Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 68, NWS Fort Worth, TX

May 27, 2021Henderson County, Navarro County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this river flood warning at May 27, 2021, 1:48 PM CDT for Henderson County, Navarro County, Texas. It was in force for 11 days.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 27, 2021, 1:48 PM CDT (18:48 UTC)
Expired
Jun 7, 2021, 9:37 AM CDT
In force
11 days
Issued by
NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Henderson County, TX, Navarro County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 120 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 18:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Trinity River at Trinidad (TDDT2). The gauge peaked at 37.99 ft at May 30, 2021, 5:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate30354005/2705/2805/2905/3005/3106/0106/0206/0306/0406/0506/0606/0706/08
Action stage
31 ft
Minor stage
33 ft
Moderate stage
40 ft
Major stage
46 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08062700, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

583 
WGUS44 KFWD 271848
FLWFWD

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
148 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-281300-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0068.210527T1848Z-210531T1401Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210529T1800Z.210531T0200Z.NO/
148 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* From this afternoon to Monday morning.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 34.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 34.1 feet this evening. It will 
  then fall to 33.6 feet and begin rising again tomorrow evening. It 
  will rise to 34.5 feet Saturday evening. It will then fall below 
  flood stage late Sunday evening.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
29 follow-up statements
895 
WGUS84 KFWD 280134
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
834 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-281945-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210531T2000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T0000Z.210531T0800Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 34.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to crest near 35 feet Saturday 
  evening. It will then fall below flood stage early Monday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-281945-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210531T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210523T2355Z.210526T1830Z.210530T1200Z.NO/
834 PM CDT Thu May 27 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until Sunday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 36.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Sunday 
  morning and continue falling through early next week.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Bain
941 
WGUS84 KFWD 281353
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
853 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-290800-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210601T0040Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210529T1800Z.210531T1240Z.NO/
853 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Monday evening.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 34.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near 36 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Monday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-290800-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210530T0900Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210523T2355Z.210526T1830Z.210529T2100Z.NO/
853 AM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 36.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 34 feet Wednesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Sanchez
731 
WGUS84 KFWD 282008
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
308 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-291415-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210603T0200Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1800Z.210602T1400Z.NO/
308 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 35.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 36.5 feet 
  early Sunday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-291415-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210523T2355Z.210526T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
308 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 35.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady above flood 
  stage at 35.8 feet.
* Impact...At 35.0 feet, Minor flooding of numerous ranches along 
  the river is expected. Minor flooding of Coffield Prison farm and 
  ranch lands near the river is to be expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Prater
033 
WGUS84 KFWD 290229
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
929 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-292030-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210603T0336Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1800Z.210602T1536Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 9:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 36.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 38.0 feet 
  early Sunday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late 
  Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-292030-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210523T2355Z.210526T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
929 PM CDT Fri May 28 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 35.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 36.3 feet early 
  Wednesday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

12
386 
WGUS84 KFWD 291438
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
938 AM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-291545-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0061.000000T0000Z-210529T1438Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210523T2355Z.210526T1830Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
938 AM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) 
has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* At 9:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 34.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to remain steady at or just below 
  35 feet.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-300845-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210602T0846Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1800Z.210601T2046Z.NO/
938 AM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 9:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 37.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest near 39 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Sanchez
214 
WGUS84 KFWD 291913
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
213 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-301315-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210602T0600Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1800Z.210601T1800Z.NO/
213 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 38.1 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

12
954 
WGUS84 KFWD 300046
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
746 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-301900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210602T0527Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1800Z.210601T1727Z.NO/
746 PM CDT Sat May 29 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 37.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 38.1 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage 
  early Tuesday afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

12
139 
WGUS84 KFWD 302014
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
314 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-311415-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210602T0600Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210601T1800Z.NO/
314 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday night.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 37.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday afternoon and continue falling to 22.0 feet Friday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$
217 
WGUS84 KFWD 310055
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
755 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-311900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210601T2221Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210601T1021Z.NO/
755 PM CDT Sun May 30 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Sunday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 26.1 feet Friday evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

12
877 
WGUS84 KFWD 311321
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
821 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-010730-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
821 AM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 35.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday evening and continue rising to a crest near 35 feet early 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Sanchez
913 
WGUS84 KFWD 311909
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
209 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton affecting Denton and 
  Dallas Counties.

