Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 72, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

July 21, 2021Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Jul 21, 2021, 2:36 PM MST for Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 54 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 21, 2021, 2:36 PM MST (21:36 UTC)
Expired
Jul 21, 2021, 3:30 PM MST
In force
54 min
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

County Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Phoenix radar (KIWA), 143 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:38 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 9.6 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 5 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-07-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -11 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
5 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-244 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2438 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
2 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-11 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
11 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

446 
WGUS55 KFGZ 212136
FFWFGZ
AZC025-212230-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0072.210721T2136Z-210721T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
236 PM MST Wed Jul 21 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  The Tenderfoot Fire scar in...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 330 PM MST.

* At 236 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain over the Tenderfoot Fire scar. Between 0.5 and 1 inch 
  of rain has fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.25 to 0.75 
  inches are possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing 
  or expected to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding in and around the Tenderfoot
           Fire scar.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
           the Tenderfoot Fire scar.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Yarnell and Glen Ilah.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 89 between mile markers 277 and 278.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall over the Tenderfoot Fire scar will flood 
neighborhoods next to the scar and highway 89A south of Yarnell.

&&

LAT...LON 3421 11276 3422 11276 3423 11274 3423 11272
      3421 11274 3421 11275

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

EL
2 follow-up statements
134 
WGUS75 KFGZ 212207
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
307 PM MST Wed Jul 21 2021

AZC025-212230-
/O.CON.KFGZ.FF.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210721T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
307 PM MST Wed Jul 21 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TENDERFOOT FIRE SCAR REMAINS IN 
EFFECT UNTIL 330 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

At 306 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated decreasing rainfall rates 
over the Tenderfoot Fire scar, however flooding is likely as water 
drains. Between 0.5 and 1 inch of rain has fallen.

HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms producing
         flash flooding in and around the Tenderfoot Fire scar.

SOURCE...Radar.

IMPACT...Life threatening flash flooding of areas in and around
         the Tenderfoot Fire scar.

Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Yarnell and Glen Ilah.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 89 near mile marker 277.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Heavy rainfall over the Tenderfoot Fire scar will flood 
neighborhoods next to the scar and highway 89A south of Yarnell.

&&

LAT...LON 3421 11276 3422 11276 3423 11274 3423 11272
      3421 11274 3421 11275

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

EL
332 
WGUS75 KFGZ 212223
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
323 PM MST Wed Jul 21 2021

AZC025-212233-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0072.000000T0000Z-210721T2230Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Yavapai AZ-
323 PM MST Wed Jul 21 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR THE TENDERFOOT FIRE SCAR WILL EXPIRE AT 
330 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR YAVAPAI COUNTY...

Flood waters have receded. The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no 
longer expected to pose a threat. Please continue to heed remaining 
road closures.

LAT...LON 3421 11276 3422 11276 3423 11274 3423 11272
      3421 11274 3421 11275

$$

EL

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 20, 6:16 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ29 min
Jul 20, 7:32 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZNavajo28 min
Jul 20, 7:55 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo2 hr
Jul 20, 8:33 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZNavajo117 min
Jul 21, 12:17 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila118 min
Jul 21, 2:38 AM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Gila, Navajo, Yavapai5 days
Jul 21, 10:19 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai26 min
Jul 21, 10:48 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai2 hr
Jul 21, 12:03 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai42 min
Jul 21, 12:13 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai56 min
Jul 21, 12:20 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai114 min
Jul 21, 12:35 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ40 min
Jul 21, 12:47 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino118 min
Jul 21, 12:54 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ36 min
Jul 21, 1:06 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino92 min
Jul 21, 1:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino110 min
Jul 21, 1:27 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai74 min
Jul 21, 1:57 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai48 min
Jul 21, 2:01 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZYavapai119 min
Jul 21, 2:05 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino2 hr
Jul 21, 2:22 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZCoconino3 hr
Jul 21, 2:30 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ45 min
Jul 21, 2:53 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino82 min
Jul 21, 2:57 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai60 min
Jul 21, 2:59 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai60 min
Jul 21, 3:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino26 min
Jul 21, 3:34 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino98 min
Jul 21, 3:49 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Jul 21, 4:35 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino115 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.