Special Weather Statement, NWS Kansas City, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
648 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

.Discussion...
Issued at 232 PM CDT FRI AUG 20 2021

Today and Tonight:

In the short term forecast our main focus will be
on tonight as a shortwave slides across the Northern Plains. Storms
are expected to develop along an associated cold front across
Eastern Nebraska and Western Iowa this afternoon. This will slowly
slide to the south reaching northwest Missouri after 6pm. Model
soundings show ample CAPE values and at least some marginal shear
ahead of the approaching front which should be enough to support
some strong to severe storms as they slide south this evening. The
main threat should be strong winds up to 60 mph, however some large
hail is certainly possible as well in northwest Missouri where
instability is highest. While training storms don't look likely,
localized flash flooding is still a treat with storms producing
heavy rainfall in some locations. The one caveat is that cloud
cover today has been more persistent that expected which could
somewhat limit how widespread any severe storms are.  As storms
slide to the southeast, they should weaken some, but strong winds
are still a possibility as storms approach the KC area around
10pm. Storms will continue moving to the southeast overnight,
exiting the area before sunrise on Saturday.

The Weekend:

Saturday looks to be mostly dry. After the passage of
the cold front from Friday, we should see some brief relief from the
heat with temperatures in the lower 80s across northern parts of the
area, and mid 80s across the south. Unfortunately that won't last
very long as high pressure and ridging starts to build over the
southern and central Plains. This will allow for the return of
southerly flow and hot temperatures starting Sunday. Sunday
afternoon, highs look to be near 90 across much of the area.

Next Week:

Heading into the work week, the heat looks to continue. A few precip
chances expected during the mid week as a few waves pulse across the
ridge. Despite that, temperatures around 90-95 degrees are
expected each day next week. Additionally heat indices of 100 to
105 will be possible.

&&

.Aviation...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Saturday Evening)
Issued at 640 PM CDT FRI AUG 20 2021

A line of thunderstorms will approach the terminals from the
west/northwest later this evening...likely timing being between
02-04Z for NE KS and NW MO terminals and 03-04Z for terminals
along and south of I-70. Strong winds of 30-45kts will be possible
with this line as it moves through. Visibility will also decrease
due to moderate to heavy rainfall. Winds will decrease and
visibility will improve on the backside of the line with skies
clearing mid morning on Saturday.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

Discussion...HB
Aviation...PietrychaP

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
403 AM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

KSZ025-057-060-102>105-MOZ001>008-011>017-020>025-028>033-037>040-
043>046-053-054-210915-
Atchison KS-Miami-Linn KS-Doniphan-Leavenworth-Wyandotte-Johnson KS-
Atchison MO-Nodaway-Worth-Gentry-Harrison-Mercer-Putnam-Schuyler-
Holt-Andrew-De Kalb-Daviess-Grundy-Sullivan-Adair-Buchanan-Clinton-
Caldwell-Livingston-Linn MO-Macon-Platte-Clay-Ray-Carroll-Chariton-
Randolph-Jackson-Lafayette-Saline-Howard-Cass-Johnson MO-Pettis-
Cooper-Bates-Henry-
403 AM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for northwest...north central and
west central Missouri...as well as extreme eastern Kansas.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 Severe storms will be possible this evening into tonight for areas
 along and west of Interstate 35. Damaging winds, large hail and
 frequent lightning are the main threats however, localized flash
 flooding and an isolated tornado cannot be ruled out.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday

 This unsettled pattern is expected to continue into the weekend with
 scattered storms possible both Saturday and Sunday however, severe
 weather is not expected at this time.

 More detailed information can be accessed at...
 https://www.weather.gov/eax/hwo

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1011 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

KSZ057-103>105-MOZ021-022-028>031-037-038-043-210400-
Wyandotte KS-Miami KS-Leavenworth KS-Johnson KS-Cass MO-Ray MO-
Clay MO-Platte MO-Carroll MO-Clinton MO-Lafayette MO-Jackson MO-
Caldwell MO-
1011 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of southern Leavenworth,
Wyandotte, northern Miami, Johnson, southwestern Carroll, Jackson,
northwestern Cass, Clay, southeastern Clinton, Ray, southern
Caldwell, northwestern Lafayette and southeastern Platte Counties
through 1100 PM CDT...

