Flash Flood Watch 7, NWS El Paso, TX

442 
WGUS64 KEPZ 130548
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1148 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-131315-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210814T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
1148 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous 
  thunderstorms Friday through at Saturday morning. These 
  thunderstorms will be capable of producing very heavy rain in 
  brief amount of time. Wide spread storm totals of 2 to 4 inches 
  with isolated heavier amounts will be possible.

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

DH

067 
WGUS64 KEPZ 131142
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
542 AM MDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.Abundant moisture will combine with a weak upper level storm system 
to develop numerous thunderstorms across the region through at least 
Saturday morning. These thunderstorms will be very efficient rain 
producers and they will be slow moving. This combination will lead 
to heavy rain and flash flooding. Thunderstorms are anticipated to 
be rather widespread in coverage Friday afternoon through Saturday 
morning.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-132200-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210814T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
542 AM MDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous 
  thunderstorms Friday through at least Saturday morning. These 
  thunderstorms will be capable of producing very heavy rain in a
  brief amount of time. Wide spread storm totals of 2 to 4 inches 
  with isolated heavier amounts will be possible.

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

JD

924 
WGUS64 KEPZ 132008
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
208 PM MDT Fri Aug 13 2021

.Abundant moisture will combine with a weak upper level storm
system to develop numerous thunderstorms across the region
through at least Saturday evening. These thunderstorms will be 
very efficient rain producers and they will be slow moving. This 
combination will lead to heavy rain and flash flooding. 
Thunderstorms are anticipated to be rather widespread in coverage 
this afternoon through Saturday morning.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-141200-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210815T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila Hot Springs, 
Mule Creek, Silver City, Lake Roberts, Kingston, Fort Bayard, 
Mimbres, Hurley, Faywood, Grant County Airport, Lordsburg, 
Red Rock, Virden, Antelope Wells, Animas, Hachita, Cloverdale, 
Deming, Columbus, Hillsboro, Winston, Truth Or Consequences, 
Derry, Spaceport, Garfield, Hatch, Radium Springs, Las Cruces, 
Vado, Sunland Park, Alamogordo, Tularosa, 
White Sands National Park, Chaparral, Orogrande, 
White Sands Range Headquarters, Mescalero, Timberon, 
Mountain Park, Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, 
Pinon, Sacramento, Crow Flats, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, 
Upper Valley, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, 
Hueco Tanks, Loma Linda, Cornudas, Dell City, Salt Flat, 
Sierra Blanca, Fabens, Fort Hancock, Tornillo, 
and Indian Hot Springs
208 PM MDT Fri Aug 13 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black 
  Range Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana 
  County, Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, 
  Sierra County Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, 
  Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila 
  Highlands/Black Range, Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest 
  Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, Southwest Desert/Mimbres 
  Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper Gila River Valley, and 
  West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet. In southwest 
  Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern Hudspeth 
  Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El 
  Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands, and 
  Western El Paso County. 

* Through Saturday evening

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous
  thunderstorms through at least Saturday evening. These
  thunderstorms will be capable of producing very heavy rain in a
  brief amount of time. Widespread storm totals of 2 to 4 inches 
  with isolated heavier amounts will be possible. 

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
26

869 
WGUS64 KEPZ 141216
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
616 AM MDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.Abundant moisture will combine with a weak upper level storm system 
to develop numerous thunderstorms across the region again today and 
extending through this evening. These thunderstorms will be very 
efficient rain producers and they will be slow moving. In addition, 
many locations have already had heavy rain leading to saturated 
ground. This combination will lead to heavy rain and flash flooding. 
Thunderstorms are anticipated to be rather widespread in coverage 
Friday afternoon through Saturday morning.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-142215-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210815T0600Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
616 AM MDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS EVENING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through this evening.

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous 
  thunderstorms Friday through at least Saturday morning. These 
  thunderstorms will be capable of producing very heavy rain in a
  brief amount of time. Wide spread storm totals of 2 to 4 inches 
  with isolated heavier amounts will be possible.

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

TAB

793 
WGUS64 KEPZ 142032
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
232 PM MDT Sat Aug 14 2021

.Abundant moisture will combine with a weak upper level trough to
produce numerous showers and thunderstorms across the region 
again through Sunday afternoon. These thunderstorms will be very 
efficient rain producers and they will be slow moving. In 
addition, many locations have already had heavy rain leading to 
saturated ground. This combination will lead a continued threat
for flash flooding. 

