Alert archive / Iowa / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 1, NWS Quad Cities, IA

June 24, 202113 counties in Iowa; 10 counties in Illinois; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri

NWS Quad Cities, IA issued this flash flood watch at Jun 24, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT for 13 counties in Iowa; 10 counties in Illinois; Clark County, Scotland County, Missouri. It took effect at Jun 24, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT. It was in force for 49 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Jun 24, 2021, 2:08 PM CDT (19:08 UTC)
In effect from
Jun 24, 2021, 7:00 PM CDT
Expired
Jun 26, 2021, 7:43 PM CDT
In force
49 hr
Issued by
NWS Quad Cities, IA
Flood severity
None
All 25 counties

Cedar County, IA, Clinton County, IA, Des Moines County, IA, Henry County, IA, Jefferson County, IA, Johnson County, IA, Keokuk County, IA, Lee County, IA, Louisa County, IA, Muscatine County, IA, Scott County, IA, Van Buren County, IA, Washington County, IA, Bureau County, IL, Hancock County, IL, Henderson County, IL, Henry County, IL, McDonough County, IL, Mercer County, IL, Putnam County, IL, Rock Island County, IL, Warren County, IL, Whiteside County, IL, Clark County, MO, Scotland County, MO

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 64 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 19:08 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Davenport, (KDVN), launched 12:00Z, 7.1 hours before the alert went out and 69 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 389 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Davenport, at 12:00Z on 2021-06-24The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 166 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
389 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-353 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1072 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
33 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
166 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
167 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

838 
WGUS63 KDVN 241908
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
208 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-250315-
/O.NEW.KDVN.FF.A.0001.210625T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
208 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM CDT THIS EVENING THROUGH 
SATURDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for portions of west central Illinois, southeast 
  Iowa and northeast Missouri, including the following areas, in 
  west central Illinois, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. 
  In southeast Iowa, Des Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van 
  Buren. In northeast Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* From 7 PM CDT this evening through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area from tonight through Saturday 
  morning. With the ground already saturated from recent bouts of 
  heavy rain in much of the watch area, Flash flooding will be 
  possible as the storms move across. Locations that get hit 
  repeatedly will be especially prone to flash flooding.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

12
10 follow-up statements
767 
WGUS63 KDVN 250145
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-250945-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
845 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa and northeast 
  Missouri, including the following areas, in west central Illinois, 
  Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. In southeast Iowa, Des 
  Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van Buren. In northeast 
  Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

14
205 
WGUS63 KDVN 250640
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
140 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021


IAZ078-ILZ016>018-024-251445-
/O.EXA.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Louisa-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-
Including the cities of Wapello, Geneseo, Princeton, Hennepin, 
and Aledo
140 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of Illinois and 
  southeast Iowa, including the following areas, in Illinois, 
  Bureau, Henry IL, Mercer, and Putnam. In southeast Iowa, 
  Louisa. 

* Through Saturday morning

* Rounds of heavy rain are expected across the watch area through
  Saturday morning. With the ground already moist from recent
  heavy rain, flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get
  hit repeatedly will be especially prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-251445-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Fairfield, Mount Pleasant, Burlington, 
Keosauqua, Fort Madison, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
140 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa, and 
  northeast Missouri, including the following areas, in west 
  central Illinois, Hancock, Henderson, McDonough, and Warren. 
  In southeast Iowa, Des Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee, and 
  Van Buren. In northeast Missouri, Clark and Scotland. 

* Through Saturday morning

* Rounds of heavy rain are expected across the watch area through
  Saturday morning. With the ground already moist from recent
  heavy rain, flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get
  hit repeatedly will be especially prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
253 
WGUS63 KDVN 251221
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
721 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-252030-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
721 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa and northeast 
  Missouri, including the following areas, in west central Illinois, 
  Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. In southeast Iowa, Des 
  Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van Buren. In northeast 
  Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.


* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ078-ILZ016>018-024-252030-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Louisa-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-
Including the cities of Aledo, Wapello, Geneseo, Hennepin, and 
Princeton
721 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and southeast Iowa, including the following 
  areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Henry IL, Mercer and Putnam. In 
  southeast Iowa, Louisa.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.


* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

$$

Gibbs
546 
WGUS63 KDVN 251553
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1053 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-260000-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
1053 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa and northeast 
  Missouri, including the following areas, in west central Illinois, 
  Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. In southeast Iowa, Des 
  Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van Buren. In northeast 
  Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.


* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ078-ILZ016>018-024-260000-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Louisa-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-
Including the cities of Aledo, Wapello, Geneseo, Hennepin, and 
Princeton
1053 AM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and southeast Iowa, including the following 
  areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Henry IL, Mercer and Putnam. In 
  southeast Iowa, Louisa.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.


* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

12
732 
WGUS63 KDVN 251840
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

IAZ064>068-076-077-ILZ009-015-260245-
/O.EXA.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson-Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Whiteside-
Rock Island-
Including the cities of Sterling, Moline, Tipton, Washington, Iowa 
City, Sigourney, Clinton, Davenport, Rock Island, Muscatine, and 
Bettendorf
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Quad Cities has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of northwest Illinois and 
  Iowa, including the following areas, in northwest Illinois, Rock 
  Island and Whiteside. In Iowa, Cedar, Clinton, Johnson, Keokuk, 
  Muscatine, Scott and Washington.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-260245-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa and northeast 
  Missouri, including the following areas, in west central Illinois, 
  Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. In southeast Iowa, Des 
  Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van Buren. In northeast 
  Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ078-ILZ016>018-024-260245-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Louisa-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-
Including the cities of Aledo, Wapello, Geneseo, Hennepin, and 
Princeton
140 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and southeast Iowa, including the following 
  areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Henry IL, Mercer and Putnam. In 
  southeast Iowa, Louisa.

* Through Saturday morning.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

Gibbs
204 
WGUS63 KDVN 260226
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
926 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

IAZ087>089-098-099-ILZ025-026-034-035-MOZ009-010-261030-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Jefferson-Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Henderson-Warren-Hancock-
McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Monmouth, Mount Pleasant, Kahoka, Oquawka, 
Fairfield, Carthage, Keosauqua, Burlington, Fort Madison, Macomb, 
and Memphis
926 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of west central Illinois, southeast Iowa and northeast 
  Missouri, including the following areas, in west central Illinois, 
  Hancock, Henderson, McDonough and Warren. In southeast Iowa, Des 
  Moines, Henry IA, Jefferson, Lee and Van Buren. In northeast 
  Missouri, Clark and Scotland.

* Until 7 AM CDT Saturday.

* Occasional rounds of heavy rain producing thunderstorms are 
  expected across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the 
  ground already saturated from recent heavy rain in the watch area, 
  flash flooding will be possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly 
  will be especially prone to flash flooding.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ064>068-076>078-ILZ009-015>018-024-261030-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson-Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-
Including the cities of Sterling, Moline, Tipton, Geneseo, 
Princeton, Washington, Iowa City, Hennepin, Sigourney, Aledo, 
Clinton, Wapello, Davenport, Rock Island, Muscatine, and Bettendorf
926 PM CDT Fri Jun 25 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT SATURDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois and Iowa, including the following areas, in 
  Illinois, Bureau, Henry IL, Mercer, Putnam, Rock Island and 
  Whiteside. In Iowa, Cedar, Clinton, Johnson, Keokuk, Louisa, 
  Muscatine, Scott and Washington.

* Until 7 AM CDT Saturday.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out of 
  their banks.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

McClure
707 
WGUS63 KDVN 260824
FFADVN

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
324 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021


IAZ089-099-ILZ016>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-261630-
/O.EXT.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Des Moines-Lee-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Burlington, Fort Madison, Geneseo, 
Princeton, Hennepin, Aledo, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
324 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of Illinois, southeast Iowa, and northeast Missouri, 
  including the following areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Hancock, 
  Henderson, Henry IL, McDonough, Mercer, Putnam, and Warren. In 
  southeast Iowa, Des Moines and Lee. In northeast Missouri, 
  Clark and Scotland. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Rounds of rain and thunderstorms, some heavy, are expected 
  across the watch area through Sunday morning. With the ground 
  extremely moist from recent heavy rain, flash flooding will be 
  possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly will be especially 
  prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

