Alert archive / Pennsylvania / Flash Flood Watches in 2021

Flash Flood Watch 9, NWS Binghamton, NY

August 30, 20214 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania

NWS Binghamton, NY issued this flash flood watch at Aug 30, 2021, 4:54 AM EDT for 4 counties in New York; 7 counties in Pennsylvania. It took effect at Sep 1, 2021, 8:00 AM EDT. It was in force for 18 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Aug 30, 2021, 4:54 AM EDT (08:54 UTC)
In effect from
Sep 1, 2021, 8:00 AM EDT
Expired
Sep 2, 2021, 2:25 AM EDT
In force
18 hr
Issued by
NWS Binghamton, NY
Flood severity
None

Counties Broome County, NY, Delaware County, NY, Sullivan County, NY, Tioga County, NY, Bradford County, PA, Lackawanna County, PA, Luzerne County, PA, Pike County, PA, Susquehanna County, PA, Wayne County, PA, Wyoming County, PA

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 60 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 08:55 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Albany, NY (KALY), launched 00:00Z, 8.9 hours before the alert went out and 184 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 33 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 00:00Z on 2021-08-30The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 110 square meters per square second.1939Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
33 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-100 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
753 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
110 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
146 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

877 
WGUS61 KBGM 300854
FFABGM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
454 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

PAZ043-044-047-048-072-302100-
/O.NEW.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1200Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Scranton, Tunkhannock, 
Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, and Honesdale
454 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 
THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has issued a

* Flash Flood Watch for a portion of northeast Pennsylvania, 
  including the following areas, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Southern 
  Wayne and Wyoming.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday morning.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area on 
  Wednesday into Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will interact with 
  a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of heavy rainfall 
  into parts of Northeastern Pennsylvania. There remains 
  considerable uncertainty in the exact placement of the heavy rain 
  band. Should the band shift south, the risk of flooding would be 
  lessened in Northeastern Pennsylvania. If the band shifts north, 
  heavy rainfall would affect both Northeastern Pennsylvania, the 
  Twin Tiers, and Catskills, increasing the amount of runoff going 
  into mainstem rivers. For the time being, we have limited the 
  Flash Flood Watch to focus on those areas with the highest 
  forecast confidence for impacts. Continue to monitor the forecast 
  for any changes to the Watch area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPH
11 follow-up statements
955 
WGUS61 KBGM 301914
FFABGM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
314 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-310315-
/O.EXB.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-
Including the cities of Sayre, Equinunk, Montrose, Delhi, 
Monticello, Walton, Damascus, Hallstead, and Towanda
314 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include portions of central New York and 
  northeast Pennsylvania, including the following areas, in central 
  New York, Delaware and Sullivan. In northeast Pennsylvania, 
  Bradford, Northern Wayne and Susquehanna.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area on 
  Wednesday into Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will interact with 
  a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of heavy rainfall 
  into parts of northeast Pennsylvania and south central New York. 
  The heaviest bands may product 2 to 4 inches of rain across 
  northeast Pennsylvania and into the southern Catskills in New 
  York. Flash Flooding is possible. Continue to monitor the forecast 
  for any additional changes to the watch area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

PAZ043-044-047-048-072-310315-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Scranton, Tunkhannock, 
Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, and Honesdale
314 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGH 
THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* A portion of northeast Pennsylvania, including the following 
  areas, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Pike, Southern Wayne and Wyoming.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area on 
  Wednesday into Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will interact with 
  a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of heavy rainfall 
  into parts of northeast Pennsylvania. The heaviest bands may 
  produce 3 to 5 inches of rain Wednesday night through Thursday. 
  Significant Flash Flooding is possible. Continue to monitor the 
  forecast for any additional changes to the watch area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

BJT
721 
WGUS61 KBGM 310156
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
956 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-311000-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Sayre, Equinunk, Montrose, 
Scranton, Tunkhannock, Delhi, Monticello, Walton, Wilkes-Barre, 
Hazleton, Damascus, Honesdale, Hallstead, and Towanda
956 PM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware and Sullivan. 
  In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern 
  Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, Susquehanna and Wyoming.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area on 
  Wednesday into Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will interact with 
  a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of heavy rainfall 
  into parts of northeast Pennsylvania and the western Catskills. 
  The heaviest bands may produce 3 to 5 inches of rain Wednesday 
  night through Thursday. Significant flash flooding is possible. 
  Continue to monitor the forecast for any additional changes to the 
  watch area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

