Alert archive / Virginia / Coastal Flood Statements in 2021

Coastal Flood Statement 5, NWS Wakefield, VA

February 1, 20216 counties in Virginia

NWS Wakefield, VA issued this coastal flood statement at Feb 1, 2021, 3:23 PM EST for 6 counties in Virginia. It took effect at Feb 1, 2021, 9:18 PM EST. It was in force for 6 hr.

The area

The counties it named.

The facts

Issued
Feb 1, 2021, 3:23 PM EST (20:23 UTC)
In effect from
Feb 1, 2021, 9:18 PM EST
Expired
Feb 2, 2021, 3:00 AM EST
In force
6 hr
Issued by
NWS Wakefield, VA

Counties Accomack County, VA, City of Chesapeake, VA, City of Hampton, VA, City of Newport News, VA, City of Virginia Beach, VA, Northampton County, VA

The radar

The Norfolk radar (KAKQ), 78 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 20:23 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Wallops Is Stn, VA (KWAL), launched 12:00Z, 8.4 hours before the alert went out and 113 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-02-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Wallops Is Stn, VA at 12:00Z on 2021-02-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 49 square meters per square second.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
492 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
85 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
49 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
56 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted.

853 
WHUS41 KAKQ 012023
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
323 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

VAZ095-096-524-525-012130-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.CF.S.0004.000000T0000Z-210201T2000Z/
Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Newport News-Hampton/Poquoson-
323 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD STATEMENT HAS EXPIRED...

&&

$$

MDZ025-020430-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.Y.0005.210202T0100Z-210202T0600Z/
Maryland Beaches-
323 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM THIS EVENING TO
1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Maryland Beaches County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low 
  threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water 
  above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads 
  and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns 
  near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

OCEAN CITY INLET MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.2        1.7        2.3        6      MINOR    
 02/11 AM     4.5        2.0        2.5       5-6     MINOR    
 02/11 PM     4.0        1.5        2.1        4      MINOR    
 03/12 PM     3.6        1.1        1.8       4-5      NONE    
 04/12 AM     3.3        0.8        1.4       3-4      NONE

&&

$$

VAZ100-020430-
/O.NEW.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.210202T0300Z-210202T0800Z/
Northampton-
323 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...NUISANCE TIDAL FLOODING POSSIBLE TONIGHT...

* WHAT...Up to a half foot of inundation above ground level
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Northampton County.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     6.3        1.7        1.7        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     6.9        2.3        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/12 AM     6.0        1.4        1.3        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     5.7        1.1        1.3        1       NONE    
 04/01 AM     5.5        0.9        0.8        1       NONE

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/02 PM     3.3        1.3        1.7        4      MINOR    
 02/01 AM     3.3        1.3        1.5        5      MINOR    
 02/01 PM     3.5        1.5        1.7       4-5    MODERATE  
 03/02 AM     3.4        1.4        1.5        5      MINOR    
 03/02 PM     2.9        0.9        1.3       4-5      NONE    
 04/03 AM     3.0        1.0        1.1       3-4     MINOR

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.3        1.3        1.7       3-4      NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.7        1.7        2.1       3-4     MINOR    
 03/12 AM     4.3        1.3        1.7       4-5      NONE    
 03/01 PM     3.9        0.9        1.5        4       NONE    
 04/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.4        3       NONE

&&

$$
2 follow-up statements
921 
WHUS41 KAKQ 020218
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

NCZ102-020600-
/O.EXA.KAKQ.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0600Z/
Eastern Currituck-
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST TUESDAY...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level in low-
  lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Eastern Currituck County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low 
  threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water 
  above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads 
  and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns 
  near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

COROLLA NC
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.5 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.3 FT, MAJOR 2.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/10 PM     5.5        1.8        2.1        1       NONE    
 02/11 AM     5.7        2.0        2.3       2-6     MINOR    
 02/11 PM     5.4        1.7        2.0        5       NONE    
 03/11 AM     5.0        1.3        1.9        5       NONE    
 04/12 AM     5.1        1.4        1.6        4       NONE    
 04/12 PM     4.1        0.4        1.2       3-4      NONE

&&

$$

MDZ025-020600-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0600Z/
Maryland Beaches-
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Maryland Beaches County.

* WHEN...From 8 PM this evening to 1 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low 
  threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water 
  above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads 
  and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns 
  near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

OCEAN CITY INLET MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.2        1.7        2.3        7      MINOR    
 02/11 AM     4.5        2.0        2.5       5-6     MINOR    
 02/11 PM     4.0        1.5        2.1        4      MINOR    
 03/12 PM     3.6        1.1        1.8       4-5      NONE    
 04/12 AM     3.3        0.8        1.4       3-4      NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.1        0.6        1.4        3       NONE

&&

$$

VAZ095>098-524-525-020700-
/O.EXB.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.210202T0218Z-210202T0700Z/
Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

* WHAT...One half to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Newport News, Hampton/Poquoson and Norfolk/Portsmouth 
  Counties, and Suffolk, Chesapeake and Virginia Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.1 FT, MODERATE 2.6 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.6        1.7        1.9        4       NONE    
 02/11 AM     4.7        1.8        2.1        4       NONE    
 03/12 AM     4.6        1.7        1.9        5       NONE    
 03/12 PM     4.0        1.1        1.6        4       NONE    
 04/01 AM     4.1        1.2        1.4        3       NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.4        0.5        1.1        2       NONE

MONEY POINT VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.8 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.8        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/01 PM     4.9        1.7        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.9        1.7        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.6        1.4        1.9        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.5        1.3        1.6        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.9        0.7        1.4        1       NONE

ELIZABETH RIVER AT MIDTOWN TUNNEL VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.9        1.9        2.1        1       NONE    
 02/01 PM     4.9        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.8        1.8        1.9        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.3        1.3        1.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.5        1.5        1.6        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.6        0.6        1.3        1       NONE

WESTERN BRANCH OF THE ELIZABETH RIVER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.9        1.9        2.0        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.9        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.9        1.9        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.3        1.3        1.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.4        1.4        1.5        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.6        0.6        1.2        1       NONE

SEWELLS POINT VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.4        1.6        1.9        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.6        1.8        2.2       2-3     MINOR    
 03/01 AM     4.6        1.8        2.0        3      MINOR    
 03/01 PM     3.9        1.1        1.6       2-3      NONE    
 04/02 AM     3.9        1.1        1.3       1-2      NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.2        0.4        1.1        1       NONE

FORT MONROE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.4        1.6        1.8        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.5        1.7        2.0       2-3     MINOR    
 03/01 AM     4.4        1.6        1.8        2       NONE    
 03/01 PM     3.7        0.9        1.4        2       NONE    
 04/02 AM     3.9        1.1        1.3       1-2      NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.3        0.5        1.1        1       NONE

&&

$$

VAZ099-020800-
/O.EXA.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.210202T0300Z-210202T0800Z/
Accomack-
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

* WHAT...One half to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Accomack County.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 AM     3.3        1.3        1.5        4      MINOR    
 02/01 PM     3.5        1.5        1.7       4-5    MODERATE  
 03/02 AM     3.4        1.4        1.5        5      MINOR    
 03/02 PM     2.9        0.9        1.3       4-5      NONE    
 04/03 AM     3.0        1.0        1.1       3-4     MINOR    
 04/03 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       1-2      NONE

CHINCOTEAGUE INLET VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.2 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.4        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/11 AM     4.7        1.9        2.0       1-2     MINOR    
 03/12 AM     4.0        1.2        1.5        2       NONE    
 03/12 PM     3.9        1.1        1.5        2       NONE    
 04/01 AM     3.7        0.9        1.1        2       NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.2        0.4        1.0        2       NONE

SAXIS VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/03 AM     3.6        2.1        1.3        2       NONE    
 02/03 PM     4.1        2.6        1.8        3       NONE    
 03/04 AM     3.9        2.4        1.6        3       NONE    
 03/04 PM     3.6        2.1        1.5        3       NONE    
 04/05 AM     3.5        2.0        1.2        2       NONE    
 04/05 PM     3.1        1.6        1.2        1       NONE

WACHAPREAGUE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.5 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     6.1        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     6.4        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/12 AM     6.1        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     5.4        0.9        1.5        1       NONE    
 04/01 AM     5.5        1.0        1.3        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     4.7        0.2        1.1        1       NONE

&&

$$

VAZ100-020800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.210202T0300Z-210202T0800Z/
Northampton-
918 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

* WHAT...One half to one foot of inundation above ground level 
  expected in low-lying areas near shorelines and tidal 
  waterways.

* WHERE...Northampton County.

* WHEN...From 10 PM this evening to 3 AM EST Tuesday.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     6.3        1.7        1.7        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     6.9        2.3        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/12 AM     6.0        1.4        1.3        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     5.7        1.1        1.3        1       NONE    
 04/01 AM     5.5        0.9        0.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     5.0        0.4        1.0        1       NONE

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 AM     3.3        1.3        1.5        4      MINOR    
 02/01 PM     3.5        1.5        1.7       4-5    MODERATE  
 03/02 AM     3.4        1.4        1.5        5      MINOR    
 03/02 PM     2.9        0.9        1.3       4-5      NONE    
 04/03 AM     3.0        1.0        1.1       3-4     MINOR    
 04/03 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       1-2      NONE

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.3        1.3        1.7        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.7        1.7        2.1       3-4     MINOR    
 03/12 AM     4.3        1.3        1.7       4-5      NONE    
 03/01 PM     3.9        0.9        1.5        4       NONE    
 04/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.4        3       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.1        0.1        0.9        1       NONE

&&

$$
202 
WHUS41 KAKQ 020548
CFWAKQ

Coastal Hazard Message
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1248 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

NCZ102-020700-
/O.EXP.KAKQ.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0600Z/
Eastern Currituck-
1248 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY WILL EXPIRE AT 1 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

$$

MDZ025-020800-
/O.EXT.KAKQ.CF.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0800Z/
Maryland Beaches-
1248 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM EST EARLY THIS
MORNING...

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level in low-
   lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Maryland Beaches County.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is expected in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline resulting in a low 
  threat of property damage. Expect up to one foot of water 
  above ground level in low lying, vulnerable areas. Some roads 
  and low lying property including parking lots, parks and lawns 
  near the waterfront will experience shallow flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If travel is required, allow extra time as some roads may be
closed. Do not drive around barricades or through water of
unknown depth. Take the necessary actions to protect flood-prone
property.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

OCEAN CITY INLET MD
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.0 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.5 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.2        1.7        2.3        7      MINOR    
 02/11 AM     4.5        2.0        2.5       5-6     MINOR    
 02/11 PM     4.0        1.5        2.1        4      MINOR    
 03/12 PM     3.6        1.1        1.8       4-5      NONE    
 04/12 AM     3.3        0.8        1.4       3-4      NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.1        0.6        1.4        3       NONE

&&

$$

VAZ099-100-020800-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0800Z/
Accomack-Northampton-
1248 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level in low-
   lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Northampton and Accomack Counties.

* WHEN...Until 3 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

NASSAWADOX CREEK AT BAYFORD VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 3.5 FT, MAJOR 4.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.0 FT, MODERATE 1.5 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/01 AM     3.3        1.3        1.5        4      MINOR    
 02/01 PM     3.5        1.5        1.7       4-5    MODERATE  
 03/02 AM     3.4        1.4        1.5        5      MINOR    
 03/02 PM     2.9        0.9        1.3       4-5      NONE    
 04/03 AM     3.0        1.0        1.1       3-4     MINOR    
 04/03 PM     2.4        0.4        0.9       1-2      NONE

CHINCOTEAGUE INLET VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.2 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.4        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/11 AM     4.7        1.9        2.0       1-2     MINOR    
 03/12 AM     4.0        1.2        1.5        2       NONE    
 03/12 PM     3.9        1.1        1.5        2       NONE    
 04/01 AM     3.7        0.9        1.1        2       NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.2        0.4        1.0        2       NONE

SAXIS VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 3.0 FT, MODERATE 4.0 FT, MAJOR 5.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/03 AM     3.6        2.1        1.3        2       NONE    
 02/03 PM     4.1        2.6        1.8        3       NONE    
 03/04 AM     3.9        2.4        1.6        3       NONE    
 03/04 PM     3.6        2.1        1.5        3       NONE    
 04/05 AM     3.5        2.0        1.2        2       NONE    
 04/05 PM     3.1        1.6        1.2        1       NONE

WACHAPREAGUE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 6.5 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 3.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     6.1        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     6.4        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/12 AM     6.1        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     5.4        0.9        1.5        1       NONE    
 04/01 AM     5.5        1.0        1.3        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     4.7        0.2        1.1        1       NONE

OYSTER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 7.0 FT, MODERATE 7.5 FT, MAJOR 8.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.4 FT, MODERATE 2.9 FT, MAJOR 3.9 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     6.3        1.7        1.7        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     6.9        2.3        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/12 AM     6.0        1.4        1.3        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     5.7        1.1        1.3        1       NONE    
 04/01 AM     5.5        0.9        0.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     5.0        0.4        1.0        1       NONE

KIPTOPEKE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.0 FT, MAJOR 5.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.5 FT, MODERATE 2.0 FT, MAJOR 2.5 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.3        1.3        1.7        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.7        1.7        2.1       3-4     MINOR    
 03/12 AM     4.3        1.3        1.7       4-5      NONE    
 03/01 PM     3.9        0.9        1.5        4       NONE    
 04/01 AM     4.0        1.0        1.4        3       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.1        0.1        0.9        1       NONE

&&

$$

VAZ095>098-524-525-020700-
/O.CON.KAKQ.CF.S.0005.000000T0000Z-210202T0700Z/
Norfolk/Portsmouth-Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
1248 AM EST Tue Feb 2 2021

* WHAT...One to two feet of inundation above ground level in low-
   lying areas near shorelines and tidal waterways.

* WHERE...Newport News, Hampton/Poquoson and Norfolk/Portsmouth 
  Counties, and Suffolk, Chesapeake and Virginia Beach.

* WHEN...Until 2 AM EST early this morning.

* IMPACTS...Shallow flooding is possible in the most vulnerable 
  locations near the waterfront and shoreline.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Do not drive through flooded roadways.

&&

Time of high total tides are approximate to the nearest hour.

CHESAPEAKE BAY BRIDGE TUNNEL VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.1 FT, MODERATE 2.6 FT, MAJOR 3.1 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 01/11 PM     4.6        1.7        1.9        4       NONE    
 02/11 AM     4.7        1.8        2.1        4       NONE    
 03/12 AM     4.6        1.7        1.9        5       NONE    
 03/12 PM     4.0        1.1        1.6        4       NONE    
 04/01 AM     4.1        1.2        1.4        3       NONE    
 04/01 PM     3.4        0.5        1.1        2       NONE

MONEY POINT VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.8 FT, MODERATE 2.8 FT, MAJOR 3.8 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.8        1.6        1.9        1       NONE    
 02/01 PM     4.9        1.7        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.9        1.7        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.6        1.4        1.9        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.5        1.3        1.6        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.9        0.7        1.4        1       NONE

ELIZABETH RIVER AT MIDTOWN TUNNEL VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.9        1.9        2.1        1       NONE    
 02/01 PM     4.9        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.8        1.8        1.9        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.3        1.3        1.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.5        1.5        1.6        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.6        0.6        1.3        1       NONE

WESTERN BRANCH OF THE ELIZABETH RIVER VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 5.0 FT, MODERATE 6.0 FT, MAJOR 7.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 2.0 FT, MODERATE 3.0 FT, MAJOR 4.0 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.9        1.9        2.0        1       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.9        1.9        2.2        1       NONE    
 03/01 AM     4.9        1.9        2.0        1       NONE    
 03/01 PM     4.3        1.3        1.8        1       NONE    
 04/02 AM     4.4        1.4        1.5        1       NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.6        0.6        1.2        1       NONE

SEWELLS POINT VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.5 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.7 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.4        1.6        1.9        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.6        1.8        2.2       2-3     MINOR    
 03/01 AM     4.6        1.8        2.0        3      MINOR    
 03/01 PM     3.9        1.1        1.6       2-3      NONE    
 04/02 AM     3.9        1.1        1.3       1-2      NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.2        0.4        1.1        1       NONE

FORT MONROE VA
MLLW CATEGORIES - MINOR 4.5 FT, MODERATE 5.5 FT, MAJOR 6.0 FT
MHHW CATEGORIES - MINOR 1.7 FT, MODERATE 2.7 FT, MAJOR 3.2 FT

             TOTAL      TOTAL    DEPARTURE                   
 DAY/TIME    TIDE       TIDE     FROM NORM   WAVES    FLOOD  
            FT MLLW    FT MHHW       FT       FT      IMPACT 
 --------  ---------  ---------  ---------  -------  --------
 02/12 AM     4.4        1.6        1.8        3       NONE    
 02/12 PM     4.5        1.7        2.0       2-3     MINOR    
 03/01 AM     4.4        1.6        1.8        2       NONE    
 03/01 PM     3.7        0.9        1.4        2       NONE    
 04/02 AM     3.9        1.1        1.3       1-2      NONE    
 04/02 PM     3.3        0.5        1.1        1       NONE

&&

$$

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this coastal flood statement went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Wakefield, VA wrote its last area forecast discussion before this coastal flood statement went out at Feb 1, 2:44 PM EST, 39 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Feb 1, 2:44 PM EST, 39 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
244 PM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

.SYNOPSIS...
A complex low pressure system will impact the region through
Tuesday. This system will move northeast into New England by
Wednesday as high pressure returns to the local area through
Thursday. The next system will affect the local area on Friday.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
As of 1030 AM EST Monday...

The latest analysis indicates a strong coastal system centered
off the Delmarva coast, currently down to ~995mb. Broad upper
level low pressure is located across the central/southern
Appalachians and will move to the east and be situated over the
local area late this aftn into this evening. Have issued an SPS
through noon for some spotty areas of freezing rain/drizzle/mixed
precipitation moving through south central VA where it remains
at or below 32F. For the most part, VSBYs are improving and the
trend for precip is diminishing for the next few hrs so did not
extend the Winter WX Advisory.

By mid to late aftn, as the upper low moves into the local area
any warm nose aloft should be gone so additional precip
associated with wrap around moisture from the storm system will
become mainly light snow or a rain/snow mix rather than freezing
rain or sleet. Near the coast, where the cold pool aloft arrives
a few hrs later, some sleet may still mix in through about
sunset but temperatures should be above freezing so freezing
rain is not expected. Bufkit soundings show that deep layered
moisture with saturation and omega through the -10C to -20C DGZ
will be limited to non-existent through this aftn. Thus, will
keep PoPs mainly in the 30-50% chance range for northern areas,
and 20-30% Pops elsewhere. Highs today from the low to mid 30s
central and west to the upper 30s/around 40F at the coast. On
the eastern shore near the coast temperatures are still in the
40s but will fall into the 30s this aftn.

Tonight, as the sfc low continues to intensify off the NJ coast, there
will be some increased deep layered moisture to work with,
especially after midnight. Omega is not that impressive, but
think that there is a better chance for some precipitation
across the region in the form of light snow/snow showers. Will
refine the forecast after all of the 12Z guidance arrives, but
PoPs will probably be raised compared to the current forecast.
Still, even a high-end scenario would keep any snow accumulations
too light for any Winter WX headlines. Lows tonight will mostly
be in the upper 20s inland to the lower 30s near the coast.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 400 AM EST Monday...

The latest guidance continues to support a strong coastal
system located off the Delmarva coast by this evening with
associated upper level low pressure just inland from the coast
over northern VA/eastern MD. The system is very slow to move NNE
from the region Tue, eventually becoming centered along/off the
New England coast by Wed. This pattern will keep at least a
slight chance for rain/snow showers across the region Tue,
generally becoming confined to NE sections of the CWA Tue aftn.
Little to no additional snow accumulation expected. Highs Tue
in the mid to upper 30s eastern shore/northern Neck and upper
30s to the lower 40s elsewhere. Mostly cloudy overall. By Tue
night/Wed, the models show one final shortwave brushing the
local area so skies will remain partly cloudy to mostly cloudy
then becoming partly to mostly sunny Wed (except partly- mostly
cloudy on the eastern shore). Lows Tue night mainly in the 20s
and turning a little warmer Wed with highs ranging from the
upper 30s on the eastern shore to the lower to mid 40s
elsewhere.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 400 PM EST Sunday...

Dry wx prevails through Thursday as high pressure shifts offshore
during the day. Cold Thursday morning with lows ranging from the
upper teens NW to low-mid 20s elsewhere. An upper trough then takes
shape over the central CONUS by Friday as a cold front approaches
the area (with sfc low pressure tracking well to our NW). That front
will cross the region Friday night-late Saturday (still quite a bit
of uncertainty with respect to timing). This will bring a chc of
rain to the entire area on Friday. Will keep rain chances in through
Saturday as the GFS does not bring the front through until Saturday
evening (and develops a secondary low along it). During the latter
half of the weekend, models and their respective ensembles are in
fairly good agreement that an upper low will dive south from the
Canadian Prairies to the Midwest (while our area will still be in SW
flow aloft on the east side of the aforementioned upper trough).
This potential solution would allow an Arctic cold front to drop
southeast toward the area by late in the weekend. Still a question
regarding whether a surface low will form on the east side of the
trough on Sunday (ECMWF/CMC have this but the GFS does not), so will
have slight chc-chc PoPs for now. After the cold start on Thursday,
forecast highs/lows are around or just above seasonal averages
through Saturday. Much colder temperatures potentially arrive by the
end of the period.

&&

.AVIATION /20Z MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
As of 630 AM EST Monday...

Low pressure will be intensifying off the Delmarva coast later
today, with a N to NW wind of 10-15 kt with gusts of 20-25 kt
(highest near the coast) at the terminals. Expect low clouds to
persist through the day as patchy drizzle gives way to widely scattered
showers (rain across SE VA/NE NC but rain and snow possible at
RIC/SBY) by aftn/evening. Will not include any mention of pcpn
during the aftn in the TAFs attm. CIGS should gradually lift to
IFR levels by late morning into the afternoon but with little or
no additional improvement through the end of the 12z TAF
period.

Outlook...Low pressure will be slow to move off to the NE, remaining
in the vicinity of NJ coast on Tue, eventually to a position off the
New England coast by Wed. This will result in breezy conditions
along the coast along with a lingering chc for mainly snow showers
on Tue (highest chance being on the eastern shore). Becoming mainly
dry/VFR Wed-Thu as high pressure builds into the region from the
west.

&&

.MARINE...
As of 235 PM EST Monday...

Strengthening low pressure off the DE coast this afternoon will
continue to slowly drift north this evening towards New England.
Combination of tight pressure gradient and CAA will result in N/NW
winds 20-25 kts with gusts around 30 kts. Wind probs show a several
hour window this evening where gusts may be consistently around 35
kts over the northern bay and coastal waters. Elected to continue
with SCA over these areas and can handle short-fused Gale gusts with
a SMW if needed. The extended SCA winds will continue Tuesday and
Wednesday. Additional CAA surges may again result in occasional wind
gusts around 35 kts Tuesday afternoon through Wednesday morning,
especially in the offshore waters. Should wind probs and guidance
become more bullish, some zones may need to be upgraded to Gale
Warnings.

Waves in the bay are 3-5 ft and will generally continue in that
range through Wednesday. Seas are 5-8 ft near shore waters and 10-15
ft offshore (beyond 20NM). Offshore seas will come down overnight as
the surface low moves further away from the area, but seas will
remain elevated at 5-9 ft Tuesday and Wednesday.

SCA's go through Wednesday afternoon for most zones. The rivers
(outside of the lower James) run until 03Z tonight, and then there
will be a roughly 12 hour window where conditions will be sub-SCA.
Additional SCA will likely need to be issued for the rivers
overnight for the CAA surges starting late Tuesday morning.

Conditions finally improve on Thursday as the low over eastern
Canada weakens and surface high pressure builds into the Mid-
Atlantic. SCA's may remain into at least the first half of Thursday
over the coastal waters for elevated seas.

&&

.TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...
As of 235 PM EST Monday...

Minor coastal flooding is possible the next two high tide cycles
this evening and late tomorrow morning at Ocean City. Nuisance
tidal flooding is also possible over some middle and lower bay
coastal areas tonight and Tuesday around high tide cycles. In
addition, large nearshore waves around 8 feet may cause some
beach/dune erosion issues through Tuesday for the MD/Assateague
beaches.

&&

.AKQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MD...None.
NC...None.
VA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM EST this evening for
     ANZ635>637.
     Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EST Wednesday for ANZ630>634-
     638-650-652-654-656-658.

&&

SYNOPSIS...LKB
NEAR TERM...LKB
SHORT TERM...JDM/LKB
LONG TERM...ERI
AVIATION...ERI/JDM
MARINE...CMF
TIDES/COASTAL FLOODING...AKQ
Hazardous weather outlook, Feb 1, 10:16 AM EST, 5 hours 7 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1016 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

MDZ021>024-NCZ013>017-030>032-102-VAZ075>078-081>086-088>090-092-093-
095>098-100-518-520-522>525-021530-
Dorchester-Wicomico-Somerset-Inland Worcester-Hertford-Gates-
Pasquotank-Camden-Western Currituck-Bertie-Chowan-Perquimans-
Eastern Currituck-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland-Lancaster-
Prince George-Charles City-New Kent-Gloucester-Middlesex-Mathews-
Sussex-Surry-James City-Southampton-Isle of Wight-Norfolk/Portsmouth-
Suffolk-Chesapeake-Virginia Beach-Northampton-Eastern King William-
Eastern King and Queen-Eastern Essex-York-Newport News-
Hampton/Poquoson-
1016 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland, northeast
North Carolina, east central Virginia, eastern Virginia, south
central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

MDZ025-VAZ099-021530-
Maryland Beaches-Accomack-
1016 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...COASTAL FLOOD ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON...

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southeast Maryland and
southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.

   Coastal Flood Advisory.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

NCZ012-VAZ048-060>062-064>069-079-080-087-509>517-519-521-021530-
Northampton-Fluvanna-Prince Edward-Cumberland-Goochland-Caroline-
Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-Amelia-Powhatan-Brunswick-Dinwiddie-
Greensville-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa-Western Hanover-
Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Western King William-Western King and Queen-Western Essex-
1016 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast North Carolina,
central Virginia, east central Virginia, north central Virginia,
south central Virginia and southeast Virginia.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Temperatures will remain at or below freezing this morning. This may
result in slick spots or patchy black ice.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

No hazardous weather is expected at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

LKB

In the hours before

Special weather statement, Feb 1, 10:07 AM EST, 5 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1007 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

NCZ012-VAZ060-065>067-079-080-087-011700-
Northampton-Prince Edward-Mecklenburg-Lunenburg-Nottoway-
Brunswick-Dinwiddie-Greensville-
Including the cities of Margarettsville, Farmville, South Hill,
Fort Mitchell, Kells Corner, Arvins Store, Loves Mill, Lunenburg,
Nutbush, Rehoboth, Crewe, Lawrenceville, Reams, and Emporia
1007 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

Temperatures remain at or below freezing across south central
Virginia and Northampton County North Carolina this morning. Light
freezing rain or freezing drizzle will be possible through noon.

Motorists will need to be alert to the possibility of slick
spots. Motorists should exercise caution while driving...especially
on bridges and overpasses. Allow for extra time to reach your
destination and avoid sudden stops or accelerations.
Special weather statement, Feb 1, 11:07 AM EST, 4 hours 16 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1107 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

VAZ068-069-512>516-011800-
Amelia-Powhatan-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-
Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-
Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-
Including the cities of Earls, Mannboro, Scotts Fork,
Amelia Courthouse, Chula, Denaro, Jetersville, Fine Creek Mills,
Flat Rock, Goodwins Store, Subletts, Worshams, Clayville, Genito,
Mechanicsville, Bon Air, Midlothian, Chesterfield, Chester,
Colonial Heights, Richmond, and Sandston
1107 AM EST Mon Feb 1 2021

...PATCHY LIGHT FREEZING RAIN AND DRIZZLE MOVING ACROSS PORTIONS
OF SOUTH CENTRAL VIRGINIA...

Temperatures remain at or below freezing across central Virginia
late this morning. Light freezing rain or freezing drizzle will
be possible into early this afternoon.

Motorists will need to be alert to the possibility of slick
spots. Motorists should exercise caution while driving...especially
on bridges and overpasses. Allow for extra time to reach your
destination and avoid sudden stops or accelerations.

The office that day

Everything else NWS Wakefield, VA issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Jan 31, 7:26 PM ESTWinter Weather AdvisoryAKQAmelia, Brunswick, Caroline, Chesterfield, Cumberland, Dinwiddie and 15 more15 hr
Feb 1, 12:31 AM ESTMarine Dense Fog AdvisoryAKQ5 hr
Feb 1, 4:08 AM ESTCoastal Flood AdvisoryAKQAccomack9 hr
Feb 1, 7:17 AM ESTCoastal Flood StatementAKQNorthampton, City of Hampton, City of Newport News8 hr

Nearby

Coastal Flood Statements in Virginia, 2021Every coastal flood statement in 2021

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.