Alert archive / Michigan / Small Craft Advisories in 2021

Small Craft Advisory 70, NWS Detroit, MI

November 15, 2021

NWS Detroit, MI issued this small craft advisory at Nov 15, 2021, 9:17 PM EST. It took effect at Nov 16, 2021, 10:00 PM EST. It was in force for 56 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Nov 15, 2021, 9:17 PM EST (02:17 UTC)
In effect from
Nov 16, 2021, 10:00 PM EST
Expired
Nov 19, 2021, 5:51 AM EST
In force
56 hr
Issued by
NWS Detroit, MI

The text

As transmitted.

350 
WHUS73 KDTX 160217
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
917 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

LHZ441>443-161515-
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.211117T0300Z-211117T1700Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
917 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM TUESDAY TO NOON EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 20 knots from the south with
  gusts up to 28 knots. The largest significant waves will be 5 
  feet with a potential maximum wave height of 7 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
9 follow-up statements
817 
WHUS73 KDTX 160806
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
306 AM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

LHZ441>443-162100-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.211117T0300Z-211117T1700Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
306 AM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 20 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 27 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 5 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 7 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
356 
WHUS73 KDTX 162044
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
344 PM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

LCZ460-LEZ444-170915-
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.211117T0900Z-211118T0300Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 AM TO 10 PM EST
WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 1 PM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 2 PM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ421-170915-
/O.EXA.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.211117T0300Z-211117T1700Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON
EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 21 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 30 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-170915-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.211117T0300Z-211117T1700Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
344 PM EST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING
TO NOON EST WEDNESDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 23 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 30 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 6 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
728 
WHUS73 KDTX 171028
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
528 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

LHZ441>443-171700-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211117T1700Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 31 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 5 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 6 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ421-171700-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211117T1700Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 19 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 28 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 5 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 5 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-172130-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211118T0300Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
528 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM EST THIS
EVENING...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the 
  southwest with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant 
  waves will be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 
  feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 10 AM EST 
  Wednesday with the largest waves expected around 10 AM EST 
  Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
726 
WHUS73 KDTX 171436
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

LHZ422-180245-
/O.EXB.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the 
  southwest with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant 
  waves will be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 
  feet.

* WHERE...Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ421-180245-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1000Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 19 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 28 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441-180245-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1000Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 31 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-180245-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 31 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-180245-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
936 AM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the 
  southwest with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant 
  waves will be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 
  feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 10 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
174 
WHUS73 KDTX 180237
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

LHZ422-182115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the 
  southwest with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant 
  waves will be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 
  feet.

* WHERE...Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ421-182115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1000Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 19 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 28 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441-182115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1000Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 31 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 4 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ442-443-182115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the south 
  with gusts up to 31 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 6 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 8 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 9 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-182115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T0400Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
937 PM EST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EST
THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the 
  southwest with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant 
  waves will be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 
  feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 10 AM EST Wednesday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
494 
WHUS73 KDTX 180831
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
331 AM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

LHZ421-422-182115-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
331 AM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 30 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI 
  and Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 3 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 3 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-182115-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
331 AM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 23 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 30 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 2 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 4 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-182115-
/O.EXT.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
331 AM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 19 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 27 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 2 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 2 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
453 
WHUS73 KDTX 182054
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
354 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

LHZ421-422-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
354 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 24 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI 
  and Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds and largest waves are expected late
  this afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
354 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 22 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 30 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds and largest waves are expected late
  this afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-190900-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
354 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 19 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 27 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 2 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 feet.

* WHERE...In Lake St Clair, Lake St Clair. In Lake Erie, 
  Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape 
  MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds and largest waves are expected late
  this afternoon and evening.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
566 
WHUS73 KDTX 182305
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
605 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

LEZ444-191115-
/O.NEW.KDTX.LO.Y.0004.211118T2305Z-211119T0500Z/
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
605 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...LOW WATER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EST TONIGHT...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...During the Low Water Advisory, abnormally low water 
  levels. During the Small Craft Advisory, expect sustained 
  winds up to 19 knots from the west with gusts up to 27 knots. 
  The largest significant waves will be 2 feet with a potential 
  maximum wave height of 3 feet.