TAC
924 
WGUS61 KBGM 310802
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
402 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-312015-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Sayre, Equinunk, Montrose, 
Scranton, Tunkhannock, Delhi, Monticello, Walton, Wilkes-Barre, 
Hazleton, Damascus, Honesdale, Hallstead, and Towanda
402 AM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware and Sullivan. 
  In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern 
  Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, Susquehanna and Wyoming.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area on 
  Wednesday into Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will interact with 
  a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of heavy rainfall 
  into parts of northeast Pennsylvania and the western Catskills.

The heaviest rainfall, 3 to 5 inches will fall across Luzerne, 
Southern Lackawanna, Southern Wayne, and Pike Counties In 
Pennsylvania, with even higher amounts further to the south. Lesser, 
but still significant rainfall of 1 to 3 inches will fall further to 
the north, with a very sharp cut off in rainfall expected across the 
Southern Tier counties of New York. Significant flash flooding is 
possible in the watch area. Continue to monitor the forecast for any 
additional changes.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPH
154 
WGUS61 KBGM 311922
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
322 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-010330-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Sayre, Equinunk, Montrose, 
Scranton, Tunkhannock, Delhi, Monticello, Walton, Wilkes-Barre, 
Hazleton, Damascus, Honesdale, Hallstead, and Towanda
322 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING 
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware and Sullivan. 
  In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern 
  Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, Susquehanna and Wyoming.

* From Wednesday morning through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area 
  Wednesday into early Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will 
  interact with a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of 
  heavy rainfall into parts of northeast Pennsylvania and the 
  western Catskills.

* The heaviest rainfall is expected across Luzerne, Lackawanna, 
  Southern Wayne, and Pike Counties In Pennsylvania and Sullivan 
  County in New York, with a broad area of 3 to 5 inches. There 
  could be localized amounts greater than 5 inches in this area. The 
  potential exists for significant flash flooding across the Wyoming 
  Valley and Poconos. Heavy rain will also occur along the northern 
  tier of Pennsylvania into Delaware County New York. As much as 1 
  to 3 inches is possible, which could produce flash flooding in 
  flood prone areas and locations of steep terrain. Continue to 
  monitor the forecast for any additional changes and be alert for 
  potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

BJT
652 
WGUS61 KBGM 010136
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
936 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

NYZ057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-010945-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1800Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-
Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Sayre, Equinunk, Montrose, 
Scranton, Tunkhannock, Delhi, Monticello, Walton, Wilkes-Barre, 
Hazleton, Damascus, Honesdale, Hallstead, and Towanda
936 PM EDT Tue Aug 31 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY 
THROUGH THURSDAY AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware and Sullivan. 
  In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern 
  Wayne, Pike, Southern Wayne, Susquehanna and Wyoming.

* From 8 AM EDT Wednesday through Thursday afternoon.

* The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area 
  Wednesday into early Thursday. Deep tropical moisture will 
  interact with a stalled out frontal boundary, bringing bands of 
  heavy rainfall into parts of northeast Pennsylvania and the 
  western Catskills.

* The heaviest rainfall is expected across Luzerne, Lackawanna, 
  Southern Wayne, and Pike Counties In Pennsylvania and Sullivan 
  County in New York, with a broad area of 3 to 5 inches. There 
  could be localized amounts greater than 5 inches in this area. The 
  potential exists for significant flash flooding across the Wyoming 
  Valley and Poconos. Heavy rain will also occur along the northern 
  tier of Pennsylvania into Delaware County New York. As much as 1 
  to 3 inches is possible, which could produce flash flooding in 
  flood prone areas and locations of steep terrain. Continue to 
  monitor the forecast for any additional changes and be alert for 
  potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

TAC
717 
WGUS61 KBGM 010818
FFABGM

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

NYZ055-056-012000-
/O.EXB.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tioga-Broome-
Including the cities of Owego, Waverly, and Binghamton
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING THROUGH 
11AM THURSDAY MORNING...