IAZ064>068-076>078-087-088-098-ILZ009-015-261200-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson-Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-
Jefferson-Henry IA-Van Buren-Whiteside-Rock Island-
Including the cities of Iowa City, Tipton, Clinton, Muscatine, 
Davenport, Bettendorf, Sigourney, Washington, Wapello, Fairfield,
Mount Pleasant, Keosauqua, Sterling, Moline, and Rock Island
324 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM CDT THIS
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of northwest Illinois and Iowa, including the 
  following areas, in northwest Illinois, Rock Island and 
  Whiteside. In Iowa, Cedar, Clinton, Henry IA, Jefferson, 
  Johnson, Keokuk, Louisa, Muscatine, Scott, Van Buren, and 
  Washington. 

* Until 7 AM CDT this morning

* Rounds of rain and thunderstorms, some heavy, are expected
  across the watch area through Saturday morning. With the ground
  extremely moist from recent heavy rain, flash flooding will be 
  possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly will be especially 
  prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
545 
WGUS63 KDVN 261202
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
702 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021


IAZ064>068-076>078-087-088-098-ILZ009-015-261315-
/O.EXP.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210626T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Johnson-Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-
Jefferson-Henry IA-Van Buren-Whiteside-Rock Island-
Including the cities of Iowa City, Tipton, Clinton, Muscatine, 
Davenport, Bettendorf, Sigourney, Washington, Wapello, Fairfield,
Mount Pleasant, Keosauqua, Sterling, Moline, and Rock Island
702 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH HAS EXPIRED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of northwest Illinois and Iowa
has expired. The risk of heavy rain will be shifting east of the
Mississippi.

$$

IAZ089-099-ILZ016>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-262015-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Des Moines-Lee-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Burlington, Fort Madison, Geneseo, 
Princeton, Hennepin, Aledo, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
702 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois, southeast Iowa, and northeast Missouri, 
  including the following areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Hancock, 
  Henderson, Henry IL, McDonough, Mercer, Putnam, and Warren. In 
  southeast Iowa, Des Moines and Lee. In northeast Missouri, 
  Clark and Scotland. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Rounds of rain and thunderstorms, some heavy, are expected 
  across the watch area through Sunday morning. With the ground 
  extremely moist from recent heavy rain, flash flooding will be 
  possible. Locations that get hit repeatedly will be especially 
  prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
134 
WGUS63 KDVN 261615
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1115 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

IAZ089-099-ILZ016>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-270015-
/O.CON.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Des Moines-Lee-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Burlington, Fort Madison, Geneseo, 
Princeton, Hennepin, Aledo, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
1115 AM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of Illinois, southeast Iowa, and northeast Missouri, 
  including the following areas, in Illinois, Bureau, Hancock, 
  Henderson, Henry IL, McDonough, Mercer, Putnam, and Warren. In 
  southeast Iowa, Des Moines and Lee. In northeast Missouri, 
  Clark and Scotland. 

* Through Sunday morning

* Rounds of rain and thunderstorms, some heavy, are expected
  across the watch area through Sunday morning. With the ground
  extremely moist from recent heavy rain, flash flooding will be
  possible. Locations that see rain repeatedly will be especially
  prone to flash flooding. 

* Excessive runoff may result in flooding of low-lying and flood 
  prone locations. Small rivers, creeks and streams may rise out 
  of their banks. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$
063 
WGUS63 KDVN 270043
FFADVN

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
743 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021


IAZ089-099-ILZ016>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-270145-
/O.CAN.KDVN.FF.A.0001.000000T0000Z-210627T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Des Moines-Lee-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-Warren-
Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
Including the cities of Burlington, Fort Madison, Geneseo, 
Princeton, Hennepin, Aledo, Oquawka, Monmouth, Carthage, Macomb, 
Memphis, and Kahoka
743 PM CDT Sat Jun 26 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of Illinois, southeast Iowa,
and northeast Missouri has been cancelled. The risk of heavy rain
has diminished. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Jun 24, 12:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 24, 12:33 PM CDT, 1 hour 35 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
1233 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

...18z AVIATION UPDATE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

A broad strong warm advection zone is found over the Midwest, and
with that the evening storms have evolved into an intense
destructive wind producing MCS, that at least on radar signature,
suggests this could be a long lived wind damage event.  I'm holding
off jumping on any great wind threat this morning until we actually
see it evolve, but this is quite impressive near and north of Omaha
as of 2 AM.