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC121-011315-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0076.210601T0715Z-210602T1430Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210601T0715Z.210601T1200Z.210602T0230Z.NO/
209 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* From late tonight to Wednesday morning.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 4.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 11.1 feet tomorrow morning. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur to 
  farm and ranch lands near the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC113-121-011315-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0077.210601T0800Z-210602T0600Z/
/CART2.1.ER.210601T0800Z.210601T1200Z.210601T1800Z.NO/
209 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton.
* From late tonight to late Tuesday night.
* At 1:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 7.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to 6.9 feet and then begin rising 
  late this afternoon. It will then rise above flood stage late 
  tonight to 8.5 feet tomorrow morning. It will fall to 8.4 feet and 
  then begin rising tomorrow morning. It will then rise again to 8.5 
  feet tomorrow morning. It will fall below flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding will occur upstream from the 
  gage, near the city golf course.


&&

LAT...LON 3300 9688 3286 9687 3286 9699 3300 9700

$$

TXC213-349-011315-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
209 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 34.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Thursday afternoon and continue rising to 35.9 feet early Saturday 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$
888 
WGUS84 KFWD 010115
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
815 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Clear Fork Trinity River Near Weatherford affecting Parker County.

  Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton affecting Denton and 
  Dallas Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC367-011915-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0083.210601T0115Z-210602T0900Z/
/WEAT2.1.ER.210531T2246Z.210531T2345Z.210601T2100Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Wednesday 
morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Clear Fork Trinity River Near Weatherford.
* From this evening to late Tuesday night.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 15.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue falling to 6.9 feet Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Minor river flooding will occur along the 
  reach. Flood waters will inundate the road near the gage.


&&

LAT...LON 3278 9761 3269 9755 3265 9767 3275 9774

$$

TXC113-121-011915-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0077.210601T0200Z-210602T0430Z/
/CART2.1.ER.210601T0200Z.210601T0600Z.210601T1630Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Elm Fork Trinity River Near Carrollton.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 7:15 PM CDT Monday the stage was 7.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 8.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 8.8 feet just after midnight tonight. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 8.0 feet, Minor flooding will occur upstream from the 
  gage, near the city golf course.


&&

LAT...LON 3300 9688 3286 9687 3286 9699 3300 9700

$$

TXC121-011915-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0076.210601T0251Z-210603T0340Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210601T0251Z.210601T1400Z.210602T1540Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Wednesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* Until Wednesday evening.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 8.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 13.2 feet late tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage late Wednesday morning.
* Impact...At 15.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding starts. Water 
  starts to cover portions of FM 407 north of the creek and Tim 
  Donald Rd south of the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC213-349-011915-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
815 PM CDT Mon May 31 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 32.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  Wednesday morning and continue rising to 36.4 feet Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$
803 
WGUS84 KFWD 011556
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1056 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-021000-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T0651Z.NO/
1056 AM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 10:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage Friday 
  morning to a crest of 34 feet by Saturday morning. It will then 
  fall below flood stage Saturday night.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$
801 
WGUS84 KFWD 011935
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
235 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-021345-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T1017Z.NO/
235 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 29.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  Friday morning to a crest of 34 feet Saturday afternoon. It will 
  then fall below flood stage on Sunday.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Sanchez
472 
WGUS84 KFWD 020205
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
905 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-022015-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210606T2218Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T1017Z.NO/
905 PM CDT Tue Jun 1 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 34.1 feet Saturday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 33 feet, minor flooding occurs along the right bank of 
  the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will begin 
  to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Dunn
656 
WGUS84 KFWD 021412
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
Issued by National Weather Service Shreveport LA
912 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following river in Texas...

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following river in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov.