The National Weather Service in Binghamton has expanded the

* Flash Flood Watch to include a portion of central New York, 
  including the following areas, Broome and Tioga.

* From 8 AM EDT this morning through Thursday morning.

* * The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area today 
  into early Thursday morning. Deep tropical moisture will stream to 
  the north, interacting with a stalled out frontal boundary. This 
  will bring bands of heavy rainfall into parts of northeast 
  Pennsylvania, the Twin Tiers, and the western Catskills.

* The heaviest rainfall will occur south of the New 
  York/Pennsylvania Border. However, amounts of 1.50 to 2.50 inches 
  will be possible in southern portions of Broome and Tioga Counties 
  in New York. Small stream basins south of the Susquehanna River, 
  which stretch further south into Pennsylvania will be most 
  susceptible for flash flooding, as well as small stream basins in 
  far southeastern Broome County. Rainfall is expected to diminish 
  sharply over northern portions of Broome and Tioga Counties.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-012000-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern
Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Equinunk, Scranton, Tunkhannock, 
Monticello, Damascus, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, and Honesdale
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING 
THROUGH 11 AM THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Sullivan. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern Wayne, Pike, Southern 
  Wayne and Wyoming.

* From 8 AM EDT this morning through Thursday morning.

* * The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area today 
  into early Thursday morning. Deep tropical moisture will stream to 
  the north, interacting with a stalled out frontal boundary. This 
  will bring bands of heavy rainfall into parts of northeast 
  Pennsylvania, the Twin Tiers, and the western Catskills.

* * The heaviest rainfall of 4 to 6 inches is expected to fall 
  across the Wyoming Valley into the Poconos and Southern Catskills. 
  Localized amounts of over 7 inches will be possible, especially in 
  areas of steep terrain. The heaviest rainfall rates will occur 
  late this afternoon into the overnight hours. The potential exists 
  for major flash flooding in the Wyoming Valley, Poconos, and 
  Catskills, including the Scranton to Wilkes-Barre urban corridor. 
  Continue to monitor the forecast for any additional changes and be 
  alert for potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ057-PAZ038-039-012000-
/O.EXT.KBGM.FF.A.0009.210901T1200Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Including the cities of Sayre, Montrose, Delhi, Walton, Hallstead, 
and Towanda
418 AM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM EDT THIS MORNING 
THROUGH 11 AM THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch is now in effect for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Bradford and Susquehanna.

* From 8 AM EDT this morning through Thursday morning.

* * The remnants of Hurricane Ida will pass south of the area today 
  into early Thursday morning. Deep tropical moisture will stream to 
  the north, interacting with a stalled out frontal boundary. This 
  will bring bands of heavy rainfall into parts of northeast 
  Pennsylvania, the Twin Tiers, and the western Catskills.

* * The heaviest rainfall is expected to fall across the Wyoming 
  Valley and into the Southern Catskills and Poconos. However, 2 to 
  3 inches, with localized amounts of over 4 inches, will fall 
  across the Nothern Tier of Pennsylvania into Delaware County in 
  New York. Rainfall rates will be heaviest late this afternoon and 
  into tonight. Flash flooding is likely to occur in flood prone 
  areas and locations of steep terrain. Continue to monitor the 
  forecast for any additional changes and be alert for potential 
  Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPH
178 
WGUS61 KBGM 011911
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
311 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-020415-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern
Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Equinunk, Scranton, Tunkhannock, 
Monticello, Damascus, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, and Honesdale
311 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Sullivan. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern Wayne, Pike, Southern 
  Wayne and Wyoming.

* Through Thursday morning.

* Heavy rain stemming from the remnants of tropical storm Ida will 
  continue this evening and tonight. The heaviest rain will remain 
  focused over the Wyoming Valley and the Poconos in northeast 
  Pennsylvania, and Sullivan County in New York.