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-151200-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210816T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Cliff, Buckhorn, Gila Hot Springs, 
Mule Creek, Silver City, Lake Roberts, Kingston, Fort Bayard, 
Mimbres, Hurley, Faywood, Grant County Airport, Lordsburg, 
Red Rock, Virden, Antelope Wells, Animas, Hachita, Cloverdale, 
Deming, Columbus, Hillsboro, Winston, Truth Or Consequences, 
Derry, Spaceport, Garfield, Hatch, Radium Springs, Las Cruces, 
Vado, Sunland Park, Alamogordo, Tularosa, 
White Sands National Park, Chaparral, Orogrande, 
White Sands Range Headquarters, Mescalero, Timberon, 
Mountain Park, Cloudcroft, Sunspot, Apache Summit, Mayhill, 
Pinon, Sacramento, Crow Flats, Downtown El Paso, West El Paso, 
Upper Valley, East and Northeast El Paso, Socorro, Fort Bliss, 
Hueco Tanks, Loma Linda, Cornudas, Dell City, Salt Flat, 
Sierra Blanca, Fabens, Fort Hancock, Tornillo, 
and Indian Hot Springs
232 PM MDT Sat Aug 14 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black 
  Range Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana 
  County, Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, 
  Sierra County Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, 
  Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila 
  Highlands/Black Range, Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest 
  Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, Southwest Desert/Mimbres 
  Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper Gila River Valley, and 
  West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet. In southwest 
  Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern Hudspeth 
  Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El 
  Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands, and 
  Western El Paso County. 

* Through Sunday afternoon

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous
  thunderstorms through Sunday afternoon. These thunderstorms will
  be capable of producing very heavy rain in a brief amount of
  time. Widespread storm totals of 1 to 4 inches with isolated 
  heavier amounts will be possible. 

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
26

818 
WGUS64 KEPZ 151156
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
556 AM MDT Sun Aug 15 2021

.Abundant moisture will combine with a weak upper level storm system 
to develop numerous thunderstorms across the region again today. 
These showers and thunderstorms will be very efficient rain 
producers and they will be slow moving. In addition, many locations 
have already had heavy rain leading to saturated ground. This 
combination will lead to heavy rain and flash flooding. 
Thunderstorms are anticipated to be rather widespread in coverage. 
Showers and thunderstorms will diminish this evening as drier air 
moves in from the north.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-160000-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210816T0000Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
556 AM MDT Sun Aug 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through this afternoon.

* Abundant moisture will help fuel scattered to numerous showers and 
  thunderstorms through this afternoon. Thunderstorms will be 
  capable of producing very heavy rain in a   brief amount of time. 
  Wide spread storm totals of 1 to 3 inches with isolated heavier 
  amounts will be possible.

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

GL

179 
WGUS64 KEPZ 152116
FFAEPZ

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
316 PM MDT Sun Aug 15 2021

.Abundant moisture coupled with an incoming upper level trough will 
bring more heavy rain chances for the area Monday afternoon. The 
highest chance for heavy precipitation seems to be located in the 
Gila region. Any showers or thunderstorms that do form will be very 
efficient rain makers and will be slow moving leading to isolated 
flooding. Additionally, due to over saturated soils from previous 
heavy rainfall, many areas over the lowlands will be sensitive to 
any accumulating precipitation which will quickly lead to flash 
flooding.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-161200-
/O.EXT.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210817T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
316 PM MDT Sun Aug 15 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH EARLY TUESDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through late Monday night.

* The threat for flash flooding through this evening will be minimal 
  and will mainly be confined to areas near the International 
  Border. Starting Monday afternoon, as the next upper level trough 
  moves in, storms will start to develop over the higher terrain in 
  the afternoon and will begin to push into the lowlands by the 
  evening hours. Due to recent heavy rains, flash flooding will 
  continue to be a possibility as some storms will be capable 1-2" 
  of rainfall in an hour.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KS

881 
WGUS64 KEPZ 161149
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
549 AM MDT Mon Aug 16 2021

.Abundant moisture coupled with an incoming upper level trough will 
bring more heavy rain chances for the area Monday afternoon and 
night. The highest chance for heavy precipitation seems to be 
located in the Gila region. Any showers or thunderstorms that do 
form will be very efficient rain makers and will be slow moving 
leading to isolated flooding. Additionally, due to over saturated 
soils from previous heavy rainfall, many areas over the lowlands 
will be sensitive to any accumulating precipitation which will 
quickly lead to flash flooding.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-162215-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210817T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
549 AM MDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through late tonight.

