Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 25, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 14, 2021Coconino County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 14, 2021, 2:13 PM MST for Coconino County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. 5 reports came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 2:13 PM MST (21:13 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 5:15 PM MST
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Coconino County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 86 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:12 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 14, 2:30 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD1 Wsw Flagstaff Mall, AZSTREET IMPASSABLE DUE TO FLOODING.
Jul 14, 3:00 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD1 Wsw Flagstaff Mall, AZ2 FEET OF FLOWING WATER AT THE INTERSECTION OF FANNING AND ROUTE 66.
Jul 14, 3:05 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD1 Sw Flagstaff Mall, AZ6 FEET OF WATER RUNNING THROUGH A LOW WATER CROSSING.
Jul 14, 3:27 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD2 Ne Downtown Flagstaff, AZ1-2 FEET OF WATER SWIFTLY MOVING DOWN THE ROAD.
Jul 14, 3:45 PM MSTFLASH FLOOD1 W Flagstaff Mall, AZOVER 2 FEET OF WATER RAPIDLY MOVING DOWN THE ROAD. A PRIUS WAS EASILY SWEPT UP AND TAKEN BY THE WATER.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.2 hours before the alert went out and 14 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 17 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 14 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
17 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-187 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1682 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
19 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
37 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

236 
WGUS55 KFGZ 142113
FFWFGZ
AZC005-150015-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0025.210714T2113Z-210715T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
213 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Coconino County in north central Arizona...

* Until 515 PM MST.

* At 209 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area which includes much of Flagstaff 
  and the Museum Fire scar. Between 0.75 and 1.5 inches of rain have 
  fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are possible 
  in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected to begin 
  shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Flagstaff, Flagstaff Mall, Fort Valley and Little Elden Spring 
  Horse Camp.

This includes the following highways...
	Highway 180 between mile markers 217 and 225.
	U.S. Highway 89 between mile markers 419 and 421.
	Route 66 between mile markers 199 and 203.
	Interstate 40 between mile markers 200 and 203.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Schultz Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Residents in the warned area should shelter in place, and stay away 
from creeks and local drainages. Flood waters and debris from the 
Museum Fire scar will affect Mount Elden Estates, the Paradise and 
Grandview Drive neighborhoods all the way through Sunnyside to Route 
66.

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3528 11164 3529 11157 3521 11154 3520 11168
      3524 11176 3529 11174

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JJ
2 follow-up statements
426 
WGUS75 KFGZ 142210
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
310 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

AZC005-150015-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-210715T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coconino AZ-
310 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 515 PM MST THIS 
AFTERNOON FOR COCONINO COUNTY...

At 307 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated light to moderate showers 
over the Museum Fire scar and the rest of Flagstaff. Between 1 and 2 
inches of rain have fallen over the past hour. Additional rainfall 
amounts of 0.25 to 0.5 inches are possible in the warned area over 
the next hour or two. Flash flooding is already occurring over 
several portions of Flagstaff.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water crossings,
         creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Flagstaff, Flagstaff Mall, Fort Valley and Little Elden Spring 
  Horse Camp.

This includes the following highways...
	Highway 180 between mile markers 217 and 224.
	U.S. Highway 89 between mile markers 419 and 421.
	Route 66 between mile markers 199 and 202.
	Interstate 40 between mile markers 200 and 203.

This includes the following streams and drainages...
  Schultz Creek.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3528 11164 3529 11157 3521 11154 3520 11168
      3524 11176 3529 11174

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

JJ
376 
WGUS75 KFGZ 150006
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
506 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

AZC005-150016-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0025.000000T0000Z-210715T0015Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Coconino AZ-
506 PM MST Wed Jul 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 515 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
COCONINO COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures and use 
caution around any areas with elevated or ponding water or debris 
from flooding.

LAT...LON 3528 11164 3529 11157 3521 11154 3520 11168
      3524 11176 3529 11174

$$

MCT

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 5:20 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai3 hr
Jul 13, 7:23 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:06 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 3:24 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai36 min
Jul 14, 3:38 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai2 hr
Jul 14, 3:59 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai46 min
Jul 14, 4:24 AM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai74 min
Jul 14, 4:30 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 4:45 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 14, 5:23 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ37 min
Jul 14, 9:53 AM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Navajo17 hr
Jul 14, 1:47 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino5 hr
Jul 14, 2:39 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 2:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 14, 3:36 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 14, 4:02 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino31 min
Jul 14, 4:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai111 min
Jul 14, 4:54 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo111 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.