Alert archive / New York / Winter Storm Watches in 2021
Winter Storm Watch 4, NWS Albany, NY
NWS Albany, NY issued this winter storm watch at Feb 13, 2021, 3:40 PM EST for 4 states. It took effect at Feb 15, 2021, 1:00 PM EST. It was in force for .
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 13, 2021, 3:40 PM EST (20:40 UTC)
- In effect from
- Feb 15, 2021, 1:00 PM EST
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2021, 4:43 AM EST
- In force
- Issued by
- NWS Albany, NY
Counties Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT, Berkshire County, MA, Albany County, NY, Columbia County, NY, Dutchess County, NY, Fulton County, NY, Greene County, NY, Hamilton County, NY, Herkimer County, NY, Montgomery County, NY, Rensselaer County, NY, Saratoga County, NY, Schenectady County, NY, Schoharie County, NY, Ulster County, NY, Warren County, NY, Washington County, NY, Bennington County, VT, Windham County, VT
The radar
The Albany radar (KENX), 24 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:39 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.
Open the radar archive at this moment
The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.
The nearest sounding before it
Albany, NY (KALY), launched 12:00Z, 8.7 hours before the alert went out and 7 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- No buoyant parcel
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1342 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 83 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -132 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -27 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
The text
As transmitted.
102 WWUS41 KALY 132040 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 340 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-141000- /O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton- Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Northern Fulton- Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 340 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more possible. * WHERE...The western and southern Adirondacks, Mohawk and Schoharie Valleys, Capital District, Lake George Saratoga Region and northern Taconics. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MAZ001-VTZ013>015-141000- /O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Berkshire-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 340 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more possible. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington, Western Windham and Eastern Windham Counties. In Massachusetts, Northern Berkshire County. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ058-063-141000- /O.NEW.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Western Greene-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 340 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more and some icing possible. * WHERE...Western Greene and Western Ulster Counties. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow could mix with or change to sleet or freezing rain, especially Monday night into Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
5 follow-up statements
220 WWUS41 KALY 140248 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 948 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-082>084-141100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton- Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington- Schoharie-Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady- Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Northern Fulton- Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 948 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more possible. * WHERE...The western and southern Adirondacks, Mohawk and Schoharie Valleys, Capital District, Lake George Saratoga Region and northern Taconics. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MAZ001-VTZ013>015-141100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Berkshire-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 948 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 6 inches or more possible. * WHERE...In Vermont, Bennington, Western Windham and Eastern Windham Counties. In Massachusetts, Northern Berkshire County. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ058-063-141100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1500Z-210216T2100Z/ Western Greene-Western Ulster- Including the cities of Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, and Sundown 948 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY MORNING THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 7 inches or more and some icing possible. * WHERE...Western Greene and Western Ulster Counties. * WHEN...From Monday morning through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow could mix with or change to sleet or freezing rain, especially Monday night into Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
764 WWUS41 KALY 140847 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 347 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ032-033-038>043-082>084-142200- /O.EXT.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1800Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Southern Fulton- Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren-Northern Washington- Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, Caroga Lake, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 347 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations in excess of 7 inches possible. Some sleet could mix in at times. * WHERE...The Mohawk Valley, southern Adirondacks, and Lake George Saratoga Region in eastern New York. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ047>054-058-063-VTZ013>015-142200- /O.EXT.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1800Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Berkshire-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Western Ulster-Bennington-Western Windham- Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 347 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow and sleet accumulations in excess of 6 inches and ice accumulations in excess of one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...Southern Vermont, the northern Berkshires in western Massachusetts, and the eastern Catskills, Schoharie Valley, Capital District, Helderbergs, and northern Taconics in east central New York. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