TXC113-030815-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210603T1700Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210601T0123Z.210602T0515Z.210603T0500Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 34.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Trinity River at Dallas is expected to fall below 
  flood stage by early Thursday morning and continue falling to 16.7 
  feet Monday morning.
* Impact...At 35 feet, Some low water crossings flooded with cattle 
  and grazing and low water areas under water.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC213-349-030815-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210606T2100Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T0900Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Sunday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Trinity River at Trinidad will rise above flood 
  stage late this Wednesday morning and rise to near 33.1 feet this 
  Wednesday afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage by early 
  Thursday morning to 31.4 feet.  Expect the river at Trinidad to 
  begin rising again by Thursday  evening.  It will rise above flood 
  stage again by early Friday afternoon and continue to rise to 34.3 
  feet by early Saturday afternoon.  It will then fall below flood 
  stage again by early Sunday morning.
* Impact...At 33 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank of 
  the river. Low wooded lands for one mile along the right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-030815-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.210601T0506Z.210604T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
912 AM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 39.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The Trinity River near Long Lake is expected to rise to 
  a crest of 41.4 feet early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 42 feet, Moderate flooding of numerous ranches along 
  the river is expected. The Coffield Prison farm and ranch lands 
  will be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$
615 
WGUS84 KFWD 022239
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
539 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC113-031500-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210603T1450Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210601T0123Z.210602T0515Z.210603T0250Z.NO/
539 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until late tomorrow morning.
* At 5:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 33.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river has crested and is expected to fall below 
  flood stage late this evening and continue falling to around 27 
  feet early Monday afternoon.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used 
  for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river 
  will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC213-349-031645-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210607T0300Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T1500Z.NO/
539 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Sunday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Sunday evening.
* At 5:00 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 33.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage tomorrow morning 
  to 31.7 feet and then begin rising Friday morning. It will then 
  rise above flood stage early Saturday morning to 33.8 feet 
  Saturday evening. It will fall below flood stage again late Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-031645-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.210601T0506Z.210604T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
539 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 4:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 38.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 40.9 feet 
  Friday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the 
  river is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will 
  be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Prater
065 
WGUS84 KFWD 030104
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
804 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC113-031800-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0087.000000T0000Z-210603T1800Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210601T0123Z.210602T0515Z.210603T0600Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early tomorrow 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until early tomorrow afternoon.
* At 7 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river has crested and will fall below flood stage 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 32 feet, minor flooding of agricultural lands used for 
  cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC213-349-031915-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210607T2200Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210607T1000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Monday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Monday afternoon.
* At 7 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 34 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fluctuate between 34 and 34.5 feet over 
  the next few days.
* Impact...At 33 feet, minor flooding occurs along the right bank of 
  the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will begin 
  to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-031915-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.210601T0506Z.210604T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
804 PM CDT Wed Jun 2 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Wednesday the stage was 38.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 35 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of around 41 
  feet early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 40 feet, moderate flooding of ranches along the river 
  is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will be 
  moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Dunn
302 
WGUS84 KFWD 031324
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
824 AM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-040730-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210607T0900Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T2100Z.NO/
824 AM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Monday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until early Monday morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 34.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 34.9 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage Sunday afternoon.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-040730-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210604T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
824 AM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Thursday the stage was 38.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.5 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the 
  river is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will 
  be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Barnes
634 
WGUS84 KFWD 031840
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
140 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-041245-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210608T1648Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T0448Z.NO/
140 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday morning.
* At 1:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 35.02 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.1 feet 
  this evening. It will then fall below flood stage late Monday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

12
217 
WGUS84 KFWD 040133
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
833 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-041945-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210608T1200Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 35.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 35.5 feet 
  just after midnight tonight. It will then fall below flood stage 
  Monday evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-041945-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210604T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Thu Jun 3 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Thursday the stage was 38.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.0 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the 
  river is expected. The Coffield Prison farm and ranch lands will 
  be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

