Alert archive / Virginia / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in 2021

Severe Thunderstorm Warning 118, NWS Wakefield, VA

July 14, 20214 counties in Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this severe thunderstorm warning at Jul 14, 2021, 6:47 PM EDT for 4 counties in Virginia. It was in force for 43 min. 1 report came from inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline as issued, with what was reported inside it.

The facts

Issued
Jul 14, 2021, 6:47 PM EDT (22:47 UTC)
Expired
Jul 14, 2021, 7:30 PM EDT
In force
43 min
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA
Area
Storm-based polygon
Tornado
Possible
Hail
0.75 in
Wind
60.0 mph

Counties Essex County, VA, Northumberland County, VA, Richmond County, VA, Westmoreland County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 121 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:49 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

What was reported inside it

TimeReportWhereRemark
Jul 14, 7:00 PM EDTTSTM WND DMGLottsburg, VATREES DOWNED ALONG US-360. TIME RADAR-ESTIMATED.

Local storm reports filed while the alert was in force, from inside its polygon or its counties.

Did it verify

Verified. The Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow matched one storm report to this severe thunderstorm warning; the first came 13 minutes after it went out.

Cow counts a report within 15 km of the polygon while the warning was in force: a tornado for a tornado warning; hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more or wind damage for a severe thunderstorm warning; a flash flood report for a flash flood warning.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 10.8 hours before the alert went out and 105 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 625 joules per kilogram.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-07-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -10 square meters per square second.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
625 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-80 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1212 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
23 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-10 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-3 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

400 
WUUS51 KAKQ 142247
SVRAKQ
VAC057-133-159-193-142330-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.SV.W.0118.210714T2247Z-210714T2330Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
647 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

The National Weather Service in Wakefield has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
  Northern Northumberland County in eastern Virginia...
  Central Richmond County in east central Virginia...
  Southeastern Westmoreland County in east central Virginia...
  Northeastern Essex County in east central Virginia...

* Until 730 PM EDT.

* At 646 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Kinsale, or
  near Callao, moving east at 30 mph.

  HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

  SOURCE...Radar indicated.

  IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and powerlines.

* This severe thunderstorm will be near,
  Callao around 650 PM EDT.
  Lewisetta around 700 PM EDT.

Other locations impacted by this severe thunderstorm include Ethel,
Currioman Landing, Lottsburg, Threeway, Village, Mount Holly,
Oldhams, Hull Neck, Edwardsville and Lyells.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building. 

Please report severe weather by calling 757-899-2415, posting to the
NWS Wakefield Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSWAKEFIELDVA.

&&

LAT...LON 3815 7661 3811 7660 3807 7653 3802 7651
      3802 7647 3797 7641 3795 7634 3790 7625
      3789 7619 3794 7687 3795 7689 3797 7688
      3798 7693 3817 7677
TIME...MOT...LOC 2246Z 280DEG 31KT 3806 7659 

TORNADO...POSSIBLE
HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JM
1 follow-up statement
701 
WWUS51 KAKQ 142312
SVSAKQ

Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
712 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

VAC057-142322-
/O.CAN.KAKQ.SV.W.0118.000000T0000Z-210714T2330Z/
Essex VA-
712 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

...THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR NORTHEASTERN ESSEX COUNTY IS
CANCELLED...
    
The severe thunderstorm which prompted the warning has moved out of 
the warned area. Therefore, the warning has been cancelled.

LAT...LON 3807 7653 3803 7652 3802 7647 3797 7641
      3795 7634 3790 7625 3789 7619 3793 7676
      3808 7655
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 301DEG 23KT 3795 7646 

$$

VAC133-159-193-142330-
/O.CON.KAKQ.SV.W.0118.000000T0000Z-210714T2330Z/
Northumberland VA-Richmond VA-Westmoreland VA-
712 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

...A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 730 PM EDT
FOR NORTHERN NORTHUMBERLAND...EAST CENTRAL RICHMOND AND SOUTHEASTERN
WESTMORELAND COUNTIES...

At 712 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm was located over Heathsville, or
near Callao, moving southeast at 25 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts and penny size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to trees and powerlines.

This severe thunderstorm will remain over mainly rural areas of
northern Northumberland, east central Richmond and southeastern
Westmoreland Counties, including the following locations...
Edwardsville, Lottsburg, Opheila, Village, Middletons Corner,
Westmoreland, Gibeon, Sandy Point, Hull Neck and Avalon.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

&&

LAT...LON 3807 7653 3803 7652 3802 7647 3797 7641
      3795 7634 3790 7625 3789 7619 3793 7676
      3808 7655
TIME...MOT...LOC 2312Z 301DEG 23KT 3795 7646 

HAIL...0.75IN
WIND...60MPH
 
$$

JM

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this severe thunderstorm warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this severe thunderstorm warning went out at Jul 14, 4:06 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jul 14, 4:06 PM EDT, 2 hours 41 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
406 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
Bermuda high pressure extends into the area through Saturday
night. A weak cold front approaches from the northwest over the
upcoming weekend, then slowly drops across the region into
early next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

Sfc trough is located along the Blue Ridge mountains and will be
moving east this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms have develop
along the trough as temperatures reached the 90s. Pops are
30-50% this afternoon west of I-95, north of Richmond, and MD
Eastern Shore. Storms this afternoon are expected to remain
below severe limits with the strongest storms across northern
VA. Showers and storms will decrease in coverage around sunset
as they move east. Mostly quiet and mild night tonight. Low
temperatures will be in the 70s.

