Alert archive / Texas / River Flood Warnings in 2021

River Flood Warning 50, NWS Fort Worth, TX

May 17, 2021Ellis County, Kaufman County, Texas

NWS Fort Worth, TX issued this river flood warning at May 17, 2021, 3:27 PM CDT for Ellis County, Kaufman County, Texas. It took effect at May 18, 2021, 6:20 AM CDT. It was in force for 50 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
May 17, 2021, 3:27 PM CDT (20:27 UTC)
In effect from
May 18, 2021, 6:20 AM CDT
Expired
May 20, 2021, 8:20 AM CDT
In force
50 hr
Issued by
NWS Fort Worth, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
Minor

Counties Ellis County, TX, Kaufman County, TX

The radar

The Dallas/Ft Worth radar (KFWS), 79 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The river

Written for the forecast point Trinity River near Rosser (RSRT2). The gauge peaked at 30.73 ft at May 19, 2021, 2:00 AM CDT.

actionminormoderate203005/1705/1805/1905/2005/21
Action stage
20 ft
Minor stage
31 ft
Moderate stage
36 ft
Major stage
38 ft

This gauge today: stage, forecast and historic crests

Stage from the USGS instantaneous record for site 08062500, one reading an hour, from a day before the product to a day after it ended. Flood stages are today's.

The text

As transmitted.

524 
WGUS44 KFWD 172027
FLWFWD

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
327 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

...Heavy rainfall to result in minor to moderate flooding along 
Trinity River...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC139-349-181430-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0049.210518T0520Z-210521T0455Z/
/RCET2.2.ER.210518T0520Z.210519T1800Z.210520T1654Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* From late tonight to Thursday evening.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 20.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 28.1 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage late Thursday 
  morning. Additional heavy rainfall may result in renewed flooding 
  later this week.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding will occur 
  along the creek. A few rural roads will be flooded. Minor lowland 
  flooding is expected for farms and ranches downstream.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC139-257-181430-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210518T1120Z-210520T1320Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210518T1120Z.210519T0000Z.210520T0120Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* From Tuesday morning to Thursday morning.
* At 2:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 28.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 32.1 feet tomorrow evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage Wednesday evening. Additional heavy 
  rainfall may result in renewed flooding later this week.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land is 
  expected near the river. A few rural roads will be inundated.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC121-181430-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0051.210518T1930Z-210519T1900Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210518T1930Z.210518T2200Z.210519T0700Z.NO/
327 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* From Tuesday afternoon to Wednesday afternoon.
* At 3:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 4.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 10.2 feet tomorrow afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage early Wednesday morning. 
  Additional heavy rainfall may result in renewed flooding later 
  this week.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur to 
  farm and ranch lands near the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

Godwin
7 follow-up statements
768 
WGUS84 KFWD 180059
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
759 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC113-181900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210520T2020Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210516T1909Z.210517T1300Z.210520T0820Z.NO/
759 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 34.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage early 
  Thursday morning and continue falling to 19.9 feet Saturday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 32.0 feet, Minor flooding of agricultural lands used 
  for cattle grazing will occur. Low water crossings near the river 
  will begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC139-257-181900-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210518T1120Z-210521T0900Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210518T1120Z.210519T1800Z.210520T2100Z.NO/
759 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* From Tuesday morning to late Thursday night.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Monday the stage was 29.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 33.4 feet early Wednesday 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land is 
  expected near the river. A few rural roads will be inundated.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC213-349-181900-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210512T2200Z.210523T0000Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
759 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 7:00 PM CDT Monday the stage was 36.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to 39.8 feet Saturday 
  evening. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding to woodlands and low land 
  areas will occur on the right bank of the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
595 
WGUS84 KFWD 180742
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC139-349-190145-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210521T2315Z/
/RCET2.2.ER.210518T1020Z.210520T0600Z.210521T1115Z.NO/
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 2 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning to a crest of 29.5 feet early Thursday morning. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 30 feet, major out of bank flooding along the creek is 
  expected. Farm and ranch industries will be flooded. Several rural 
  roads along the river will be flooded.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC139-257-190145-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210518T1600Z-210521T0527Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210518T1600Z.210519T1800Z.210520T1727Z.NO/
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Friday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* From this morning to late Thursday night.
* At 1:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.1 feet.
* Flood stage is 31 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this morning to a crest of near 33 feet early tomorrow afternoon. 
  It will then fall below flood stage early Thursday afternoon.
* Impact...At 34 feet, Minor to moderate flooding of low areas and 
  roads within the levees is expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC121-190145-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0051.210518T1830Z-210520T0300Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210518T1830Z.210519T0300Z.210519T1500Z.NO/
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* From this afternoon to Wednesday evening.
* At 2 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 5.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage this 
  afternoon to a crest of near 11 feet late this evening. It will 
  then fall below flood stage late tomorrow morning.
* Impact...At 10 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur to farm 
  and ranch lands near the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC113-190145-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210520T2020Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210516T1909Z.210517T1300Z.210520T0820Z.NO/
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until Thursday afternoon.
* At 2 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 34 feet.
* Flood stage is 30 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall to 32 feet and then begin rising 
  this afternoon. It will then rise again to 34 feet late tonight.
* Impact...At 35 feet, Some low water crossings inundated with 
  cattle and grazing and low water areas under water.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC213-349-190145-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.1.ER.210512T2200Z.210523T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
242 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 36.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to near 40 feet early 
  Sunday morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 40 feet, Moderate flooding will occur along the right 
  bank to agricultural fields and the cattle industry.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Dunn
153 
WGUS44 KFWD 181336
FLWFWD

