Alert archive / Kansas / Blowing Dust Warnings in 2021

Blowing Dust Warning 1, NWS Hastings, NE

December 15, 20216 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Nebraska

NWS Hastings, NE issued this blowing dust warning at Dec 15, 2021, 2:17 PM CST for 6 counties in Kansas; 6 counties in Nebraska. It was in force for 6 hr. 35 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The counties it named, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Dec 15, 2021, 2:17 PM CST (20:17 UTC)
Expired
Dec 15, 2021, 8:25 PM CST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Hastings, NE

Counties Jewell County, KS, Mitchell County, KS, Osborne County, KS, Phillips County, KS, Rooks County, KS, Smith County, KS, Franklin County, NE, Furnas County, NE, Harlan County, NE, Nuckolls County, NE, Thayer County, NE, Webster County, NE

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 56 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:19 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Dec 15, 2:25 PM CSTTSTM WND DMG2 S Davenport, NEDELAYED REPORT. PHOTOS RECEIVED VIA FACEBOOK SHOWING DAMAGE TO PIVOTS. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR AND OTHER NEARBY REPORTS.
Dec 15, 2:28 PM CSTTSTM WND GST 831 Nne Davenport, NE
Dec 15, 2:37 PM CSTTSTM WND DMGHebron, NE2 LARGE PINE TREES UPROOTED AT THE COURTHOUSE.
Dec 15, 2:40 PM CSTTSTM WND DMGBruning, NECARPORT PICKED UP BY WINDS AND BLEW IT INTO SOME POWER LINES. 3-4 INCH LIMBS ARE DOWN IN TOWN ALSO. BLOWING DUST ALSO DROPPING VIS TO 1/2SM.
Dec 15, 3:00 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 621 Wnw Logan, KS
Dec 15, 3:14 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 751 Ssw Stockton, KS
Dec 15, 3:23 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Phillipsburg Airport, KSSOUTH-SOUTHWESTERLY WIND.
Dec 15, 3:23 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 664 Wsw Beloit, KS
Dec 15, 3:26 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 888 Nne Codell, KS
Dec 15, 3:30 PM CSTWILDFIRE3 S Natoma, KSWILDFIRE FIRST VISIBLE ON SATELLITE AROUND 330PM HAS CONTINUED TO BURN TO NEAR NATOMA AS OF 715PM.
Dec 15, 3:34 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 622 N Glen Elder, KS
Dec 15, 3:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Randall, KS
Dec 15, 3:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 75Smith Center Airport, KS
Dec 15, 3:40 PM CSTWILDFIREDamar, KSWILDFIRE APPARENT ON SATELLITE NEAR DAMAR AND CONTINUED TO SPREAD TO JUST WEST OF PLAINVILLE AS OF 7PM.
Dec 15, 3:42 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 731 Nnw Osborne, KS
Dec 15, 3:45 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 652 Ssw Harlan, KS
Dec 15, 3:47 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 625 Nw Orleans, NE
Dec 15, 3:56 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 594 W Kirwin, KS
Dec 15, 4:06 PM CSTWILDFIRE2 Nne Codell, KSWILDFIRE FIRST APPEARED ON SATELLITE AFTER 4PM. STILL BURNING AS OF 715PM.
Dec 15, 4:11 PM CSTWILDFIRE1 Nw Alton, KSWILDFIRE VISIBLE ON SATELLITE SHORTLY AFTER 4PM. STILL FIGHTING FIRE AS OF 7PM.
Dec 15, 4:20 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 705 Wsw Agra, KS
Dec 15, 4:21 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 654 Wnw Oak, NE
Dec 15, 4:23 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 68Phillipsburg Airport, KS
Dec 15, 4:23 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 958 Nne Codell, KS
Dec 15, 4:24 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 632 Sse Davenport, NE
Dec 15, 4:25 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 68Phillipsburg Airport, KS
Dec 15, 4:30 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 604 N Bostwick, NE
Dec 15, 4:32 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 801 W Logan, KS
Dec 15, 4:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 58Hebron Airport, NE
Dec 15, 4:35 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 61Smith Center Airport, KS
Dec 15, 4:36 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 633 N Chester, NE
Dec 15, 4:56 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 794 W Kirwin, KS
Dec 15, 4:56 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 9713 Nnw Smith Center, KS
Dec 15, 5:30 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 592 Wnw Cowles, NE
Dec 15, 6:16 PM CSTNON-TSTM WND GST 76Davenport, NE