12
534 
WGUS84 KFWD 041343
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
843 AM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-050745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210609T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T1200Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Friday the stage was 35.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest around 36 feet 
  this evening. It is expected to begin falling on Sunday.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-050745-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210606T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
843 AM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Friday the stage was 38.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest around 39 feet 
  on Saturday. The river will remain above flood stage for the next 
  several days.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

JLDunn
431 
WGUS84 KFWD 041927
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
227 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-051330-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210606T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
227 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 38.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.1 feet 
  tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-051330-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210609T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T1200Z.NO/
227 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday evening.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Friday the stage was 36.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 36.3 feet 
  tomorrow morning. It will then fall below flood stage Tuesday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
549 
WGUS84 KFWD 050227
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
927 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-052030-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210609T0200Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T1400Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Tuesday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late Tuesday evening.
* At 9 PM CDT Friday the stage was 36.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is near crest now and will begin a slow fall 
  on Sunday.
* Impact...At 37 feet, minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-052030-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210605T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
927 PM CDT Fri Jun 4 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 PM CDT Friday the stage was 38.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 35 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39 feet 
  early tomorrow afternoon.
* Impact...At 40 feet, moderate flooding of ranches along the river 
  is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will be 
  moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Dunn
615 
WGUS84 KFWD 051352
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
852 AM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-060800-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-210608T1800Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210605T1330Z.210608T0600Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday 
afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 33.8 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the 
  river is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will 
  be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-060800-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210608T2024Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T0824Z.NO/
852 AM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Tuesday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Saturday the stage was 36.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 27.4 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Hernandez
769 
WGUS84 KFWD 051919
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
219 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-061330-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-210608T1800Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210605T1830Z.210608T0600Z.NO/
219 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until early Tuesday afternoon.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 39.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 33.8 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-061330-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210608T2024Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210608T0824Z.NO/
219 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until Tuesday afternoon.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 36.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Tuesday morning and continue falling to 27.4 feet Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
850 
WGUS84 KFWD 060054
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-061900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210606T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 39.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.1 feet 
  just after midnight tonight.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-061900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210608T1000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210607T2200Z.NO/
754 PM CDT Sat Jun 5 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Tuesday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until early Tuesday morning.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Saturday the stage was 36.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage Monday 
  afternoon and continue falling to 26.6 feet Thursday evening.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
749 
WGUS84 KFWD 061340
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
840 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  East Fork Trinity River At McKinney affecting Collin County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Sister Grove Creek Near Blue Ridge affecting Collin County.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC085-070745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0099.210606T1340Z-210607T1112Z/
/BVWT2.1.ER.210606T0836Z.210606T1245Z.210606T2312Z.NO/
840 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Sister Grove Creek Near Blue Ridge.
* From this morning to tomorrow morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 25.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 25.3 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage this evening.
* Impact...At 24.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding along the creek 
  is expected. Rural roads, along with farm and ranch land near the 
  creek, will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3330 9641 3325 9641 3325 9654 3330 9654

$$

TXC085-070745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0098.000000T0000Z-210607T0941Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.210606T0400Z.210606T1800Z.210606T2141Z.NO/
840 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney.
* Until late tonight.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 16.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 16.8 feet 
  this afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late this 
  afternoon.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will begin along 
  the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3325 9654 3316 9649 3315 9661 3323 9667

$$

TXC213-349-070745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210607T1617Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210607T0417Z.NO/
840 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until late tomorrow morning.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 34.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage late this evening 
  to 30.8 feet. Minor changes in the elevation will be possible 
  through the rest of the week, but it will remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 33.0 feet, Minor flooding occurs along the right bank 
  of the river. Low woodlands for one mile along right bank will 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-070745-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210606T1215Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
840 AM CDT Sun Jun 6 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Sunday the stage was 39.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 39.1 feet 
  this afternoon.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding of ranches along the 
  river is expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will 
  be moderately flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Hernandez
069 
WGUS84 KFWD 071437
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
937 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC213-349-071545-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0068.000000T0000Z-210607T1437Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210527T0430Z.210530T1000Z.210606T2202Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River At Trinidad has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Monday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river level has dropped below flood stage. 
  However...additional heavy rainfall across the Dallas Fort Worth 
  Metroplex coupled with rainfall expected across this area may 
  result in the river stage climbing back into minor flood stage.


