Alert archive / Colorado / Winter Storm Warnings in 2021

Winter Storm Warning 5, NWS Grand Junction, CO

October 11, 20217 counties in Colorado

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this winter storm warning at Oct 11, 2021, 2:34 PM MDT for 7 counties in Colorado. It took effect at Oct 12, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT. It was in force for 24 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Oct 11, 2021, 2:34 PM MDT (20:34 UTC)
In effect from
Oct 12, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
Expired
Oct 13, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
24 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO

Counties Archuleta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Hinsdale County, CO, La Plata County, CO, Montezuma County, CO, San Juan County, CO, San Miguel County, CO

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 165 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Oct 12, 6:30 AM MDTSNOW 17 Wnw Dove Creek, COCO-OP OBSERVER STATION NTDC2 3.7 E LOCKERBY.
Oct 12, 7:54 AM MDTHEAVY SNOW 9.4Silverton, CO0.60 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT. 24 HOUR TOTAL.
Oct 12, 8:00 AM MDTSNOW 15 E Stoner, COCOCORAHS STATION CO-MZ-71 DOLORES 16.8 ENE.
Oct 12, 8:15 AM MDTSNOW 17 Wnw Dove Creek, CO0.31 INCHES OF LIQUID EQUIVALENT.
Oct 12, 10:09 PM MDTSNOW 77 Ne Sawpit, CO

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Grand Junction, CO (KGJT), launched 12:00Z, 8.6 hours before the alert went out and 178 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Grand Junction, CO at 12:00Z on 2021-10-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 152 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1582 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
152 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
204 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

873 
WWUS45 KGJT 112034
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

COZ019-120700-
/O.UPG.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T0600Z-211013T0000Z/
/O.NEW.KGJT.WS.W.0005.211012T0600Z-211013T0000Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO 6 PM
MDT TUESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches, with locally higher amounts
  exceeding a foot across south facing peaks. Winds gusting as 
  high as 60 mph.

* WHERE...Southwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found 
  at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ018-UTZ028-120700-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T0600Z-211013T0000Z/
Northwest San Juan Mountains-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-
Including the city of Telluride
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT
TONIGHT TO 6 PM MDT TUESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...In Utah, La Sal and Abajo Mountains. In Colorado, 
  Northwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches. A detailed map of the snowfall can 
  be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ009-010-012-120700-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T1200Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk 
  Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys and West Elk and Sawatch 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Tuesday to midnight MDT Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Plan on slippery road
  conditions. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found at: 
  www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

UTZ023-120700-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS
EVENING TO MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Uinta Mountains.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to midnight MDT Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-120700-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T1200Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
234 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt
5 follow-up statements
713 
WWUS45 KGJT 120553
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

COZ019-122200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0005.211012T0600Z-211013T0000Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT TUESDAY
ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow 
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches, with locally higher amounts 
  exceeding a foot across south facing peaks. Winds gusting as 
  high as 60 mph.

* WHERE...Southwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Strong winds could 
  cause tree damage. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found 
  at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ018-UTZ028-122200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T0600Z-211013T0000Z/
Northwest San Juan Mountains-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-
Including the city of Telluride
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT
TUESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 50 mph.

* WHERE...In Utah, La Sal and Abajo Mountains. In Colorado, 
  Northwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Gusty winds could 
  bring down tree branches. A detailed map of the snowfall can 
  be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ009-010-012-122200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T1200Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
MIDNIGHT MDT TUESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk 
  Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys and West Elk and Sawatch 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Tuesday to midnight MDT Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Plan on slippery 
  road conditions. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found 
  at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-122200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.211012T1200Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 AM TUESDAY TO
6 AM MDT WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...From 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

UTZ023-122200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
1153 PM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TUESDAY NIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Uinta Mountains.

