Gale Watch 7, NWS Caribou, ME

885 
WHUS71 KCAR 240322
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Caribou ME
1022 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

ANZ050-051-241130-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-210224T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCAR.GL.A.0007.210225T0400Z-210226T0400Z/
Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME out
25 NM-
1022 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, seas 4 to 7 feet. For the 
  Gale Watch, west winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 6 to 9 feet possible.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME 
  out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to 
  Stonington, ME out 25 NM.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST Wednesday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Wednesday evening through Thursday 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions.  Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

975 
WHUS71 KCAR 240356
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Caribou ME
1056 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

ANZ050-051-241200-
/O.CON.KCAR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-210224T1200Z/
/O.CON.KCAR.GL.A.0007.210225T0400Z-210226T0400Z/
Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME out
25 NM-
1056 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 AM EST
WEDNESDAY...
...GALE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY EVENING THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING...

* WHAT...For the Small Craft Advisory, seas 5 to 6 feet. For the
  Gale Watch, west winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and 
  seas 6 to 9 feet possible.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME 
  out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to 
  Stonington, ME out 25 NM.

* WHEN...For the Small Craft Advisory, until 7 AM EST Wednesday. 
  For the Gale Watch, from Wednesday evening through Thursday 
  evening.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds can cause hazardous seas which could 
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should consider altering plans to avoid possible
hazardous conditions. Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter 
course, and/or secure the vessel for severe wind and seas.

&&

$$

869 
WHUS71 KCAR 240824
MWWCAR

URGENT - MARINE WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Caribou ME
324 AM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

ANZ050-051-241630-
/O.CAN.KCAR.SC.Y.0018.000000T0000Z-210224T1200Z/
/O.UPG.KCAR.GL.A.0007.210225T0400Z-210226T0400Z/
/O.NEW.KCAR.GL.W.0010.210225T0300Z-210226T0300Z/
Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME out
25 NM-
324 AM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...GALE WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO 10 PM EST
THURSDAY...
...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IS CANCELLED...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt and seas 
  6 to 9 feet expected.

* WHERE...Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME 
  out 25 NM and Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to 
  Stonington, ME out 25 NM.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Strong winds will cause hazardous seas which could
  capsize or damage vessels and reduce visibility.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Mariners should alter plans to avoid these hazardous conditions.
Remain in port, seek safe harbor, alter course, and/or secure the
vessel for severe conditions.

&&

$$

ANZ052-241630-
/O.NEW.KCAR.SC.Y.0019.210225T0300Z-210226T0300Z/
Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME-
324 AM EST Wed Feb 24 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 PM THIS EVENING TO
10 PM EST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...West winds 15 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt and seas 
  3 to 6 feet expected.

* WHERE...Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to 
  Stonington, ME.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 10 PM EST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Conditions will be hazardous to small craft.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller
vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions.

&&

$$

Sinko

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Caribou ME
155 PM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Low pressure in the Bay of Fundy will pull away across the
Maritimes today. High pressure will build south of the region
Tuesday into Wednesday. Low pressure will cross the area
Wednesday night. The low will exit the region Thursday with high
pressure approaching from the west Thursday night into Friday.
Another low pressure system will approach the region from the
southwest on Saturday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
150 PM Update: Satl visible imagery showed that partial clearing
across Aroostook County and across portions of eastern Maine as
the weak ridge noses in. Elsewhere, clouds starting to fill back
in as an upper disturbance moves toward the region from the wsw.
Clouds capped the temps some early this afternoon. Hrly temps
were adjusted to account for the clouds, and thus decided to cut
back on the afternoon high temps a few degrees. At any rate,
temps were still above normal. Some tweaks were done to the wind
field. Otherwise, no other changes needed.

Previous discussion:
Low pressure tracking up the Bay of Fundy early this morning will
track to near the southern tip of Newfoundland by this evening.
There is no cold air to speak of in the wake of the low with a mild
air mass for late February.  925H temperatures are expected to be in
the -2 to -4C range today. Temperatures this afternoon will top out
above freezing across far northern Maine for the first time in
nearly 3 weeks, with highs around 40 degrees (F) Downeast. Low
level moisture holds on this morning, and expect clouds to
gradually give way to break of sunshine Downeast by late morning
or early afternoon. In the far north, we may be lucky to see
more than a few breaks in the clouds this afternoon. Lingering
light snow/snow showers in the far east will be ending very
early this morning.