* An additional 2 to 4 inches is expected to fall on areas that have 
  already seen 1 to 3 inches as of this afternoon. Heavy rainfall 
  rates on a saturated ground will likely induce further flash 
  flooding. Continue to monitor the forecast for any additional 
  changes and be alert for potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ055>057-PAZ038-039-020415-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Including the cities of Waverly, Sayre, Montrose, Delhi, Walton, 
Binghamton, Owego, Hallstead, and Towanda
311 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Broome, Delaware and 
  Tioga. In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford and Susquehanna.

* Through Thursday morning.

* Heavy rain stemming from the remnants of Tropical Storm Ida will 
  continue this evening and tonight across the northern tier of 
  northeast Pennsylvania and portions of the southern tier of New 
  York and Delaware County.

* Additional rainfall amounts of 1 to 3 inches are possible on top 
  of a half to one inch of rain that has already fallen today. 
  Localized rainfall rates close to 1 inch per hour could lead to 
  scattered flash flooding. Flash flooding is possible, especially 
  in flood prone areas and locations of steep terrain. Continue to 
  monitor the forecast for any additional changes and be alert for 
  potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

BJT
746 
WGUS61 KBGM 020047
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
847 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

NYZ055-056-PAZ038-020200-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Tioga-Broome-Bradford-
Including the cities of Owego, Waverly, Sayre, Binghamton, and 
Towanda
847 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for portions of central New York and northeast 
Pennsylvania, including the following areas, in central New York, 
Broome and Tioga. In northeast Pennsylvania, Bradford has been 
cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled.

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-043-044-047-048-072-020900-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern
Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Equinunk, Scranton, Tunkhannock, 
Monticello, Damascus, Wilkes-Barre, Hazleton, and Honesdale
847 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Sullivan. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Luzerne, Northern Wayne, Pike, Southern 
  Wayne and Wyoming.

* Through Thursday morning.

* Heavy rain stemming from the remnants of tropical storm Ida will 
  continue this evening and tonight. The heaviest rain will remain 
  focused over the Wyoming Valley and the Poconos in northeast 
  Pennsylvania, and Sullivan County in New York.

* An additional 1 to 3 inches is expected to fall on areas that have 
  already seen 2 to 4 inches as of 8 PM this evening. Heavy rainfall 
  rates on a saturated ground will likely induce further flash 
  flooding. Continue to monitor the forecast for any additional 
  changes and be alert for Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ057-PAZ039-020900-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Susquehanna-
Including the cities of Walton, Delhi, Hallstead, and Montrose
847 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Delaware. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Susquehanna.

* Through Thursday morning.

* Heavy rain stemming from the remnants of Tropical Storm Ida will 
  continue this evening and tonight across the northern tier of 
  northeast Pennsylvania and portions of the southern tier of New 
  York and Delaware County.

* Additional rainfall amounts of up to 2 inches are possible on top 
  of the 1 to 3 inches of rain that has already fallen as of 8 PM 
  this evening. Localized rainfall rates close to 1 inch per hour 
  could lead to scattered flash flooding. Flash flooding is 
  possible, especially in flood prone areas and locations of steep 
  terrain. Continue to monitor the forecast for any additional 
  changes and be alert for potential Flash Flood Warnings.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

TAC
587 
WGUS61 KBGM 020355
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1155 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

PAZ039-043-047-020500-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Susquehanna-Wyoming-Luzerne-
Including the cities of Hazleton, Tunkhannock, Hallstead, 
Wilkes-Barre, and Montrose
1155 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of northeast Pennsylvania, 
including the following areas, Luzerne, Susquehanna, and Wyoming has 
been cancelled.

Heavy rainfall has shifted east of the area, ending the threat of 
localized flash flooding. Some rivers continue to run high, 
including the Lackawaxen and Lackawanna, and may continue to flood 
as runoff continues.

$$

NYZ062-PAZ040-044-048-072-021200-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-Northern Wayne-Lackawanna-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Milford, Equinunk, Scranton, Monticello, 
Damascus, and Honesdale
1155 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of central New York and northeast Pennsylvania, including 
  the following areas, in central New York, Sullivan. In northeast 
  Pennsylvania, Lackawanna, Northern Wayne, Pike and Southern Wayne.