* WHEN...From 6 PM this evening to midnight MDT Tuesday night.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt
762 
WWUS45 KGJT 122018
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ019-130600-
/O.EXT.KGJT.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow
  accumulations of 8 to 14 inches, with locally higher amounts
  exceeding a foot across south facing peaks. Winds gusting as
  high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Southwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of the
  snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ018-UTZ028-130000-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0000Z/
Northwest San Juan Mountains-La Sal and Abajo Mountains-
Including the city of Telluride
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM MDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...In Utah, La Sal and Abajo Mountains. In Colorado, 
  Northwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 6 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of the
  snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ009-010-012-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts possible. Winds 
  gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk 
  Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys and West Elk and Sawatch 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. Plan on slippery 
  road conditions. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found 
  at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 4 to 8 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

UTZ023-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
218 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow expected above 9000 feet. Total snow accumulations 
  of 5 to 10 inches, with locally higher amounts up to a foot 
  possible. Winds gusting as high as 40 mph.

* WHERE...Eastern Uinta Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt
953 
WWUS45 KGJT 122344
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

UTZ028-130045-
/O.CAN.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0000Z/
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Light snow will continue to fall over the southeast Utah mountains
over the next few hours but additional significant accumulations
are not expected. 

$$

COZ019-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Light to moderate snow continuing through the evening
  with additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches mainly above
  9000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Southwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ018-130300-
/O.EXT.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0300Z/
Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the city of Telluride
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS
EVENING ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Light to moderate snow continuing through mid evening.
  Additional snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inch above 9000 feet. 
  Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Northwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM MDT this evening.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ009-010-012-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Light to moderate snow continuing this evening. 
  Additional snow accumulations of up to two inches mainly above 
  9000 feet. Winds gusting as high as 35 mph.

* WHERE...Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk 
  Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys and West Elk and Sawatch 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-130745-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Moderate snow continuing overnight. Additional snow
  accumulations of 4 to 6 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility, especially on 
  ridge tops. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found at: 
  www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

UTZ023-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
544 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Light to moderate snow continuing this evening.
  Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 3 inches mainly above 9000
  feet.

* WHERE...Eastern Uinta Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt
845 
WWUS45 KGJT 130253
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ018-130400-
/O.EXP.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0300Z/
Northwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the city of Telluride
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING
ABOVE 9000 FEET...

Light snow will continue to be possible over the next few hours
but the threat of additional significant snowfall has ended. 

$$

COZ019-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT....Light to moderate snow continuing through the evening
  with additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2 inches mainly above
  9000 feet. 

* WHERE...Southwest San Juan Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ009-010-012-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Light to moderate snow continuing this evening.
  Additional snow accumulations of 1 to 2  inches mainly above 
  9000 feet.

* WHERE...Grand and Battlement Mesas, Gore and Elk 
  Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys and West Elk and Sawatch 
  Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

COZ004-013-131100-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Moderate snow continuing overnight. Additional snow
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility, especially on 
  ridge tops. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found at: 
  www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

UTZ023-130600-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
853 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MDT
TONIGHT ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Snow above 9000 feet. Additional snow accumulations of 
  up to one inch.

* WHERE...Eastern Uinta Mountains.

* WHEN...Until midnight MDT tonight.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. A detailed map of 
  the snowfall can be found at: www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt
033 
WWUS45 KGJT 130553
WSWGJT

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1153 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

COZ019-130700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.WS.W.0005.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Including the cities of Silverton and Rico
1153 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER STORM WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT ABOVE
9000 FEET...

Snow showers may continue through the early morning hours, but 
the potential for heavy snow has come to an end. Anyone driving 
could still encounter snow covered roads so caution is still 
advised.

$$

COZ009-010-012-130700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-
Including the city of Taylor Park
1153 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
ABOVE 9000 FEET...

Snow showers may continue through the early morning hours, but 
the potential for heavy snow has come to an end. Anyone driving 
could still encounter snow covered roads so caution is still 
advised.

$$

UTZ023-130700-
/O.EXP.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T0600Z/
Eastern Uinta Mountains-
1153 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT MIDNIGHT MDT TONIGHT
ABOVE 9000 FEET...