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Warning
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The National Weather Service in Fort Worth TX has issued a Flood 
Warning for the following rivers in Texas...

  East Fork Trinity River At McKinney affecting Collin County.

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

...Forecast flooding changed from Minor to Moderate severity for the 
following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

...Forecast flooding changed from Moderate to Major severity and 
increased in duration for the following rivers in Texas...

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC085-190745-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0054.210519T0939Z-210522T0600Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.210519T0939Z.210519T1800Z.210521T1800Z.NO/
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney.
* From late tonight to late Friday night.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 9.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will then rise above flood stage late tonight 
  to 18.6 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It will fall to 16.1 feet 
  and then begin rising Thursday evening. It will then rise again to 
  16.2 feet Friday morning. It will fall below flood stage Friday 
  evening.
* Impact...At 20.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding will occur 
  along the river. Farm and ranch land will flood, along with a few 
  rural roads. Note that the forecast  calls for a crest just below 
  moderate levels.


&&

LAT...LON 3325 9654 3315 9649 3315 9661 3322 9667

$$

TXC001-161-289-190745-
/O.NEW.KFWD.FL.W.0055.210519T1800Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.210519T1800Z.210523T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

The National Weather Service in Fort Worth has issued a

* Flood Warning for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* From Wednesday afternoon until further notice or until the warning 
  is cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon and continue rising to 44.5 feet Sunday 
  morning. Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 45.0 feet, Major flooding of ranches and farm lands 
  along the river is expected. The Coffield Prison farm and ranch 
  interests will be flooded. Note that the forecast crest is 
  expected just below major flood levels at this time.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC139-349-190745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210523T0534Z/
/RCET2.3.ER.210519T0236Z.210520T1200Z.210522T1734Z.NR/
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Moderate to Major severity and 
increased in duration until early Sunday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* Until late Saturday night.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 23.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Major flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 30.7 feet Thursday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Saturday afternoon.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Major out of bank flooding is expected. 
  Ranch and farm industries will be flooded. Rural roads will be 
  underwater.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC139-257-190745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210519T0632Z-210523T2242Z/
/RSRT2.2.ER.210519T0632Z.210520T1800Z.210523T1042Z.NO/
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity and 
increased in duration until Sunday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* From late tonight to Sunday afternoon.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage just 
  after midnight tonight to a crest of 37.8 feet early Thursday 
  afternoon. It will then fall below flood stage early Sunday 
  morning.
* Impact...At 38.0 feet, Widespread flooding is possible on farm and 
  ranch lands near the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC213-349-190745-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.210512T2200Z.210521T1800Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
836 AM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...Forecast flooding increased from Minor to Moderate severity...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Tuesday the stage was 37.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 45.6 feet 
  early Friday afternoon.
* Impact...At 46.0 feet, Major flooding will occur along the right 
  bank to agricultural fields and cattle ranches. At this time, the 
  forecast crest is expected just below major levels.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Schroeder
081 
WGUS84 KFWD 181934
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  East Fork Trinity River At McKinney affecting Collin County.

