Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Special Weather Statements in 2021

Special Weather Statement, NWS Binghamton, NY

July 13, 2021Luzerne County, Pennsylvania

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this special weather statement at Jul 13, 2021, 10:55 PM EDT for Luzerne County, Pennsylvania. It was in force for 50 min. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Jul 13, 2021, 10:55 PM EDT (02:55 UTC)
Expired
Jul 13, 2021, 11:45 PM EDT
In force
50 min
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY

County Luzerne County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 114 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 02:54 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 2.9 hours before the alert went out and 252 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 4 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 133 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-268 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
571 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
133 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
159 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

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What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this special weather statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this special weather statement went out at Jul 13, 9:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 13, 9:27 PM EDT, 1 hour 28 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
927 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Warm and humid conditions are expected today through Wednesday with
multiple chances of showers and thunderstorms. Some storms could be
strong, with the main threat being gusty winds. Localized flash
flooding will be possible with these repeating batches of rain.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
925 pm update...
Increased PoPs over the next couple of hours for the line of
storms moving through. High gusts and trees down have been
reported, so added wording of Damaging Winds where PoPs are
highest while keep current wording behind and far ahead of the
line. Will continue to adjust PoPs as needed as this storm
progresses through.

630 pm update...
Adjusted timing for next batch of showers and thunderstorms
moving into the area now. Lowered cloud cover early on. Upped
dewpoints. convection has a warm humid air mass with plenty of
low level instability to feed off of. Severe weather mostly due
to damaging winds will continue this evening. flash flood and
severe thunderstorm watches continue.

previous discussion...
Isolated thunderstorms have begun to fire up west of I-81
moving to the NNE. CAPE values between 2000-2500 j/kg and
effective bulk shear values between 40 and 50kts are driving the
development of these storms. Mid- level lapse rates are
pointing to a slight mid-level cap, hindering development of
some of these storms. During the early evening hours, a low
level jet around 850mb will begin to strengthen as a shortwave
trough moves into the eastern Great Lakes region. CAMs are
pointing to a better organized convective system developing and
moving across our area from west to east. Heavy rain and strong
winds are the main threats, but the possibility of a tornado
cannot be ruled out over our northern counties as 0-1 km
helicity and bulk shear values look to increase as the shortwave
trough approaches the region. Convection is expected to be over
after a little after midnight. The moist atmosphere will bring
a chance for morning fog along our river valleys and low laying
areas.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for
the our area minus the Catskills and Poconos. Heavy rain and
strong winds as the main threats. A Flash Flood Watch has also
been issued for the Twin Tiers and Wyoming Valley until midnight.
This area has been hard hit the last few days with heavy rain
and another heavy downpour could cause more flooding issues in
these sensitive areas.

Wednesday will be another active day for thunderstorms. The
shortwave trough will continue to move eastward, pushing a
boundary through our area beginning in the early afternoon.
CAMs are pointing to convection initiating along this boundary
in a SW to NE line, as bulk shear vectors will be aligned along
the boundary. CAPE values will be about 1500-2000 j/kg so there
will be a good chance for strong storms to develop. Flooding is
a concern again, considering all the rain the region has
received over the last several days. The rainfall accumulations
received on Tuesday evening will help determine flooding
threats for Wednesday evening. Highs during the day are expected
to be in the low to mid 80s. The boundary passing through the
region will help keep temperatures down.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT/...
315 PM Update...
Trends continue to suggest that weak high
pressure with drier air will work into the area during Wednesday
night and Thursday. It will remain warm, but moisture values
will drop into more comfortable levels and much of the guidance
indicates we will salvage one day this week without rain in the
area.

Meanwhile, a low amplitude trough and attendant cold front will be
moving slowly across the Great Lakes, with increasing moisture
expected ahead of its arrival on Friday. Shower and thunderstorm
chances look to ramp up again Friday through Saturday as the front
and trough slow down on their transit through the northeast.
Depending on the exact timing of upper level features and diurnal
trends in instability, a few stronger thunderstorms will be possible
Friday and Friday evening as sufficient shear and instability are
present in model solutions.