* WHERE...Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to 
  North Cape MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 6 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft. Below 
  normal water levels will result in hazardous navigating 
  conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...At 530 PM the water level at Toledo was 20
  inches above low water datum. The critical mark for safe
  navigation is 21 inches. Water levels will hover below the
  critical mark for safe navigation this evening before rising
  late. 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

Mariners should navigate shallow waters with extreme caution due
to below normal water levels.

&&

$$

LHZ421-422-191115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
605 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 22 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 28 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI 
  and Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 6 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LHZ441>443-191115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
605 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 22 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 29 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI, Harbor Beach to Port 
  Sanilac MI and Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 6 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-191115-
/O.CON.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Lake St Clair-
605 PM EST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 17 knots from the west with
  gusts up to 27 knots. The largest significant waves will be 2 
  feet with a potential maximum wave height of 3 feet.

* WHERE...Lake St Clair.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 6 PM EST Thursday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$
811 
WHUS73 KDTX 191051
MWWDTX

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
551 AM EST Fri Nov 19 2021

LHZ421-441-191700-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KDTX.SC.Y.0071.211119T1100Z-211119T1700Z/
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner
Saginaw Bay-Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-
551 AM EST Fri Nov 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TODAY...

* WHAT...Expect sustained winds up to 21 knots from the west 
  with gusts up to 27 knots. The largest significant waves will 
  be 4 feet with a potential maximum wave height of 5 feet.

* WHERE...Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to 
  Inner Saginaw Bay and Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI.

* WHEN...The maximum winds are expected around 6 AM EST Friday 
  with the largest waves expected around 6 AM EST Friday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ422-442-443-191200-
/O.CAN.KDTX.SC.Y.0070.000000T0000Z-211119T1200Z/
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
551 AM EST Fri Nov 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

Winds and waves will continue to subside through the early morning
hours thus the small craft advisory will be cancelled. 

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Detroit, MI wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Nov 15, 6:41 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Nov 15, 6:41 PM EST, 2 hours 36 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
641 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

.AVIATION...

Expansive coverage of lake stratus remains entrenched this evening
within cold westerly flow. Cloud bases remain locked within the 3500
to 4500 ft level during this time. Winds shift to southwesterly
overnight while weakening, effectively encouraging some degree of
low level drying locally as the lake moisture plume pulls back to
the west. This continues to lend support in calling for a slowly
clearing sky throughout the early morning hours. Window of open sky
may offer a brief period of BR, but no real signal to suggest
greater potential for shallow fog/MVFR visibility restrictions
Tuesday morning. Periods of thicker high cloud Tuesday into Tuesday
night as an elevated warm frontal transits the region, but clear
skies generally favored across the lowest 5000 ft outside of perhaps
a low coverage of stratocu.

.DTW THRESHOLD PROBABILITIES...

* High for ceiling at or below 5000 this evening, then low
  overnight through Tuesday.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION...
Issued at 324 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

DISCUSSION...

Ongoing mid level frontal forcing is producing a narrow band of
light snow across north central Indiana. This frontal system will
slide across Ohio this evening, remaining well south of Se Mi. Hi
res model solutions indicate a release off Lake Mi under westerly
flow this evening, which will sustain a good deal of clouds and
possibly a few flurries. The low level flow will then weaken and
become divergent overnight with a sfc ridge overspreading Se Mi.
This will allow for partial to perhaps full clearing, supporting
late night min temps down into the 20s.

Rapid sfc cyclogenesis is forecast in the lee of the Canadian
Rockies on Wednesday, associated with a rapidly deepening mid level
low. This system will force downstream ridging across the Upper
Midwest/Great Lakes. In advance of the associated cold front, there
will be an increase in the SW flow from the Mid Mississippi Valley
into the srn Great Lakes region late Tues into Wednesday. This will
drive an elevated warm front northward across Se MI late Tues/Tues
night. Ample low level dry air will inhibit precip, although
increasing mid and high clouds are expected. Lingering cool boundary
layer temps and limited mixing depths will hold daytime highs to the
40s on Tuesday. 925mb winds are forecast to reach 45-50 knots Tues
night into Wed out of the southwest, bringing 925mb temps up to
+11C. Despite an influx of clouds, the low level thermal advection
will still boost temps into the 50s and low 60s. While the gradient
will support somewhat breezy conditions on Wednesday, the strength
of the low level warm air advection and mid November sun angle will
limit mixing depths, keeping the stronger winds elevated.

