Alert archive / Texas / Areal Flood Advisories in 2021

Areal Flood Advisory 43, NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

May 15, 2021Uvalde County, Texas

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued this areal flood advisory at May 15, 2021, 5:26 PM CDT for Uvalde County, Texas. It was in force for 94 min.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
May 15, 2021, 5:26 PM CDT (22:26 UTC)
Expired
May 15, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
In force
94 min
Issued by
NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX
Area
Storm-based polygon

County Uvalde County, TX

The radar

The Laughlin AFB radar (KDFX), 51 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:28 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Del Rio, TX (KDRT), launched 12:00Z, 10.4 hours before the alert went out and 104 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 660 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Del Rio, TX at 12:00Z on 2021-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 34 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
660 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-30 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
602 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
34 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
178 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this areal flood advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before this areal flood advisory went out at May 15, 4:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 15, 4:20 PM CDT, 1 hour 6 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, May 15, 4:42 AM CDT, 12 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
442 AM CDT Sat May 15 2021

TXZ171>173-183>194-202>209-217>225-228-160945-
Llano-Burnet-Williamson-Val Verde-Edwards-Real-Kerr-Bandera-
Gillespie-Kendall-Blanco-Hays-Travis-Bastrop-Lee-Kinney-Uvalde-
Medina-Bexar-Comal-Guadalupe-Caldwell-Fayette-Maverick-Zavala-
Frio-Atascosa-Wilson-Karnes-Gonzales-De Witt-Lavaca-Dimmit-
442 AM CDT Sat May 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for South-Central Texas..

.DAY ONE...Today And Tonight.

There is a chance for strong to severe thunderstorms today for
areas generally along and west of a Llano to Cuero line. The
chance for severe weather increases slightly for areas along and
west of a Kerrville to Castroville to Cotulla line. Hail and high
winds are the main severe weather concerns. In addition, locally
heavy rainfall is possible for areas west of a Llano to Cuero
line.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday.

There is a low chance for strong to severe thunderstorms on
Sunday across most of south central Texas. Hail and high winds
are the main severe weather concerns. Some locally heavy downpours
are also possible.

For Monday through Wednesday, we could see several rounds of
showers and thunderstorms across south central Texas. Strong to
severe thunderstorms along with locally heavy rainfall are
possible across most of the region.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not anticipated.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 15, 2:57 PM CDT, 2 hours 29 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
257 PM CDT SAT MAY 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0253 PM     FLASH FLOOD      2 NNE UVALDE            29.24N 99.77W
05/15/2021                   UVALDE             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED CITY STREETS
            CLOSURES DUE TO FLASH FLOODING INCLUDING FM
            3447 AND 2369.

&&

OB
Local storm report, May 15, 3:02 PM CDT, 2 hours 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
302 PM CDT SAT MAY 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0258 PM     FLASH FLOOD      8 S SABINAL             29.20N 99.46W
05/15/2021                   UVALDE             TX   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            LAW ENFORCEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING
            OCCURRING WITH STREET CLOSURES ALONG 187
            SOUTH OF SABINAL AND COYOTE RANCH RD. RAIN
            GAUGE NEARBY THIS LOCATION HAS MEASURED 6.59
            INCHES LAST 4 HOURS.

&&

OB
Special weather statement, May 15, 3:31 PM CDT, 1 hour 55 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
331 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

TXZ220-152115-
Atascosa TX-
331 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHWESTERN ATASCOSA COUNTY
UNTIL 415 PM CDT...

At 331 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Christine, moving northeast at 15 mph.

Penny size hail will be possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Pleasanton, Jourdanton and Christine.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

&&

LAT...LON 2865 9862 2881 9872 2901 9849 2877 9830
TIME...MOT...LOC 2031Z 240DEG 12KT 2877 9860

RUNYEN
Special weather statement, May 15, 4:08 PM CDT, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
408 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

TXZ220-152200-
Atascosa TX-
408 PM CDT Sat May 15 2021

...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHEASTERN ATASCOSA COUNTY
UNTIL 500 PM CDT...

At 407 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Christine, moving east at 15 mph.

Half inch hail and winds in excess of 40 mph will be possible with
this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Christine, Campbellton, Peggy and Fashing.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm, and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

&&

LAT...LON 2864 9834 2864 9853 2865 9856 2883 9854
      2885 9815 2879 9810 2861 9833
TIME...MOT...LOC 2107Z 285DEG 14KT 2872 9844

RUNYEN

The office that day

Everything else NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
May 15, 12:20 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXUvalde3 hr
May 15, 12:55 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXUvalde4 hr
May 15, 1:30 PM CDTFlash Flood Warning Considerable damage threatEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde4 hr
May 15, 3:24 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFrio, Zavala2 hr
May 15, 3:31 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXAtascosa44 min
May 15, 3:51 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa3 hr
May 15, 4:08 PM CDTSpecial Weather StatementEWXAtascosa52 min
May 15, 4:17 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXAtascosa3 hr
May 15, 5:35 PM CDTAreal Flood AdvisoryEWXFrio, Medina, Uvalde, Zavala115 min

Nearby

Areal Flood Advisories in Texas, 2021Every areal flood advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.