MU CAPE in the vicinity of the Omaha cluster is near 4000J/KG, while
farther east into our CWA, we're running 1000-2000.  There should be
a tendency for that complex to drive southeast with time, but
limiting that so far is a mid level cap, with 700mb temperatures of
14-16C found near the south flank of the bowing segment. That cap
is probably the most important feature to monitor through the
evolution of the severe MCS, and whether any wind can impact our
CWA, which has no surface instability as of 2 AM.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
ISSUED AT 242 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

1. Thunderstorms with torrential rain are going to take place in and
near our CWA through the next 24+ hours.

2. There are as many model solutions on convective handling of the
current cluster as there are models, and that is not helping any
confidence on where these storms go.

3. If the storm cluster does not turn southeast, our low levels are
not currently supportive of a damaging wind, but that could change
through the day as we warm up, so this is not an automatic switch to
a high end event, it has a likelihood to become more elevated with
time as it heads into drier air.

As mentioned above, there is a pronounced cap, of 14-16C around the
700mb level, found near the south flank of the western convection.
The wind in that layer is westerly, and the cap could advect east
with time. That will be something we can monitor through 5 AM and
can  adjust the forecast upward with respect to impacts should the
storms keep an easterly movement( at 65 mph currently).  At the very
least, should the storms drop southeast, we will have to contend
with the strong MCV moving through Iowa through this afternoon, and
that could serve to trigger additional storms over the CWA. That is
something the ECMWF continues to show in, as well as hinted at by
the UKmet.

I will continue to keep pops likely to categorical this morning, as
even if the event drops just south of the CWA, there should be a
warm advection wing of storms threat spreads through the CWA, and
possibly a large stratiform region too. There' a lot of reasons for
rain today!

Tonight, models are hinting at redevelopment in an west-east band,
near or south of the Interstate 80, then that would become an MCS
overnight. The placement of that feature is greatly dependent on
what happens with storms today, and capping placement in the south.
I'll continue to forecast high pops south and solid chance pops
north for that event as well, but at least for now, the heavy rain
component is not confident on placement for a flash flood watch in
the near term.

We will be messaging the Enhanced Risk from SPC today, which for
now is the far southern CWA, with Slight risk elsewhere. WPC has
moderate risk for flash flooding mainly south of our CWA with
slight risk over the entire area.

ERVIN

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 242 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Key Messages:

1) SPC issued a Slight Risk for severe weather on Friday in our
south and a Marginal Risk elsewhere, with isolated large hail and
severe winds gusts being the main threats.

2) Very wet period to end the week and start the weekend, with WPC
issuing a Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall.

3) Daily chances for showers and storms through next week.

Friday/Saturday...

Early on Friday, a warm front will be situated over the southern
half of our forecast area, which will act as a focus for heavy rain
and thunderstorms. Based on past model runs, it would seem that the
front does not push as far north, generally keeping it along and
south of I80. This would be due to a slightly different track of the
surface low, with latest guidance having it traverse northeast
through our southern half of our forecast area. With this in mind,
the focus for the heaviest rainfall looks to coincide within the
same area. The reason for the heavy rainfall leads us to the amount
of moisture found within the vertical profile, which is well above
the 90th percentile of values seen during this time of the year
(PWATs ranging from 2-2.5"). With these conditions in mind, guidance
wants to hint at repeating thunderstorm development. The Weather
Prediction Center has most of the forecast area under a Slight Risk
for Excessive Rainfall on Friday, therefore heavy rainfall can be
expected throughout. Thursday will be the start of the heavy rain
potential, but will continue through Friday, as the approaching
surface low leads to increasing convective coverage.  Many of the
rivers within our area are well below normal, which allows us for
some room to fill them up. Current outlooks should support within
bank rises, leading to more of a flash flood threat, especially with
local streams, creeks, or small rivers. Along with flooding
concerns, there is also a severe weather threat. The Storm
Prediction Center has issued a Slight Risk for Severe Weather south
of Highway 34, with a Marginal Risk throughout the remainder of the
area. Some uncertainty still exists with the severe potential, but
there will be and isolated risk for large hail and severe wind gusts.