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE (KLBF), launched 12:00Z, 8.3 hours before the alert went out and 209 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, N. Platte/Lee Bi, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-12-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 127 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
2654 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
127 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

990 
WWUS73 KGID 152017
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
217 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-160300-
/O.NEW.KGID.DU.W.0001.211215T2017Z-211216T0000Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Osborne, Downs, and Beloit
217 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...BLOWING DUST WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, Southerly and then eventually
  northwesterly winds 40 to 55 mph with gusts up to 70 mph
  expected. Isolated wind gusts to 75-80 mph possible. For the 
  Blowing Dust Warning, visibility less than one quarter mile in 
  blowing dust.

* WHERE...Phillips, Smith, Jewell, Rooks, Osborne and Mitchell 
  Counties.

* WHEN...For the High Wind Warning, until 9 PM CST this evening. 
  For the Blowing Dust Warning, until 6 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Severely limited visibilities are expected. Travel 
  will be dangerous and possibly life-threatening. Damaging 
  winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power 
  outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for 
  high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Through this afternoon, winds across the
  area will be southerly to southwesterly. Through the evening
  hours, winds will turn more northwesterly as a cold front passes
  through the area. The strongest winds are expected to be out of
  south, west, and northwest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in
visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing
sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as
far as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all
the way off and keep your foot off the brake pedal. Remember,
Pull Aside, Stay Alive.

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-160300-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-
Hall-Hamilton-York-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-
Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, 
Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, 
St. Libory, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, Polk, 
Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, 
Grand Island, Aurora, York, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, 
Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield,
Geneva, Exeter, Fairmont, Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, 
Beaver City, Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, 
Hildreth, Inavale, Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, Bladen, 
Bostwick, Superior, Nelson, Hebron, and Deshler
217 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southerly and then eventually northwesterly winds 40 to 
  55 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. Isolated wind gusts 
  to 75-80 mph possible. Reduced visibility from blowing dust 
  and snow is possible for some areas.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east 
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Blowing dust may 
  decrease visibility to less than a quarter mile this afternoon 
  and evening for the entire outlook area. Falling snow, 
  combined with wind, could also reduce visibility to less than 
  a quarter mile from 5 PM to 9 PM northwest of a line from 
  Elwood to Kearney to Fullerton Nebraska. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Through this afternoon, winds across the 
  area will be southerly to southwesterly. Through the evening 
  hours, winds will turn more northwesterly as a cold front 
  passes through the area. The strongest winds are expected to 
  be out of south, west, and northwest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

Heinlein
2 follow-up statements
841 
WWUS73 KGID 152238
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
438 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

NEZ082>087-160300-
/O.EXB.KGID.DU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, Beaver City,
Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, Hildreth, Inavale, 
Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, Bladen, Bostwick, Superior, 
Nelson, Hebron, and Deshler
438 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...BLOWING DUST WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, west winds 35 to 55 mph with 
  gusts up to 75 mph. For the Blowing Dust Warning, visibility 
  less than one quarter mile in blowing dust.

* WHERE...Furnas, Harlan, Franklin, Webster, Nuckolls and Thayer 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Severely limited visibilities are expected. Travel 
  will be dangerous and possibly life-threatening. Damaging 
  winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power 
  outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for 
  high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Through this afternoon, winds across the 
  area will be southerly to southwesterly. Through the evening 
  hours, winds will turn more northwesterly as a cold front 
  passes through the area. The strongest winds are expected to 
  be out of south, west, and northwest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in
visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing
sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as
far as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all
the way off and keep your foot off the brake pedal. Remember,
Pull Aside, Stay Alive.