Snow showers may continue through the early morning hours, but 
the potential for heavy snow has come to an end. Anyone driving 
could still encounter snow covered roads so caution is still 
advised.

$$

COZ004-013-131200-
/O.CON.KGJT.WW.Y.0027.000000T0000Z-211013T1200Z/
Elkhead and Park Mountains-Flat Tops-
Including the city of Trappers Lake
1153 PM MDT Tue Oct 12 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM MDT
WEDNESDAY ABOVE 9000 FEET...

* WHAT...Moderate snow continuing overnight. Additional snow 
  accumulations of 2 to 4 inches. Winds gusting as high as 35 
  mph.

* WHERE...Elkhead and Park Mountains and Flat Tops.

* WHEN...Until 6 AM MDT Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. Patchy blowing 
  snow could significantly reduce visibility, especially on 
  ridge tops. A detailed map of the snowfall can be found at: 
  www.weather.gov/gjt/winter.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling. 

The latest road conditions for the state you are calling from can
be obtained by calling 5 1 1.

&&

$$

For more information from the National Weather Service visit
http://weather.gov/gjt

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this winter storm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm warning went out at Oct 11, 11:36 AM MDT, 2 hours 58 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 11, 11:36 AM MDT, 2 hours 58 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
1136 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

.SHORT TERM...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 334 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

It has been a mostly clear and calm night across the Western
Slope, aside from a few pockets of stratus bubbling over higher
valleys and northern ranges. Though, based on the current status
of low stratus, expect cloud cover to dissipate by sunrise as the
extent is eroding quickly along the Park and Gore Ranges. Clearing
and dry conditions have allowed for cooler temperatures tonight,
with areas dropping below freezing over susceptible valleys. Have
left current freeze highlights untouched this morning as
temperatures will continue to lower until dawn.

The transient ridge has already shifted east of the Divide,
transitioning upper level winds from the southwest. As the morning
progresses, the anomalously low Pacific trough will dive into the
Great Basin and tighten pressure gradients aloft. Clear skies and
a dried lower atmosphere forecast today will be optimal for deep
boundary layer mixing. So, expect winds to ramp up by noon and
persist (especially across exposed ridgetops) as this system
evolves throughout the short term. High temperatures will nudge
up a few degrees today, in response to deep mixing and WAA under
the strong southerly winds aloft.

Chance for precip will start increasing this evening, favoring the
Eastern Uintas initially. The mid level low is forecast to lift
northeast, from the south-central Nevada into southeast Utah
overnight. In conjunction, a strong frontal boundary will
progress into eastern Utah early Tuesday morning and continue its
eastward progression into Western Colorado by sunrise. Expect the
San Juans, Abajos and La Sals to see their heaviest snowfall rates
with the frontal passage beginning overnight and extending into
Tuesday morning. Latest guidance has revealed a potent dry slot
quickly moving in on the heels of the front and its band of
precipitation. Have a mild concern that dry air working its way
north may truncate QPF estimates across lower valleys and
downsloping aspects. Though, any convective activity may override
my concerns and bring ample rain to said valleys/slopes...

Better certainty lies within the trajectory of this system,
lifting directly over the forecast area and bringing anomalously
cold temperatures area wide. Despite low confidence in valley QPF
totals...widespread precipitation and mountain accumulating snow
will spread northward through out the day. As a result, I have
staggered Winter Weather Advisories to account for the storms
northeasterly progression and the slightly delayed onset of snow
for the central and northern ranges, respectively. The low will
lift into southeast Wyoming Tuesday evening, allowing wrap around
moisture to enhance snow fall over the Elkhead, Gore, Park, and
Flat Tops.

In general, mountain zones will see 4 to 8 inches of snow with
higher amounts nearing a foot over the San Juans, while high
valleys and areas above 6,000 feet can expect a trace to a few
tenths of snow. Convective showers may drive that snow line down a
touch, however, no snow is anticipated across the Grand Valley,
nor the Grand Flats.