Late Friday night and into Saturday morning, the initial wave will
be out of our area, with another warm front pushing north into our
area again through Saturday morning. The front is associated with
another surface low that develops with the next upper wave moving
through. Behind this warm front lies another moist and unstable
atmosphere in the warm sector. Therefore, further thunderstorm
development is expected ahead of the cold front that slides through
as the surface low passes through our north. At the moment,
extremely heavy rainfall is not represented in the guidance, but any
thunderstorm that develops has the potential to accumulate rain
quickly. With the area already worked over by several rounds of rain
and thunderstorms, the additional rainfall will lead to further
concerns for flash flooding. Please continue to monitor our future
forecasts as more details come out and confidence increases on
coverage and total rainfall.

As of right now, we are looking at the potential for between 3-6" of
rainfall through Saturday, with the highest accumulations located
along and south of I80. While these are our current forecast
amounts, fluctuations are likely, as some guidance hints at the
potential for more than that. With the amount of cloud cover that we
will likely experience in the coming days, the forecast high
temperatures may be lower than currently advertised, bringing us
below normal for this time of the year. Continue to monitor for
future updates on possible rainfall totals.

Sunday...

With there being a deep upper ridge over the west coast, we will be
left in southwesterly flow behind the waves that have passed by at
this point. While long term guidance wants to hint at most of the
forecast area staying dry on Sunday, they indicate the slight chance
for some showers and storms trailing the cold front that passed
through on Saturday, especially in our far southeast. The Canadian
model is the only one to hold precipitation for much of the area on
Sunday, with a cold front that is slower to move out of the area.

Next Week...

While much uncertainty exists beyond Sunday on the exact upper level
pattern, one thing can be relied on. The west coast ridge continues
to build, with a trough digging in from the north. With this setting
up, it would look like we fall into a brief omega blocking pattern,
which would leave us under the trough through most of the week. With
that in mind, we will fall into a pattern of daily chances for
showers and thunderstorms throughout the area. It would seem that
the chances will be more isolated/scattered, not as widespread as
this weekend is forecast. Temperatures are looking to continue
trending near or slightly below normal for the week. I suppose the
good news for next week will be that we will be dealing with some
more dry periods than wet, which will be much needed after the
upcoming heavy rain event.

&&

.AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Friday Afternoon)
ISSUED AT 1229 PM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Challenging TAF cycle forecast, with the potential for impactful
periods of passing thunderstorm clusters affecting most sites, or
the threat getting shunted far enough south that maybe just BRL
clipped by this activity tonight while the other sites stay VFR
until late night cloud CIG lowering to MVFR possible especially at
CID and DBQ. Will try to play the happy medium with plenty of dry
hours but use VCNTY in windows of evening to overnight storm
potential may develop. Again the BRL site the most prone to
passing bouts of storms with heavy rain and MVFR to IFR VSBYs and
strong variable wind gusts, but some models still suggest all
sites may get impacted by storms tonight. Between the storms,
mainly VFR level debris clouds and sfc winds of 8-12 KTS ranging
from the southwest to southeast. Potential storm outflow may also
produce variable wind directions later tonight, but can't detail
that in the TAFs at this point.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 1025 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

Have issued a flood warning for the La Moine river near Colmar
this morning, with an additional 1.5-1.75 inches of rain expected
in the basin before 12z Friday. This area has received 3+ inches
in the past 7 days. Active weather will continue into Friday
night-Saturday with additional rain possible in west central IL,
southwest IA, and northeast MO promoting further rises. Other
tributary rivers given the low river stages and streamflows
should see mainly within bank rises over the next 48 hrs.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