* The threat for flash flooding through tonight will be greatest for 
  the Gila Region and for areas along the International Border. 
  However, strong thunderstorms could produce localized flash 
  flooding anywhere due to heavy rain potential.  Due to recent 
  heavy rains, flash flooding will continue to be a possibility as 
  some storms will be capable 1-2" of rainfall in an hour.

* Flooding of low water crossings will be likely. Flooding of 
  residences and other property near flood prone areas will be 
  possible. Remember, turn around don't drown.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

GL

454 
WGUS64 KEPZ 162051
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
251 PM MDT Mon Aug 16 2021

.An incoming upper level trough will bring more heavy rain chances 
for the area through the evening. The highest chance for heavy 
precipitation will be located in the Gila region. Thunderstorms that 
do form will be very efficient rain makers and will be slow moving 
leading to isolated flooding. Additionally, due to over saturated 
soils from previous heavy rainfall, many areas over the lowlands 
will be sensitive to any accumulating precipitation which will 
quickly lead to flash flooding.

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-170900-
/O.CON.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210817T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
251 PM MDT Mon Aug 16 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of New Mexico and southwest Texas, including the 
  following areas, in New Mexico, Central Tularosa Basin, East 
  Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, Eastern Black Range 
  Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern Dona Ana County, 
  Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, Sierra County 
  Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, Southern Gila 
  Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range, 
  Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, 
  Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper 
  Gila River Valley and West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 
  Feet. In southwest Texas, Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern 
  Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern 
  Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, Southern Hudspeth Highlands and 
  Western El Paso County.

* Through late tonight.

* The threat for flash flooding through tonight will be greatest for 
  the Gila Region and for areas along the International Border. 
  However, strong thunderstorms could produce localized flash 
  flooding anywhere due to heavy rain potential.  Due to recent 
  heavy rains, flash flooding will continue to be a possibility as 
  some storms will be capable 1-2" of rainfall in an hour.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

KS

656 
WGUS64 KEPZ 170839
FFAEPZ

Flood Watch
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
239 AM MDT Tue Aug 17 2021

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-170945-
/O.EXP.KEPZ.FF.A.0007.000000T0000Z-210817T0900Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-Southern
Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River
Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest
Desert/Mimbres Basin-Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County
Lakes-Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla
Valley-Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-West Slopes
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Sacramento Mountains Above
7500 Feet-East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero
Mesa-Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-Northern
Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-Southern Hudspeth
Highlands-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth
Counties-Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
Including the cities of Indian Hot Springs, Spaceport, Winston, 
Cornudas, Gila Hot Springs, Derry, Sierra Blanca, Animas, Antelope 
Wells, Vado, Fort Bayard, Alamogordo, Cloudcroft, Mescalero, Hatch, 
Fabens, Tornillo, Hillsboro, Virden, Cloverdale, Columbus, Salt 
Flat, Mayhill, Lake Roberts, Radium Springs, Sacramento, Timberon, 
Sunspot, Truth Or Consequences, West El Paso, Apache Summit, Pinon, 
Mountain Park, Upper Valley, Cliff, Grant County Airport, East and 
Northeast El Paso, Dell City, Loma Linda, Hurley, Chaparral, 
Tularosa, Fort Bliss, Faywood, White Sands Range Headquarters, 
Buckhorn, Crow Flats, Mimbres, Las Cruces, White Sands National 
Park, Hueco Tanks, Lordsburg, Fort Hancock, Kingston, Deming, Silver 
City, Garfield, Socorro, Mule Creek, Orogrande, Red Rock, Hachita, 
Sunland Park, and Downtown El Paso
239 AM MDT Tue Aug 17 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH WILL EXPIRE AT 3 AM MDT EARLY THIS MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of New Mexico and southwest 
Texas, including the following areas, in New Mexico, Central 
Tularosa Basin, East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet, 
Eastern Black Range Foothills, Lowlands of the Bootheel, Northern 
Dona Ana County, Otero Mesa, Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet, 
Sierra County Lakes, Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley, 
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley, Southern Gila 
Highlands/Black Range, Southern Tularosa Basin, Southwest 
Desert/Lower Gila River Valley, Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin, 
Uplands of the Bootheel, Upper Gila River Valley and West Slopes 
Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet. In southwest Texas, 
Eastern/Central El Paso County, Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco 
Mountains, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth 
Counties, Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County, Salt Basin, 
Southern Hudspeth Highlands and Western El Paso County will expire 
at 3 AM MDT early this morning.

