Alert archive / Arizona / Flash Flood Warnings in 2021

Flash Flood Warning 206, NWS Flagstaff, AZ

August 18, 2021Gila County, Yavapai County, Arizona

NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued this flash flood warning at Aug 18, 2021, 12:51 PM MST for Gila County, Yavapai County, Arizona. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 18, 2021, 12:51 PM MST (19:51 UTC)
Expired
Aug 18, 2021, 4:45 PM MST
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Area
Storm-based polygon
Damage threat
Considerable
Flood severity
None

Counties Gila County, AZ, Yavapai County, AZ

The radar

The Flagstaff radar (KFSX), 71 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:51 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Phoenix, AZ (KPSR), launched 12:00Z, 7.9 hours before the alert went out and 78 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1239 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Phoenix, AZ at 12:00Z on 2021-08-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 52 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1239 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-34 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1144 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
52 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
40 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

945 
WGUS55 KFGZ 181951
FFWFGZ
AZC007-025-182345-
/O.NEW.KFGZ.FF.W.0206.210818T1951Z-210818T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Flash Flood Warning
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
1251 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

The National Weather Service in Flagstaff has issued a

* Flash Flood Warning for...
  Gila County in east central Arizona...
  Yavapai County in west central Arizona...

* Until 445 PM MST.

* At 1250 PM MST, Doppler radar indicated thunderstorms producing 
  heavy rain across the warned area. Between 1 and 2.5 inches of 
  rain have fallen. Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 2 inches are 
  possible in the warned area. Flash flooding is ongoing or expected 
  to begin shortly.

  HAZARD...Life-threatening flash flooding. Thunderstorms
           producing flash flooding.

  SOURCE...Radar.

  IMPACT...Life-threatening flash flooding of low-water
           crossings, creeks, normally dry washes and roads.

* Some locations that will experience flash flooding include...
  Childs Power Plant and Horseshoe Reservoir.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Turn around, don't drown when encountering flooded roads. Most flood 
deaths occur in vehicles.

In hilly or mountainous terrain, there are many low water crossings 
which will become dangerous in heavy rain. Do not attempt to cross 
flooded roads. Find an alternate route.

Remain alert for flooding even in locations not receiving rain. 
Normally dry washes, slot canyons and creeks can become raging 
killer currents in a matter of minutes, even from distant rainfall.

Avoid recently burned areas and downstream locations. 
Life-threatening flooding of creeks, roads and normally dry washes 
will occur. Rockslides and mudslides will likely occur in steep 
terrain.

&&

LAT...LON 3401 11181 3437 11174 3442 11157 3443 11156
      3424 11153 3400 11166 3400 11168 3400 11169
      3400 11170 3400 11171 3400 11172 3400 11173
      3400 11174 3400 11175 3401 11179

FLASH FLOOD...RADAR INDICATED
FLASH FLOOD DAMAGE THREAT...CONSIDERABLE

$$

EL
1 follow-up statement
749 
WGUS75 KFGZ 182340
FFSFGZ

Flash Flood Statement
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
440 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

AZC007-025-182350-
/O.EXP.KFGZ.FF.W.0206.000000T0000Z-210818T2345Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Gila AZ-Yavapai AZ-
440 PM MST Wed Aug 18 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL EXPIRE AT 445 PM MST THIS AFTERNOON FOR 
GILA AND YAVAPAI COUNTIES...

The heavy rain has ended. Flooding is no longer expected to pose a 
threat. Please continue to heed remaining road closures.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MST Wednesday 
for portions of east central Arizona, north central Arizona, 
northeast Arizona and west central Arizona.

A Flash Flood Watch remains in effect until 1100 PM MST Wednesday 
for a portion of west central Arizona.

LAT...LON 3401 11181 3437 11174 3442 11157 3443 11156
      3424 11153 3400 11166 3400 11168 3400 11169
      3400 11170 3400 11171 3400 11172 3400 11173
      3400 11174 3400 11175 3401 11179

$$

DB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Flagstaff, AZ issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 17, 5:02 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 17, 6:23 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino2 hr
Aug 17, 8:30 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino2 hr
Aug 17, 8:42 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino33 min
Aug 17, 9:07 PM MSTFlash Flood WatchFGZApache, Coconino, Gila, Navajo, Yavapai26 hr
Aug 17, 10:42 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino11 hr
Aug 18, 8:43 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ47 min
Aug 18, 9:29 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 18, 9:44 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZGila7 hr
Aug 18, 10:37 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ38 min
Aug 18, 10:47 AM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 11:11 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ34 min
Aug 18, 11:54 AM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ36 min
Aug 18, 12:01 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ44 min
Aug 18, 12:07 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZApache, Navajo3 hr
Aug 18, 12:24 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 12:31 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 1:05 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZGila, Yavapai40 min
Aug 18, 1:09 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino3 hr
Aug 18, 1:37 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZCoconino38 min
Aug 18, 1:47 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZCoconino118 min
Aug 18, 2:19 PM MSTAreal Flood AdvisoryFGZNavajo3 hr
Aug 18, 2:44 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZYavapai31 min
Aug 18, 2:52 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZNavajo3 hr
Aug 18, 3:32 PM MSTFlash Flood WarningFGZCoconino, Yavapai3 hr
Aug 18, 3:45 PM MSTSpecial Weather StatementFGZ30 min
Aug 18, 4:12 PM MSTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatFGZYavapai3 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Arizona, 2021Every flash flood warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.