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC001-161-289-182045-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0055.210519T1800Z-210518T1934Z/
/LOLT2.2.ER.210519T1800Z.210523T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) 
has been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* At 1:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  Friday morning and continue rising to 38.2 feet early Sunday 
  afternoon. Additional rises are possible thereafter.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC113-191345-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210520T0940Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210516T1909Z.210517T1930Z.210519T2140Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until early Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* Until late Wednesday night.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 31.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will fall below flood stage this evening to 
  29.7 feet and then begin rising late this evening. It will rise 
  above flood stage just after midnight tonight to 31.2 feet late 
  tomorrow morning. It will fall below flood stage again tomorrow 
  afternoon to 26.3 feet and then begin rising again late Thursday 
  morning. It will then rise again to 29.4 feet early Friday 
  afternoon, then fall again and remain below flood stage.
* Impact...At 30.0 feet, Minor lowland flooding will begin. The 
  pasture lands near the river will flood. Trails along the river 
  begin to flood.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC139-257-191345-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210519T0448Z-210521T2209Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210519T0448Z.210520T1200Z.210521T1009Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday afternoon...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* From this evening to Friday afternoon.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 33.8 feet Thursday morning. It will 
  then fall below flood stage early Friday morning.
* Impact...At 31.0 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land is 
  expected near the river. A few rural roads will be inundated.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC085-191345-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0054.210519T1520Z-210520T1400Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.210519T1520Z.210519T1800Z.210520T0200Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Thursday morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney.
* From Wednesday morning to Thursday morning.
* At 1:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 8.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow morning to a crest of 16.4 feet early tomorrow afternoon. 
  It will then fall below flood stage late tomorrow evening.
* Impact...At 16.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will begin along 
  the river.


&&

LAT...LON 3325 9654 3315 9649 3315 9661 3322 9667

$$

TXC213-349-191345-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.210512T2200Z.210522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
234 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 2:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 37.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 44.7 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding will occur along the 
  right bank to agricultural fields and the cattle industry.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Prater
930 
WGUS84 KFWD 190133
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  East Fork Trinity River At McKinney affecting Collin County.

  Trinity River At Dallas affecting Dallas County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC113-190245-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0040.000000T0000Z-210519T0133Z/
/DALT2.1.ER.210516T1909Z.210517T1930Z.210519T2140Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River At Dallas has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Trinity River At Dallas.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 29.0 feet.
* Flood stage is 30.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 29.1 feet late this evening. It 
  will then fall to 28.5 feet and begin rising again just after 
  midnight tonight. It will rise to 29.7 feet tomorrow afternoon. It 
  will then fall to 25.4 feet and begin rising again late Thursday 
  morning. It will rise to 27.2 feet Friday morning. It will then 
  fall again and remain below flood stage.


&&

LAT...LON 3275 9693 3281 9693 3283 9683 3275 9671
      3269 9676 3278 9687

$$

TXC085-190245-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0054.210519T1520Z-210519T0133Z/
/MCKT2.1.ER.210519T1520Z.210519T1800Z.210520T0200Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning for the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney has 
been cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the East Fork Trinity River At McKinney.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 16.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will rise to 14.7 feet tomorrow morning. It 
  will then fall to 10.2 feet and begin rising again Thursday 
  morning. It will rise to 12.0 feet early Friday morning. It will 
  then fall to 8.9 feet and begin rising again Friday evening. It 
  will rise to 9.0 feet early Saturday morning. It will then fall 
  again and remain below flood stage.