Tonight low pressure tracks across northern Quebec with a trough
extending south into northern Maine.  This may lead to isolated to
widely scattered snow showers, especially late evening and overnight
to the north of Baxter State Park.  The air mass remains mild and
with a good dose of clouds around lows will mostly be in the
20s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Weak elongated shortwave will depart into the Maritimes
Wednesday with brief surface high pressure midday. This will
allow for some clearing across southern areas but with
increasing moisture aloft northern areas wont see much sunshine.
Clouds will increase ahead of the next system which will feature
a weak low riding the NY/VT/Quebec border moving into Central
Maine Wed Night. The 500mb shortwave & vort max will move in
aloft helping to provide dynamics to support steady light snow
Wed night to daybreak Thurs. Modeled soundings show intially a
highly elevated moist DGZ but it will lower through the night.
Given that and upper support decided to bump up snow totals with
decent chance of 1 to 3 inches across the St. John Valley,
Northeast Aroostook county and points north & west of the
Longfellow Mtns. Generally a Dusting to 1 inch in the Highlands
back to the Moosehead Lakes region. Steady snow tapers to snow
showers during the morning with winds shifting northwest.

Winds will likely get gusty Thursday afternoon with 35-45kt
850mb winds and decent mixing bringing some of those winds to
the surface. Given the trend in the modeled soundings &
operational runs opted to bump wind gusts into the 20-30mph
range. The highest gusts will be along the Downeast coast &
across the higher terrain. Temperatures will be at or slightly
below seasonal averages with 20s across the north and low to mid
30s southeast of the Longfellow Mtns given the downsloping and
increasing sunshine. Thu night high pressure builds in and winds
will be decreasing and the tricky part becomes who decouples by
daybreak. Opted to keep winds stirring a little but we will see
temperatures fall to -5F to 0F across the North with +5F to +10F
southeast of the Mtns.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/...
Active pattern through the long term with precip chances every
24-36 hours. Friday is looking nice generally clear skies with
high pressure anchored off the Mid Atlantic coast and 500mb
ridging moving in aloft with a trough departing into the
maritimes. Light NW flow means cold air advection will be
ongoing with cooler highs running 5 to 10 degrees below average.
Fri night into Sat high pressure slides south of the Gulf of
Maine and 500mb ridge right overhead. This will result in a
typical late February night with clear skies, light winds and
air temperatures in the single digits north and teens south.
Depending on how deep the snowpack is there may be colder spots
especially in the North Woods with single digits below zero.
Opted to go with the equally blended guidance for lows Saturday
morning.

Saturday on the backside of the high a warm front will lift
north with warm air advection precipitation developing. A potent
shortwave will be moving in from the Great Lakes with some
operational model differences in timing/placement. At the
surface a cold front will be tracking east and looks to be
potent with potential of a couple waves of Low Pressure
developing along it. Will continue with a chance of snow across
the north Sat Afternoon into Sun AM with a rain/snow mix from
Bangor to the coast. Sunday will feature winds shifting to the
northwest but there isn't much cold air to work with. If you
combined that with the fact mid to late day sunshine, higher sun
angle & only -4 to -8C 850mb temps we will see highs in the 40s
from the Highlands to the coast. Across northern areas expect
mid to upper 30s with slowly decreasing cloud cover.

Mon Night will be quiet but with 50-70 percent 850-500mb RH we
can expect a partly to mostly cloudy night resulting in warmer
than average temperatures overnight. Mon there is significant
differences in strength and organization of the next storm
system in the train. 12z ECMWF and 12z/00z GFS ops runs showed a
very potent shortwave diving south over the Great Lakes with a
weak connection to southern stream of the jet stream. At the
surface broad area of low pressure with positions varying
between Central Ontario and Northern Ohio. Either of these
solutions suggest strong warm air advection and with the lack
of high pressure to the north means a wintry mix to rain south
and snow chances north. The 00z ECMWF backed off on the potency
and whether the trough quickly negatively tilts resulting in a
new cyclone in the Gulf of Maine. Bottom line chances of snow
and rain exist but a ton of uncertainty with just enough
confidence to put chance pops in the grids. Tuesday depends on
the strength of the departing storm whether we see snow showers
or clear skies. Opted to go with slight chance pops till we get
a little closer.

&&

.AVIATION /19Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR at KBGR and KBHB, but with MVFR at times this
morning at KBHB. IFR to MVFR at the Aroostook terminals this
morning will improve to MVFR by this afternoon with MVFR
continuing into tonight with local IFR from KPQI north in any
snow showers. Northwest wind 5 to 10 knots through tonight.

SHORT TERM:
Wed...VFR clgs becoming MVFR in the early eve. MVFR clgs to
brief IFR vsby overnight with light snow at FVE, CAR, PQI & HUL.
MVFR clgs with a chance of Rain/Snow mix at BGR. MVFR clgs with
light rain chances at BHB. BHB & BGR becoming VFR by daybreak.
W-SW winds 5-15kts with gusts to 25kts possible at BHB late.
LLWS possible at BGR & BHB.

Thu... VFR at southern sites. Early IFR/MVFR clgs/vsby becoming
VFR clgs in the morning with scattered snow showers. NW winds
increasing 10-20kts with gusts to 30kts possible. LLWS possible
early at all sites.

