Severe Thunderstorm Warning 222, NWS Fort Worth, TX

302 
WWUS54 KFWD 012310
SVSFWD

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
610 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

TXC121-497-012320-
/O.CAN.KFWD.SV.W.0222.000000T0000Z-210801T2330Z/
Wise TX-Denton TX-
610 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR EAST CENTRAL WISE AND
SOUTHWESTERN DENTON COUNTIES IS CANCELLED...
                
The storm which prompted the warning has weakened below severe
limits. Therefore the warning has been cancelled. However gusty winds
and heavy rain are still possible with this thunderstorm.

LAT...LON 3312 9727 3302 9733 3310 9753 3324 9746
TIME...MOT...LOC 2308Z 123DEG 6KT 3313 9742 

$$

Hernandez

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
228 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...New Long Term...

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1118 AM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021/
/This afternoon through Monday/

Morning convection on the southward moving gravity waves has
weakened as anticipated with the boundary layer mixing.
Additional showers and thunderstorms will continue to develop
through the day as the cold front slides slowly southward through
North Texas. There is plenty of instability in place across the
region but little shear; therefore, well organized storms with
long lived updrafts are not anticipated. However, hot surface
temperatures and a fairly dry sub-cloud layer will result in
efficient hydrometeor evaporation and a potential for downbursts.
Light steering winds and precipitable water values around 2 inches
will also result in some locally heavy rainfall.

Showers and thunderstorms will continue through the night as the
front moves southward and a shortwave rotates through the base of
the Eastern U.S. longwave trough. The best concentration of
storms will be along the boundary, but some elevated storms will
also be possible well behind the front in response to the passing
mid level energy. Most of the thunderstorm activity will shift
into Central Texas on Monday with only some lingering morning
activity across North Texas.

Temperatures this afternoon will be tricky due to the increase in
cloud cover and storms; however, with dew points in the middle and
upper 70s late this morning and temperatures warming as expected,
we still feel that most locations in the current Heat Advisory
will see heat index values reach 105 at some point in time this
afternoon. Therefore, we will leave the current Heat Advisory in
place for now. The good news is that this should be the last day
of excessively hot and humid weather for a little while with highs
Monday struggling to reach 90 in most locations.

79

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Monday Night Onward/

Monday evening through Tuesday, lingering showers and storms are
possible across Central Texas along the frontal boundary as it
continues moving south. Most of the area will remain dry on
Tuesday, with another pleasant day of below average temperatures
under mostly sunny skies.

A mid-level ridge centered across West Texas will keep mostly
rain-free weather in place on Wednesday, outside of a few isolated
afternoon storms across parts of Central Texas. On Thursday, a
mid-level shortwave trough may take a dive into the Southern
Plains. It's possible this feature will offer enough ascent for a
few isolated to widely scattered showers and storms Thursday and
Friday; however, model disagreement is currently resulting in
quite a bit of forecast uncertainty.

Despite the late-week uncertainty, there is better agreement that
the mid-level subtropical ridge will build in again this weekend,
resulting in an increase in temperatures across the area. High
temperatures will likely return to the upper 90s to low 100s by
Saturday, with the heat continuing into early next week.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1118 AM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021/
/18Z TAFs/

The primary aviation weather concern will be timing of
thunderstorms associated with the passage of a cold front.

The gravity waves that moved through North Texas earlier this
morning have dampened as expected. However, outflow winds from
the north/northwest are currently in place across the Metroplex
and wind directions will likely remain northerly through Monday.
Wind speeds will be generally less than 12 knots, except in and
around thunderstorms where they could become stronger and gusty.

Thunderstorms will continue to develop through the day as the
atmosphere destabilizes and the cold front moves south. The most
likely time for storms to impact the Metroplex terminals will be
between 19Z and 01Z but additional storms will be possible
overnight/sunrise Monday with the passage of a shortwave. Waco
could see storms as early as 17Z with the arrival of the outflow
boundary, but the most likely time for storms will be during the
late afternoon/early evening hours with additional storms possible
after sunrise Monday.

Outside of the thunderstorms, expect VFR with scattered to broken
Cu and broken to overcast middle and high clouds. Some post-
frontal MVFR stratus is also likely Monday morning, but for the
most part, these clouds should remain scattered.