&&

LAT...LON 3325 9654 3315 9649 3315 9661 3322 9667

$$

TXC121-191700-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210519T1648Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210518T2028Z.210519T0100Z.210519T0448Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tomorrow morning...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* Until Wednesday morning.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 11.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will oscillate above flood stage with a 
  maximum value of 11.5 feet late this evening. It will fall below 
  flood stage late this evening.
* Impact...At 10.0 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur to 
  farm and ranch lands near the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC139-349-191945-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210523T0400Z/
/RCET2.1.ER.210519T1617Z.210520T1200Z.210522T1600Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late Saturday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* Until Saturday evening.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 20.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river will rise above flood stage late tomorrow 
  morning to 25.8 feet early Thursday afternoon. It will then fall 
  to 24.6 feet and begin rising again early Friday afternoon. It 
  will rise to 24.9 feet Friday evening. It will then fall below 
  flood stage late Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 27.0 feet, Moderate out of bank flooding will occur 
  along the creek. A few rural roads will be flooded. Minor lowland 
  flooding is expected for farms and ranches downstream.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC139-257-191945-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.210519T0210Z-210520T2334Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210519T0210Z.210519T1800Z.210520T1134Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Thursday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* Until Thursday evening.
* At 7:30 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 30.4 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  this evening to a crest of 33.7 feet early tomorrow afternoon. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Thursday morning.
* Impact...At 34.0 feet, Minor to moderate flooding of low areas and 
  roads within the levees is expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC213-349-191945-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.210512T2200Z.210522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
833 PM CDT Tue May 18 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 PM CDT Tuesday the stage was 38.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 41.5 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding will occur along the 
  right bank to agricultural fields and the cattle industry.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$
962 
WGUS84 KFWD 190658
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
158 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC121-200100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210520T0230Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210518T2028Z.210519T0115Z.210519T1430Z.NO/
158 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late this evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* Until this evening.
* At 1 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 11.2 feet.
* Flood stage is 10 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall below flood stage late 
  this morning.
* Impact...At 10 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur to farm 
  and ranch lands near the creek.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC139-257-200100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-210520T0800Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210519T0945Z.210519T1200Z.210519T2000Z.NO/
158 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until late tonight...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* Until late tonight.
* At 1:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 30.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 31 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  this morning to a crest of 31.2 feet. It will then fall below 
  flood stage late this afternoon.
* Impact...At 31 feet, Minor flooding of farm and ranch land is 
  expected near the river. A few rural roads will be inundated.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC139-349-200100-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210522T0045Z/
/RCET2.1.ER.210520T1930Z.210521T0000Z.210521T1245Z.NO/
158 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until Friday evening...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* Until Friday evening.
* At 1 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 18.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage early 
  tomorrow afternoon to a crest of 24.3 feet tomorrow evening. It 
  will then fall below flood stage Friday morning.
* Impact...At 24 feet, Minor out of bank flooding will occur along 
  the creek. This will be a problem for some cattle and farm 
  industries.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC213-349-200100-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.210512T2200Z.210522T0600Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
158 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 1 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 38.5 feet.
* Flood stage is 33 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 41.5 feet 
  early Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 40 feet, Moderate flooding will occur along the right 
  bank to agricultural fields and the cattle industry.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Dunn
940 
WGUS84 KFWD 191337
FLSFWD

Flood Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is extended for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood) affecting Freestone, 
  Anderson and Leon Counties.

...The Flood Warning is cancelled for the following rivers in 
Texas...

  Denton Creek Near Justin affecting Denton County.

  Chambers Creek Near Rice affecting Navarro and Ellis Counties.

  Trinity River Near Rosser affecting Kaufman and Ellis Counties.

...The Flood Warning continues for the following rivers in Texas...

  Trinity River At Trinidad affecting Navarro and Henderson 
  Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive cars through flooded areas.
Caution is urged when walking near riverbanks.

&&

Additional information is available at www.weather.gov/fwd.


TXC121-191445-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0051.000000T0000Z-210519T1337Z/
/DCJT2.1.ER.210518T2028Z.210519T0115Z.210519T1430Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Denton Creek Near Justin has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Denton Creek Near Justin.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 9.7 feet.
* Flood stage is 10.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 3.9 feet Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3315 9726 3307 9715 3302 9727 3311 9738

$$

TXC139-257-191445-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0050.000000T0000Z-210519T1337Z/
/RSRT2.1.ER.210519T0945Z.210519T1200Z.210519T2000Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Trinity River Near Rosser has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Trinity River Near Rosser.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 30.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 31.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to fall to 12.8 feet Monday 
  morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3249 9645 3236 9639 3236 9652 3247 9657

$$

TXC139-349-191445-
/O.CAN.KFWD.FL.W.0049.000000T0000Z-210519T1337Z/
/RCET2.1.ER.210520T1930Z.210521T0000Z.210521T1245Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning for the Chambers Creek Near Rice has been 
cancelled...

