Small Craft Advisory 553, NWS Juneau, AK

116 
FZAK52 PAJK 161314
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-170715-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force front arrives in the NE gulf this afternoon and
makes landfall west of Yakutat Bay tonight. Its associated
weather front swings NE to lie just offshore of the Panhandle 
this afternoon and presses through the Panhandle through the 
evening. A second weather front tracks E across the eastern gulf 
Wed. Another low develops in the northern gulf Wed. 

$$

PKZ041-170715-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt late in the afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 8 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-170715-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt in the late afternoon. 
Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas
16 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-170715-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING LATE THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming S 35 kt. Seas 7 ft building to
15 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas 18 ft. Rain.
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers in the
morning. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-170715-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SE wind 15 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
6 ft building to 10 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt. Seas 15 ft. Rain in the evening. 
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers and
rain showers. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt becoming E. Seas 12 ft subsiding to
8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-170715-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
414 AM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...S wind 15 kt becoming E 25 kt in the morning. Seas 5 ft 
building to 9 ft in the afternoon. Snow in the morning. Rain in 
the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 25 kt becoming W late. Seas 9 ft. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 

$$

906 
FZAK52 PAJK 170028
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-171830-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A gale force low moves through the NE Gulf Coast tonight. A
weaker low moves into the NE Gulf Wednesday allowing for onshore
flow through Thursday.  

$$

PKZ041-171830-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt in the evening. 
Seas 13 ft. Rain in the evening.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-171830-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING EARLY THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 35 kt diminishing in the evening. Seas 15 ft. 
Rain early in the evening.
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 14 ft. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE gale to 35 kt becoming W. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-171830-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...GALE WARNING TONIGHT...

.TONIGHT...S wind 35 kt. Seas building to 17 ft. Rain in the 
evening.
.WED...S wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
17 ft subsiding to 13 ft in the afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-171830-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...SE wind 30 kt becoming SW. Seas 10 ft building to
17 ft. Rain.
.WED...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers in the
evening. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-171830-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
328 PM AKST Tue Nov 16 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH WEDNESDAY...

.TONIGHT...E wind 30 kt becoming W 20 kt late. Seas 10 ft. Rain
early in the evening. 
.WED...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft building to 15 ft in the
afternoon. 
.WED NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU...N wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...NW wind 10 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft
building to 13 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

439 
FZAK52 PAJK 171251
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-180700-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low makes landfall this morning just W of Yakutat Bay as its
associated weather front tracks E across the eastern gulf today
and into the Inner Channels tonight. Another low in the northern
gulf slowly tracks E to near Yakutat Bay through Thu. High
pressure builds in the Canadian Yukon on Thu.   

$$

PKZ041-180700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. Showers.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt becoming NW. Seas 9 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 25 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 11 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-180700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain showers and isolated
thunderstorms.
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers late. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain and snow showers. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt becoming N. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.SUN...SE gale to 35 kt becoming W. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-180700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 16 ft. Isolated thunderstorms and  
rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 14 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 15 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-180700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. Rain
showers. Snow showers in the afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 12 ft. Snow showers. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft. 
.SUN...E wind 30 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-180700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
351 AM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...SW wind 20 kt increasing to 30 kt in the afternoon. Seas
10 ft building to 14 ft in the afternoon. Snow showers in the
afternoon. 
.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt becoming W 15 kt late. Seas 12 ft. Snow
showers. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.THU NIGHT...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 25 kt increasing to gale to 35 kt. Seas 7 ft
building to 13 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

788 
FZAK52 PAJK 180015
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-181815-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A front associated with a low in the NE Gulf tracks over the
Inner Channels tonight. This low will weaken through Friday as
another low moves into the SE Gulf from the W. High pressure
builds over the Yukon on Thursday. 

$$

PKZ041-181815-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers early in the
evening, then slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers in the
morning. Slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers late. 
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-181815-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers in the evening.
Slight chance of thunderstorms. Rain and snow showers late. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers, snow showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. 
.FRI...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 16 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 21 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-181815-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain showers and snow
showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.THU...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. Rain showers in the afternoon. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SE gale to 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-181815-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers in the
evening. Snow showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms late. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 10 ft. Snow showers and slight
chance of thunderstorms. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-181815-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
315 PM AKST Wed Nov 17 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THURSDAY...

.TONIGHT...SW wind 30 kt becoming W 15 kt late. Seas 15 ft
subsiding to 11 ft late. Snow showers. Slight chance of
thunderstorms late. 
.THU...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. Slight chance of
thunderstorms. 
.THU NIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming N late. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 4 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 18 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 14 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

629 
FZAK52 PAJK 181221
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-190630-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the NE Gulf will weaken through Friday as another low 
moves into the SE Gulf from the W. High pressure builds over the 
Yukon on Thursday increasing north winds in Lynn Canal to gale 
force. 

$$

PKZ041-190630-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...SW gale to 35 kt becoming NW 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas
12 ft. Rain showers in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.SAT...S wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 15 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt becoming W. Seas 18 ft building to 24 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-190630-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...NW wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 16 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt. Seas 16 ft building to 21 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 21 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-190630-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...

