESS BY AFTERNOON.

ELSEWHERE: NW WINDS AT 10-15 KTS, W/ GUSTS OF 20-25 KTS ARE BECOMING
ESTABLISHED IN THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT (5-10 KTS HIGHER AT KAVL),
AND WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE EVENING BEFORE STEADILY DIMINISHING
OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL BECOME MORE VARIABLE IN DIRECTION AND 5 KTS OR
LESS DURING MONDAY AFTERNOON. OTHERWISE, MUCH DRIER AIR FILTERING
INTO THE AREA WILL RESULT IN VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD.

OUTLOOK: DRY HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES THROUGH TUESDAY. MOISTURE
RETURNS AHEAD OF A FRONTAL SYSTEM AND FLIGHT RESTRICTIONS ARE LIKELY
ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY NIGHT THRU WEDNESDAY.

CONFIDENCE TABLE...

            00-06Z        06-12Z        12-18Z        18-00Z
KCLT       HIGH  99%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGSP       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAVL       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KHKY       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KGMU       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%
KAND       HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%     HIGH 100%

THE PERCENTAGE REFLECTS THE NUMBER OF GUIDANCE MEMBERS AGREEING
WITH THE SCHEDULED TAF ISSUANCE FLIGHT RULE CATEGORY. COMPLETE HOURLY
EXPERIMENTAL AVIATION FORECAST CONSISTENCY TABLES ARE AVAILABLE AT
THE FOLLOWING LINK:

WWW.WEATHER.GOV/GSP/AVIATION

&&

.GSP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...NONE.
NC...WIND ADVISORY UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY FOR NCZ033-049-050.
SC...NONE.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DEO
NEAR TERM...JDL/SBK
SHORT TERM...CSH
LONG TERM...CSH
AVIATION...JDL
Hazardous weather outlook, Mar 28, 2:37 PM EDT, 7 hours 57 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
237 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

GAZ010-017-018-026-028-029-NCZ035>037-048-051>053-056>059-062>065-
068>072-082-501>510-SCZ001>014-019-291845-
Rabun-Habersham-Stephens-Franklin-Hart-Elbert-Alexander-Iredell-
Davie-Madison-Swain-Haywood-Buncombe-Catawba-Rowan-Graham-
Northern Jackson-Macon-Southern Jackson-Transylvania-Henderson-
Cleveland-Lincoln-Gaston-Mecklenburg-Cabarrus-Union NC-
Caldwell Mountains-Greater Caldwell-Burke Mountains-Greater Burke-
McDowell Mountains-Eastern McDowell-Rutherford Mountains-
Greater Rutherford-Polk Mountains-Eastern Polk-Oconee Mountains-
Pickens Mountains-Greenville Mountains-Greater Oconee-
Greater Pickens-Greater Greenville-Spartanburg-Cherokee-York-
Anderson-Abbeville-Laurens-Union SC-Chester-Greenwood-
237 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Georgia, piedmont
North Carolina, western North Carolina and upstate South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

NCZ033-049-050-291845-
Avery-Yancey-Mitchell-
237 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 2 AM EDT MONDAY...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for western North Carolina.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Wind Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

None.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Mar 28, 6:35 PM EDT, 3 hours 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
635 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

NCZ036-037-056-057-068>072-508-282315-
Rowan NC-Davie NC-Greater Rutherford NC-Gaston NC-Iredell NC-
Cleveland NC-Lincoln NC-Cabarrus NC-Mecklenburg NC-Catawba NC-
635 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN CABARRUS...
SOUTHEASTERN CATAWBA...SOUTHEASTERN RUTHERFORD...SOUTHERN DAVIE...
LINCOLN...SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL...NORTHWESTERN MECKLENBURG...SOUTHERN
CLEVELAND...ROWAN AND GASTON COUNTIES UNTIL 715 PM EDT...

