Alert archive / Michigan / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Detroit, MI

August 29, 2021Saginaw County, Shiawassee County, Michigan

NWS Detroit, MI issued this special weather statement at Aug 29, 2021, 4:07 PM EDT for Saginaw County, Shiawassee County, Michigan. It was in force for 83 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Aug 29, 2021, 4:07 PM EDT (20:07 UTC)
Expired
Aug 29, 2021, 5:30 PM EDT
In force
83 min
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI
Hail
0.00 in
Wind
50

Counties Saginaw County, MI, Shiawassee County, MI

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 83 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:11 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Detroit, MI (KDTX), launched 12:00Z, 8.1 hours before the alert went out and 83 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-29Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 1500 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2021-08-29The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -80 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1500 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-26 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
915 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-80 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Aug 29, 1:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 29, 1:41 PM EDT, 2 hours 26 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 29, 10:53 AM EDT, 5 hours 14 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
1053 AM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-301500-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
1053 AM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast
Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms develop this afternoon as a cold
front moves in from the Midwest. There is a SLIGHT risk for severe
storm intensity mainly in the 2 PM to 10 PM time window with
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater being the primary hazard.
Hail to around 1 inch and localized flooding are also possible as
storms move west to east at 35 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-301500-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
1053 AM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

Scattered to numerous thunderstorms develop this afternoon as a cold
front moves in from the Midwest. There is a SLIGHT risk for severe
storm intensity mainly in the 2 PM to 10 PM time window with
damaging wind gusts of 60 mph or greater being the primary hazard.
Hail to around 1 inch and localized flooding are also possible as
storms move west to east at 35 mph.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

CB

In the hours before

Local storm report, Aug 29, 10:42 AM EDT, 5 hours 25 minutes before
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Local storm report, Aug 29, 11:14 AM EDT, 4 hours 53 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1114 AM EDT SUN AUG 29 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1153 PM     HEAVY RAIN       5 SW FLINT              42.97N 83.75W
08/28/2021  M1.14 INCH       GENESEE            MI   ASOS

            3 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL AT KFNT FLINT BISHOP AIRPORT.

0600 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NNE MIDLAND           43.65N 84.21W
08/29/2021  M2.21 INCH       MIDLAND            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0634 AM     HEAVY RAIN       3 SW MIDLAND            43.59N 84.27W
08/29/2021  M1.67 INCH       MIDLAND            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SW OWOSSO             42.97N 84.20W
08/29/2021  M1.31 INCH       SHIAWASSEE         MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       1 N SWARTZ CREEK        42.98N 83.83W
08/29/2021  M2.15 INCH       GENESEE            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0730 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE CHESANING          43.21N 84.09W
08/29/2021  M2.42 INCH       SAGINAW            MI   CO-OP OBSERVER

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0800 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 SSW NELSON            43.31N 84.24W
08/29/2021  M2.32 INCH       SAGINAW            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0838 AM     HEAVY RAIN       4 W MIDLAND             43.62N 84.31W
08/29/2021  M2.42 INCH       MIDLAND            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 NE MIDLAND            43.64N 84.20W
08/29/2021  M1.72 INCH       MIDLAND            MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

KK
Local storm report, Aug 29, 12:49 PM EDT, 3 hours 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
1249 PM EDT SUN AUG 29 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     HEAVY RAIN       ELKTON                  43.82N 83.18W
08/29/2021  M1.43 INCH       HURON              MI   TRAINED SPOTTER

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

0900 AM     HEAVY RAIN       2 W PORT HURON          42.99N 82.47W
08/29/2021  M1.54 INCH       ST. CLAIR          MI   COCORAHS

            24 HOUR TOTAL RAINFALL.

&&

KK
Special weather statement, Aug 29, 3:40 PM EDT, 27 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
340 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

MIZ047-048-292045-
Bay MI-Midland MI-
340 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...A strong thunderstorm will impact portions of Bay and Midland
Counties through 445 PM EDT...

At 339 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Sanford, moving northeast at 40 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

This strong thunderstorm will be near...
  Midland around 355 PM EDT.
  Auburn around 400 PM EDT.
  Bay City, Kawkawlin and Linwood around 410 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this storm include Laporte, Mount Forest,
Averill, Gordonville, Bombay, Porter Township, Crump, Poseyville,
Willard and Hope.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EDT for
southeastern Michigan.

&&

LAT...LON 4381 8461 4381 8437 4383 8436 4383 8417
      4400 8417 4400 8405 4391 8404 4391 8391
      4392 8390 4374 8393 4368 8390 4360 8369
      4348 8370 4348 8382 4352 8382 4352 8405
      4357 8405 4357 8417 4348 8417 4347 8461
TIME...MOT...LOC 1939Z 243DEG 36KT 4358 8435

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

KK
Special weather statement, Aug 29, 4:07 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
407 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

MIZ053-060-061-292130-
Shiawassee MI-Genesee MI-Saginaw MI-
407 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

...Strong thunderstorms will impact portions of Saginaw, Shiawassee
and western Genesee Counties through 530 PM EDT...

At 406 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from Ithaca to near Carson City to near Lake Odessa.
Movement was east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Strong thunderstorms will be near...
  Merrill around 430 PM EDT.
  St. Charles around 445 PM EDT.
  Marion Springs around 455 PM EDT.
  Oakley around 505 PM EDT.
  Saginaw, Zilwaukee and Bridgeport around 510 PM EDT.
  Chesaning and Laingsburg around 515 PM EDT.
  Owosso and Corunna around 530 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by these storms include Brant, Nelson,
Carrollton, Garfield, Arthur, Fenmore, Burt, Gera, Buena Vista
Township and Layton Corners.

People attending Huntington Event Park should seek safe shelter
immediately!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 700 PM EDT for
southeastern Michigan.

&&

LAT...LON 4348 8437 4348 8417 4357 8417 4357 8405
      4352 8405 4352 8382 4348 8382 4348 8370
      4322 8370 4321 8368 4321 8392 4278 8391
      4277 8436
TIME...MOT...LOC 2006Z 256DEG 28KT 4331 8458 4310 8483 4280 8505

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

KK

The office that day

Everything else NWS Detroit, MI issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 28, 8:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXSaginaw72 min
Aug 28, 8:22 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXSaint Clair, Sanilac68 min
Aug 28, 10:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXShiawassee20 min
Aug 28, 10:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXGenesee28 min
Aug 29, 1:53 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXBay, Midland67 min
Aug 29, 2:16 AM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay, Midland44 min
Aug 29, 2:32 AM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX42 min
Aug 29, 3:40 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXBay, Midland65 min
Aug 29, 3:54 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX108 min
Aug 29, 4:30 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSaginaw, Shiawassee75 min
Aug 29, 4:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXHuron67 min
Aug 29, 4:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXHuron62 min
Aug 29, 5:11 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXBay, Genesee, Tuscola79 min
Aug 29, 5:25 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLivingston65 min
Aug 29, 5:32 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX118 min
Aug 29, 5:56 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXOakland64 min
Aug 29, 5:58 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLapeer62 min
Aug 29, 6:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXHuron59 min
Aug 29, 6:13 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXSanilac77 min
Aug 29, 6:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXMacomb, Saint Clair83 min
Aug 29, 6:45 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXLenawee75 min
Aug 29, 6:51 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX114 min
Aug 29, 7:00 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTXWashtenaw57 min
Aug 29, 7:23 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXMonroe67 min
Aug 29, 7:29 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementDTXWayne61 min
Aug 29, 7:30 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningDTX68 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Michigan, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.