.TODAY...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers early in the
morning. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt decreasing to 20 kt late. Seas 11 ft. 
.FRI...W wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 9 ft building to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SE gale to 35 kt becoming SW. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 25 kt. Seas 18 ft subsiding to 13 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-190630-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 11 ft. 
.TONIGHT...W wind 15 kt becoming E late. Seas 8 ft subsiding after
midnight.
.FRI...NE wind 25 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 5 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 17 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 30 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 14 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-190630-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
321 AM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 20 kt becoming NE late. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...N wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...E wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 35 kt. Seas 8 ft building to 18 ft. 
.SUN...E gale to 35 kt diminishing to 25 kt. Seas 18 ft
subsiding to 14 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft. 

$$

160 
FZAK52 PAJK 190031
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-191845-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the NE Gulf will weaken through Friday. High pressure
builds over the Yukon increasing northerly winds. A gale force
low moves into the SE gulf Saturday. 

$$

PKZ041-191845-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain showers late. 
.FRI...SW wind 30 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 15 ft.
Rain showers. 
.FRI NIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 9 ft. Rain
showers late. 
.SAT...S gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming W gale to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-191845-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers and rain
showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...SW wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 9 ft.
Rain showers in the morning. 
.FRI NIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 8 ft. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 12 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 20 kt becoming SE. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-191845-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH FRIDAY...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt. Seas 13 ft. Snow showers early in the
evening. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 8 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 12 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-191845-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...W wind 25 kt becoming E 20 kt. Seas 9 ft subsiding late.
Snow showers early in the evening. 
.FRI...E wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray late. 
.SAT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 12 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
bays and passes. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-191845-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
331 PM AKST Thu Nov 18 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TONIGHT...N wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 7 ft. 
.FRI...E wind 15 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.FRI NIGHT...SE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 10 ft. 

$$

847 
FZAK52 PAJK 191259
CWFAEG

Coastal Waters Forecast for Southeast Alaska
National Weather Service Juneau AK
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

Southeast Alaska Coastal Waters from Dixon Entrance to
Cape Suckling out 100 NM

Wind forecasts reflect the predominant speed and direction
expected. Seas forecasts represent the average of the highest
one-third of the combined windwave and swell height.

PKZ099-200700-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021
.SYNOPSIS FOR OUTSIDE WATERS...
A low in the NE Gulf will weaken through Friday. High pressure
builds over the Yukon increasing northerly winds. A gale force
low moves into the SE gulf Saturday.  

$$

PKZ041-200700-
Dixon Entrance to Cape Decision-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

...GALE WARNING THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming NW 35 kt. Seas 12 ft building to
16 ft in the afternoon. Rain showers. 
.TONIGHT...NW wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 11 ft subsiding
to 7 ft late. Rain showers late. 
.SAT...SE wind 20 kt becoming S gale to 35 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 7 ft building to 12 ft in the afternoon. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.SUN...SE wind 20 kt becoming W gale to 35 kt. Seas 16 ft. 
.MON...W wind 25 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...W wind 20 kt becoming S. Seas 11 ft. 

$$

PKZ042-200700-
Cape Decision to Cape Edgecumbe-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

.TODAY...SW wind 15 kt becoming N in the afternoon. Seas 10 ft.
Rain showers in the morning. 
.TONIGHT...N wind 15 kt becoming SE late. Seas 7 ft. 
.SAT...SE gale to 35 kt. Seas 11 ft. Rain.
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 17 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 15 kt becoming N 30 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.MON...W wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 20 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ043-200700-
Cape Edgecumbe to Cape Fairweather-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH THIS MORNING...

.TODAY...W wind 20 kt becoming NE. Seas 9 ft. 
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. 
.SAT...SE wind 30 kt becoming E gale to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 9 ft building to 13 ft in the afternoon. Rain in
the morning, then rain and snow in the afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...SW gale to 40 kt. Seas 18 ft. 
.SUN...S wind 20 kt becoming W. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 20 kt. Seas 15 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft subsiding to 9 ft. 

$$

PKZ051-200700-
Cape Fairweather to Icy Cape-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 20 kt. Seas 7 ft.
.TONIGHT...E wind 20 kt. Seas 6 ft. Freezing spray. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 11 ft. Freezing spray in the morning. Rain in the
afternoon. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Gusts to 40 kt out of interior
bays and passes. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 25 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...SW wind 15 kt. Seas 13 ft. 
.TUE...SW wind 15 kt becoming SE. Seas 12 ft subsiding to
8 ft. 