* Until 11 AM EDT Thursday.

* While heavy rainfall is diminishing across the area, flash flood 
  reports continue to be received due to continued runoff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ057-021200-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-
Including the cities of Walton and Delhi
1155 PM EDT Wed Sep 1 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THURSDAY...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York, including the following area, 
  Delaware.

* Until 11 AM EDT Thursday.

* Moderate rainfall continues to effect eastern Delaware County, 
  through the heaviest rain has fallen further to the south and 
  east. Localized flash flooding will still be a threat until the 
  rain moves out of the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPH
587 
WGUS61 KBGM 020508
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

PAZ040-044-048-072-020615-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Northern Wayne-Lackawanna-Pike-Southern Wayne-
Including the cities of Scranton, Damascus, Milford, Honesdale, and 
Equinunk
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of northeast Pennsylvania, 
including the following areas, Lackawanna, Northern Wayne, Pike and 
Southern Wayne has been cancelled.

Heavy rain has moved out of the region, allowing the Flood Watch to 
be cancelled. Rivers and streams are still high in places, but are 
beginning to recede.

$$

NYZ062-021315-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Sullivan-
Including the cities of Monticello
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS 
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York, including the following area, 
  Sullivan.

* Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* While heavy rainfall is diminishing across the area, flash flood 
  reports continue to be received due to continued runoff.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

NYZ057-021315-
/O.CON.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-
Including the cities of Walton and Delhi
108 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT THIS 
MORNING...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* A portion of central New York, including the following area, 
  Delaware.

* Until 11 AM EDT this morning.

* Moderate rainfall continues to effect eastern Delaware County, 
  through the heaviest rain has fallen further to the south and 
  east. Localized flash flooding will still be a threat until the 
  rain moves out of the area.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action 
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

$$

MPH
195 
WGUS61 KBGM 020625
FFABGM

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
225 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

NYZ057-062-020730-
/O.CAN.KBGM.FF.A.0009.000000T0000Z-210902T1500Z/
/00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/
Delaware-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Walton, Delhi, and Monticello
225 AM EDT Thu Sep 2 2021

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IS CANCELLED...

The Flash Flood Watch for a portion of central New York, including 
the following areas, Delaware and Sullivan Counties has been 
cancelled.

The Flood Watch is cancelled. Rain has ended across the area, and 
flood waters will continue to recede. Please continue to heed 
remaining road closures, and be aware that some washouts may not 
have been discovered and blocked yet.

$$

MPH

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood watch went out at Aug 30, 4:43 AM EDT, 11 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Aug 30, 4:43 AM EDT, 11 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
443 AM EDT Mon Aug 30 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A cold front will move through today bringing scattered showers
and thunderstorms followed by cooler, less humid and drier
conditions on Tuesday. We continue to watch the potential for
heavy rain associated with the remnants of Ida midweek,
especially across Northeast PA. Drying out and seasonable for
the end of the work week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...

440 AM Update...

Rather unsettled weather expected today across the region, with
morning clouds and scattered showers out ahead of a cold frontal
boundary. The second, main cold front moves through later this
afternoon, with more scattered showers and thunderstorms
possible. Dry air in the mid levels (700mb) of the atmosphere
will race into the area from the west, reaching the western
portion of our forecast area by around 2 PM, then the rest of
the area by early evening. This will act to cap the convection
this afternoon, but even so, there should still be some isolated
to scattered activity around. The best chance and coverage of
the showers/storms is expected to be from the eastern southern
tier of NY south into NE PA, mainly from late morning into the
afternoon hours. Any t'storms that do develop could produce
locally heavy downpours and gusty winds. PWATs start out around
1.75 inches through early afternoon, then slowly drop off as
drier air advects in. MLCAPE is forecast between 700-1500 J/Kg,
with DCAPE values up around 1000 J/Kg as well. Deep layer, 0-6km
shear will be around 20-25 kts. It will still be warm and humid
today, with highs 80-85 expected.