The Flood Warning is cancelled for
  the Chambers Creek Near Rice.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 16.3 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 18.5 feet 
  Friday morning.


&&

LAT...LON 3227 9656 3218 9638 3211 9648 3217 9663

$$

TXC001-161-289-200745-
/O.EXT.KFWD.FL.W.0058.210521T0400Z-000000T0000Z/
/LOLT2.1.ER.210521T0400Z.210524T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning is now in effect until further notice...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River Near Long Lake (Oakwood).
* From Thursday evening until further notice or until the warning is 
  cancelled.
* At 7:30 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 32.8 feet.
* Flood stage is 35.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise above flood stage late 
  tomorrow evening and continue rising to 38.0 feet Monday morning. 
  Additional rises are possible thereafter.
* Impact...At 37.0 feet, Minor flooding of the Coffield Prison 
  agricultural land, and ranch and farm lands along the river, is 
  expected.


&&

LAT...LON 3173 9580 3149 9562 3150 9580 3170 9593

$$

TXC213-349-200745-
/O.CON.KFWD.FL.W.0037.000000T0000Z-000000T0000Z/
/TDDT2.2.ER.210512T2200Z.210522T1200Z.000000T0000Z.NO/
837 AM CDT Wed May 19 2021

...The Flood Warning remains in effect...

The Flood Warning continues for
  the Trinity River At Trinidad.
* Until further notice or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 8:00 AM CDT Wednesday the stage was 38.9 feet.
* Flood stage is 33.0 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and moderate flooding is forecast.
* Forecast...The river is expected to rise to a crest of 41.5 feet 
  Saturday morning.
* Impact...At 40.0 feet, Moderate flooding will occur along the 
  right bank to agricultural fields and the cattle industry.


&&

LAT...LON 3222 9613 3207 9600 3206 9613 3219 9626

$$

Schroeder

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this river flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this river flood warning went out at May 17, 3:05 PM CDT, 22 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 17, 3:05 PM CDT, 22 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
305 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...New Long Term...

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 150 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021/
/Through Tuesday/

Convection lingers across parts of Central Texas this afternoon
with modest instability still present across our southern zones. A
couple of strong storms are still possible southeast of a Temple
to Franklin line yet this afternoon, but this potential is on the
low side overall. The rest of the forecast area is expected to
experience a lull in convective activity through late afternoon or
early evening. Otherwise, some thermodynamic recovery is expected
across parts of North Texas as deep southerly flow resumes and
mid-level lapse rates begin to steepen with the arrival of an
upper trough.

The same upper trough will ignite widespread deep convection west
of the forecast area later this afternoon and evening. Our main
attention will be on this activity's eventual consolidation into
a QLCS which should organize and move east into the forecast area
overnight into Tuesday morning. This MCS would primarily pose a
threat for damaging gusts, with more modest threats for embedded
tornadoes and hail. In addition, heavy rainfall could quickly
reaggravate flooding issues with intense rain rates possible
within all deep convection. This scenario currently has the
highest confidence of any portion of the convective forecast
through the short term.

There is less certainty about the remainder of Tuesday's
thunderstorm potential. Any areas unaffected by a morning QLCS
would remain highly unstable and capable of supporting additional
severe convection into the day. Shear would be supportive of
supercells or perhaps mixed convective modes with some discrete
cells while others quickly consolidate into linear segments. Any
of this convection could support all severe weather hazards, along
with additional flash flooding and river flooding. Multiple rounds
of convection are possible as strong ascent persists overhead
through most of the day and even into Tuesday evening. Rain
amounts in the 2-4 inch range are possible within the short-term
forecast period alone, not including the additional expected
rainfall through the second half of the week.