Another hot and humid day on Thursday with the southwest around
the high pressure off the coast. Only a very slight chance of
an afternoon shower/t-storm (Pop 20-30%). High temperatures
will be in the low to mid 90s with heat indices near 100 degree.

&&

.SHORT TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH SATURDAY NIGHT/...
As of 400 PM EDT Wednesday...

Upper-level ridge will begin to breakdown towards the end of the
week. The southwest flow around the high pressure in the
Atlantic Ocean remains in place. High temperatures will likely
continue to climb with highs in the mid 90s. Heat indices may be
100-105 degrees each afternoon with dew points in the low to mid
70s. There will be a 20-40% chance for showers and thunderstorms
each afternoon. Convection once again dies off around sunset.
Overnight low temperatures will remain warm. Lows will be in the
mid 70s inland to near 80 around the Chesapeake Bay and
Albemarle Sound.

&&

.LONG TERM /SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 1230 PM EDT Wednesday...

Not as hot and higher rain/thunderstorm chance Sunday through
Wednesday. An amplifying ridge will build across the western
half of the U.S., while a trough develops over the eastern
U.S.. This will allow for more shower and thunderstorms to
develop across the region. In addition, a weak cold front will
be move into the area late Saturday/early Sunday. The front is
forecasted to stall across North Carolina and remain near the
area for early next week. Rain/t-storm chances will be 50-70%
Sunday and Monday with the front near the area. Rain/storm
chances decrease Tuesday as the upper-level trough moves off the
coast. High temperatures each day will be in the mid to upper
80s and low temperatures in the upper 60s to low 70s.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
As of 245 PM EDT Wednesday...

VFR conditions continue thru the 18z TAF period with Bermuda
high pressure in place. SCT-BKN CU around 4-5kft to develop
again by early-mid afternoon, with winds SSW mainly light this
morning, increasing to ~ 10 kt later this morning into the aftn.
Isolated to widely sct thunderstorms are expected after 20z,
which may impact KRIC/KSBY/KPHF terminals by late afternoon
(RIC) or early evening (SBY/PHF). However, low confidence in areal
coverage, therefore TS was kept out of TAFs.

Outlook...
VFR conditions and SSW winds continue for most of the week. Only
exception will be for local MVFR CIGS/VSBYS in isolated-sct
mainly diurnal convection Thu-Fri. Patchy light night mist/MIFG
and/or low stratus is also possible from Thu- Sat mornings.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 325 PM EDT Wednesday...

High pressure continues to dominate the local weather with
winds S and SW at 5-15 kt. Waves are around 1 ft in the Ches
Bay with seas 2-3 ft offshore.

Pattern will remain rather stagnant through the end of the work week
with general SW flow overnight becoming S or SSE into the afternoon.
Speeds average 5-10 kt for the bay, rivers, and Currituck Sound with
10-15 kt offshore. Occasional increases to 10-15 kt in the bay
overnight into the early morning but speeds should remain below SCA
thresholds. Waves/seas remain in the 1-2 and 2-3 ft ranges,
respectively. A front will attempt to make some southward progress
late in the weekend but will likely stall and/or dissipate over the
region into next week. Chances for showers and storms will follow
the typical diurnal pattern with an increase in general coverage
accompanying the approaching front Saturday into the upcoming work
week.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

SYNOPSIS...CP
NEAR TERM...CP
SHORT TERM...CP/MAM
LONG TERM...CP
AVIATION...CP
MARINE...RHR
Hazardous weather outlook, Jul 14, 5:15 AM EDT, 13 hours 32 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
515 AM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

MDZ021>025-NCZ012>017-030>032-102-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-075>090-092-
093-095>100-509>525-150915-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Maryland Beaches-
Northampton-Hertford-Gates-Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-
Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-Eastern Currituck-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-
Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-
Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-Brunswick-
Dinwiddie-Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-
Mathews-Greensville-Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-
Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-
Accomack-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-
Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
515 AM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, central Virginia, east central Virginia, eastern
Virginia, north central Virginia, south central Virginia and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

05

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Jul 14, 5:17 PM EDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
517 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

VAZ048-061-142200-
Fluvanna-Cumberland-
517 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

...AN AREA OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT FLUVANNA COUNTY...