Conditions quickly dry out this evening, with skies becoming
partly sunny. Dry and quiet weather continues overnight with
partial clearing and patchy valley fog. Overnight lows dip down
between 60-65.

Quiet weather continues on Tuesday, after some morning valley
fog expect filtered sunshine through a high level (200-400mb)
layer of cirrus clouds. Some lower level strato-cu clouds also
develop by midday and into the afternoon. Overall, it should be
a partly sunny day and less humid. Surface dew points fall back
into the upper 50s and lower 60s in the afternoon. Daytime highs
are forecast to reach 75 to 80 degrees under a light northwest
wind of 6-12 mph. Any rain from the remnants of Ida look to hold
off until after sunset, even across our far southern zones.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT/...
This forecast
period is dominated by what the remnants of IDA will do for
northeast PA/central NY as the storm merges with the westerlies
and goes through extratropical transition.

During the day Tuesday, the low-level frontal boundary will be
somewhere across PA to southeast NY and southern New England. The
center of IDA is projected to be moving across central Tennessee as
per NHC track. Meanwhile a closed upper level low will be spinning
over Quebec. Hence at upper levels, there will be westerly flow and
increasing confluence and upper level jet streak development over
northern New England/southeast Canada. For much of the day Tuesday,
this process will be taking place and not as well developed as per
models. Hence models don't have much showers or thunderstorm
activity Tuesday. But, we have to watch for any predecessor
rainfall (PRE) Tuesday into Tuesday night as the dynamical set-
up improves. Who knows where this would set-up.

The 12z models paint this picture: an upper level wave will move
into the Great Lakes/Upper Midwest Tuesday which will eventually
interact with the remnants of IDA. As this occurs, the upper level
trough will sharpen up over the eastern Ohio valley Wednesday. This
development will increase the upper level jet streak over far
northern New England or southeast Canada putting NY and PA in the
right entrance region. This will lead to low-level frontogenesis
along the stalled frontal boundary associated with the ageostrophic
thermally direct circulation. This process is very effective at
focusing precipitation into bands and with tropical moisture
wherever this sets up likely will see flash flood and potentially
river flooding.

Where the uncertainty lies is of course where this heavy
rain band sets up and hence where flash flood/river flood
potential will be. There are many factors that lead to much
uncertainty in trying to call where this happens this far out.
First of all, how quickly IDA goes through extratropical
transition will determine the speed that the storm tracks. A
quicker transition will slow IDAs remnants down and lead to
heavier rain. A slower transition will lead to the storm moving
faster to the east and less on the heavy rain. Compounding this
uncertainty is the models difficulty in handling the convective
processes (look at 12z NAM for example in VA/MD/southern PA
Wednesday) and diabatic heating aloft w/ tropical systems. A
stronger tropical system would lead to more diabatic heating and
more upper ridging ahead of it. This in turn increases the
above mentioned upper jet streak circulation and in general
would lead to a more northwest shift of the heavy rain band and
max QPF axis.

The 12Z NAM has too much convective feedback and hence QPF in my
opinion is too far south given the pattern this model shows. The 12Z
GFS is farther northwest with the QPF axis having it across
northeast PA with a surface low over southeast PA. The upper level
jet streak is also farther north than NAM which makes sense. But if
the GFS mass fields verify the max QPF axis would be farther
northwest and unfortunately affect a large part of the upper
Susquehanna and Delaware River Basins which would not be good
news at all. As mentioned above, the 12z GFS and NAM both don't
have much if any predecessor rain (PRE) along the front
Tuesday/Tuesday night either and a quick moving storm would cut
potential for major flooding down. However, we can't assume that
will be correct. The GFS has an axis of 5-6" of rain from
southwest PA to northeast PA / southeast NY. The NAM has similar
amounts but across mainly south central and southeast PA. We
believe potential exists for at least 5-6" anywhere from south
central NY down to southern PA depending on how things play out
as mentioned above.

