Alert archive / Kansas / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Goodland, KS

June 1, 2021Cheyenne County, Sherman County, Kansas

NWS Goodland, KS issued this special weather statement at Jun 1, 2021, 6:47 PM CDT for Cheyenne County, Sherman County, Kansas. It was in force for 43 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jun 1, 2021, 6:47 PM CDT (23:47 UTC)
Expired
Jun 1, 2021, 7:30 PM CDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Goodland, KS

Counties Cheyenne County, KS, Sherman County, KS

The radar

The Goodland radar (KGLD), 21 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 23:47 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Denver, CO (KDNR), launched 12:00Z, 11.8 hours before the alert went out and 140 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Denver, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 35 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1268 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
35 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Goodland, KS wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jun 1, 6:37 PM CDT, 10 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 1, 6:37 PM CDT, 10 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Goodland KS
537 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday)
Issued at 301 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

At the start of the short term period, the CWA is underneath the
base of an upper air trough with an eastward moving upper air ridge
over the western CONUS. At the surface, there is a chance for
isolated rain showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening
hours starting in the western portions of the CWA. Storms that
develop in the far western areas of the CWA have a chance to
become severe as model forecast show some instability with CAPE
values between 1000-1500 J/kg and 0-6km bulk shear around 40 kts.
Possible storm threats look to be large hail up to one inch and
strong wind gusts up to 60 mph. Remainder of the day temperatures
look to be in the upper 60s to lower 70s with light and variable
winds across the CWA.

On Tuesday night, the flow over the CWA looks to turn more northerly
after midnight as the front edge of the upper air ridge makes its
way over the CWA with the trough moving just to the east.
Precipitation chances continue overnight though the severe
thunderstorm threat should pass by the late evening. The coverage
area looks to move more to the areas south of I-70 and taper off
after midnight. Current QPF values with Tuesday's precipitation look
to be around a quarter of an inch in the southwestern portion of the
CWA and lower in outlying areas. Overnight lows look to be between
the middle 40s and lower 50s.

On Tuesday, forecast guidance shows the ridge continuing to move
slowly eastward over the CWA changing the flow aloft more north-
northeasterly. At the surface, the eastern portion of the CWA sees
a chance of patchy fog during the morning hours that could lower
visibilities. After the fog lifts, the far eastern portions see a
slight chance for isolated light rain showers during the afternoon
hours though minimal precipitation accumulation is expected with
these showers. High temperatures on Wednesday looks to continue
the warming trend as they range between the middle to upper 70s
with overnight lows ranging in the upper 40s to lower 50s.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 239 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

For this long-term forecast package, a relatively quiet period of
weather can be anticipated from Thursday into the weekend. This is
due to a large ridge of high pressure forming over the western
United States. This will leave the High Plains under the influence
of surface high pressure, with any thunderstorm producing shortwave
troughs passing well to the northern of the area, over Canada
instead. This weather pattern will result in very warm temperatures,
perhaps getting into the 90s this weekend, and dry weather. Persist
south winds should allow some dewpoints in the 60s as well, leading
to a more humid weekend. Overall, this weekend looks to bring the
hottest temperatures of the year so far, and perhaps our first dose
of summer weather.

By the end of the weekend and into next week, the ridge of high
pressure over the western US will begin breaking down. A trough of
low pressure will instead replace the ridge. Models are in some
disagreement about what to do with this trough, in terms of how
quickly to move it towards the Plains. Feel comfortable in saying
that thunderstorm chances will increase once again as we go into
next week, but when that'll be is precisely is hard to say. It is
possible though that a shortwave trough moves out ahead of the main
system, most likely Monday evening, and this is likely when severe
weather chances would be highest for this forecast period. Warm
weather looks to persist with south winds dominating the flow, and
could actually have breezy to wind conditions with the warmth and
dry weather. If you are a farmer and looking to have the fields dry
out some, the next 5-7 days look good for you.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Wednesday evening)
Issued at 536 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

VFR conditions will persist through the forecast period at KGLD.
Showers and thunderstorms will move in from the northwest this
evening, resulting in a brief period of potentially heavy rainfall
and a wind shift.  Following the passage of storms, winds will
become light and variable.

At KMCK terminal, light and variable winds along with VFR conditions
are expected through daybreak.  With light winds and radiational
cooling, fog will be possible from around 12-15Z before burning off.
 Conditions will gradually improve to VFR with light and variable
winds through the remainder of the TAF period.

&&

.GLD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
CO...NONE.
NE...NONE.
&&

SHORT TERM...076
LONG TERM...RRH
AVIATION...AW
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 1, 11:33 AM CDT, 7 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Goodland KS
1033 AM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

COZ090>092-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-NEZ079>081-021645-
Yuma-Kit Carson-Cheyenne-Rawlins-Decatur-Norton-Sherman-Thomas-
Sheridan-Graham-Wallace-Logan-Gove-Greeley-Wichita-Dundy-Hitchcock-
Red Willow-
1033 AM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021 /1133 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021/

This hazardous weather outlook is for extreme southwest Nebraska...
northwest Kansas and east central Colorado.

.DAY ONE...THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...