-Stalley

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Wednesday onward/

Persistent cyclonic flow in the mid levels will continue to
promote above normal precipitation through the next several days.
Showers and thunderstorms are expected to be ongoing at the start
of the long-term period on Wednesday morning. Heavy rainfall will
continue to be the primary hazard associated with this convection
as PWAT values remain near the 90th percentile for mid-May and
warm cloud layer depths remain near 4000 m. This combination will
promote efficient, warm rain processes leading to heavy rainfall
rates. Flash flooding will continue to be a threat along with
river flooding. With regards to river flooding, it should be noted
that current river forecasts only assume 24 hours of QPF, meaning
some river points will possibly if not likely see higher crests
than current forecasts reflect. The most extensive flooding is
likely to occur within the Brazos and Trinity basins where 7-day
QPF from WPC indicates total rainfall amounts likely to be in
excess of 6 inches with some pockets potentially exceeding 10
inches. One caveat to this forecast is that with extensive
convective activity also forecast near the Gulf Coast, this can
sometimes disrupt the poleward transport of moisture, leading to a
potential decrease in future rainfall relative to current
forecasts. Nevertheless, the forecast rainfall amounts, even on
the conservative end, would justify a continuation of the FFA
through 12Z Wednesday, with a strong potential that it will need
to be extended further in time.

North and Central TX may get somewhat of a break in precipitation
during the Thu/Fri timeframe as the mid-level cutoff low weakens
and lifts north, leaving mid-level ridging in its wake. This is
likely to be short-lived however as global forecast models
continue to show the development of another deep, mid-tropospheric
trough across the western CONUS by the weekend, which warrants at
least chance PoPs in the forecast through early next week. Even
if rainfall towards the end of the forecast period is not as
extensive/heavy as precipitation over the next few days, any
additional rainfall this weekend and early next week would only
aggravate any ongoing flooding.

Godwin

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 150 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021/
/18z TAFs/

VFR conditions currently prevail at all TAF sites which should
persist through this afternoon. Lingering light stratiform rain
will affect the Waco airport through early this afternoon which
may temporarily reduce cig/vis to MVFR before this activity clears
out in a couple more hours. The main aviation concern will then
be convection arriving from the west overnight through tomorrow
morning. This should impact all TAF sites around midnight or later
and may continue into Tuesday. Additional rounds of convection
are possible later in the morning and perhaps again in the
afternoon, and numerous impacts to aviation due to TSRA could
occur through most of the day.

-Stalley

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    68  79  67  78  67 / 100 100  80  70  50
Waco                68  81  66  77  66 /  60 100  80  80  60
Paris               65  77  65  76  65 /  90 100  90  90  60
Denton              65  76  65  78  64 / 100 100  80  70  50
McKinney            67  78  66  78  66 / 100 100  90  80  50
Dallas              70  80  68  79  68 / 100 100  80  80  50
Terrell             68  80  66  78  65 /  90 100  80  80  60
Corsicana           69  82  67  77  67 /  70  90  80  90  70
Temple              68  81  65  76  64 /  40  90  80  80  60
Mineral Wells       64  76  64  78  64 / 100 100  60  60  30

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Flash Flood Watch through Wednesday morning for TXZ091>095-
100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 17, 3:00 PM CDT, 27 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
300 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ091>095-100>107-115>123-129>135-141>148-156>162-174-175-181100-
Montague-Cooke-Grayson-Fannin-Lamar-Young-Jack-Wise-Denton-Collin-
Hunt-Delta-Hopkins-Stephens-Palo Pinto-Parker-Tarrant-Dallas-
Rockwall-Kaufman-Van Zandt-Rains-Eastland-Erath-Hood-Somervell-
Johnson-Ellis-Henderson-Comanche-Mills-Hamilton-Bosque-Hill-Navarro-
Freestone-Anderson-Lampasas-Coryell-Bell-McLennan-Falls-Limestone-
Leon-Milam-Robertson-
300 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for North and Central Texas.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.
One or more thunderstorm complexes are expected to affect most of
the region late this evening and overnight as they arrive from the
west. These storms could pose threats for damaging wind gusts as well
as embedded tornadoes and hail. In addition, heavy rainfall may lead
to flash flooding and additional rises on rivers and streams.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.
Widespread thunderstorms are expected on Tuesday, some of which could
be severe. In addition, heavy rainfall will likely result in flash
flooding.

Thunderstorm chances will continue through the weekend. Additional
rounds of heavy rainfall may cause further flooding issues and
significant rises on area rivers. Additionally, a few severe
thunderstorms will be possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is possible overnight.