SYNOPSIS...Ervin
SHORT TERM...Ervin
LONG TERM...Gunkel
AVIATION...12
HYDROLOGY...Gross
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 24, 3:03 AM CDT, 11 hours 5 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
303 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-250815-
Buchanan-Delaware-Dubuque-Benton-Linn-Jones-Jackson-Iowa-Johnson-
Cedar-Clinton-Muscatine-Scott-Keokuk-Washington-Louisa-Jefferson-
Henry IA-Des Moines-Van Buren-Lee-Jo Daviess-Stephenson-Carroll-
Whiteside-Rock Island-Henry IL-Bureau-Putnam-Mercer-Henderson-
Warren-Hancock-McDonough-Scotland-Clark-
303 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of north central
Illinois...northwest Illinois...west central Illinois...east
central Iowa...northeast Iowa...southeast Iowa and northeast
Missouri.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

The Storm Prediction Center is forecasting an Enhanced Risk for
severe storms today and tonight, for northeast Missouri, and a
Slight Risk for the remainder of outlook area.

There will be two rounds of strong thunderstorms today. The first
will be this morning, with strong winds and heavy rain possible in
a line of storms moving through areas generally south of Highway
30.

Tonight, thunderstorms are possible over the entire area, but the
main threats will be found along and south of Interstate 80 where
damaging winds, large hail and torrential rainfall are most
possible.

Isolated areas of flash flooding are possible tonight, mainly
along and south of Highway 34, where soils are already wet.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

A Slight Risk for severe weather has been issued by the Storm
Prediction Center on Friday, with the main threats being isolated
cases of large hail and severe winds. Several rounds of showers
and storms are expected through Friday, which leads to a
Slight Risk for Excessive Rainfall. Flash flooding will be a
growing concern as forecast confidence grows on the axis of
heaviest rain and timing.

Another day of heavy rain chances on Saturday, but will slowly
begin to die off in the evening. We have another Marginal Risk for
severe weather on Saturday, with the threats being isolated large
hail and severe gusts. Flash flooding threat will continue
through Saturday as well. After Saturday, daily chances for
showers and storms exist.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed for portions of the area on
Today and Tonight.

ERVIN/GUNKEL

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jun 24, 10:39 AM CDT, 3 hours 29 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA/IL
1039 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

ILC109-241645-
McDonough-
1039 AM CDT Thu Jun 24 2021

...HEAVY RAIN FROM THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MCDONOUGH COUNTY UNTIL
1145 AM CDT...

At 1038 AM CDT, radar indicated heavy rain from thunderstorms falling
near Western Illinois University, or near Macomb, moving southeast at
10 mph.

Locations impacted include...
Macomb, Colchester, Industry, Good Hope, Bardolph, Tennessee, Western
Illinois University, Adair, Fandon, New Philadelphia, Colmar,
Pennington Point, Macomb Municipal Airport, Doddsville, Scottsburg,
Spring Lake, McDonough County 4-H Grounds and Argyle Lake State Park.

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this thunderstorms. Minor
flooding of low lying areas, creeks, streams and urban areas is
possible. If you encounter water over a roadway, do not drive through
it.

Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.

LAT...LON 4028 9091 4050 9083 4060 9065 4048 9045
      4028 9045
TIME...MOT...LOC 1538Z 300DEG 7KT 4041 9070

Gibbs
Local storm report, Jun 24, 11:59 AM CDT, 2 hours 9 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
1159 AM CDT THU JUN 24 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1158 AM     HEAVY RAIN       CANTRIL                 40.65N 92.07W
06/24/2021  M1.20 INCH       VAN BUREN          IA   TRAINED SPOTTER

            TODAYS AMOUNT.

&&

ARG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Quad Cities, IA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jun 24, 7:23 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDVNLee, Van Buren52 min
Jun 24, 9:55 AM CDTRiver Flood WarningDVNHancock, McDonough37 hr
Jun 24, 10:39 AM CDTSpecial Weather StatementDVNMcDonough66 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Iowa, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Illinois, 2021Flash Flood Watches in Missouri, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.