.LONG TERM...(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 334 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

By early Wednesday, the midlevel low pressure will be lifting out
over the Northern Plains allowing subsidence to spread across the
area. Around this time the snow will be diminishing in the southern
mountains and by mid morning in the central mountains. By late
morning, the flow becomes westerly and lingering mositure in
northwest Colorado will result in orographic precipitation for the
northern mountains. Some of this orographic snow in the morning
could reach further south towards the I-70 corridor near Vail Pass
with improving conditions in the afternoon. Dry air will gradually
filter into the area so most of the showers come to an end by the
afternoon. A majority of the accumulating snow will occur during the
predawn hours, which may cause a tricky commute. This is the
timeframe though that the northern mountains will see the higher
rates, which is why the highlights were extended there. There will
be a short break before the next shortwave drops down the back side
of the main trough. The models are struggling with the strength of
this system as it passes overhead. Regardless, it looks to bring
another round of precipitation to portions of the forecast area.
Most of this will occur during the day Thursday favoring west to
northwest facing slopes of the higher terrain. On Friday, the trough
exits the region allowing a ridge to build so conditions appear to
be dry for the weekend.

These incoming systems will be bringing the coldest air we have
experienced this season. Sub-freezing temperatures will be fairly
widespread by Wednesday morning with lows at least in the 20s above
6000 feet. These lows are possible again on Thursday morning. The
trough that passes overhead on Thursday re-enforces the cold air. In
fact, it is colder. The lows on Friday and Saturday morning are
forecasted to dip into the teens and 20s down to 6000 feet, with
most locations seeing sub-freezing temps especially Saturday
morning. With all that being said any overnight cloud cover could
complicate the low temperature forecast during this period. It may
be time to consider winterizing if you have not done so yet. Highs
will be 10 to 20 degrees below average, but gradually warm up closer
to normal by early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Tuesday afternoon)
Issued at 1136 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

A potent system approaching from the northwest will bring
increasing winds aloft as the day progresses. Expect gusty
southwest winds this afternoon with gusts reaching 25 to 30 kts as
well as increasing cloud cover spreading from west to east. VFR
conditions will persist through this afternoon, though,
deteriorating conditions are expected to develop late this
evening and into early Tuesday morning. Southern TAF sites and
eastern Utah will see impacts initially, with widespread
precipitation expanding eastward Tuesday morning. A combination of
rain and snow is likely for some valley locations above 6000 feet.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CO...Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to midnight MDT
     Tuesday night for COZ009-010-012.

     Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT
     Tuesday for COZ018-019.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 AM Tuesday to 6 AM MDT Wednesday
     for COZ004-013.

UT...Winter Weather Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM MDT
     Tuesday for UTZ028.

     Winter Weather Advisory from 6 PM this evening to midnight MDT
     Tuesday night for UTZ023.

&&

SHORT TERM...ERW
LONG TERM...KJS
AVIATION...TGJT
Hazardous weather outlook, Oct 11, 4:42 AM MDT, 9 hours 52 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
442 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-121045-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
442 AM MDT Mon Oct 11 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Strong southerly winds will spread across the region today,
otherwise, expect this the be the "calm" weather before the storm.
Attention shifts tonight as a system begins to bring widespread
rain and snow showers across the Western Slope.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

Said storm moves across the region Tuesday into Wednesday,
bringing several inches of snow across most of the mountain
ranges. Much cooler weather is likely with this system as a hard
freeze is possible for many of the lower elevations Tuesday and
Wednesday night. Another system on its heels will bring additional
precipitation over the northern and central zones, and even
colder temperatures Thursday into Friday. A slow warm up and dry
weather is in store for the weekend.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 11, 12:44 PM MDT, 1 hour 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1244 PM MDT MON OCT 11 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1228 PM     NON-TSTM WND GST 1 W DOUGLAS PASS        39.60N 108.82W
10/11/2021  M54 MPH          GARFIELD           CO   MESONET

            MESONET STATION CO098 139S034 DOUGLAS PASS.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Grand Junction, CO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 11, 3:46 AM MDTWinter Weather AdvisoryGJTArchuleta, Delta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, Gunnison and 12 more50 hr
Oct 11, 2:35 PM MDTFreeze WatchGJTArchuleta, Dolores, Eagle, Garfield, La Plata, Moffat and 5 more24 hr

Nearby

Winter Storm Warnings in Colorado, 2021Every winter storm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.