Fri... VFR all sites. NW winds 10-15kts. NW winds shift south
overnight into Sat AM.

Sat... VFR early becoming MVFR clgs in the afternoon. Light rain
developing by sunset at BGR & BHB. Light snow developing at all
other sites. S winds 10-20kts with gusts to 25kts possible
especially at BHB.

&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: The small craft advisory was cancelled on the intra
coastal waters as the wind and seas have dropped below small
craft advisory levels. The SCA continues through tonight on the
coastal waters. Seas of 6 to 9 feet this morning will diminish
to 4 to 6 feet this afternoon, with seas running just above SCA
levels into tonight.

SHORT TERM: Wed winds/seas below SCA. Wed night SW winds
increase to SCA, 20-30kts by daybreak Thu with a few gusts to
35kts. Thu winds shift NW 20-30kts. Waves build to 4-8 feet by
Thu. Winds/waves drop below SCA Fri morning and remain below SCA
till Sat afternoon. Waves will increase to above SCA by Sat PM.

&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EST Wednesday for ANZ050-051.

&&

Near Term...Hewitt

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Caribou ME
302 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

MEZ001>006-010-011-015>017-029>032-240815-
Northwest Aroostook-Northeast Aroostook-Northern Somerset-
Northern Piscataquis-Northern Penobscot-Southeast Aroostook-
Central Piscataquis-Central Penobscot-Southern Penobscot-
Interior Hancock-Central Washington-Coastal Hancock-
Coastal Washington-Southern Piscataquis-Northern Washington-
302 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Central Highlands Maine,
Coastal DownEast Maine, Far Eastern Maine, Far Northern Maine,
Interior DownEast Maine, North Woods Maine and Penobscot Valley
Maine.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

ANZ050>052-240815-
Coastal Waters from Eastport, ME to Schoodic Point, ME out 25 NM-
Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME out 25 NM-
Intra Coastal Waters from Schoodic Point, ME to Stonington, ME-
302 AM EST Tue Feb 23 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Atlantic Coastal Waters.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures.

CB

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
108 PM EST TUE FEB 23 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0700 AM     SNOW             6 SW MARIAVILLE         44.65N 68.50W
02/23/2021  M1.5 INCH        HANCOCK            ME   COCORAHS

0700 AM     SNOW             7 SSW MARIAVILLE        44.64N 68.49W
02/23/2021  M1.5 INCH        HANCOCK            ME   COCORAHS

0700 AM     SNOW             1 E MARIAVILLE          44.72N 68.39W
02/23/2021  M2.5 INCH        HANCOCK            ME   COCORAHS

0700 AM     SNOW             1 W PRESQUE ISLE        46.68N 68.03W
02/23/2021  M2.5 INCH        AROOSTOOK          ME   COCORAHS

0700 AM     SNOW             1 N CARIBOU NWS         46.87N 68.01W
02/23/2021  M2.6 INCH        AROOSTOOK          ME   OFFICIAL NWS OBS

1248 PM     SNOW             1 S HOULTON             46.12N 67.84W
02/23/2021  E2.8 INCH        AROOSTOOK          ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM     SNOW             1 NNW ORONO             44.89N 68.68W
02/23/2021  M3.0 INCH        PENOBSCOT          ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM     SNOW             5 SW LINCOLN            45.32N 68.58W
02/23/2021  M3.5 INCH        PENOBSCOT          ME   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             1 SW ORONO              44.87N 68.69W
02/23/2021  M3.5 INCH        PENOBSCOT          ME   COCORAHS

0700 AM     SNOW             4 E GREENVILLE          45.47N 69.51W
02/23/2021  M3.5 INCH        PISCATAQUIS        ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

1007 AM     SNOW             1 NNW ABBOT             45.20N 69.46W
02/23/2021  E4.0 INCH        PISCATAQUIS        ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

0700 AM     SNOW             1 W HERMON              44.81N 68.94W
02/23/2021  M4.0 INCH        PENOBSCOT          ME   COCORAHS

0809 AM     SNOW             FORT FAIRFIELD          46.77N 67.83W
02/23/2021  M4.4 INCH        AROOSTOOK          ME   TRAINED SPOTTER

1041 AM     SNOW             TOPSFIELD               45.42N 67.73W
02/23/2021  E4.5 INCH        WASHINGTON         ME   CO-OP OBSERVER

0700 AM     SNOW             1 NE MOUNT KATAHDIN     45.91N 68.91W
02/23/2021  E5.0 INCH        PISCATAQUIS        ME   PARK/FOREST SRVC

0700 AM     SNOW             4 SW DOVER-FOXCROFT     45.14N 69.28W
02/23/2021  M5.2 INCH        PISCATAQUIS        ME   CO-OP OBSERVER

&&