Given all the uncertainities outlined above it is prudent to
consider potential for river flood and flash flooding for most of
our forecast area especially Susquehanna, and Delaware River Basins
and even Chemung basin. We concur with MARFCs significant flood
potential outlook for all of our basins in their service area. It
is hard to image a scenario that the heaviest rain falls across
our Finger Lakes and Upper Mohawk River Valleys but there is
still some potential given the uncertainties. We will highlight
potential river flooding and flash flooding in HWO and issue our
first DSS briefing on this flood potential.

&&

.LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
Thursday will see the remnants of IDA moving east of the region
with a strong cold front and much cooler and less humid air
moving into our region. Lingering rain and showers are still
possible Thursday morning due to the uncertainties in timing and
extratropical transition of IDA.

For Friday and Saturday, upper level ridging with a surface high
pressure to our north should keep fair and dry weather over NY and
PA. By Sunday, next upper level trough digs in with a shot of
more showers.

&&

.AVIATION /08Z MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
200 AM Update

The marine layer of low clouds has been mainly pushed into the
Catskills and Poconos as this time, by an increasing westerly
flow. This is leading to VFR conditions areawide at this time,
with just mid level clouds rolling through. Model guidance still
wants to bring back some patches of lower clouds and perhaps
some mist before daybreak; therefore still have fuel alternate
CIGs moving into RME and SYR by about 10z along the frontal
boundary...there could also be some rain showers and perhaps a
rumble of thunder here during the morning hours. Could see
brief, tempo IFR conditions in any showers; again mainly 11-15z
this morning.

ITH/ELM/BGM have the potential of fuel alternate cigs starting
early this morning; likely between 8z-12z. These lower CIGS
will be associated with the front dropping through from the
north and there could also be some rain showers. Clouds should
begin to slowly lift and scatter back to VFR after about 17-18z
this afternoon. Could see an isolated thunderstorm, but not
enough confidence to put in the tafs at this time. Then, it
should remain VFR here into the evening and at least first half
of the overnight period.

AVP: May have some fuel alternate to borderline IFR marine later
clouds/CIGS around this morning. These should lift to MVFR by
15z, then VFR after about 17z. There will however, still be a
chance for a few showers or isolated thunderstorm into the
afternoon hours as the weak front pushes through. Otherwise,
remaining VFR here for the evening hours.

Winds this morning south to southwest at 5 kts. This afternoon winds
shift to west midday at 6-12 kts.

Outlook...

Tonight...Mainly VFR. Valley fog late especially ELM.

Tuesday...Mainly VFR. Slight chance for a late day shower, with
increasing clouds.

Wednesday....Restrictions possible in steady to even
occasionally heavy rain; mainly BGM, ELM and AVP. Possibly drier
up north.

Thursday into Friday...Lingering morning showers Thursday, then
drying out and likely VFR.

&&

.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...DJN/MJM
NEAR TERM...MJM
SHORT TERM...DJN
LONG TERM...DJN
AVIATION...MJM/TAC
Hazardous weather outlook, Aug 29, 3:10 PM EDT, 13 hours 44 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
310 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044-301915-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-
310 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Scattered thunderstorms during the late afternoon and evening may
cause locally heavy rainfall which could lead to flash flooding in a
few already-saturated areas.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NYZ045-046-055>057-062-PAZ038>040-043-044-047-048-072-301915-
Chenango-Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Delaware-Sullivan-Bradford-Susquehanna-
Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
310 PM EDT Sun Aug 29 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

The remnants of Hurricane Ida will move through the Middle Atlantic
States Wednesday and Wednesday night bring a round of heavy rain with
it. At this time, it appears the heaviest rain will stay south of
northeast Pennsylvania, the Catskills and south central New York.
However, enough uncertainty exists that should the storm track
farther north, there is a potential for very heavy rainfall and
major flash flooding and river flooding. All those with interests
along our main stem rivers and in flood prone areas should continue
to monitor later forecasts as Ida moves north Monday and Tuesday.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NICOSIA

The office that day

Everything else NWS Binghamton, NY issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Aug 30, 2:55 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementBGMSullivan35 min

Nearby

Flash Flood Watches in Pennsylvania, 2021Flash Flood Watches in New York, 2021Every flash flood watch in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.