$$

PKZ052-200700-
Icy Cape to Cape Suckling-
359 AM AKST Fri Nov 19 2021

.TODAY...NE wind 15 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.TONIGHT...SE wind 10 kt. Seas 5 ft. 
.SAT...E wind 30 kt increasing to gale to 40 kt in the
afternoon. Seas 12 ft. 
.SAT NIGHT...E gale to 40 kt. Seas 19 ft. Rain and snow. 
.SUN...S wind 30 kt diminishing to 20 kt. Seas 19 ft. 
.MON...S wind 15 kt. Seas 12 ft. 
.TUE...S wind 15 kt. Seas 11 ft subsiding to 7 ft. 

$$

Southeast Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Juneau AK
308 PM AKST Mon Nov 15 2021

.SHORT TERM...Isolated showers over the southern half of the
panhandle have been winding down today as the assoc surface low
weakens and moves off to the south across Dixon Entrance. A
stationary boundary between the departing low and ridging over
the central gulf can be seen on satellite imagery. This is assoc
with an upper level band of vorticity which will track eastward
across the panhandle through the evening. All models show this
band of snow showers lingering over the panhandle into Tuesday
morning, even becoming enhanced Tuesday morning ahead of an
approaching low pressure system. As a result, many across the
north will wake up to snow accumulations of around 1-2 inches.

A gale force low pressure system tracks E to NE across the Gulf of
Alaska through Tuesday. This will have a warm sector, causing the
snow showers Tuesday morning to transition to rain. However, the
track of the low will keep northerly winds and thus colder
temperatures entrenched over Yakutat, Haines, Skagway, and Hyder
with snow continuing and becoming moderate to heavy at times Tuesday
afternoon/evening. The wind shifts to the south for those locations
as well Tuesday night, causing a mix near sea level around midnight
then an eventual change to all rain by Wednesday morning.

Strong wind (gusts to 40mph) is likely as winds shift to the W-SW
Tuesday afternoon/evening, especially for the central outer coast.
After this wind shift and FROPA, CAA will begin and the rain will
become more showery. By Wednesday afternoon some showers may even
start mixing with snow again.

Preferred the more west track for the low pressure system which was
the consensus of the GFS, ECMWF, and Canadian models. Therefore a
blend of those were used for most updates to the forecast, including
the GFS for the timing of temperature warm up.

.LONG TERM.../Wednesday Afternoon through Friday night as of 3PM
Monday/...The front that has prompted the Winter Storm Warnings
for the far northern Panhandle will have pushed through southeast
Alaska around the beginning of the long-term forecast period.
Therefore, mainly convective showery activity will be present
throughout the Panhandle behind the front through the remainder
of the period. Generally lighter snow amounts are anticipated
through the rest of the period. Sky-cover will become more broken
to scattered in nature, particularly in northern areas as we
approach the end of the period.

Some fairly strong northerly outflow winds look to be possible
for the northern Panhandle for Thursday through the end of the
period as the weakening low associated with the cold front that
passed through drifts southeastward while weakening while a strong
area of high pressure stays poised over the Yukon region of
Canada, creating a tight pressure gradient over the northern
third of the Panhandle. Areas like northern Lynn Canal look to
have sustained winds near Gale-force around the Thursday evening
through Friday night timeframe, which is the time when the
pressure gradient looks to be the tightest, causing the outflow to
be the strongest. Windchills could be unpleasant. Be sure to
dress warmly and limit time outdoors if possible.

Speaking of temperatures, MOS guidance, ensembles, model forecast
850mb temperature advection, and thicknesses indicate a rather
potent cool down is in store for the region for the weekend. High
and low temperatures will remain near or below freezing from
Thursday, onward, for the northern 2/3 of the Panhandle. Low
temperatures will be much colder. Therefore, the most of the
precipitation received will remain snow throughout the majority of
Southeast Alaska.

Forecast confidence is above average for the long-term forecast
period as the models were generally in good agreement. A
GFS/CMC/ECMWF model blend was used to create the forecast.

&&

.AJK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PUBLIC...Strong Wind Tuesday afternoon for AKZ023-026.
     Winter Storm Warning from 9 AM Tuesday to 8 AM AKST Wednesday
     for AKZ019.
     Winter Storm Warning from 9 AM Tuesday to noon AKST Wednesday
     for AKZ018.
     Winter Storm Warning from 6 AM Tuesday to midnight AKST Tuesday
     night for AKZ017.
     Winter Weather Advisory from noon Tuesday to 8 AM AKST Wednesday
     for AKZ029.
MARINE...Gale Warning for PKZ031-033-041>043-310.
     Small Craft Advisory for PKZ013-021-022-032-034>036-051-052.

&&

Ferrin/JLC

Visit us at http://www.weather.gov/Juneau