The increased clouds on Wednesday will occur in advance of the cold
front associated with the deep upper low forecast to rotate from srn
Manitoba to nrn Ontario. Mid level height falls and upper jet
dynamics within a 130kt upper jet streak will strengthen the deep
tropospheric frontogenetical response. The degree of forced ascent
will overcome somewhat limited moisture transport into the frontal
system and will support increasing rain chances during the course of
the day Wed, with the frontal forcing persisting into Wed night. The
passage of the cold front Wed evening and associated upper trough on
Thursday will advect a very cold airmass into Lower Mi; 850mb temps
dropping to -10C by 00Z Friday. Per model solutions, the ascent
looks to be focused on the warm side of the front, keeping the Wed
night precip type all rain. There will of course be some scattered
snow showers on Thursday with enhancement off the lakes as the core
of the cold air moves overhead. The aforementioned upper low is
forecast to remain very progressive, lifting into nrn Quebec
Thursday night, leading to a rather quick departure of the cold air
and a modest warming trend by the start of the weekend.

MARINE...

Will allow the small craft advisories to expire, as a ridge of high
pressure provides a period of light winds tonight. A warm front
lifting north will result in increasing southeast winds for Tuesday,
with winds of 20 to 30 knots expected over the open waters of Lake
Huron by Tuesday night, shifting to the southwest on Wednesday ahead
of a strong cold front. Will potentially have to issue another round
of small craft advisories for the southern Lake Huron basin Tuesday
night as wind gusts flirt around 25 knot across the nearshore waters
and waves build to around 4 feet, especially by Port Hope. It will
ultimately depend how fast those winds go from southeast to south,
and then southwest Wednesday morning.

A very healthy dose of cold air will follow the front Wednesday
night and Thursday, with westerly winds peaking out between 25 to 30
knots with the deep boundary layer mixing, as 850 MB temperatures
drop to around -10 C also support snow squalls into Friday. The
prospects for low end gales appears very low at this time however.

HYDROLOGY...

There will be a slow increase in rain coverage during the course of
the day Wednesday and into Wednesday night ahead of a cold front.
Despite limited moisture advection ahead of this front, the strength
of the forcing will drive widespread light to briefly moderate rain
across the area. Total rainfall amounts are forecast to range from
two tenths to four tenths of an inch, mainly south of a Bad Axe to
Saginaw line. There is high probabilities for basin average rainfall
amounts of a quarter inch.

&&

.DTX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MI...NONE.
Lake Huron...NONE.
Lake St Clair...NONE.
Michigan waters of Lake Erie...NONE.
&&

AVIATION.....MR
DISCUSSION...SC
MARINE.......SF
HYDROLOGY....SC

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.
Hazardous weather outlook, Nov 15, 3:55 PM EST, 5 hours 22 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
355 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-161000-
Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-
St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
355 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

LCZ460-LEZ444-LHZ361>363-421-422-441>443-462>464-161000-
Lake St Clair-
Michigan Waters of Lake Erie from Detroit River to North Cape MI-
Lake Huron from 5NM east of Mackinac Bridge to Presque Isle Lt
beyond 5 NM off shore-
Lake Huron from Presque Isle Light to Sturgeon Point MI beyond 5NM
off shore-
Lake Huron from Sturgeon Point to Alabaster MI beyond 5NM off shore-
Outer Saginaw Bay SW of Alabaster to Port Austin MI to Inner Saginaw
Bay-Inner Saginaw Bay SW of Point Au Gres to Bay Port MI-
Port Austin to Harbor Beach MI-Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac MI-
Port Sanilac to Port Huron MI-
Lake Huron from Port Austin to Harbor Beach beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Harbor Beach to Port Sanilac beyond 5NM Off Shore-
Lake Huron from Port Sanilac to Port Huron beyond 5NM Off Shore-
355 PM EST Mon Nov 15 2021

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of Lake Erie, Lake
Huron and Lake St Clair.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will not be needed today and tonight.

You can obtain your latest National Weather Service forecasts online
at www.weather.gov/detroit.

DG

Nearby

Small Craft Advisories in Michigan, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.