Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 27, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 14, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 14, 2021, 2:57 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 2:57 PM MST (21:57 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 6:00 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 150 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:00 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 10.0 hours before the alert went out and 81 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

405 
WGUS55 KFGZ 142157
FFWFGZ
AZC025-150100-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0027.210714T2157Z-210715T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
257 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 600 PM MST.

* At 254 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain from near Seligman across the Partridge Creek and Big 
  Chino Wash drainages south of Interstate 40. Between 1 and 2 
  inches of rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 
  1 inch are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing 
  or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Seligman and Big Chino Wash at Paulden.

This includes the following highways...
	Business Interstate 40 between mile markers 140 and 141.
	State Route 89 between mile markers 336 and 338...and
	between mile markers 361 and 363.
	Route 66 between mile markers 135 and 139.
	Interstate 40 between mile markers 115 and 144.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3537 11301 3521 11246 3519 11246 3488 11246
      3485 11247 3513 11296

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JJ
1 follow-up statement
126 
WGUS75 KFGZ 150051
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
551 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

AZC025-150101-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0027.000000T0000Z-210715T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
551 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
YAVAPAI COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat at this time. Please continue to heed remaining road 
closures. Additional rainfall is possible tonight so be sure to 
monitor for weather updates.

LAT...LON 3537 11301 3521 11246 3519 11246 3488 11246
      3485 11247 3513 11296

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:20 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai3 hr
Jul 13, 7:23 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:06 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 3:24 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:38 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai2 hr
Jul 14, 3:59 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai46 min
Jul 14, 4:24 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai74 min
Jul 14, 4:30 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 4:45 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 5:23 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ37 min
Jul 14, 9:53 AM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo17 hr
Jul 14, 1:47 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Jul 14, 2:13 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 3:36 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 4:02 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino31 min
Jul 14, 4:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 4:54 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo111 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.