79

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    97  75  88  72  92 /  60  60  60   5   5
Waco                96  76  88  72  91 /  30  50  70  20  20
Paris               95  73  84  69  88 /  60  70  60   5   5
Denton              96  71  88  68  92 /  70  70  50   5   5
McKinney            96  73  86  69  90 /  60  60  60   5   5
Dallas              97  76  88  74  92 /  50  60  60   5   5
Terrell             96  73  85  70  90 /  40  60  70  10   5
Corsicana           96  75  86  72  91 /  30  50  70  20  10
Temple              96  73  88  71  91 /  30  50  80  30  30
Mineral Wells       90  71  87  68  90 /  70  70  50   5   5

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ094-095-104>107-
118>123-133>135-145>148-158>162-174-175.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
226 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-021145-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
226 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Heat index values will likely exceed 105 this afternoon along and
east of the I-35 corridor.

There is a chance of thunderstorms across all of North and Central
Texas today and tonight as a cold front moves through the region.
Some of the storms could be strong with gusty winds and frequent
lightning. In addition, these slow-moving storms could result in
minor flooding issues.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.
Thunderstorm chances will continue on Monday, mainly south of the I-
20 corridor. Locally heavy rainfall may accompany the activity.

Although the remainder of the week will be largely rain-free, a few
thunderstorms will be possible across Central Texas Tuesday and
Wednesday. Additionally, isolated to widely scattered showers and
storms may occur near and south of I-20 on Thursday and Friday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
440 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BEDFORD             32.83N 97.13W
08/01/2021                   TARRANT            TX   PUBLIC

            TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED TRASH CANS BLOWING
            AROUND IN A PARKING LOT, A CHAIN LINK FENCE
            GATE BLOWN OFF OF ITS HINGE, AND FLYING
            DEBRIS. WINDS ESTIMATED TO BE 60 MPH.

&&

SB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
441 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0414 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 S BEDFORD             32.83N 97.13W
08/01/2021                   TARRANT            TX   TRAINED SPOTTER

            CORRECTS PREVIOUS REPORT. TRAINED SPOTTER
            REPORTED TRASH CANS BLOWING AROUND IN A
            PARKING LOT, A CHAIN LINK FENCE GATE BLOWN
            OFF OF ITS HINGE, AND FLYING DEBRIS TWO
            MILES EAST SOUTHEAST OF BEDFORD. WINDS
            ESTIMATED TO BE 60 MPH.

&&

SB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
443 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0418 PM     HAIL             1 ENE HURST             32.84N 97.16W
08/01/2021  E1.00 INCH       TARRANT            TX   EMERGENCY MNGR

            EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL
            NEAR HIGHWAY 183 AND BROWN TRAIL.

&&

SB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
447 PM CDT SUN AUG 1 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0415 PM     HAIL             1 SW BEDFORD            32.84N 97.14W
08/01/2021  E1.75 INCH       TARRANT            TX   AMATEUR RADIO

            GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED NEAR FOREST
            RIDGE DRIVE AND HIGHWAY 183.

&&

SB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
521 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

TXZ119-134-012300-
Ellis TX-Dallas TX-
521 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR NORTHWESTERN ELLIS AND SOUTHERN
DALLAS COUNTIES UNTIL 600 PM CDT...

At 521 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Duncanville to near Midlothian. Movement was
east at 25 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with these storms.

 Locations impacted include...
Dallas, Grand Prairie, Desoto, Cedar Hill, Duncanville, Lancaster,
Waxahachie, Balch Springs, Midlothian, Glenn Heights, Red Oak,
Hutchins, Wilmer, Ovilla, Ferris, Oak Leaf, Cedar Hill State Park and
Pecan Hill.

LAT...LON 3237 9675 3240 9706 3255 9705 3255 9704
      3270 9704 3270 9663
TIME...MOT...LOC 2221Z 280DEG 20KT 3266 9692 3247 9698

Hernandez

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
546 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

TXZ102-012315-
Wise TX-
546 PM CDT Sun Aug 1 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR EASTERN WISE COUNTY UNTIL 615 PM
CDT...

At 546 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Decatur, moving west at 10 mph.

Pea size hail and wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph will be possible with
this storm.

 Locations impacted include...
Decatur, New Fairview, Aurora, Boyd, Paradise, Cottondale and Rhome.

LAT...LON 3330 9739 3302 9740 3307 9771 3339 9768
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 105DEG 7KT 3324 9757

Hernandez