Alert archive / Missouri / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Kansas City, MO

November 10, 2021Andrew County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this special weather statement at Nov 10, 2021, 6:07 PM CST for Andrew County, Missouri. It was in force for 23 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Nov 10, 2021, 6:07 PM CST (00:07 UTC)
Expired
Nov 10, 2021, 6:30 PM CST
In force
23 min
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Hail
0.50 in
Wind
40

County Andrew County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 144 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 00:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Omaha, NE (KOAX), launched 00:00Z, 0.1 hours before the alert went out and 194 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-11-11Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-11-11The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -79 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
503 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
41 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-79 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Nov 10, 5:19 PM CST, 48 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 10, 5:19 PM CST, 48 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
519 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

.Discussion...
Issued at 327 PM CST WED NOV 10 2021

Key Messages:

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms will move east across the
area this afternoon and evening, with a marginal threat for severe
weather remaining.

- Cool and windy conditions expected for the remainder of the work
week.

As of early this afternoon, convection has initiated over eastern
Kansas and raced northeastward, moving across portions of northwest
Missouri. A surface warm front has lifted northward to near the Iowa
border, providing an expansive warm sector characterized by
dewpoints in the mid 50s to near 60. Initial concern was the
potential for QLCS-type structures interacting with the backed
surface flow along the warm front, but much of the warm frontal
region within our forecast area has been stabilized. In the wake of
early afternoon convection, portions of far northeast Kansas into
northwest Missouri are unlikely to destabilize much further in
advance of an approaching cold front. Elsewhere, marginal
instability remains in place ahead of the cold front, currently
located from near MHK southward through the Flint Hills. Additional
thunderstorms have developed over the past hour along this boundary,
and convection is expected to expand in coverage during the
remainder of the afternoon/evening. Overall severe weather threat
remains somewhat conditional, especially as inhibition increases
this evening and instability gradually wanes. Will continue SVR
Watch 546 for the time being and monitor future trends. By this
evening, the aforementioned showers and thunderstorms will move
eastward into the forecast area, and likely exit the CWA by early
Thursday morning. Severe weather is unlikely with eastern extent,
generally points east of the KC Metro. Average rainfall totals
between 0.50-1.00" are anticipated, leading to no widespread
flooding concerns.

Clouds will clear with mostly sunny skies on Thursday. Periods of
gusty northwest winds up to 30 mph are possible both Thursday and
Friday. The end of the week into the weekend will feature northwest
flow aloft, with below normal temperatures occurring during the
period. Saturday morning is expected to be the coldest low
temperatures in the extended, with readings in the middle to upper
20s. Forecast through the weekend is currently dry, but model spread
has become fairly large for Sunday, where some solutions show a
stronger piece of energy dropping southeast across the CWA,
resulting in some precipitation potential.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Thursday Evening)
Issued at 519 PM CST WED NOV 10 2021

Timing the broken line of storms into the terminals gets them into
the between 00Z and 01Z and out of the area between 02Z and 03Z.
Will see pockets of MVFR to possibly IFR as the storms move
through. Winds shift to the west and northwest behind the front
with conditions eventually becoming VFR as skies clear after 06Z.
Winds should remain gusty through the remainder of the forecast.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...Blair
Aviation...CDB
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 10, 5:13 AM CST, 12 hours 54 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
513 AM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ011>013-020-021-028-029-037-043-111115-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Buchanan-Clinton-Platte-Clay-Jackson-Cass-
513 AM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon into early
this evening. A few storms may be strong and capable of producing
strong wind gusts up to 65 mph, small hail or perhaps a brief
tornado.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong northwest winds are expected Thursday and Friday. Wind gusts
of 30-35 mph can be expected each day.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

MOZ001>008-014>017-022>025-030>033-038>040-044>046-053-054-111115-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Ray-
Carroll-Chariton-Randolph-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
513 AM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Showers and thunderstorms are expected today into tonight. These
storms are not expected to be severe.

More
detailed information can be accessed at...
https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday

Strong northwest winds are expected Thursday and Friday. Wind gusts
of 30-35 mph can be expected each day.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Nov 10, 2:40 PM CST, 3 hours 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
240 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

MOZ002>004-102115-
Worth MO-Gentry MO-Nodaway MO-
240 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Worth, northwestern
Gentry and eastern Nodaway Counties through 315 PM CST...

At 239 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Ravenwood, or 10 miles east of Maryville, moving northeast at 50 mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 30 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Maryville, Albany, Stanberry, Grant City, Hopkins, Ravenwood, Irena,
Barnard, Conception Junction, Sheridan, Parnell, Pickering, Clyde,
Gentry, Arkoe, Worth and Conception.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for
northwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 4057 9433 4022 9435 4016 9490 4057 9485
TIME...MOT...LOC 2039Z 233DEG 44KT 4036 9468

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...30 MPH
Special weather statement, Nov 10, 6:07 PM CST, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
607 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

MOZ002-004-012-110030-
Gentry MO-Nodaway MO-Andrew MO-
607 PM CST Wed Nov 10 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of western Gentry,
southeastern Nodaway and northern Andrew Counties through 630 PM
CST...

At 606 PM CST, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fillmore, or 7 miles northwest of Savannah, moving northeast at 55
mph.

HAZARD...Winds in excess of 40 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Savannah, Stanberry, Fillmore, Barnard, Conception Junction, Bolckow,
Rosendale, Guilford, Clyde, Rea, Ford City and Conception.

This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 61 and 66.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 800 PM CST for
northeastern Kansas...and northwestern Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 4012 9436 4004 9460 4003 9461 3989 9499
      3992 9500 3996 9499 3996 9500 3997 9500
      4001 9501 4003 9500 4007 9502 4035 9456
TIME...MOT...LOC 0006Z 237DEG 50KT 4002 9491

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

CDB

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Nov 10, 7:59 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementEAXBates, Cass, Jackson46 min
Nov 11, 1:45 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXLinn, Livingston26 hr
Nov 11, 1:45 PM CSTRiver Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Linn, Livingston49 hr
Nov 10, 7:01 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementEAXLeavenworth44 min
Nov 10, 7:33 PM CSTSpecial Weather StatementEAXJohnson, Linn, Miami42 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Missouri, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.