&&

LAT...LON 3223 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

TXC001-161-289-080845-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0091.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210601T0506Z.210606T1515Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
937 AM CDT Mon Jun 7 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* Until further notice.
* At 8:30 AM CDT Monday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 36.6 feet Saturday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, flooding of ranches along the river is 
  expected. The coffield prison farm and ranch lands will be flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

Bain

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 27, 5:43 AM CDT, 8 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 27, 5:43 AM CDT, 8 hours 5 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
543 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

...New Short Term, Aviation...

.SHORT TERM... /NEW/
Update:
The previous forecast remains on track regarding precipitation
changes late this evening and overnight.

Much of today will remain precipitation free as a lobe of slightly
higher pressure keeps precipitation at bay. This will be changing
as a dryline out west and a cold front to the north become active
this afternoon. The convection from the two features will be
moving toward North Texas. The main hazards will be damaging winds
along the leading edge of the storms. Flooding will also be a
concern given the saturated soils due to the recent rainfall. For
additional details, see the discussion below.

Given the nocturnal timing of the storms, make sure to have at
least two ways of receiving hazardous weather alerts given no
single method is perfect.

Hernandez

Previous Discussion:
/Today and Tonight/

Bottom Line: A relatively quiet day will give way to increasing
storm chances this evening and tonight. Some storms will have the
potential to be severe.

The much awaited certain dry day has arrived across North and
Central Texas as a high pressure centered across northern Mexico
bulges toward our region. Many of us have been delaying tending to
our overgrown yards given we can't seem to catch a break from the
what seems to be weeks of rain. Although a strong low-level jet
today will push a shroud of clouds into our region, precipitation
is not expected to arrive until this evening. Highs will climb
into the mid 80s throughout much of the region, with a few 90s
possible around Graham to Breckenridge in far western North Texas.

Although we'll be enjoying dry daytime hours, the same won't be
true across West Texas and Oklahoma. In West Texas, a dryline is
expected to fire off afternoon convection that is expected to
congeal into a line of showers and thunderstorms. In Oklahoma, a
cold front will be shifting southward, interacting with the Gulf
of Mexico moisture, igniting yet another line of convection with
its eyes set on North Texas. There remains some uncertainty on how
the ongoing convection across Oklahoma may impact some of the
afternoon convection, but confidence is now high enough to
advertise the potential for a line (or two) of storms moving into
North and Central Texas late this evening.

The main threats this evening and tonight are likely to be
damaging winds along with heavy rain. Strong instability along
with a 30-40 knot low-level jet should sustain the line of
convection as it travels east/southeast. The overall hail
potential will be limited by the rapid undercutting of updrafts
given the swift downstream movement of the convection. We will
have to keep an eye out for any potential embedded circulations
within the line of storms, potentially leading to a brief tornado
or two, but the overall threat for tornadoes will remain low.

Heavy rain may also cause instances of flooding given the
saturated soils currently in place throughout the region. 1-2
inches of rain with isolated higher amounts will be possible with
the overnight convection.

With the overnight convection having a hard time reaching Central
Texas, a residual boundary will likely set up somewhere south of
I-20. Although precipitation chances won't be overly high during
the pre-dawn hours tomorrow morning, additional shower and
thunderstorm development can't be ruled out. Weak southerly winds
should preclude the development of vigorous convection.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /Issued 332 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021/
/Friday Onward/