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

KSZ005>007-017>019-160300-
/O.EXT.KGID.DU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Osborne, Downs, and Beloit
438 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...BLOWING DUST WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...For the High Wind Warning, Southerly and then 
  eventually northwesterly winds 40 to 55 mph with gusts up to 
  70 mph expected. Isolated wind gusts to 75-80 mph possible. 
  For the Blowing Dust Warning, visibility less than one quarter 
  mile in blowing dust.

* WHERE...Phillips, Smith, Jewell, Rooks, Osborne and Mitchell 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Severely limited visibilities are expected. Travel 
  will be dangerous and possibly life-threatening. Damaging 
  winds will blow down trees and power lines. Widespread power 
  outages are expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for 
  high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Through this afternoon, winds across the 
  area will be southerly to southwesterly. Through the evening 
  hours, winds will turn more northwesterly as a cold front 
  passes through the area. The strongest winds are expected to 
  be out of south, west, and northwest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People with respiratory problems should make preparations to stay
indoors until the storm passes. Be ready for a sudden drop in
visibility to near zero. If you encounter blowing dust or blowing
sand on the roadway or see it approaching, pull off the road as
far as possible and put your vehicle in park. Turn the lights all
the way off and keep your foot off the brake pedal. Remember,
Pull Aside, Stay Alive.

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-160300-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-
Hall-Hamilton-York-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-
Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, 
Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, 
St. Libory, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, Polk, 
Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, 
Grand Island, Aurora, York, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, 
Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield,
Geneva, Exeter, and Fairmont
438 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Southerly and then eventually northwesterly winds 40 to 
  55 mph with gusts up to 70 mph expected. Isolated wind gusts 
  to 75-80 mph possible. Reduced visibility from blowing dust 
  and snow is possible for some areas.

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east 
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...From 9 AM to 9 PM CST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Damaging winds will blow down trees and power lines. 
  Widespread power outages are expected. Blowing dust may 
  decrease visibility to less than a quarter mile this afternoon 
  and evening for the entire outlook area. Falling snow, 
  combined with wind, could also reduce visibility to less than 
  a quarter mile from 5 PM to 9 PM northwest of a line from 
  Elwood to Kearney to Fullerton Nebraska. Travel will be 
  difficult, especially for high profile vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Through this afternoon, winds across the 
  area will be southerly to southwesterly. Through the evening 
  hours, winds will turn more northwesterly as a cold front 
  passes through the area. The strongest winds are expected to 
  be out of south, west, and northwest.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$
298 
WWUS73 KGID 160225
NPWGID

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Hastings NE
825 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-160330-
/O.CAN.KGID.DU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
/O.CAN.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-
Including the cities of Phillipsburg, Bellaire, Smith Center, 
Kensington, Mankato, Jewell, Ionia, Burr Oak, Codell, Plainville,
Stockton, Osborne, Downs, and Beloit
825 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...BLOWING DUST WARNING IS CANCELLED...
...HIGH WIND WARNING IS CANCELLED...

Although it will remain quite breezy for a few more hours, with
gusts of 30 to 40 MPH still possible through around 10 PM, the
threat for damaging sustained speeds of 40 MPH or higher, or gusts
of 58 MPH or higher, has ended for the night. As a result, both
the High Wind Warning and Blowing Dust Warning is being cancelled
at this time. 

Wind speeds will continue to slowly diminish through the night. 

$$

NEZ082>087-160330-
/O.CAN.KGID.DU.W.0001.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
Including the cities of Cambridge, Arapahoe, Oxford, Beaver City,
Hollinger, Alma, Orleans, Franklin, Campbell, Hildreth, Inavale, 
Red Cloud, Blue Hill, Rosemont, Bladen, Bostwick, Superior, 
Nelson, Hebron, and Deshler
825 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...
...BLOWING DUST WARNING IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...Sustained west-northwest winds as high as 30 to 40 MPH
  and gusts as high as 50 to 60 MPH. 

* WHERE...Harlan, Furnas, Thayer, Nuckolls, Webster and Franklin 
  Counties.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM CST this evening.