The threat for isolated flash flooding will remain, especially if a 
storm moves over areas that have received excessive rainfall over 
the past week. Nevertheless, widespread flash flooding is not 
expected.

$$

AB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
146 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Abundant moisture will combine with light winds and scattered to
numerous thunderstorms to give us the potential for heavy rain
across the area tonight through Saturday. Rainfall totals of two
to four inches will be possible which could lead to some flash
flooding. A flash flood watch is in effect for today through
Saturday. High temperatures for Friday through the weekend will
run around 10 degrees below average. We will see a little warmer
temperatures and a little less chances for rain for the start of
next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
.SHORT TERM...Thursday and Thursday night...
Abundant monsoonal moisture continues to flow into the Borderland
from the south. This morning's sounding indicated near 1.6 inches
Precipitable Water values, indicative of a very moist atmosphere
that are very much above normal values of 1.2 inches. Models
indicate values between 1.45 and 1.6" will continue over the region
this afternoon through Friday. These values all point to a very wet
pattern of numerous showers and thunderstorms occurring over the
region this afternoon through tonight and into tomorrow. Heavy
rainfall with a potential for flash flooding is likely. An area wide
flash flood watch has been issued for potential flooding along
drainages, arroyos, small streams, low water crossings and poorly
drained low lying areas.

An upper level low pressure system will aid convective development
through Friday.  Thunderstorms are already developing this afternoon
with further development expected. While rain amounts will vary due
to the convective nature of storms, periods of moderate to heavy
rainfall are expected with these storms. Moist and unstable
conditions will allow thunderstorm development to continue overnight
and into the early morning hours.

Deep cloud cover will limit temperatures in the afternoon to a few
degrees below normal and keep temperatures at or slightly above
normal overnight.  Winds away from thunderstorms will be generally
light and from the south and southwest.

&&

.LONG TERM...
By Friday, the weak inverted trough will be centered almost
directly over southern New Mexico. This will continue to threat
for scattered to numerous thunderstorms. Precipitable water values
(PW's) will continue to run well above average, so the threat for
heavy rain and flash flooding will continue for Friday, Friday
night and into Saturday. Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches will be
possible over the next 3 days. By Sunday the GFS drifts the
inverted trough to our south and west over northern Mexico, but
the ECMWF is slower with the trough, so the threat of heavy rain
could continue into Sunday for locations west of the Rio Grande.
For Monday and Tuesday of next week we will see some drier air
move into the area which will lower our rain chances, but we will
still have enough moisture to give us a continued chance for
afternoon and evening thunderstorms (a more standard weather
pattern for monsoon season). For the middle of next week, the
extended models are indicating that the upper level ridge will
center itself over the gulf coast and the circulation around the
ridge will again bring a surge of moisture up from the south, so
we will see increased rain chance for the middle part of next
week.

Looking at high temperatures, our below average high temperatures
will continue on Saturday and Sunday. High temperatures both days
will run around 10 degrees below average. For the first of next
week, we will see high temperatures creep a little higher, but
they will still run a few degrees below average. But if the
extended models are correct, we will probably need to trend those
high temperatures for the middle of next week a little lower.