One or more convective complexes may be ongoing within the CWA at
the beginning of the long term forecast period Friday morning as
discussed above. This convection and its associated cold pool(s)
may force a slow-moving cold front in Oklahoma to push southward
into North Texas during the daytime on Friday. Or, at a minimum,
consolidated outflows may serve as an effective frontal zone
supportive of convective initiation within our forecast area later
in the day. Assuming one large MCS does not sweep through the
entire region and overturn the environment early in the morning,
renewed convective chances should exist near and south of the
aforementioned frontal/convergence zone as diurnal destabilization
occurs. We'll show highest PoPs roughly near and south of I-20,
with locations farther north probably becoming positioned within
the slightly cooler/drier/more stable air later in the day. Any
afternoon or evening convection in closer proximity to the surface
boundary would be capable of just about any severe hazard along
with heavy rainfall/flooding. An additional consolidated MCS along
the stalled baroclinic zone could sweep through more of our CWA
later Friday evening/night or even into Saturday morning, which
more than likely would occur across Central Texas. This complex
(should it occur) would likely bring a temporary end to rain
chances as it shuts down southerly low-level moisture flux. A
mostly-dry Sunday is currently expected in its wake while small
height rises aloft contribute to modest subsidence.

During the first half of next week, the general pattern will be
one rather atypical of early summer with broad CONUS troughing
remaining in place as opposed to a building summertime ridge.
This will maintain active weather through most of the
Central/Southern Plains with strong southerly low-level winds
to provide renewed moisture/instability across the entire region.
Surface boundaries to focus widespread convection during this
time period are generally expected to remain far west and north of
the CWA each day. However, wind fields will be sufficient to
allow this upstream convection to organize and make a run at North
Texas on nearly a daily basis through at least the first half of
the week. Tuesday and Wednesday appear to feature the greater rain
chances at the moment with ensemble guidance favoring the
presence of a bonafide trough axis impinging on Texas during this
time frame.

-Stalley

&&

.AVIATION... /NEW/
Update:
/12Z TAFs/

Concerns...MVFR ongoing. Storms may impact North Texas tonight.

A strong low-level jet has ushered in a layer of stratus
throughout all of North and Central Texas. This will likely
continue for a few additional hours before a veering and weakening
of the LLJ helps push the MVFR deck out. By later this morning,
clouds should become scattered in nature and remain that way
through the rest of the day.

Conditions will be drastically changing as a line or lines of
storms move toward North Texas simultaneously. Across the Texas
Panhandle, afternoon storms are expected to congeal into a complex
of storms then move eastward toward our region. In Oklahoma, a
cold front will also lead to a complex of storms to surge
southward toward North Texas. Both lines will have the potential
for impact the TAF sites. For that reason, a brief period of TSRA
was added to account to the highest chance of storms.

After the initial round of storms, we'll have to contend with
additional precipitation chances through the rest of the night and
into the early Friday morning hours. Friday looks to continue to
be unsettled as a remnant boundary becomes the focus for
additional showers and storms.

Hernandez

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    87  70  83  65  79 /   5  70  70  40  30
Waco                86  72  85  67  80 /   0  40  60  50  40
Paris               85  67  81  62  75 /   5  80  60  30  20
Denton              86  67  79  62  77 /   5  80  60  40  30
McKinney            86  69  81  63  77 /   5  80  70  40  30
Dallas              88  72  83  67  80 /   0  70  70  40  30
Terrell             85  69  82  64  77 /   0  70  70  40  40
Corsicana           86  72  84  66  80 /   0  50  70  50  40
Temple              86  71  85  67  80 /   0  30  50  50  40
Mineral Wells       87  67  80  62  77 /   5  60  70  40  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 27, 11:37 AM CDT, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1137 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-281200-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
1137 AM CDT Thu May 27 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.
Following the dry weather this afternoon, thunderstorm chances will
increase this evening as two lines of storms approach North Texas.
These storms should be on a weakening trend as they enter North
Texas, but damaging wind gusts will be possible as they move through
the area. Additionally, heavy rainfall may result in flooding.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.
Thunderstorms remain possible on Friday and early Saturday before a
break in storm chances on Sunday. There is a conditional threat for
severe weather on Friday. If strong to severe storms develop late
Friday afternoon, large hail and damaging winds will be possible.

Additional thunderstorms are possible during the first half of next
week. Any storms during this time period could contain strong wind
gusts and heavy rainfall that may result in flooding.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.