* IMPACTS...Travel could be dangerous. Damaging winds could blow 
  down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are 
  expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will slowly diminish through the
  remainder of the night. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-160330-
/O.CON.KGID.HW.W.0004.000000T0000Z-211216T0300Z/
Valley-Greeley-Nance-Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-
Hall-Hamilton-York-Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-
Including the cities of Ord, Greeley, Spalding, Scotia, Wolbach, 
Fullerton, Genoa, Loup City, Sherman Reservoir, Litchfield, 
St. Libory, Central City, Stromsburg, Osceola, Shelby, Polk, 
Lexington, Cozad, Willow Island, Gothenburg, Kearney, 
Grand Island, Aurora, York, Elwood, Johnson Lake, Holdrege, 
Minden, Hastings, Sutton, Harvard, Clay Center, Edgar, Fairfield,
Geneva, Exeter, and Fairmont
825 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

...HIGH WIND WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM CST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Sustained west-northwest winds as high as 30 to 40 MPH
  and gusts as high as 50 to 60 MPH. 

* WHERE...Portions of north central Kansas and central, east 
  central and south central Nebraska.

* WHEN...Until 9 PM this evening. 

* IMPACTS...Travel could be dangerous. Damaging winds could blow 
  down trees and power lines. Widespread power outages are 
  expected. Travel will be difficult, especially for high profile 
  vehicles.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Winds will slowly diminish through the
  remainder of the night. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

People should avoid being outside in forested areas and around
trees and branches. If possible, remain in the lower levels of
your home during the windstorm, and avoid windows. Use caution if
you must drive.

&&

$$

Pfannkuch

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this blowing dust warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Hastings, NE wrote its last area forecast discussion before this blowing dust warning went out at Dec 15, 12:15 PM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Dec 15, 12:15 PM CST, 2 hours 2 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1215 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

.DISCUSSION...(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

Here we go. The main event and focus of the forecast is today
with winds expected to rapidly increase later this morning to
potentially historic levels. Currently, southerly winds are
already beginning to increase early this morning as a very strong
low pressure system crosses the Rockies and deepens. By midday
today, sustained southerly winds of 40 to 50 mph with gusts to 70
mph or greater will be experienced across Nebraska and Kansas.
This will continue through the afternoon and into the evening,
with winds switching to southwesterly and westerly this afternoon
and northwesterly later this evening as the front passes through.
As such, a High Wind Warning is in effect from 9AM to 9PM today.
With most of north central Kansas still dry and avoiding much
moisture from previous systems, elected to add the possibility of
blowing dust to the forecast for that area, especially as the
strongest wind gusts are expected to occur there. It is best to
stay inside during this event but if you MUST be outdoors, use
extreme caution as these winds can easily blow down trees and
power poles. Widespread power outages are also very possible.

In addition, with the southerly winds today, there will be enough
moisture to see isolated thunderstorms today, mainly along and
east of Highway 14. With a few hundred joules of CAPE, cannot rule
out a strong storm as the instability will be combined with decent
shear and a strengthening low. Any possible threat here should be
limited as the instability will move to the east of the area
during the afternoon.

Warmer temperatures will also come out of these strong southerly
winds. Ahead of the front, expect record or near record high
temperatures today. There will be very strong warm air advection,
which supports the idea of record temperatures but also brings
very low dewpoints and generally dangerous fire weather conditions.
With this, we are very confident in the Red Flag Warning that is
in effect through the evening.

Behind the cold front this evening as winds diminish some and
switch to the northwest, there is a chance for some light snow
across portions of south central Nebraska tonight. This should be
short-lived and no accumulation is expected.