&&

.LONG TERM /SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
315 PM Update...
The long term forecast mostly hinges on the future of the
trough and cold front passing through the area during this
period. The latest model trends suggest a broadening of the
approaching trof and therefore some slowing to the approach of
the surface front. There's still significant spread in the
models, but most seem to support stalling out the trough to our
west on Saturday...and inching into CNY by Sunday. A complete
frontal passage now looks to be slowed until Monday. This would
delay any return to drier conditions until early next
week...thus shower and thunderstorm chances will last right
through the weekend. High moisture content could again spell
trouble with heavy rain and potential localized flooding.

&&

.AVIATION /02Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
740 pm update...

The first round of showers and thunderstorms has gone through
with a second round between 1 and 5z. Vsbys could drop to IFR
and cigs could drop to MVFR with any direct hit. Winds will
mostly stay below 20 kts. Behind the convection cigs will fall
to MVFR for all but ITH/SYR late tonight into Wednesday
morning.

ELM should again have IFR vsby fog late tonight with the MVFR
cigs. AVP is already in the marine air with MVFR cigs now. Cigs
should fall to IFR there from 5 to 12z. Return to VFR at all
sites by 15z.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms will drop south Wednesday
starting midday at SYR/RME then south central NY afternoon.
Coverage and confidence too low to include restrictions at this
time.

South wind at 5 to 8 kts this evening will become late and
variable late tonight. Wednesday morning southwest winds at 10
kts shift to west.

Outlook...

Wednesday night through Friday morning...Mainly VFR, but valley
fog probable for late nights-early mornings, mainly at KELM.

Friday afternoon through Sunday...Chance of showers and
thunderstorms with associated restrictions.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for PAZ038-039-
     043-044-047.
NY...Flash Flood Watch until midnight EDT tonight for NYZ022-024-
     055-056.

&&

SYNOPSIS...TAC
NEAR TERM...BTL/JTC/TAC
SHORT TERM...JAB/MPH
LONG TERM...JAB/MPH
AVIATION...TAC
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 13, 1:43 PM EDT, 9 hours 12 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
143 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

NYZ009-015>018-023-025-036-037-044-045-141745-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Schuyler-
Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
143 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about severe weather to the NWS while following local,
state and CDC guidelines.

NYZ046-057-062-PAZ040-048-072-141745-
Otsego-Delaware-Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
143 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms may occur later this afternoon and tonight.
Some storms may produce brief heavy downpours and poor drainage
flooding, but widespread hazardous weather is not expected in the
Western Catskills or Northern Poconos.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
severe weather to the NWS while following local, state and CDC
guidelines.

NYZ022-024-055-056-PAZ038-039-043-044-047-141745-
Steuben-Chemung-Tioga-Broome-Bradford-Susquehanna-Wyoming-Lackawanna-
Luzerne-
143 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT TONIGHT...
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 375 IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Flash Flood Watch.
   Severe Thunderstorm Watch.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed. Please relay any
information about severe weather to the NWS while following local,
state and CDC guidelines.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:31 PM EDT, 24 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1031 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0931 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW TIOGA CENTER      42.06N 76.39W
07/13/2021                   TIOGA              NY   911 CALL CENTER

            THUNDERSTORM WINDS KNOCKED TREE AND WIRES
            DOWN ON ROADWAY.

&&
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:37 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1037 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1016 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 E MARATHON            42.44N 75.98W
07/13/2021                   CORTLAND           NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING COLD SPRINGS ROAD AND
            PARTIALLY ON A HOUSE. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MPH
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:39 PM EDT, 16 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1039 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARATHON                42.44N 76.04W
07/13/2021                   CORTLAND           NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            TREE DOWN BLOCKING BOTH LANES ON WEST MAIN
            STREET IN MARATHON. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MPH
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:48 PM EDT, 7 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1048 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1015 PM     TSTM WND DMG     MARATHON                42.44N 76.04W
07/13/2021                   CORTLAND           NY   PUBLIC

            LARGE MAPLE TREE DOWN ACROSS ROAD IN
            MARATHON VILLAGE (SPECIFIC ROAD UNKNOWN).