At 635 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain showers along a
line extending from 8 miles northeast of Statesville to 7 miles south
of Forest City, and moving east at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gastonia, Huntersville, Salisbury, Shelby, Lincolnton, Mocksville,
Kannapolis, Statesville, Cornelius and Mooresville.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

LAT...LON 3523 8111 3521 8189 3589 8060 3592 8037
      3589 8037 3588 8042 3586 8039 3584 8039
      3585 8042 3583 8043 3583 8046 3584 8047
      3583 8049 3577 8045 3574 8046 3572 8038
      3572 8034 3571 8032 3568 8033 3566 8031
TIME...MOT...LOC 2235Z 264DEG 40KT 3584 8074 3523 8188

RM
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 7:22 PM EDT, 3 hours 12 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
722 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

NCZ036-057-068>072-082-290030-
Rowan NC-Gaston NC-Iredell NC-Union NC-Cleveland NC-Lincoln NC-
Cabarrus NC-Mecklenburg NC-
722 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT CABARRUS...SOUTHEASTERN LINCOLN...
SOUTHEASTERN IREDELL...MECKLENBURG...SOUTHEASTERN CLEVELAND...
ROWAN...GASTON AND NORTH CENTRAL UNION COUNTIES UNTIL 830 PM EDT...

At 722 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain showers along a
line extending from 4 miles northeast of Salisbury to 12 miles
southwest of Gastonia, and moving east at 40 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Gastonia, Uptown Charlotte, Huntersville, Kannapolis, Downtown
Concord, Salisbury, Central Charlotte, Northeast Charlotte, East
Charlotte and Northwest Charlotte.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

LAT...LON 3550 8030 3519 8051 3517 8048 3516 8049
      3515 8113 3517 8146 3578 8048 3573 8045
      3572 8038 3572 8034 3571 8032 3568 8033
      3558 8021 3555 8021 3551 8018
TIME...MOT...LOC 2322Z 264DEG 36KT 3572 8044 3517 8137

RM
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 7:54 PM EDT, 2 hours 40 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
754 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

NCZ070>072-082-SCZ009-290015-
Gaston NC-Union NC-Cabarrus NC-Mecklenburg NC-York SC-
754 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CABARRUS...
MECKLENBURG...SOUTHEASTERN GASTON...NORTHWESTERN UNION AND NORTHERN
YORK COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

At 742 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain showers along a
line extending from 8 miles west of Uptown Charlotte to 5 miles north
of York, and moving east at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Rock Hill, York, Central Charlotte, South
Charlotte, Southwest Charlotte, East Charlotte, Northwest Charlotte,
Matthews and Mint Hill.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

LAT...LON 3495 8079 3508 8091 3501 8091 3494 8087
      3490 8088 3503 8136 3529 8097 3525 8046
      3519 8051 3516 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 282DEG 30KT 3525 8099 3508 8124

RM
Special weather statement, Mar 28, 7:55 PM EDT, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Greenville-Spartanburg SC
755 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

NCZ070>072-082-SCZ009-290015-
Gaston NC-Union NC-Cabarrus NC-Mecklenburg NC-York SC-
755 PM EDT Sun Mar 28 2021

...HEAVY RAIN SHOWERS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL CABARRUS...
MECKLENBURG...SOUTHEASTERN GASTON...NORTHWESTERN UNION AND NORTHERN
YORK COUNTIES UNTIL 815 PM EDT...

At 742 PM EDT, Doppler radar indicated heavy rain showers along a
line extending from 8 miles west of Uptown Charlotte to 5 miles north
of York, and moving east at 35 mph.

Locations to be impacted include...
Uptown Charlotte, Rock Hill, York, Central Charlotte, South
Charlotte, Southwest Charlotte, East Charlotte, Northwest Charlotte,
Matthews and Mint Hill.

Wind gusts up to 40 mph will be possible in these areas.

LAT...LON 3495 8079 3508 8091 3501 8091 3494 8087
      3490 8088 3503 8136 3529 8097 3525 8046
      3519 8051 3516 8046
TIME...MOT...LOC 2342Z 282DEG 30KT 3525 8099 3508 8124

RM

Nearby

River Flood Advisories in North Carolina, 2021Every river flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.