Thursday onward, temperatures return to near normal for the next
several days. The next system anywhere near our area will be
associated with a low expected to pass just to our north Friday
night. However, this will push off to the northeast, keeping
precipitation well to our north, leaving our area with potentially
breezy conditions Friday evening into Saturday morning. Otherwise,
weather is expected to be much quieter for the remainder of the
forecast period starting Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z KGRI/KEAR TAFS through 18Z Thursday)
Issued at 1206 PM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

Biggest issue by far will be wind speeds. Exceptionally strong
wind speeds are expected with a dynamic system moving through.
High confidence with strong wind gusts as historically strong wind
gusts are forecast by hi-resolution models. Dust could be an issue
with visibility today, and we may need to lower to at least MVFR.
Also KEAR could be on the far south end of some falling snow,
driven by very strong wind which could also lower visibility near
and shortly after 00Z. LLWS is possible at the beginning of the
forecast before surface winds start to really ramp up. Slow
decrease to wind gusts into the overnight.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 312 AM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

The combination of strong winds and low relative humidity
values will result in dangerous fire weather conditions across
the local area today. In addition to the strong winds, a change
in wind direction from the south southwest to the northwest with
the associated cold front this afternoon and evening will make any
fire that develops difficult. Avoid engaging in activities that
could lead to fire ignition today.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 359 PM CST Mon Dec 13 2021

..Regarding Potential Record High Temperatures Wed. Dec. 15 at
Grand Island/Hastings (our two primary climate records sites)..

WEDNESDAY (Dec. 15):
Although still subject to at least minor change, we are CURRENTLY
forecasting record or near record high temps for today...

                   Record Current       Forecast
Grand Island         67 in 2002          67 (tie)
Hastings             67 in 2002          67 (tie)

PLEASE NOTE: Although morning lows Wednesday may also "appear" to
threaten Dec. 15 records for warmest minimum temperature, keep in
mind that daily records are based off the FULL calendar day, and
at this time we expect temperatures to fall far enough this
evening (prior to midnight) to keep existing warm minimum temp
records intact (current records 35 at GRI/39 at HSI).

&&

.GID WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...High Wind Warning until 9 PM CST this evening for NEZ039>041-
     046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087.

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CST this evening for NEZ048-049-
     062>064-075>077-084>087.

KS...High Wind Warning until 9 PM CST this evening for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

     Red Flag Warning until 9 PM CST this evening for KSZ005>007-
     017>019.

&&

DISCUSSION...Hickford
AVIATION...Heinlein
FIRE WEATHER...Hickford
CLIMATE...Hickford
Hazardous weather outlook, Dec 15, 11:30 AM CST, 2 hours 47 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Hastings NE
1130 AM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
161200-
Phillips-Smith-Jewell-Rooks-Osborne-Mitchell-Valley-Greeley-Nance-
Sherman-Howard-Merrick-Polk-Dawson-Buffalo-Hall-Hamilton-York-
Gosper-Phelps-Kearney-Adams-Clay-Fillmore-Furnas-Harlan-Franklin-
Webster-Nuckolls-Thayer-
1130 AM CST Wed Dec 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for south central Nebraska and
portions of north central Kansas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

An unusually high risk for hazardous weather is expected today
and this evening from multiple concurrent hazards.

Exceptionally strong winds are expected today, especially during
the afternoon through evening hours. These winds will start the
day out of the south, before turning to the west, then northwest
behind a passing cold front. Widespread wind gusts of 70 mph or
more are possible. A High Wind Warning is in effect for the
entire area morning through 9 PM this evening. Please refer to
the latest High Wind Warning message for additional information.

These strong winds, combined with low relative humidity, are also
expected to result in critical fire weather conditions for
portions of the area this afternoon. As a result...a Red Flag
Warning will be in effect for areas southeast of a line from
Columbus Nebraska to Grand Island to Phillipsburg Kansas from
Noon through 9 PM today. Please refer to the latest Red Flag
warning message for additional information.

There is potential for severe thunderstorms this early to mid
afternoon especially for areas along and east of Highway 281. A
marginal to slight severe risk of storms is possible for this
area much of this area and an enhanced risk for the Highway 81
corridor, mainly between the noon and 4 PM. Thunderstorm wind
gusts of 70-80 mph are the main potential threat, but an isolated
tornado cannot be ruled out.

With such exceptionally strong winds expected, visibility could
be reduced at times today due to blowing dust, and in some areas,
from falling snow.

Blowing dust will be possible for the entire outlook area,
especially for areas of north central Kansas all day today and
into this evening, and could reduce visibility to near zero for
some areas at times.

Falling snow combined with strong northwest wind gusts could
reduce visibility to less than a quarter mile for areas mainly
northwest of a line from Elwood to Kearney to Fullerton, Nebraska
late this afternoon and into the evening mainly between 5 PM and
9 PM.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Any reports of any wind damage from this event are appreciated.

&&

More information may be obtained at the following web page:
   https://www.weather.gov/hastings

Heinlein

In the hours before

Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:05 PM CST, 12 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
205 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0152 PM     TSTM WND GST     3 NE AYR                40.47N 98.40W
12/15/2021  M66 MPH          ADAMS              NE   MESONET

&&
Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:06 PM CST, 11 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
206 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0156 PM     TORNADO          3 W GLENVIL             40.50N 98.31W
12/15/2021                   ADAMS              NE   PUBLIC

            EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED TORNADO WITHIN
            LINE...NO OTHER DETAILS AT THIS TIME.

&&

PFANNKUCH
Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:09 PM CST, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
209 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0150 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 ESE JUNIATA           40.57N 98.46W
12/15/2021                   ADAMS              NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            REPORT OF SEMI OVERTURNED AT HIGHWAY 6 ANND
            ADAMS CENTRAL. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.

&&

PFANNKUCH
Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:15 PM CST, 2 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
215 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0211 PM     TSTM WND GST     GILTNER                 40.78N 98.15W
12/15/2021  E85 MPH          HAMILTON           NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            ESTIMATED 80-90 MPH WINDS.

&&

PFANNKUCH
Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:16 PM CST, 1 minute before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
216 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0156 PM     DUST STORM       2 NNE DAMAR             39.35N 99.57W
12/15/2021                   ROOKS              KS   TRAINED SPOTTER

            1/4SM MILES VIS IN DUST. RAINING MUD WITH
            SHOWERS.

&&
Local storm report, Dec 15, 2:17 PM CST, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
217 PM CST WED DEC 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0214 PM     TORNADO          1 S EDGAR               40.35N 97.97W
12/15/2021                   CLAY               NE   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TORNADO ON THE GROUND 1S OF EDGAR PER EM.

&&

The office that day

Everything else NWS Hastings, NE issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Dec 15, 12:54 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGIDOsborne, Phillips, Rooks, Smith36 min
Dec 15, 1:24 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGIDJewell, Mitchell, Osborne, Smith66 min
Dec 15, 1:21 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGIDAdams, Buffalo, Clay, Franklin, Hall, Hamilton and 7 more54 min
Dec 15, 1:30 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDAdams, Franklin, Webster15 min
Dec 15, 1:41 PM CSTDust Storm WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Furnas, Gosper, Harlan, Kearney and 1 more94 min
Dec 15, 1:43 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDAdams17 min
Dec 15, 1:45 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDAdams, Clay, Webster15 min
Dec 15, 1:45 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDBuffalo, Hall, Howard15 min
Dec 15, 1:57 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDAdams, Hall, Hamilton, Merrick18 min
Dec 15, 2:03 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDClay, Hamilton12 min
Dec 15, 2:08 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Considerable damage threatGIDClay, Fillmore, Greeley, Hall, Hamilton, Howard and 7 more52 min
Dec 15, 2:14 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Polk, York16 min
Dec 15, 2:22 PM CSTSevere Thunderstorm Warning Destructive damage threatGIDHamilton, Howard, Merrick, Nance, Polk, York38 min
Dec 15, 2:32 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDHamilton, Merrick, Nance, Polk13 min
Dec 15, 2:39 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDNance9 min
Dec 15, 2:43 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDMerrick, Polk17 min
Dec 15, 2:45 PM CSTTornado WarningGIDPolk, York15 min
Dec 15, 4:31 PM CSTSnow Squall WarningGIDBuffalo, Dawson, Gosper, Phelps59 min

Nearby

Blowing Dust Warnings in Kansas, 2021Blowing Dust Warnings in Nebraska, 2021Every blowing dust warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.