Special Weather Statement, NWS Charleston, SC

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston SC
903 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move offshore tonight. High pressure will
build across the Southeast U.S on Wednesday and will remain
through Friday. Unsettled weather is expected this weekend into
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING/...
Severe Thunderstorm Watch 274 has expired. The risk for
organized severe tstms has largely ended. A risk for heavy rain
will persist over parts of the Charleston Metro Area which
certainly is not needed, especially in West Ashley, James Island
and Downtown Charleston.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 AM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH FRIDAY/...
A cold front will stall south of the region Wednesday afternoon
while high pressure builds in behind it. Much drier air will be
present over the forecast area as high pressure builds in, with some
models showing mid-level RH values 15 to 40%. Forecast soundings
show a profound capping inversion each afternoon across the forecast
area, which would prevent any showers from forming, even with the
assistance of the sea breeze. However, there is a low chance of a
stray shower forming over southern GA where there is a hint of some
higher mid-level moisture transport. High temperatures will range
from the upper 80s in inland SC to the low 90s in inland GA, with
mid 80s along the beaches. Low temperatures will dip into the mid to
upper 60s inland and low 70s along the beaches.

&&

.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
High pressure will slowly build away from the southeastern states
overnight Friday and into early Saturday. Low pressure, currently
located in the Bay of Campeche, is expected to approach the region
this weekend. Timing and placement of the low is very uncertain, and
models are not in agreement. However, it looks like deeper moisture
will reach the forecast region sometime Sunday which could bring
increased rain chances. High temperatures will generally be in
the upper 80s to low 90s and low temperatures in the 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /01Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR, but VCTS may need to be included at the terminals 00-02z.

Extended Aviation Outlook: VFR.

&&

.MARINE...
Tonight: A cold front will push through the area after midnight with
a pre- frontal surge likely pushing gusts to 25-30 kt and seas
to 6 ft, mostly in the GA waters but also likely into the
southern SC nearshore waters. Thus, Small Craft Advisories are
out for these areas. Mariners should also be alert for some
strong storms likely moving offshore this evening, mostly north
of Edisto Beach, which could produce winds over 50 kt and large
hail.

Wednesday through Friday: No marine concerns for the period.
Northerly winds will prevail on Wednesday and Thursday, becoming
southerly on Friday. Winds will be less than 15 knots and seas 2 to
4 feet.

Saturday and Sunday: An area of low pressure currently located over
the Bay of Campeche will approach the region this weekend. This
will bring the risk of increased southwesterly winds and gusts.
There is much forecast uncertainty with the timing and
placement of the low. At this point conditions appear to stay
below Small Craft Advisory level.

&&

.CHS WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
GA...None.
SC...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Wednesday for AMZ352-354-
     374.

&&

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Charleston SC
857 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

AMZ330-350-352-354-374-GAZ087-088-099>101-114>119-137>141-SCZ040-
042>045-047>049-051-170100-
Charleston Harbor-
Waters from South Santee River to Edisto Beach SC out 20 NM-
Waters from Edisto Beach SC to Savannah GA out 20 NM-
Waters from Savannah GA to Altamaha Sound GA out 20 NM, including
Grays Reef National Marine Sanctuary-
Waters from Savannah GA to Altamaha Sound GA from 20 to 60 NM-
Jenkins-Screven-Candler-Bulloch-Effingham-Tattnall-Evans-
Inland Bryan-Coastal Bryan-Inland Chatham-Coastal Chatham-Long-
Inland Liberty-Coastal Liberty-Inland McIntosh-Coastal McIntosh-
Allendale-Hampton-Inland Colleton-Dorchester-Inland Berkeley-
Inland Jasper-Beaufort-Coastal Colleton-Coastal Jasper-
857 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic coastal waters,
southeast Georgia and southeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter assistance is not anticipated at this time.

