Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 2, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 14, 2021Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood watch at Jul 14, 2021, 9:53 AM MST for Apache County, Coconino County, Navajo County, Arizona. It took effect at Jul 14, 2021, 1:00 PM MST. It was in force for 14 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 9:53 AM MST (16:53 UTC)
In effect from
Jul 14, 2021, 1:00 PM MST
Expired
Jul 15, 2021, 3:18 AM MST
In force
14 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Flood severity
None

Counties Apache County, AZ, Coconino County, AZ, Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 124 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 16:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 4.9 hours before the alert went out and 121 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

420 
WGUS65 KFGZ 141653
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
953 AM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

AZZ004>006-009-150100-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.210714T2000Z-210715T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake, Fredonia, Page, Lees Ferry, 
Grand Canyon Village, Supai, North Rim, Keams Canyon, and Kaibito
953 AM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH MIDNIGHT THIS EVENING...

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of north central Arizona
  including the following areas,Grand Canyon Country, Kaibab
  Plateau, Havasupai, Marble and Glen Canyons, Antelope Canyon,
  Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward. 

* From 1 PM MST this afternoon through this evening

* Monsoonal thunderstorm coverage will increase across much of
  northern Arizona this afternoon and evening. The saturated
  atmosphere will be capable of producing heavy rainfall within
  the stronger thunderstorms through late tonight. That rainfall
  could produce flash flooding within normally dry washes, creeks,
  and drainages in northern Coconino County and portions of 
  northern Navajo County. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch Means That Developing Conditions May Lead To
Flash Flooding Within The Watch area. People...especially those
located along area creeks...rivers or other flash flood prone
areas...should continue to monitor later forecasts and be
prepared to take immediate action should flash flood warnings be
issued.

&&

$$
3 follow-up statements
595 
WGUS65 KFGZ 142101
FFAFGZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
201 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021


AZZ004>006-009-150515-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210715T0700Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake, Fredonia, Page, Lees Ferry, 
Grand Canyon Village, Supai, North Rim, Keams Canyon, and Kaibito
201 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT MST
TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of north central Arizona and northeast Arizona, 
  including the following areas, in north central Arizona, Grand 
  Canyon Country, Kaibab Plateau, and Marble and Glen Canyons. 
  In northeast Arizona, Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 
  Northward. 

* Until midnight MST tonight

* Monsoonal thunderstorm coverage will continue across much of 
  northern Arizona this afternoon and evening. The saturated 
  atmosphere will be capable of producing heavy rainfall within 
  the stronger thunderstorms through late tonight. That rainfall 
  could produce flash flooding within normally dry washes, creeks,
  and drainages in northern Coconino County and portions of 
  northern Navajo County. 


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Flash Flood Watch Means That Developing Conditions May Lead To
Flash Flooding Within The Watch area. People...especially those
located along area creeks...rivers or other flash flood prone
areas...should continue to monitor later forecasts and be
prepared to take immediate action should flash flood warnings be
issued.

&&

$$
832 
WGUS65 KFGZ 150342
FFAFGZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
842 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

AZZ004>006-009-151200-
/O.EXT.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210715T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake, Keams Canyon, Fredonia, North 
Rim, Grand Canyon Village, Lees Ferry, Supai, Page, and Kaibito
842 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM MST THURSDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of north central Arizona and northeast Arizona, including 
  the following areas, in north central Arizona, Grand Canyon 
  Country, Kaibab Plateau and Marble and Glen Canyons. In northeast 
  Arizona, Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward.

* Until 5 AM MST Thursday.

* Strong thunderstorms on Wednesday produced heavy rainfall over 
  sections of the Watch area. Another line of strong thunderstorms 
  is expected to move into parts of northwestern and north-central 
  Arizona overnight and bring another round of heavy rainfall 
  lasting into early Thursday morning. The Flash Flood Watch has 
  been extended as a result.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

Areas that observed heavy rainfall earlier on Wednesday are at an 
even greater risk for potential flash flooding tonight if heavy 
rainfall occurs.

&&

$$

NL
545 
WGUS65 KFGZ 151018
FFAFGZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
318 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

AZZ004>006-009-151130-
/O.CAN.KFGZ.FF.A.0002.000000T0000Z-210715T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Kaibab Plateau-Marble and Glen Canyons-Grand Canyon Country-
Northeast Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward-
Including the cities of Jacob Lake, Keams Canyon, Fredonia, North 
Rim, Grand Canyon Village, Lees Ferry, Supai, Page, and Kaibito
318 AM MST Thu Jul 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch has been cancelled for portions of north 
central Arizona and northeast Arizona, including the following 
areas, in north central Arizona, Grand Canyon Country, Kaibab 
Plateau and Marble and Glen Canyons. In northeast Arizona, Northeast 
Plateaus and Mesas Hwy 264 Northward.

The Flood Watch is cancelled. Flooding is no longer expected to pose 
a threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

$$

EL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:20 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai3 hr
Jul 13, 7:23 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:06 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 3:24 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:38 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai2 hr
Jul 14, 3:59 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai46 min
Jul 14, 4:24 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai74 min
Jul 14, 4:30 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 4:45 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 5:23 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ37 min
Jul 14, 1:47 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Jul 14, 2:13 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 14, 3:36 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 4:02 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino31 min
Jul 14, 4:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 4:54 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo111 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.