&&

MPH
Local storm report, Jul 13, 10:50 PM EDT, 5 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BINGHAMTON NY
1050 PM EDT TUE JUL 13 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

1018 PM     TSTM WND DMG     3 SE MARATHON           42.41N 75.98W
07/13/2021                   CORTLAND           NY   FIRE DEPT/RESCUE

            WIRE DOWN IN SWIMMING POOL ON MERRILL CREEK
            ROAD. TIME ESTIMATED.

&&

MPH
Special weather statement, Jul 13, 10:55 PM EDT, 0 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1055 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

PAZ043-044-047-140345-
Wyoming-Luzerne-Lackawanna-
1055 PM EDT Tue Jul 13 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
LACKAWANNA...WESTERN LUZERNE AND EASTERN WYOMING COUNTIES...

At 1055 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from Glenwood to near Shickshinny. Movement
was southeast at 30 mph.

Winds in excess of 40 mph and pea size hail are possible with these
storms.

Locations impacted include...
Scranton, Wilkes-Barre, Falls, Muhlenberg, Kingston, Berwick,
Nanticoke, Plains, Old Forge and Pittston.

Heavy rainfall is also occurring with these storms, and may cause
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.

These storms may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

LAT...LON 4095 7620 4105 7623 4114 7623 4114 7628
      4121 7632 4164 7586 4164 7551 4092 7610
TIME...MOT...LOC 0255Z 296DEG 25KT 4163 7573 4112 7619

BJG

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 13, 8:27 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChemung, Schuyler, Seneca, Steuben, Tompkins, Yates48 min
Jul 13, 9:01 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCayuga, Cortland, Onondaga, Schuyler, Seneca, Tompkins59 min
Jul 13, 9:10 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chemung, Cortland, Schuyler, Tioga, Tompkins65 min
Jul 13, 9:32 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Tioga43 min
Jul 13, 9:36 PM EDTTornado WarningBGMTioga24 min
Jul 13, 9:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMCortland, Madison, Oneida, Onondaga63 min
Jul 13, 10:07 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBroome, Chenango, Cortland, Delaware, Madison, Otsego and 2 more53 min
Jul 13, 10:51 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMOneida24 min
Jul 13, 10:57 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMChenango, Delaware, Madison, Oneida, Otsego63 min
Jul 14, 12:00 AM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSullivan45 min
Jul 14, 1:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMChenango45 min
Jul 14, 1:44 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMChemung31 min
Jul 14, 1:46 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMTioga44 min
Jul 14, 2:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMTioga41 min
Jul 14, 2:38 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMOtsego52 min
Jul 14, 3:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMMadison45 min
Jul 14, 3:18 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMBroome42 min
Jul 14, 3:30 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMOtsego45 min
Jul 14, 4:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMDelaware44 min
Jul 14, 4:03 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSchuyler42 min
Jul 14, 4:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMCortland42 min
Jul 13, 8:49 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMBradford41 min
Jul 13, 9:50 PM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMBradford84 min
Jul 13, 11:25 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMLackawanna, Wayne50 min
Jul 13, 11:35 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGMLackawanna, Pike, Wayne25 min
Jul 14, 12:48 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMLuzerne117 min
Jul 14, 1:19 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMLackawanna, Luzerne, Wayne112 min
Jul 14, 3:11 AM EDTAreal Flood AdvisoryBGMPike2 hr
Jul 14, 3:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMBradford42 min
Jul 14, 4:34 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSullivan41 min
Jul 14, 5:02 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMWayne43 min
Jul 14, 5:09 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMLackawanna36 min
Jul 14, 5:39 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMWyoming36 min
Jul 14, 5:48 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMWayne42 min
Jul 14, 6:13 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMLackawanna32 min

Nearby

Special Weather Statements in Pennsylvania, 2021Every special weather statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.