Alert archive / Colorado / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 30, NWS Grand Junction, CO

August 17, 202113 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah

NWS Grand Junction, CO issued this flash flood watch at Aug 17, 2021, 1:10 PM MDT for 13 counties in Colorado; 4 counties in Utah. It took effect at Aug 18, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT. It was in force for 36 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 17, 2021, 1:10 PM MDT (19:10 UTC)
In effect from
Aug 18, 2021, 12:00 PM MDT
Expired
Aug 20, 2021, 12:00 AM MDT
In force
36 hr
Issued by
NWS Grand Junction, CO
Flood severity
None

Counties Delta County, CO, Dolores County, CO, Eagle County, CO, Garfield County, CO, Gunnison County, CO, Mesa County, CO, Moffat County, CO, Montrose County, CO, Ouray County, CO, Pitkin County, CO, Rio Blanco County, CO, Routt County, CO, San Miguel County, CO, Daggett County, UT, Grand County, UT, San Juan County, UT, Uintah County, UT

The radar

The Grand Junction radar (KGJX), 13 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Salt Lake City I, UT (KSLC), launched 12:00Z, 7.2 hours before the alert went out and 361 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Salt Lake City I, UT at 12:00Z on 2021-08-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 8 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
3488 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
8 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
26 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Grand Junction, CO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 17, 11:33 AM MDT, 1 hour 37 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 17, 11:33 AM MDT, 1 hour 37 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 17, 4:44 AM MDT, 8 hours 26 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Grand Junction CO
444 AM MDT Tue Aug 17 2021

COZ001>014-017>023-UTZ022>025-027>029-181045-
Lower Yampa River Basin-Central Yampa River Basin-
Roan and Tavaputs Plateaus-Elkhead and Park Mountains-
Upper Yampa River Basin-Grand Valley-Debeque to Silt Corridor-
Central Colorado River Basin-Grand and Battlement Mesas-
Gore and Elk Mountains/Central Mountain Valleys-
Central Gunnison and Uncompahgre River Basin-
West Elk and Sawatch Mountains-Flat Tops-
Upper Gunnison River Valley-Uncompahgre Plateau and Dallas Divide-
Northwest San Juan Mountains-Southwest San Juan Mountains-
Paradox Valley/Lower Dolores River-
Four Corners/Upper Dolores River-Animas River Basin-
San Juan River Basin-Southeast Utah-Eastern Uinta Mountains-
Eastern Uinta Basin-Tavaputs Plateau-Arches/Grand Flat-
La Sal and Abajo Mountains-Canyonlands/Natural Bridges-
444 AM MDT Tue Aug 17 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for eastern Utah and western
Colorado.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Thunderstorm development will occur again this afternoon and
evening mainly over higher terrain through sunset. Some storms
will be capable of brief heavy rainfall rates and others capable
of producing gusty outflow winds in excess of 45 mph. Storm
formation will continue through the overnight hours in portions of
eastern Utah and far western Colorado. Areas of smoke will
continue to affect air quality conditons.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday

Thunderstorm coverage will increase significantly on Wednesday.
Many storms will have the threat of heavy rainfall rates and gusty
winds. Stronger storms in eastern Utah on Wednesday may also be
capable of producing marginally large hail. Heavy rainfall rates
or prolonged precipitation could impact burn scars and lead to
other runoff issues during this time. The Grizzly Creek burn scar
will be especially susceptible to flash flooding which will impact
travel if this occurs.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be necessary Wednesday over portions of
eastern Utah and far western Colorado for the possibility of
severe thunderstorms and flash flooding.

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Colorado, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Utah, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.