There is a marginal risk for severe thunderstorms this evening in
northeast Colorado. Storms will be isolated, but if any develop they
will be capable of producing large hail and damaging winds. Storms are
expected to dissipate along the Colorado and Kansas border area late this
evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be required.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 1, 6:04 PM CDT, 43 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
504 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

COZ092-KSZ027-041-012345-
Cheyenne County CO-Wallace KS-Greeley KS-
504 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CHEYENNE COUNTY IN
EAST CENTRAL COLORADO...SOUTHWESTERN WALLACE AND NORTHWESTERN GREELEY
COUNTIES IN WEST CENTRAL KANSAS UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

At 503 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles southwest of Weskan, or 14 miles east of Cheyenne Wells, moving
southeast at 10 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Weskan.

LAT...LON 3857 10205 3862 10205 3862 10209 3875 10223
      3899 10201 3883 10174 3854 10201
TIME...MOT...LOC 2303Z 311DEG 8KT 3877 10209

Lockhart
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 6:06 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
506 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

COZ092-012345-
Cheyenne County CO-
506 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR WESTERN CHEYENNE COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO UNTIL 545 PM MDT...

At 505 PM MDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 13
miles west of Kit Carson, or 37 miles west of Cheyenne Wells, moving
south at 15 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Kit Carson, Wild Horse and Aroya.

LAT...LON 3869 10317 3869 10316 3900 10316 3898 10285
      3861 10271 3861 10317
TIME...MOT...LOC 2305Z 352DEG 13KT 3873 10304

Lockhart
Local storm report, Jun 1, 6:10 PM CDT, 37 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
510 PM MDT TUE JUN 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0507 PM     HAIL             5 NW WESKAN             38.91N 102.03W
06/01/2021  E0.75 INCH       WALLACE            KS   PUBLIC

            CALLER REPORTED 3/4 INCH HAIL.

&&

KAK
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 6:12 PM CDT, 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
512 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

COZ090-091-KSZ001-013-NEZ079-020000-
Kit Carson County CO-Yuma County CO-Sherman KS-Cheyenne KS-Dundy NE-
512 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN YUMA COUNTY IN
NORTHEASTERN COLORADO...NORTHEASTERN KIT CARSON COUNTY IN EAST
CENTRAL COLORADO...WESTERN CHEYENNE...NORTHWESTERN SHERMAN COUNTIES
IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS AND WESTERN DUNDY COUNTIES IN SOUTHWESTERN
NEBRASKA UNTIL 600 PM MDT/700 PM CDT/...

At 512 PM MDT/612 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 16 miles south of Champion
to 8 miles southeast of Haigler to 9 miles northeast of Bonny
Reservoir to 15 miles north of Stratton. Movement was south at 15
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Burlington, St. Francis, Stratton, Bonny Reservoir, Bethune, Haigler
and Beecher Island.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Colorado between mile markers 419 and 435.
 Highway 385 between mile markers 187 and 226.

LAT...LON 4010 10167 3963 10178 3940 10195 3918 10263
      3955 10262 3974 10234 3992 10219 4035 10201
      4025 10170
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 349DEG 12KT 4023 10177 3991 10185 3968 10202
3952 10252

Lockhart
Local storm report, Jun 1, 6:41 PM CDT, 6 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
541 PM MDT TUE JUN 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0537 PM     HAIL             13 NNW RULETON          39.52N 101.93W
06/01/2021  U0.75 INCH       SHERMAN            KS   PUBLIC

            REPORT FROM MPING: DIME (0.75 IN.).

&&

KAK
Special weather statement, Jun 1, 6:47 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Goodland KS
547 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

KSZ001-013-020030-
Sherman KS-Cheyenne KS-
547 PM MDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN CHEYENNE AND SHERMAN
COUNTIES IN NORTHWESTERN KANSAS UNTIL 630 PM MDT/730 PM CDT/...

At 547 PM MDT/647 PM CDT/, Doppler radar was tracking strong
thunderstorms along a line extending from 8 miles northwest of Bird
City to 10 miles southeast of St. Francis to 15 miles north of
Ruleton to 10 miles southeast of Bonny Reservoir. Movement was south
at 30 mph.

Nickel size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Goodland, Kanorado, Ruleton, Bird City, Edson and Wheeler.

This includes Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 1 and 31.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Goodland.

&&

LAT...LON 4000 10169 3963 10141 3957 10141 3957 10139
      3952 10139 3923 10150 3916 10161 3914 10203
      3949 10205 3955 10182 3971 10176
TIME...MOT...LOC 2347Z 339DEG 24KT 3985 10163 3964 10171 3955 10182
3951 10202

Lockhart

The office that day

Everything else NWS Goodland, KS issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 1, 6:04 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDWallace41 min
Jun 1, 3:25 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDKit Carson35 min
Jun 1, 3:58 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDKit Carson32 min
Jun 1, 4:27 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDCheyenne48 min
Jun 1, 5:07 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne38 min
Jun 1, 5:15 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDYuma60 min
Jun 1, 5:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne26 min
Jun 1, 6:06 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDCheyenne39 min
Jun 1, 6:12 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementGLDKit Carson48 min
Jun 1, 6:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningGLDCheyenne30 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Kansas, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.