750 WWUS41 KALY 142046 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 346 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ032-033-038-042-043-082-150500- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T1800Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WS.W.0003.210216T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, and Caroga Lake 346 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. * WHERE...The southern Adirondacks, Lake George Region, and southern Herkimer County. * WHEN...From 7 PM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow could mix with sleet for a short time early Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ059>061-064>066-150500- /O.EXB.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 346 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations between one tenth and one third of an inch possible. * WHERE...The mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ NYZ039>041-083-084-150500- /O.EXT.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington- Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 346 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches possible. * WHERE...Northern Saratoga, Montgomery, Southern Washington, Southeast Warren and Southern Fulton Counties. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to mix with sleet at times late Monday night into Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ047>054-058-063-VTZ013>015-150500- /O.EXT.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Berkshire-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Western Ulster-Bennington-Western Windham- Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 346 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH NOW IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...The Capital District, Schoharie Valley, eastern Catskills, northern Taconics and northern Berkshires. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
148 WWUS41 KALY 150246 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 946 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 NYZ032-033-038-042-043-082-151100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.210216T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, and Caroga Lake 946 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM MONDAY TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 6 to 12 inches. * WHERE...The southern Adirondacks, Lake George Region, and southern Herkimer County. * WHEN...From 7 PM Monday to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow could mix with sleet for a short time early Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ NYZ039>041-083-084-151100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington- Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, and North Easton 946 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy snow possible. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 9 inches possible. * WHERE...Northern Saratoga, Montgomery, Southern Washington, Southeast Warren and Southern Fulton Counties. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snow is expected to mix with sleet at times late Monday night into Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ MAZ001-NYZ047>054-058-063-VTZ013>015-151100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Berkshire-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany- Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer- Western Greene-Western Ulster-Bennington-Western Windham- Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 946 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of 3 to 7 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch possible. * WHERE...The Capital District, Schoharie Valley, eastern Catskills, northern Taconics and northern Berkshires. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ025-NYZ059>061-064>066-151100- /O.CON.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Southern Berkshire- Eastern Greene-Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 946 PM EST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...WINTER STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH TUESDAY AFTERNOON... * WHAT...Heavy mixed precipitation possible. Total snow accumulations of up to 3 inches and ice accumulations between one tenth and one third of an inch possible. * WHERE...The mid Hudson Valley, central and southern Taconics, southern Berkshires and Litchfield Hills. * WHEN...From Monday afternoon through Tuesday afternoon. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the morning or evening commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Monitor the latest forecasts for updates on this situation. && $$
210 WWUS41 KALY 150943 WSWALY URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Albany NY 443 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 NYZ032-033-038-042-043-082-152200- /O.CON.KALY.WS.W.0003.210216T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Northern Fulton- Including the cities of Big Moose, Eagle Bay, McKeever, Old Forge, Atwell, Nobleboro, Northwood, Long Lake, Sabattis, Hoffmeister, Wells, Ilion, Herkimer, Little Falls, Mohawk, Frankfort, Dolgeville, Bolton Landing, Johnsburg, North Creek, North River, Warrensburg, Hague, Huletts Landing, Whitehall, Granville, and Caroga Lake 443 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 5 to 10 inches. * WHERE...The southern Adirondacks, Lake George Region, and southern Herkimer County. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Travel could be very difficult. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates will reach an inch per hour Monday night into Tuesday morning with visibilities below a half a mile. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in your vehicle in case of an emergency. && $$ CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ058>061-063>066-152200- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0011.210216T0000Z-210216T1800Z/ Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Western Greene-Eastern Greene-Western Columbia- Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster-Western Dutchess- Eastern Dutchess- Including the cities of Torrington, Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford, Terryville, Thomaston, Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida, North Adams, Sandisfield, Great Barrington, South Egremont, Hunter, Tannersville, Windham, Prattsville, Catskill, Coxsackie, Athens, Cairo, Jefferson Heights, Hudson, New Lebanon, Ellenville, Woodstock, West Hurley, West Shokan, Kerhonkson, Napanoch, Sundown, Kingston, New Paltz, Poughkeepsie, Beacon, Arlington, Pawling, Wingdale, Dover Plains, Millbrook, Stanfordville, Pine Plains, and Amenia 443 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of one to two inches and flat ice accumulations of up to two tenths of an inch. * WHERE...Litchfield County in northwestern Connecticut, eastern Catskills, mid Hudson Valley, southern and central Taconics in eastern New York, and the Berkshires of western Massachusetts. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 1 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday morning commute. Isolated power outages and tree damage may be due to the icing. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...The precipitation will begin as snow Monday night and quickly transition to sleet and freezing rain shortly before or just after midnight.Periods of freezing rain will transition to plain rain late Tuesday morning. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$ NYZ039>041-047>054-083-084-VTZ013>015-152200- /O.UPG.KALY.WS.A.0004.210215T2100Z-210216T2100Z/ /O.NEW.KALY.WW.Y.0011.210216T0000Z-210216T2100Z/ Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Schoharie- Western Schenectady-Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga- Western Albany-Eastern Albany-Western Rensselaer- Eastern Rensselaer-Southeast Warren-Southern Washington- Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- Including the cities of Gloversville, Johnstown, Amsterdam, Saratoga Lake, Saratoga Springs, Cobleskill, Breakabeen, Gilboa, Livingstonville, Middleburgh, North Blenheim, Jefferson, Mariaville, Delanson, Duanesburg, Schenectady, Rotterdam, Burnt Hills, Ballston Spa, Mechanicville, Clifton Park, Waterford, Westerlo, Altamont, Berne, Knox, Preston Hollow, Albany, Troy, Berlin, Eagle Bridge, Hoosick Falls, Stephentown, Glens Falls, West Glens Falls, Hudson Falls, Fort Edward, Cambridge, Greenwich, Middle Falls, North Easton, Stamford, Bennington, Woodford State Park, Pownal, Stratton, Londonderry, Brattleboro, Guilford Center, West Brattleboro, and Bellows Falls 443 AM EST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 4 PM EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Mixed precipitation expected. Total snow and sleet accumulations of 2 to 5 inches and ice accumulations of around one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Southern Vermont and the Schoharie Valley, central and western Mohawk Valley, Helderbergs, Capital Region, northern Taconics, and the Glens Falls and Saratoga Region of eastern New York. * WHEN...From 7 PM this evening to 4 PM EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions will impact the Tuesday morning commute. * ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Snowfall rates of a half an inch an hour are possible Monday night before a transition to sleet and freezing rain Tuesday morning. The mixed precipitation will taper off early Tuesday afternoon. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. && $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this winter storm watch went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albany, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before this winter storm watch went out at Feb 13, 12:45 PM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 13, 12:45 PM EST, 2 hours 55 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 1245 PM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 .SYNOPSIS... Cold temperatures with mostly cloudy skies today. Some light snow is possible tonight into early Sunday. Temperatures will return closer to normal for Sunday. Another weak system is expected to bring light snow on Monday, with a more widespread snowfall expected Monday night into Tuesday. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/... As of 1245 PM EST...Satellite imagery revealing a fairly large area of clearing with just scattered high level clouds across a good portion of the area from around the Capital District northward. Lowered cloud cover for the afternoon in these areas. Even across southern areas only broken high level clouds in place. Despite more in the way of sunshine, temperatures will remain cold. Dry conditions to persist through early this evening. A cold and dry airmass continues to feed into the forecast area from a ridge of high pressure folding in from southeast Canada. Highs will once again be in the chilly side due to the feed of Arctic air from the north along with the limited insolation, with upper teens to mid-20s expected. Some weak isentropic lift begins late in the day in response to low-amplitude shortwave energy approaching upstream, but with dry low levels precip will likely not reach the ground until after 6 PM. && .SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/... A couple of subtle features embedded in the very strong midlevel flow downstream of the orphaned polar vortex over the upper Midwest/southern Canada may result in some nuisance wintry precip tonight/Sunday morning and again Monday. Tonight, weak isentropic lift continues in response to a low-amplitude shortwave trough quickly moving just north of the St. Lawrence Valley. This will result in an increase in relative humidity in the 925 to 700 mb layer from south to north. However, model forecast soundings and time-height sections show a dearth of moisture above 700 mb. So the absence of lift through a deep saturated layer will keep QPF rather light, likely AOB 0.10" for the area. Also, the temperature in the saturated layer will be warmer than -10C, leading to the possibility of freezing drizzle/snizzle in addition to light snow. Given the elusive nature of FZDZ and the lack of QPF, it is uncertain if FZDZ would have much of an impact even if it developed, so will refrain from issuing any headlines at this time. Will gradually ramp up PoPs from chance prior to 06Z Sun to high chance/low likely 06-12Z. Temps likely fairly steady in the teens and low 20s tonight. Expect any lingering light precip to end by mid-morning Sunday as the flow goes back down the isentropes with a ridge of high pressure once again nosing in. Models suggest deeper mixing than in recent days, so the high temperature is expected to be a bit milder and back closer to seasonal normals in the mid-20s to mid-30s. Some breaks in the cloud cover are possible especially along/north of I- 90 in the afternoon. The brief period of tranquil weather is likely to continue for Sunday night before the next system arrives. If we see a bit of clearing, lows could end up well below guidance. However, degree of clearing is uncertain. For now will hedge a bit lower than blended guidance with lows ranging from the mid-single digits over the southern Adirondacks where clearing is most likely, to low 20s over southern zones where clouds are likely to be thicker. Will begin some slight chance PoPs 09Z accounting for uncertainty with the timing of the next system. Monday, another weak ripple in the strong midlevel flow is likely to trigger another weak bout of isentropic lift. Since the midlevel feature is so subtle, there is low confidence in timing of the associated precipitation, but generally the highest PoPs in the likely-categorical range are indicated 18Z Mon to 00Z Tue. Again, models suggest some loss of moisture above 700 (and especially 500) mb, but will refrain from including any FZDZ at this time. This looks like another nuisance event, but possibly a bit heavier than tonight's event. Early forecast for accum is mainly 2 inches or less, highest west of the Hudson Valley. The 0C wet bulb temp aloft is forecast to approach the Mid Hudson Valley and NW CT, so will include some mixed precip mention, although QPF appears to be very light here. Cut down highs from NBM guidance a couple degrees given expected clouds and cold drainage flow; expecting mainly 20s. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Active weather pattern with two systems expected to impact the region: 1) Monday night into Tuesday night and 2) Thursday into Friday. Both systems will be southern stream systems and are expected to tap into plenty of moisture. Guidance is similar with the track of the first system with the surface low passing just south of Long Island, however not with its timing. The GFS is faster than the ECMWF with the NAM more similar to the ECMWF. Guidance from the Weather Prediction Center prefers a solution somewhere between that of the ECMWF/GFS. Based in this forecast has precipitation overspreading the area overnight Monday night into early Tuesday then continuing through the day Tuesday with a widespread moderate to heavy snowfall. Guidance indicates some warmer air moves in aloft resulting in chances for sleet and freezing rain across portions of the mid-Hudson Valley, northwestern Connecticut into the Berkshires. This would cuts back on the expected snowfall in these areas. Only a brief break between systems is expected overnight Tuesday into Wednesday night as high pressure slides across the region. Uncertainty with the second system is much greater as the track is very much in question, however the signal is there for a widespread precipitation event. The GFS passes the low to our northwest and the ECMWF to our southeast. The GFS track puts our area on the warmer side of the system with a transition from snow to ice and then rain for most areas. The ECMWF track has the area on the colder side which favors mostly all snow with a wintry mix possible to the south and east of the Capital District pending on how far north the warm nose gets. With the system several days out have favored a blended approach and have snow initially overspreading the area Thursday into Thursday evening with a wintry mix developing southeast of the Capital District. Below normal temperatures expected to continue with a trend toward normal by the end of the week possible. && .AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... An approaching upper level disturbance will bring some spotty light snow or sleet to the TAF sites tonight into Sunday morning. VFR conditions should prevail through at least 00Z/Sun. Then, we expect lower clouds and spotty light snow to develop from southwest to northeast between roughly 03Z-07Z/Sun. Slightly warmer air aloft may allow for a mix of light snow and sleet at KPOU and KPSF. Flight categories should fall into the MVFR range for Cigs, and MVFR/IFR for Vsbys as the precipitation develops. There could be patchy freezing drizzle at KPOU and KPSF as well between 10Z-14Z/Sun, although overall probabilities remain low and therefore will keep out mention in current TAFs. The light snow/sleet should gradually taper off from NW to SE between 14Z-16Z/Sun. Vsbys should gradually improve during this time to VFR, although MVFR Cigs may linger through or shortly after 18Z/Sun. North/northeast winds will average 5-10 KT this afternoon, then decrease to less than 5 KT tonight. Winds will then back into the west to northwest at less than 5 KT Sunday morning, although may remain light/variable at KGFL. Outlook... Sunday: Low Operational Impact. Slight Chance of SN. Sunday Night: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. Washingtons Birthday: High Operational Impact. Likely SN. Monday Night: High Operational Impact. Likely SN. Tuesday: High Operational Impact. Definite SN. Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SN. Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX. && .HYDROLOGY... No hydrological issues are expected through over the next several days. Temperatures are expected to mainly remain below normal and below freezing, allowing ice to expand and thicken on area waterways. A widespread snowfall is expected Monday night into Tuesday which will add to the snowpack. For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service /AHPS/ graphs on our website. && .ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... CT...None. NY...None. MA...None. VT...None. && SYNOPSIS...Thompson NEAR TERM...Thompson/JPV SHORT TERM...Thompson LONG TERM...IAA AVIATION...KL HYDROLOGY...Thompson
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 13, 4:12 AM EST, 11 hours 28 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Albany NY 412 AM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 CTZ001-013-MAZ001-025-NYZ032-033-038>043-047>054-058>061-063>066- 082>084-VTZ013>015-141100- Northern Litchfield-Southern Litchfield-Northern Berkshire- Southern Berkshire-Northern Herkimer-Hamilton-Southern Herkimer- Southern Fulton-Montgomery-Northern Saratoga-Northern Warren- Northern Washington-Schoharie-Western Schenectady- Eastern Schenectady-Southern Saratoga-Western Albany-Eastern Albany- Western Rensselaer-Eastern Rensselaer-Western Greene-Eastern Greene- Western Columbia-Eastern Columbia-Western Ulster-Eastern Ulster- Western Dutchess-Eastern Dutchess-Northern Fulton-Southeast Warren- Southern Washington-Bennington-Western Windham-Eastern Windham- 412 AM EST Sat Feb 13 2021 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwestern Connecticut, western Massachusetts, east central New York, eastern New York and southern Vermont. .DAY ONE...Today and tonight. The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday. There is potential for a widespread moderate to heavy snowfall Monday night into Tuesday. Some mixed precipitation is also possible south of the Capital District. Timing, amounts, and impacts remain uncertain at this time. There is potential for another widespread winter weather event Thursday into Friday bringing accumulating snow and/or a wintry mix. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
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Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.