At 1011 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Cowgill to near Eudora. Movement was
southeast at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and half inch hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Kansas City, Overland Park, Olathe, Independence, Lee's Summit,
Shawnee, Blue Springs, Lenexa, Leavenworth, Leawood, Raytown,
Liberty, Gladstone, Grandview, Belton, Prairie Village, Raymore,
Gardner, Grain Valley and Lansing.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 0 and 32.
 Interstate 70 in Kansas between mile markers 410 and 423.
 Interstate 35 in Missouri between mile markers 0 and 36.
 Interstate 35 in Kansas between mile markers 200 and 235.
 Interstate 29 between mile markers 0 and 16.
 Interstate 635 between mile markers 0 and 12.
 Interstate 470 between mile markers 0 and 16.
 Interstate 435 between mile markers 0 and 30, and between mile
markers 32 and 83.
 Kansas Turnpike between mile markers 206 and 226.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
northeastern and east central Kansas...and north central,
northwestern and west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3918 9518 3966 9388 3933 9347 3845 9506
      3898 9506 3899 9507 3898 9509 3896 9508
      3898 9516 3896 9517 3897 9519
TIME...MOT...LOC 0311Z 309DEG 25KT 3959 9390 3892 9501

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Leighton

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1029 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

KSZ025-102-103-MOZ020-028-210415-
Doniphan KS-Atchison KS-Leavenworth KS-Platte MO-Buchanan MO-
1029 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of south central
Doniphan, northwestern Leavenworth, southeastern Atchison,
southwestern Buchanan and northwestern Platte Counties through 1115
PM CDT...

At 1029 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Nortonville, or near Valley Falls, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Leavenworth, Atchison, Platte City, Weston, Dearborn, Rushville,
Easton, Tracy, Lewis And Clark Village, Doniphan, De Kalb,
Farmington, Iatan, Fort Leavenworth, Faucett, Bean Lake, Stillings,
Lewis And Clark Vi, Beverly and East Leavenworth.

This includes Interstate 29 between mile markers 19 and 35.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
northeastern Kansas...and northwestern and west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3970 9502 3958 9475 3933 9477 3918 9518
      3942 9518 3942 9547 3945 9550
TIME...MOT...LOC 0329Z 247DEG 34KT 3940 9537

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Leighton

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1105 PM CDT FRI AUG 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1057 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SSW BEVERLY HILLS     39.13N 94.75W
08/20/2021                   WYANDOTTE          KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TWO INCH BRANCHES KNOCKED DOWN.

&&

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1106 PM CDT FRI AUG 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1057 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 SW BEVERLY HILLS      39.14N 94.76W
08/20/2021                   WYANDOTTE          KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            THREE INCH BRANCHES KNOCKED DOWN.

&&

CDB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
1111 PM CDT FRI AUG 20 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1055 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 N DE SOTO             39.03N 94.98W
08/20/2021                   LEAVENWORTH        KS   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TREE KNOCKED DOWN ONTO POWER LINES AT 171ST
            AND CANTRELL ROAD.

&&

CDB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
1118 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

KSZ057-060-105-MOZ037-038-043>045-053-054-210500-
Johnson KS-Miami KS-Linn KS-Bates MO-Cass MO-Johnson MO-Lafayette MO-
Pettis MO-Henry MO-Jackson MO-
1118 PM CDT Fri Aug 20 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Miami, Linn, southern
Johnson, Cass, northwestern Henry, Bates, west central Pettis,
southwestern Lafayette, southern Jackson and Johnson Counties through
MIDNIGHT CDT...

At 1118 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Corder to near Lane. Movement was south at
40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
Overland Park, Olathe, Lee's Summit, Blue Springs, Leawood,
Grandview, Belton, Raymore, Gardner, Warrensburg, Grain Valley,
Harrisonville, Pleasant Hill, Oak Grove, Paola, Spring Hill, Odessa,
Greenwood, Peculiar and Osawatomie.

This includes the following highways...
 Interstate 70 in Missouri between mile markers 25 and 44.
 Interstate 35 in Kansas between mile markers 200 and 215.
 Interstate 470 near mile marker 1, and between mile markers 3 and
12.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with these storms.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 200 AM CDT for
east central Kansas...and west central Missouri.

&&

LAT...LON 3804 9508 3880 9505 3908 9396 3869 9331
      3822 9408 3803 9486
TIME...MOT...LOC 0418Z 346DEG 34KT 3905 9361 3848 9505

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

Leighton