Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 209, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 18, 2021Navajo County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 18, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT for Navajo County, Arizona. It was in force for 3 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2021, 3:52 PM MDT (21:52 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2021, 7:00 PM MDT
In force
3 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Flood severity
None

County Navajo County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 193 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 21:56 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Flgstf/Belemont, AZ (KFGZ), launched 12:00Z, 9.9 hours before the alert went out and 163 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 590 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Flgstf/Belemont, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 23 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
590 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
634 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
10 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
23 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
46 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

586 
WGUS55 KFGZ 182152
FFWFGZ
AZC017-190100-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0209.210818T2152Z-210819T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
252 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Navajo County in north central Arizona...

* Until 600 PM MST.

* At 251 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2 inches of rain 
  have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 0.5 to 1 inch are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Flash flooding caused by thunderstorms.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Flash flooding of low-water crossings, creeks,
           normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Hard Rock, Forest Lake Chapter House, Navajo Reservation, Hopi 
  Reservation, Hotevilla and Kykotsmovi Village.

This includes the following highways...
	State Route 264 between mile markers 362 and 374.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

Flooding of washes and creeks will occur, some dirt roads will 
become muddy and impassable. Paved roads and underpasses could 
become flooded as well.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

&&

LAT...LON 3644 11028 3636 11010 3583 11063 3598 11073
      3615 11068

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED

$$

DB
1 follow-up statement
357 
WGUS75 KFGZ 190053
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
553 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

AZC017-190103-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0209.000000T0000Z-210819T0100Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Navajo AZ-
553 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 6 PM MST THIS EVENING FOR 
NAVAJO COUNTY...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water 
crossings which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt 
to cross flooded roads. Find an alternate route. Please continue to 
heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MST for portions 
of east central Arizona, north central Arizona, northeast Arizona 
and west central Arizona.

LAT...LON 3644 11028 3636 11010 3583 11063 3598 11073
      3615 11068

$$

DB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 6:02 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 7:23 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino2 hr
Aug 17, 9:30 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino2 hr
Aug 17, 9:42 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 17, 10:07 PM MDTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Gila, Navajo, Yavapai26 hr
Aug 17, 11:42 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino11 hr
Aug 18, 9:43 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ47 min
Aug 18, 10:29 AM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 18, 10:44 AM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila7 hr
Aug 18, 11:37 AM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ38 min
Aug 18, 11:47 AM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 12:11 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ34 min
Aug 18, 12:54 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ36 min
Aug 18, 1:01 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ44 min
Aug 18, 1:07 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Aug 18, 1:24 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 1:31 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 1:51 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila, Yavapai4 hr
Aug 18, 2:05 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Yavapai40 min
Aug 18, 2:09 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 18, 2:37 PM MDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino38 min
Aug 18, 2:47 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino118 min
Aug 18, 3:19 PM MDTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZNavajo3 hr
Aug 18, 3:44 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai31 min
Aug 18, 4:32 PM MDTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 4:45 PM MDTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ30 min
Aug 18, 5:12 PM MDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.