At 516 PM EDT, strong thunderstorms were clustered near Centenary, or
13 miles west of Fork Union, moving east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible
with these storms. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch
are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Palmyra, Fork Union, Columbia, Lakeside Village, Scottsville, Dixie,
Stage Junction, Shores, Central Plains, Bremo Bluff, Antioch,
Cohasset, Hardware, Carysbrook, Wilmington and Cunningham.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees,
and blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and
other light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3787 7842 3791 7813 3763 7818 3764 7825
      3769 7824 3769 7826 3771 7829 3772 7834
      3773 7837 3774 7842 3776 7846 3778 7848
      3780 7849
TIME...MOT...LOC 2116Z 268DEG 22KT 3776 7851

GINGRICH
Local storm report, Jul 14, 5:57 PM EDT, 50 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
557 PM EDT WED JUL 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0531 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WSW PENDLETON         37.98N 77.94W
07/14/2021                   LOUISA             VA   911 CALL CENTER

            SEVERAL TREES REPORTED DOWN SE OF THE TOWN
            OF LOUISA.

&&

JM
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 6:00 PM EDT, 47 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
600 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

VAZ064-075-076-510-511-519-521-142300-
Western King and Queen-Western Hanover-Richmond-Westmoreland-Western
Essex-Caroline-Eastern Louisa-
600 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT NORTHWESTERN
RICHMOND...CAROLINE...WESTMORELAND...NORTHWESTERN HANOVER AND
NORTHWESTERN ESSEX COUNTIES...

At 559 PM EDT, radar indicated strong thunderstorms were located
along a line extending from 6 miles west of Spotsylvania to
Montpelier. Movement was east at 25 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible
with these storms. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch
are possible with these storms.

Locations impacted include...
Colonial Beach, Warsaw, Bowling Green, Montross, Champlain, Milford,
Port Royal, Loretto, Leedstown, Fort A.p. Hill, Ladysmith, Newtown,
Newland, Bumpass, Montpelier, Chilesburg, Beazley, Currioman Landing,
Threeway and Lyells.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

Strong wind gusts are possible with these storms. These wind gusts
are capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3821 7695 3818 7688 3816 7671 3799 7667
      3789 7721 3791 7724 3789 7725 3780 7772
      3803 7775 3799 7764 3825 7737 3822 7728
      3825 7723 3823 7725 3819 7725 3820 7722
      3814 7707 3826 7705 3828 7698
TIME...MOT...LOC 2159Z 309DEG 16KT 3817 7771 3783 7767

GINGRICH
Special weather statement, Jul 14, 6:21 PM EDT, 26 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
621 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

MDZ021-142300-
Dorchester-
621 PM EDT Wed Jul 14 2021

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL AFFECT DORCHESTER COUNTY...

At 620 PM EDT, a strong thunderstorm was located near Taylors Island,
moving east at 30 mph.

Wind gusts in excess of 40 mph and nickel size hail are possible
with this storm. In addition...Rainfall amounts of up to 1 inch are
possible with this storm.

Locations impacted include...
Cambridge, Hurlock, Federalsburg, Secretary, Vienna, University Of
Maryland Center For Environmental Studies, East New Market, Church
Creek, Brookview, Eldorado, Madison, Andrews, Hudson, Lloyds, Taylors
Island, Woolford, Bucktown and Linkwood.

If you see lightning or hear thunder, you are at risk! Take shelter
indoors immediately. If you cannot find shelter in a building a
vehicle provides safety from lightning.

Strong wind gusts are possible with this storm. These wind gusts are
capable of knocking down tree limbs, small or weakened trees, and
blowing around trash cans, potted plants, lawn furniture, and other
light outdoor objects.

LAT...LON 3869 7576 3854 7573 3848 7582 3836 7586
      3837 7601 3836 7603 3832 7620 3839 7623
      3831 7624 3833 7624 3832 7625 3831 7625
      3849 7634 3854 7620 3854 7628 3863 7629
      3857 7603 3870 7590
TIME...MOT...LOC 2220Z 258DEG 38KT 3844 7634

GINGRICH
Local storm report, Jul 14, 6:26 PM EDT, 21 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
626 PM EDT WED JUL 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0558 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 WNW APPLE GROVE       37.90N 77.93W
07/14/2021                   LOUISA             VA   911 CALL CENTER

            NUMEROUS TREES DOWN BETWEEN YANCEYVILLE AND
            APPLE GROVE.

&&

JM
Local storm report, Jul 14, 6:29 PM EDT, 18 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
629 PM EDT WED JUL 14 2021

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0619 PM     TSTM WND DMG     2 W LOCUST CREEK        37.87N 77.82W
07/14/2021                   LOUISA             VA   911 CALL CENTER

            TREES DOWN ALONG JEFFERSON HIGHWAY.

&&

JM

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jul 14, 4:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQLouisa43 min
Jul 14, 5:01 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQLouisa44 min
Jul 14, 5:06 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQLouisa39 min
Jul 14, 5:17 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQFluvanna43 min
Jul 14, 5:37 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQFluvanna, Goochland, Louisa38 min
Jul 14, 6:00 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQCaroline, Westmoreland60 min
Jul 14, 6:15 PM EDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningAKQCaroline, Hanover, Louisa16 min
Jul 14, 7:33 PM EDTSpecial Weather StatementAKQGloucester, James City, Lancaster, Mathews, Middlesex, Northumberland and 6 more57 min
Jul 14, 7:35 PM EDTSpecial Marine WarningAKQ85 min

Nearby

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Virginia, 2021Every severe thunderstorm warning in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; local storm reports from the same archive; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.