SCZ050-052-170100-
Charleston-Tidal Berkeley-
857 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast South Carolina.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Heavy Rain: There will be a risk for minor flooding through midnight.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Please relay any reports of hazardous weather including, but not
limited to large hail, damaging winds and flooding to the National
Weather Service in Charleston at 1-888-383-2024.

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
953 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0952 PM     HEAVY RAIN       CHARLESTON              32.78N  79.94W
06/15/2021  U0.00 INCH       CHARLESTON         SC   LAW ENFORCEMENT

            ROADS ARE FLOODED AND CLOSED IN SEVERAL AREAS ACROSS
            DOWNTOWN CHARLESTON.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS2100262

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
956 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0739 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 ENE MONCKS CORNER     33.20N  79.99W
06/15/2021                   BERKELEY           SC   PUBLIC

            THE PUBLIC REPORTED A LARGE BRANCH SPLIT OFF A TREE
            NEAR THE INTERSECTION OF HIGHWAY 52 AND 17A.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS2100263

DPB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1007 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0745 PM     TSTM WND DMG     1 NE CROCKETVILLE       32.93N  81.07W
06/15/2021                   HAMPTON            SC   PUBLIC

            THE PUBLIC REPORTED A PECAN TREE UPROOTED AND A SMALL
            HORSE SHELTER BLOWN OVER.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS2100264

DPB

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston SC
1018 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

GAZ101-118-SCZ047-048-051-160245-
Effingham-Inland Chatham-Inland Jasper-Coastal Jasper-Beaufort-
1018 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF EFFINGHAM, CHATHAM,
BEAUFORT AND JASPER COUNTIES...

At 1017 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated
strong thunderstorms along a line extending from Marlow to
Purysburgh, and moving northeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...strong winds 45 to 55 mph and up to penny sized hail.

SOURCE...Radar Indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
         trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
         unlikely.

Some locations in the path of these storms include...
Bluffton, Springfield, Godley Station, Jasper, Rincon, Port
Wentworth, Hardeeville and Guyton.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Report damage directly to the Charleston National Weather Service at
888-383-2024 when it is safe to do so. You can also email your
report to nws.charlestonsc@noaa.gov.

&&

LAT...LON 3239 8144 3243 8079 3217 8085 3217 8141
      3220 8142 3221 8141 3222 8143 3223 8142
      3224 8143 3229 8145
TIME...MOT...LOC 0217Z 247DEG 21KT 3227 8139 3231 8113

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHARLESTON SC
1041 PM EDT TUE JUN 15 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1037 PM     HAIL             4 SSW JASPER            32.30N  80.98W
06/15/2021  M1.00 INCH       BEAUFORT           SC   TRAINED SPOTTER

            A TRAINED SPOTTER REPORTED QUARTER SIZE HAIL NEAR
            SUNBEAM DRIVE.

&&

EVENT NUMBER CHS2100265

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston SC
1056 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

GAZ118-119-SCZ047-051-160315-
Coastal Chatham-Inland Chatham-Inland Jasper-Coastal Jasper-
1056 PM EDT Tue Jun 15 2021

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT PORTIONS OF CHATHAM AND JASPER
COUNTIES...

At 1056 PM EDT, National Weather Service doppler radar indicated a
strong thunderstorm over Monteith, or over Savannah International
Airport, moving east at 25 mph.

HAZARD...strong winds 45 to 55 mph and up to penny sized hail.

SOURCE...Radar Indicated.

IMPACT...Expect minor damage to tree limbs and blowing around of
         light, unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to plants,
         trees and crops is possible. Damage to windshields is
         unlikely.

Some locations in the path of this storm include...
Pooler, Bellinger Hill Area, Downtown Savannah, Savannah
International Airport, Godley Station, Midtown Savannah, Hunter Army
Airfield and Garden City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

This storm may intensify. Be certain to monitor local radio and TV
stations as well as local cable TV outlets for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3210 8130 3217 8127 3216 8097 3200 8104
TIME...MOT...LOC 0256Z 290DEG 22KT 3216 8117

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH