Alert archive / Alaska / Small Craft Advisories in 2021
Small Craft Advisory 98, NWS Juneau, AK
NWS Juneau, AK issued this small craft advisory at Feb 14, 2021, 3:14 PM AKST. It was in force for 24 hr.
The area
The counties it named.
The facts
- Issued
- Feb 14, 2021, 3:14 PM AKST (00:14 UTC)
- Expired
- Feb 15, 2021, 3:20 PM AKST
- In force
- 24 hr
- Issued by
- NWS Juneau, AK
The text
As transmitted.
829 FZAK51 PAJK 150014 AAC CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-151800- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada will continue to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient and outflow winds. A ridge of high pressure will build in over the southern Gulf through Tuesday, then shift east over the Panhandle Tuesday night. $$ PKZ011-151800- Glacier Bay- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-151800- Northern Lynn Canal- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt overnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 4 ft overnight. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray late. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-151800- Southern Lynn Canal- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt overnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 4 ft overnight. Freezing spray late. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-151800- Icy Strait- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-151800- Cross Sound- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THIS EVENING AND MONDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt late. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. Snow and rain. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-151800- Stephens Passage- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray late near Taku Inlet. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-151800- Northern Chatham Strait- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-151800- Southern Chatham Strait- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-151800- Frederick Sound- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt overnight. Seas 4 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ035-151800- Sumner Strait- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-151800- Clarence Strait- 314 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
5 follow-up statements
010 FZAK51 PAJK 150605 AAA CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-151530- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada will continue to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient and outflow winds. A ridge of high pressure will build in over the southern Gulf through Tuesday, then shift east over the Panhandle Tuesday night. $$ PKZ011-151530- Glacier Bay- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-151530- Northern Lynn Canal- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray late. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...N wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ013-151530- Southern Lynn Canal- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING... .TONIGHT...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 20 kt overnight. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 4 ft overnight. Freezing spray late. .MON...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .MON NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain. .WED...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ021-151530- Icy Strait- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt diminishing late. Seas 4 ft. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt becoming S. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ022-151530- Cross Sound- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY MONDAY... .REST OF TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .MON...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .MON NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. Snow and rain. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-151530- Stephens Passage- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ032-151530- Northern Chatham Strait- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Higher gusts near northern end. Seas 3 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ033-151530- Southern Chatham Strait- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft. .MON...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .MON NIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ034-151530- Frederick Sound- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 20 kt diminishing to 10 kt overnight. Seas 4 ft in the evening then 2 ft or less. .MON...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ035-151530- Sumner Strait- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ036-151530- Clarence Strait- 905 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TONIGHT...Light winds becoming N 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .MON...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .MON NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$
691 FZAK51 PAJK 151249 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-160330- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada continues to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient and outflow winds over the northeastern Panhandle and inner channels. A ridge of high pressure will build in over the Gulf from the southwest through Tuesday, then move eastward over the Panhandle Tuesday night. Outlook: A strong low looks to begin to enter the eastern Gulf from the south around Wednesday night. $$ PKZ011-160330- Glacier Bay- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-160330- Northern Lynn Canal- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-160330- Southern Lynn Canal- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt early this morning diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow and rain. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-160330- Icy Strait- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-160330- Cross Sound- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. S swell. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. S swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. S swell. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. S swell. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-160330- Stephens Passage- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-160330- Northern Chatham Strait- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-160330- Southern Chatham Strait- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-160330- Frederick Sound- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-160330- Sumner Strait- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-160330- Clarence Strait- 349 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow and rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
138 FZAK51 PAJK 151303 AAA CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-160345- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... The persistent high pressure over northwestern Canada continues to weaken, relaxing the strong northeasterly gradient and outflow winds over the northeastern Panhandle and inner channels. A ridge of high pressure will build in over the Gulf from the southwest through Tuesday, then move eastward over the Panhandle Tuesday night. Outlook: A strong low looks to begin to enter the eastern Gulf from the south around Wednesday night. $$ PKZ011-160345- Glacier Bay- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-160345- Northern Lynn Canal- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-160345- Southern Lynn Canal- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY EARLY THIS MORNING... .TODAY...N wind 25 kt early this morning diminishing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Out of interior passes, gusts to 35 kt early in the morning. Seas 5 ft subsiding to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray early in the morning. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow and rain. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-160345- Icy Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-160345- Cross Sound- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-160345- Stephens Passage- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-160345- Northern Chatham Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-160345- Southern Chatham Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-160345- Frederick Sound- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-160345- Sumner Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-160345- Clarence Strait- 403 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. Snow and rain early in the morning. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
517 FZAK51 PAJK 151929 AAB CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska...UPDATED National Weather Service Juneau AK 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-160315- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... Low pressure in Hecate Strait moves ashore along the N BC Coast tonight. A weak front across the central gulf slowly tracks E to the Outer Coast Tue. High pressure persists across NW Canada. A gale force front reaches the central gulf Wed and stalls. Outlook. A strong low rises into the SE Gulf early Thu. $$ PKZ011-160315- Glacier Bay- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 4 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-160315- Northern Lynn Canal- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .REST OF TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...N wind 10 kt becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-160315- Southern Lynn Canal- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING... .REST OF TODAY...N wind 25 kt diminishing. Seas 5 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...NE wind 10 kt becoming SE in the afternoon. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow and rain. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-160315- Icy Strait- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$ PKZ022-160315- Cross Sound- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT... .TODAY...E wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. SW swell. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 9 ft. SW swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. SW swell. .WED...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. $$ PKZ031-160315- Stephens Passage- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...NE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-160315- Northern Chatham Strait- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Rain and snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-160315- Southern Chatham Strait- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt becoming S late. Seas 2 ft or less, except 10 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in. Near ocean entrances, seas 10 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 9 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-160315- Frederick Sound- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-160315- Sumner Strait- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...E wind 10 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-160315- Clarence Strait- 1029 AM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 UPDATED .REST OF TODAY...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. .WED...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...S wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. $$
084 FZAK51 PAJK 160020 CWFAJK Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska National Weather Service Juneau AK 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 Southeast Alaska Inside Waters from Dixon Entrance to Skagway Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction expected. Sea forecasts represent the average of the highest one-third of the combined windwave and swell height. PKZ098-161645- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .SYNOPSIS FOR SOUTHEAST ALASKA INNER CHANNELS COASTAL WATERS... A weak front will move across the Gulf Monday night and reach the outer coast on Tuesday afternoon. A second front will move over the northeast Gulf coast on Wednesday. $$ PKZ011-161645- Glacier Bay- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft late. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .THU...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .FRI...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .SAT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. $$ PKZ012-161645- Northern Lynn Canal- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. Freezing spray. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Freezing spray in the morning. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ013-161645- Southern Lynn Canal- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Gusts to 35 kt in the evening. Seas 4 ft. .TUE...N wind 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. Snow showers. .WED...N wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ021-161645- Icy Strait- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...E wind increasing to 15 kt. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Snow in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. Snow showers. .WED...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...E wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ022-161645- Cross Sound- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 ...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH TUESDAY... .TONIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .TUE...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. Snow and rain in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. Snow showers and rain showers. .WED...E wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. SW swell. .WED NIGHT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. .THU...E wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft. .FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. .SAT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. $$ PKZ031-161645- Stephens Passage- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Gusts to 35 kt early in the evening. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft in the afternoon. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ032-161645- Northern Chatham Strait- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ033-161645- Southern Chatham Strait- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...N wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...S wind increasing to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas building to 3 ft in the afternoon. Near ocean entrances, seas 8 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less, except 7 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft, except 8 ft near ocean entrances. Rain. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ034-161645- Frederick Sound- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE...SW wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE NIGHT...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 5 ft. .THU...SW wind 25 kt becoming SE. Seas 5 ft. .FRI...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ035-161645- Sumner Strait- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NW wind 10 kt becoming E. Seas 2 ft or less. .TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...S wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED...E wind 10 kt. Seas 2 ft or less. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .THU...SE wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .FRI...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .SAT...S wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. $$ PKZ036-161645- Clarence Strait- 320 PM AKST Mon Feb 15 2021 .TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .TUE...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .TUE NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft, except 6 ft near ocean entrances. .WED...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 3 ft. .WED NIGHT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 6 ft. .THU...S wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. .FRI...S wind 20 kt. Seas 4 ft. .SAT...S wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. $$
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before this small craft advisory went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Juneau, AK wrote its last area forecast discussion before this small craft advisory went out at Feb 14, 2:30 PM AKST, 44 minutes earlier.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 14, 2:30 PM AKST, 44 minutes before
Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
230 PM AKST Sun Feb 14 2021
.SHORT TERM...Entering into a transitional period as the high
pressure and strong outflow winds that have defined the weather in
southeast AK for the past week begins to break down. A front
moving up from the south has already brought cloud cover to as far
north as Juneau and snow has begun in the southern reaches of the
panhandle. Most of the precip through Monday should remain over
the south half of the panhandle and initial snow totals from this
look to be small as there is not a great amount of moisture for
this front to work with. Further, most sea level locations will be
flirting with the freezing mark and should see some transitions
over to rain during the day time hours. Highest totals look to be
in the 2-3 inch range around Ketchikan and Annette Island. To the
north, winds should continue to die down as the pressure gradient
begins to relent and currently expecting an end to the small craft
advisory winds in Lynn Canal Sunday night. Even with winds
expected to slow, temperatures remain cold enough to warrant yet
another wind chill advisory for White Pass Sunday night.
A brief break from most precip occurs Monday into Monday night
between fronts. Tuesday morning, another round of precip moves in
on the region from the west. Most locations should see snow at the
onset, but coastal locations south of Cross Sound and the bulk of
the southern panhandle should warm enough to change over to rain,
inhibiting snow totals. For the northern inner channels, amounts
generally from about 1-4 inches look possible Tuesday through
Wednesday morning, with the greatest amounts currently forecast
for Juneau.
.LONG TERM.../Tue through Sun as of 10 pm Sat/ Active weather
pattern for the long range resulting in a number of lows and
fronts tracking into the region. Warmer airmass in place compared
to the past week but diurnal temperature range still low enough
to keep snow or a mix of rain in snow for any precipitation that
does fall. At the start of the long term mid level pattern has
ridging over the central AK gulf with closed low over the western
tip of the Aleutians. This pattern will shift east towards the end
of the week tracking the trough over the eastern gulf and
panhandle for the weekend. Beyond that time the progressive
easterly flow continues.
On Tuesday the surface features show a typical weak low in the NE
gulf with frontal band moving across the eastern gulf. As new
model runs come in this front has been weakened, resulting in
decreased pops and QPF. Best changes are still in the Yakutat
area, so keeping an eye on snow totals there possibly reaching 4+
inches. Main change around this time is the shift in winds from
northerly to southerly, and due to weaker pressure gradient wind
magnitudes will be much less. Fast moving surface ridge passes
over the panhandle mid week followed by some sort of low.
Position/strength/track of this low: in a word uncertain. While
expected operational models to have a large spread, especially
after a long period of unchanging weather, getting fair amount of
spread with ensembles as well. GFS/NAEFS have trended toward a
deeper low moving into the gulf and swinging to the north, while
ECMWF has trended to a much more southerly track. This uncertainty
was very evident in spread of snow totals between individual
ensemble members, with amounts from 1 to 8 inches. At this time
would side with the lower amounts due to warmer temps and thus
lower snow ratios.
Kept with a blend of GFS/ECMWF for Tuesday, but overall not much
change resulting. WPC for the rest of the long range began
indicating stronger low development over the central gulf but no
where near operational GFS. EFI and ensemble standardized
anomalies while depicting active weather don't show any extreme
events for now.
&&
.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Wind Chill Advisory from 11 PM this evening to 9 AM AKST Monday
for AKZ018.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory for PKZ022-041>043-051>053.
&&
JDR/PRB
Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/JuneauNearby
Small Craft Advisories in Alaska, 2021Every small craft advisory in 2021
Sources
The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text.