In the hours before

Special weather statement, May 17, 10:12 AM CDT, 5 hours 15 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1012 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ142-171600-
Mills TX-
1012 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR MILLS COUNTY UNTIL 1100 AM CDT...

At 1012 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms
along a line extending from Brownwood to Placid. Movement was
southeast at 25 mph.

Penny size hail and wind gusts up to 50 mph will be possible with
these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Goldthwaite and Mullin.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

These storms may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3161 9878 3169 9876 3172 9850 3141 9827
      3123 9856 3127 9858 3127 9863 3132 9859
      3132 9864 3137 9865 3135 9871 3139 9869
      3143 9873 3139 9877 3141 9878 3141 9885
      3144 9887 3143 9893 3146 9894 3147 9900
TIME...MOT...LOC 1512Z 266DEG 23KT 3170 9898 3132 9918

Stalley
Special weather statement, May 17, 10:53 AM CDT, 4 hours 34 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1053 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ156-171630-
Lampasas TX-
1053 AM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR LAMPASAS COUNTY UNTIL 1130 AM
CDT...

At 1052 AM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm
near Chappel, or 13 miles southeast of San Saba, moving east at 20
mph.

Nickel size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

 Locations impacted include...
Lampasas and Lometa.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify, so closely monitor for additional
information or possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3144 9823 3104 9798 3103 9844 3106 9848
      3108 9846 3110 9847 3111 9846 3111 9847
      3112 9850 3110 9852 3115 9853 3116 9851
      3117 9851 3118 9854 3119 9854 3123 9856
TIME...MOT...LOC 1552Z 254DEG 17KT 3111 9852

Stalley
Special weather statement, May 17, 12:30 PM CDT, 2 hours 57 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
1230 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

TXZ157-158-171800-
Coryell TX-Bell TX-
1230 PM CDT Mon May 17 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN CORYELL AND
NORTHWESTERN BELL COUNTIES UNTIL 100 PM CDT...

At 1230 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Copperas Cove, moving east at 35 mph.

Penny size hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

 Locations impacted include...
Killeen, Temple, Copperas Cove, Harker Heights, Belton, Fort Hood,
Nolanville and Morgan's Point Resort.

LAT...LON 3101 9789 3103 9791 3107 9791 3115 9797
      3118 9797 3129 9747 3102 9742 3100 9789
TIME...MOT...LOC 1730Z 262DEG 32KT 3111 9787

92
Local storm report, May 17, 12:42 PM CDT, 2 hours 45 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
1242 PM CDT MON MAY 17 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1159 AM     HAIL             LAMPASAS                31.07N 98.18W
05/17/2021  E1.00 INCH       LAMPASAS           TX   PUBLIC

            SOCIAL MEDIA VIDEO REPORTED QUARTER SIZE
            HAIL IN LAMPASAS.

&&

PS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Fort Worth, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 16, 7:31 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDMontague59 min
May 16, 7:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDGrayson56 min
May 16, 7:54 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDDallas5 hr
May 16, 7:56 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDDelta, Hopkins61 hr
May 16, 8:23 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDFannin52 min
May 16, 9:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack62 min
May 16, 10:11 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDDelta, Lamar11 hr
May 16, 10:43 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack62 min
May 16, 11:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDJack, Parker, Wise66 min
May 17, 12:13 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDParker, Tarrant32 min
May 17, 12:45 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDParker35 min
May 17, 12:47 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDTarrant28 min
May 17, 1:50 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDPalo Pinto25 min
May 17, 2:09 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDWise32 min
May 17, 2:17 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDPalo Pinto28 min
May 17, 2:54 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDCollin24 hr
May 17, 10:12 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDMills48 min
May 17, 10:53 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDLampasas37 min
May 17, 10:59 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLampasas61 min
May 17, 11:57 AM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFWDLampasas32 min
May 17, 12:30 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementFWDBell30 min
May 17, 3:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDEllis, Navarro3 days
May 17, 3:27 PM CDTRiver Flood WarningFWDDenton47 hr

Nearby

River Flood Warnings in Texas, 2021Every river flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive; the gauge from the NWS water service and the USGS.