&&

.AVIATION...18Z TAF CYCLE...
Increasing rain showers and thunderstorms this afternoon and
evening. It will be mainly VFR conditions at all TAF Sites with
showers and thunderstorms occurring over the mountains through
21Z. Heavy rain producing thunderstorms will increase in coverage
into the lowlands by 21z and will likely impact TAF sites with
low ceilings and reduced visibility from heavy rain from 21Z
through 06Z. Winds will be light generally out of the SW, becoming
gusty and erratic near storms. Ceilings will lower to MVFR ranges
in heavy showers/storms 21-06Z.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Abundant atmospheric moisture is in place for a wet pattern of
showers and thunderstorms for the next few days.  Low fire weather
concerns are expected through the weekend with widespread coverage
of moderate to heavy rain amounts possible. There is a potential for
flash flooding along drainages and arroyos, especially near recent
burn scars. Min RH today will only drop to the mid 30s in the driest
places, and this is the lowest RH drops through Sunday.  Vent rates
will range poor to fair while winds generally stay at or below ten
mph with a few gusts to 20.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                 68  81  67  79 /  80  80  80  70
Sierra Blanca           64  75  62  75 /  70  70  60  60
Las Cruces              65  79  64  78 /  70  80  80  70
Alamogordo              65  81  64  77 /  70  80  80  70
Cloudcroft              49  58  48  56 /  70  90  80  80
Truth or Consequences   66  81  64  76 /  70  80  80  70
Silver City             60  76  59  70 /  70  90  90  80
Deming                  66  82  65  78 /  70  80  90  80
Lordsburg               66  83  65  78 /  60  80  80  80
West El Paso Metro      68  82  68  80 /  80  80  80  70
Dell City               66  81  65  80 /  70  80  70  60
Fort Hancock            67  83  67  83 /  70  70  70  60
Loma Linda              62  73  62  73 /  80  80  80  70
Fabens                  67  80  67  80 /  80  80  80  60
Santa Teresa            66  79  65  78 /  80  80  80  70
White Sands HQ          67  78  66  77 /  80  80  80  70
Jornada Range           65  78  65  75 /  70  80  80  70
Hatch                   65  81  65  76 /  70  80  80  70
Columbus                67  81  66  77 /  70  80  90  70
Orogrande               65  78  65  77 /  80  80  80  70
Mayhill                 55  68  54  64 /  70  90  80  70
Mescalero               54  69  53  66 /  70  90  80  80
Timberon                52  66  52  63 /  70  90  80  70
Winston                 55  75  55  70 /  70  80  80  80
Hillsboro               62  78  61  73 /  70  80  80  80
Spaceport               65  80  63  75 /  70  80  80  70
Lake Roberts            55  77  55  72 /  70  90  80  80
Hurley                  60  78  59  74 /  70  80  80  80
Cliff                   60  86  59  80 /  60  80  80  80
Mule Creek              61  81  61  76 /  60  80  80  80
Faywood                 62  77  61  72 /  70  80  80  80
Animas                  64  83  63  78 /  60  80  90  80
Hachita                 64  81  62  75 /  60  80  90  80
Antelope Wells          64  82  63  77 /  60  80  90  80
Cloverdale              60  76  60  73 /  70  80  90  80

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for NMZ401>417.

TX...Flood Watch through Saturday morning for TXZ418>424.

&&

04-Lundeen/15/04

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service El Paso TX/Santa Teresa NM
1201 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021

NMZ401>417-TXZ418>424-131815-
Upper Gila River Valley-Southern Gila Highlands/Black Range-
Southern Gila Foothills/Mimbres Valley-
Southwest Desert/Lower Gila River Valley-Lowlands of the Bootheel-
Uplands of the Bootheel-Southwest Desert/Mimbres Basin-
Eastern Black Range Foothills-Sierra County Lakes-
Northern Dona Ana County-Southern Dona Ana County/Mesilla Valley-
Central Tularosa Basin-Southern Tularosa Basin-
West Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-
Sacramento Mountains Above 7500 Feet-
East Slopes Sacramento Mountains Below 7500 Feet-Otero Mesa-
Western El Paso County-Eastern/Central El Paso County-
Northern Hudspeth Highlands/Hueco Mountains-Salt Basin-
Southern Hudspeth Highlands-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern El Paso/Western Hudspeth Counties-
Rio Grande Valley of Eastern Hudspeth County-
1201 PM MDT Thu Aug 12 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of south central
New Mexico, southwest New Mexico, and southwest Texas.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight
We have an active weather pattern for the next few days. For this
afternoon and evening, we will see scattered to numerous
thunderstorms. These storms will be slow moving and capable of
producing very heavy rain in a short amount of time which could
lead to flash flooding. Wide spread rainfall totals of 2 to 4
inches of rain with isolated higher amounts will be possible this
afternoon through at least Saturday morning. Flash flooding of low
water crossings will be likely and flooding of home and other
property near poorly drained areas will be possible.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday
The threat for heavy rain and flash flooding will continue on
Friday and Saturday. For Sunday through the start of next week, we
will see lower rain chances and the threat for flash flooding will
diminish some, but not go away completely.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotters should report heavy rain and flash flooding to local law
enforcement and to the NWS office via our 800 spotter number or
via Twitter using our username @NWSElPaso